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EURTRY Rejected at 44 – Time to Drop? 📉 EURTRY Hits 43 – Time to Drop? 🧭💥 The EURTRY has just reached 43, completing a multi-year journey that began with our pinpoint entries from as low as 15.7. The rejection at 44.2, just beneath the technical resistance at 45.5 , signals a likely pause—and possibly a sharp reversal. 🧠 Trade History Recap: • Rejection at 10 ➝ Support at 8 ➝ Target 15.7 hit • Entry at 20 ➝ Target 26.5 ➝ Final Target 43 ✅ • Now, we’re setting sights on a retracement to 33 based on Fibonacci levels. 🔽 Short-Term View: With the upside target hit, we're now anticipating a short-term pullback to 40 , and possibly deeper toward 33 , as seen in the newly drawn projections. The rejection candle confirms bearish pressure. 📰 Macroeconomic Backdrop: • April 2025: Turkey’s central bank raised rates to 46% to contain inflation and stabilize the Lira. • Despite rate hikes, TRY remains under pressure, with over $25 billion in reserves used to defend it. • Inflation expectations have surged to 29.75% by year-end, reflecting economic instability. 💬 Takeaway: We may be entering a new chapter. The beast (inflation) is being fought hard, but fundamentals still point to continued volatility . This is a spot to consider profit-taking or even short setups . 🛍️ Bonus thought: This may also be a great time for a visit to Istanbul while the Lira remains weak. 🌍 To our Turkish friends: Peace, stability, and stronger days ahead. Our charts are technical, but our message is human. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Short
by FX_Professor
2
Turkish Lira Rebound- Just EPIC This has to be one of the biggest FX candlesticks of all times! Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan on Dec. 20 announced a series of measures to encourage lira-denominated savings, easing the pressure on the Turkish currency. In a televised speech following a Cabinet meeting, Erdoğan said the government would offer a new financial vehicle that would “alleviate" the concerns of citizens who have been buying foreign currency, fearing that returns on their lira savings are being eroded. Turkish lira deposit holders would be compensated for possible losses from the decline of the local currency, he said, but did not provide details. “From now on, our citizens won’t need to switch their deposits from Turkish lira to foreign currency, fearing that the exchange rate will be higher," Erdoğan said. This Turkish serial is to be continued: While the government called the lira's rebound on Monday a major win on policy, economists have said Erdogan's economic program based on low-interest rates is reckless and expect inflation. Trump was known for his Trumponomics but Erdogan has taken his Erdonomics to the NEXT level! Simply EPIC volatility and very risky decisions against the logic and his people.. not sure if I would want to trade this one. Despite being a Greek Cypriot, i am hereby sending my regards to all Turkish friends. Wish you all a Merry Xmas and a good future close tot eh West, not against the West. One Love Arkadaşlarım, the FXPROFESSOR
by FX_Professor
217
EURTRY - Inflation Beast is Back EURTRY : Our first idea/post was on the Epic rebound of the Turkish Lira back in Dec 21st /2021 We had then calculated and prognosed with great precision the levels (rise to 15,7) : The price has done us the favor then and normalized/consolidated around that level (15,7) : At this stage, Central bank has kept the lira's rates unchanged (good news because every time they intervene there is panic amongst Turkish citizens and Lira holders) but Inflation is a BEAST out of control: Turkey’s inflation rate soars to almost 70 percent : www.aljazeera.com Turkey's role in the Ukraine crisis is something Erdogan can use nicely as long as he can balance between a 'neutral stance' with doors open to Russia and still in Nato' and part of the Western front. If the West wishes to shift him on one side though the Turkish lira might end up under severe pressure again. Don't forget that there are elections next year and Erdogan is probably not feeling the safest at this moment. Let's hope everything goes well in the world as well as in Turkey and that Turkey can play a peaceful role in ending the war in Ukraine. This will be interesting to see. One Love, the FXPROFESSOR
