Turkish lira - New Volatility AlertTurkish Lira snapped a five-day rally yesterday, challenging government assurances that it’s on a more stable footing after measures were introduced a week ago to stem its collapse.
After the Epic rebound last week the worries seem to be returning.
As you can see on the chart, what used to be 3 Liras to a Euro became, 6 then 9 and now 12...after stopping first at 20!
The chart is not very encouraging for the Lira as the chart is hyper-bullish from a technical point of view with 15 euros technical level being a crucial test (statistically it's 93% likely that it will happen) before the price decides if that level will be resistance and the price will drop lower from there OR if it will be breached over in which case the 20 and even 30 will be in play for the future. Scary!
Food for thought:
Experts say that Turkey should increase rates from 14%, whereas rates in the West (EU, USA, UK) rates are below 1%. Any thoughts on this one?
One Love,
the FXPROFESSOR
PS. a stable currency means happier people and economies. Better future and peace. May the Lira stabilize between 15 max and 10 low so that the people there can find some ease. Not a happy situation for anyone at the moment.
EUR TRY
Turkish Lira Rebound- Just EPIC This has to be one of the biggest FX candlesticks of all times!
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan on Dec. 20 announced a series of measures to encourage lira-denominated savings, easing the pressure on the Turkish currency.
In a televised speech following a Cabinet meeting, Erdoğan said the government would offer a new financial vehicle that would “alleviate" the concerns of citizens who have been buying foreign currency, fearing that returns on their lira savings are being eroded. Turkish lira deposit holders would be compensated for possible losses from the decline of the local currency, he said, but did not provide details. “From now on, our citizens won’t need to switch their deposits from Turkish lira to foreign currency, fearing that the exchange rate will be higher," Erdoğan said.
This Turkish serial is to be continued: While the government called the lira's rebound on Monday a major win on policy, economists have said Erdogan's economic program based on low-interest rates is reckless and expect inflation.
Trump was known for his Trumponomics but Erdogan has taken his Erdonomics to the NEXT level! Simply EPIC volatility and very risky decisions against the logic and his people.. not sure if I would want to trade this one.
Despite being a Greek Cypriot, i am hereby sending my regards to all Turkish friends. Wish you all a Merry Xmas and a good future close tot eh West, not against the West.
One Love Arkadaşlarım,
the FXPROFESSOR
Short Vision on EUR TRY for 13/12/2021Hello Dear Traders,
You find below my analysis for EUR/TRY the currency pair is in the sell zone. I expect the price to fall. According to my set of rules, in the M30 frame EUR/TRY will fall to 16.46 as I am showing in my chart. Our Daily Goal is 15.9.
Currently, EUR/TRY is moving towards the resistance level 16.46,where there is some liquidity from this value we are looking for short-term selling opportunities of EUR/TRY.
Good Luck and enjoy your Bearish Market for today.
Entry:@16.46
TP1: @16.29
TP2: @16.19
TP3: @15.9
SL: @16.8
As mentioned on previous posting, we oscillate daily with the market based on Human Behavior and Sentiment.
Feel free to share your thoughts and opinions in the comment section below, I will be glad to discuss my friends!
Short Vision on EUR TRY for 17/12/2021Hello Dear Traders,
You find below my analysis for EUR/TRY the currency pair is in the sell zone. I expect the price to fall. According to my set of rules, in the M30 frame EUR/TRY will fall to 17.25 as I am showing in my chart. Our Daily Goal is 17.0.
Currently, EUR/TRY is moving towards the resistance level 17.81,where there is some liquidity from this value we are looking for short-term selling opportunities of EUR/TRY.
Good Luck and enjoy your Bearish Market for today.
Entry:@17.81
TP1: @17.51
TP2: @17.21
TP3: @17.0
SL: @18.1
As mentioned on previous posting, we oscillate daily with the market based on Human Behavior and Sentiment.
Feel free to share your thoughts and opinions in the comment section below, I will be glad to discuss my friends!
Turkish Lira Chronic Disease?As you can see in the previous price actions after the interference of the Turkish Lira it seems that the Currency has gotten a Chronic Disease now.
The fast bounce back conclude that there is globally no trust within the Turkish Economic Politics.
As the Minister of Treasury has already been replaced within 3 years and the independence of the Turkish Central Bank regarding President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's politics are being questioned.
It seems that the market is craving for a change of governemnt, but as we know from recents words of the President an early election before 2023 is a wish that will not come through.
Simple conclusion: Uptrend Cable will continue till 2023 at least as the Turkish Government is not likely to change their Economic politics.
EUR/TRY SKYROCKETS AFTER INTEREST RATE CUTSEUR/TRY skyrocketed today after Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan defended the massive and continuous interest rate cuts amid double-digit inflation. He said this is part of an “economic war of independence,” rejecting calls from investors and analysts to adopt a different strategy. Turkey's short-term external debt stock rose to $124.4 billion, an increase of +8.8% since the end of 2020. The rise in USD/TRY and EUR/TRY rates will exacerbate Turkey's debt problems over the coming months. According to data released by the CBRT, nearly 43% of the country’s debt was denominated in US Dollars, and just over 25% was denominated in Euros. Inflation is near 20% in Turkey, and the Turkish central bank has cut interest rates by 400bps since September, with the latest one being 100bps, delivered last week. This, combined with investors' fear over the lack of independence of Turkey’s central bank, has resulted in a 40% drop in the lira this year and 20% since the start of last week alone.
From a technical trading perspective and looking at our oscillator indicators, we notice that MACD is above zero, and the trigger line and RSI is strongly in the overbought zone. The price yesterday stopped at 2.00 Fibo level, and it would be interesting how it will react in the following days. According to the experts, the rate would continue conquering fresh highs, and the price could reach the next Fibo level 2.272 at a price around 15.50. But if it starts correction from this key point, it is possible to drop down to 1.618 Fibo level at price levels around 13.50, and if the price breakthrough the following story, it is possible to see the rate dropping all the way back around 11.50 levels.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carry a high-risk level. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and such sites. Furthermore, one understands
Short Vision on EUR TRY for 23/11/2021 (700 pips to catch)Hello Dear Traders,
You find below my analysis for EUR/TRY the currency pair is in the sell zone. I expect the price to fall. According to my set of rules, in the M30 frame EUR/TRY will fall to 13.4 as I am showing in my chart. Our Daily Goal is 13.27.
Currently, EUR/TRY is moving towards the resistance level 13.95,where there is some liquidity from this value we are looking for short-term selling opportunities of EUR/TRY.
Good Luck and enjoy your Bearish Market for today.
Entry:@13.95
TP1: @13.69
TP2: @13.59
TP3: @13.24
SL: @14.3
As mentioned on previous posting, we oscillate daily with the market based on Human Behavior and Sentiment.
Feel free to share your thoughts and opinions in the comment section below, I will be glad to discuss my friends!
Long Vision on EUR TRY for 18/11/2021 (400 pips to catchHello Dear Traders,
You find below my analysis for EUR/TRY the currency pair is in the sell zone. I expect the price to fall. According to my set of rules, in the M30 frame EUR/TRY will fall to 12.4 as I am showing in my chart. Our Daily Goal is 12.27.
Currently, EUR/TRY is moving towards the resistance level 12.77,where there is some liquidity from this value we are looking for short-term selling opportunities of EUR/TRY.
Good Luck and enjoy your Bearish Market for today.
Entry:@