Long
by FX_Professor
23
EUR/USD 4H Trading Plan: Buy Setup & Target Projection📊 EUR/USD 4H Analysis 🔵 Support Zone (1.07584 - 1.0800) 🔵 📌 Expected Reversal Area – Buyers might step in here. ⚠️ Stop-Loss Below ❌ (If price breaks lower, trade is invalid). 🟦 Resistance Zone (~1.0875 - 1.0900) 🟦 📌 First Hurdle – Price may face resistance here before moving higher. 🎯 Target Point: 1.10229 🎯 ✅ Final Take-Profit Level – If price reaches here, trade is successful! 📉 Plan: 🔻 Expect a drop into support first… 🔄 Bullish reversal from support… 🚀 Uptrend toward 1.10229! 🔴 Stop-Loss Below 1.07584 (🚫 Safety Net). 🟢 Entry Around Support Zone (✅ Buy Opportunity). 🔵 Exit at Target Point (1.10229) (💰 Profit Zone). 📝 Final Thought: If the price respects the support zone 🟢, a BUY trade is valid. If it breaks lower 🔴, it's best to step out! 🚀
by Jameshead007
Ethereum (ETH/USD) Breakout – Next Targets $2,328 & Beyond! Overview: Ethereum has been in a downtrend, forming a descending channel, but it recently found strong support at $1,764 and has now broken out of a range-bound consolidation. This could be the beginning of a bullish move towards higher resistance levels. Key Market Structure Analysis: 🔸 Previous Downtrend: ETH was trading within a bearish channel, creating lower highs and lower lows before bottoming out. 🔸 Accumulation Phase: A sideways consolidation range between $1,764 - $2,017 formed after the downtrend, signaling potential accumulation. 🔸 Breakout Confirmation: ETH has broken above the $2,017 resistance, suggesting that buyers are stepping in. Potential Trade Setup: ✅ Bullish Scenario: A successful breakout retest around $2,000 - $1,950 could provide an entry opportunity. Upside targets: 🎯 $2,328.95 – Major resistance level from previous price action. 🎯 $2,559.17 – Next key resistance if momentum continues. ⚠️ Bearish Scenario (Invalidation): A drop below $1,950 - $1,900 could push ETH back into the previous range. Losing the $1,764 support could lead to a retest of $1,600 or lower. Final Thoughts: Ethereum is showing strength after breaking out of a key consolidation range. If the breakout holds, ETH could be gearing up for a strong rally toward $2,328 - $2,559. However, a retest of the breakout zone may provide a better risk-to-reward entry. What do you think? Will ETH push toward $2,328 next? Drop your thoughts below! 🔥📈
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by PIPsOptimizer
EUR/USD 15-Minute Chart - Bearish Reversal Trade SetupEUR/USD 15-Minute Chart Analysis Market Overview: Current Price: 1.09154 Recent High: 1.09283 (Price rejected from this level) Volume: 2.91K (Moderate trading activity) Key Levels: Resistance: 1.09283 (Strong rejection zone) Support Levels: 1.09000 (Psychological level) 1.08877 (Major support & target area) Trade Setup: Bias: Bearish (Potential reversal after strong upward move) Entry: Below 1.09100 after confirmation Take Profit Levels: TP1: 1.09000 TP2: 1.08900 TP3: 1.08877 Trade Confirmation: A break and retest of 1.09100 as resistance will confirm bearish momentum. If price fails to break below 1.09100, bulls might regain control. Risk Management: Stop Loss: Above 1.09283 (To protect against a breakout) Risk-to-Reward: Favorable, as price is showing early signs of reversal. Conclusion: Bearish rejection at 1.09283 suggests a possible short trade opportunity. Wait for price action confirmation below 1.09100 before entering. Watch volume and momentum for further confirmation of direction.
Long
by KingProTrader
EURUSD Buy📉 EURUSD Signal | 1H Timeframe Analysis 📆 Date: February 7, 2025 🔍 Strategy: Breakout and Risk Management ✅ Suggested Position: Buy after pullback confirmation 🎯 Targets: First Target: 1.04016 Second Target: 1.04429 Third Target: 1.04938 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.03083 🔄 Entry Level: Confirmed breakout at 1.03372 ⚠ Key Points: Enter if a pullback to 1.03372 is confirmed. Set stop loss at 1.03083. Apply proper risk management. 📊 Technical Analysis: The previous downtrend has been corrected, and we are in a demand zone. If the key level breaks, an upward move is expected. #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #EURUSD
Long
by EhsanZeydabadi
2
EUR/USD Price Surge: Analysis and Future Outlook The EUR/USD price has surged significantly over the past 10 days. Let's explore the reasons behind this movement and the potential trends we might face in the coming days. Fundamental Analysis: The EUR/USD exchange rate has seen a significant increase over the past 10 days. This upward trend is primarily supported by a weakening U.S. dollar, driven by several economic factors. Recent inflation data shows that U.S. inflation is slowing down, with the annual inflation rate for June 2024 at 3.0%, a decrease from previous months. This has strengthened expectations of a less restrictive monetary policy from the Federal Reserve, with investors anticipating rate cuts in September and possibly in November or December. On the other hand, the euro has been bolstered by the European Central Bank's (ECB) aggressive stance on raising interest rates, improving energy prospects in Europe, and relative weakness in the dollar. Technical Analysis: The EUR/USD chart indicates a potential structural change. Recently, as the price dropped to the lower part of the channel, it found support around the 1.07 level, hitting an upward trendline without making a lower low from the previous wave at 1.06. From that level, the price rose, testing the upper part of the channel and closing the daily and weekly candles at the previous high around 1.09. This is a crucial level; if it breaks with a daily candle, it would confirm the structural change, leading to a potential further rise. Conversely, a rejection at this level could result in a decline. Volume Analysis: In recent sessions, the Point of Control (POC) has consistently been at the beginning of the session, indicating significant volume gaps in the daily candles. The overall POC for the channel is at the 1.08 level, which could act as a support if the price declines. If the price continues to rise, there are many upper areas left to fill from the highs of the previous year. Sentiment Analysis: Current retail sentiment shows a 91% short position against 9% long, with short volumes at a four-year high. However, institutional positions as of the 2024-07-09 COT report indicate 393,029 long contracts against 160,108 short. Dealers, on the other hand, are 275,000 short against 9,478 long. This discrepancy suggests that institutional players are aligned with the market, discouraging short positions. Personal Analysis: In my opinion, the euro's recent rise seems exaggerated given the negative IPC, a rate cut by the ECB, a favorable PPI for the dollar, and Powell's statements indicating it is not yet time to cut rates. I expect a retracement from this level or slightly higher to fill some of the gaps left during the rise, after which the market will decide on the next direction. Powell's speech on Monday will be crucial. However, I wouldn't be surprised by a continued rise, as summer markets can be very unpredictable. If you don't have any open positions, it's wise to wait for the market to establish a clear direction before entering. I hope this analysis has been helpful. If you found it useful, please leave a boost to show your appreciation for the work done.
by jamesbond70
EURUSD - in strong downtrendEURUSD - May 31, 2024 Today EURUSD stays in a downtrend, yesterday`s restoration turned into short-lived and the pair remains on course to attain 1.0800 once more withinside the early buying and selling hours of the month. weekend session. Accordingly, the outlook remains favorable for dealers while EURUSD remains beneath many vital resistance stages and regularly lowering in step with the energetic Trendine line. In addition, with the growing probability that the ECB will lessen hobby fees earlier than the Fed, the opportunity of the EUR/USD trade price persevering with to weaken wishes to be taken into consideration withinside the medium term.
Short
by TheLeader_WOLF
EURUSD price is moving sidewaysEURUSD: The EUR nowadays did now no longer decline however as a substitute is shifting up close to the 1.0740 resistance region. This is because of the weakening of the USD. Currently, due to the fact DXY is damaged and is possibly to maintain to weaken, nowadays`s model ace can pay interest to NONFARM. It is anticipated that EURUSD will possibly retest across the 1.0683 region and rebound. Consider in short promoting across the cutting-edge fee region and shopping for again across the 1.0680 guide region
Short
by TheLeader_WOLF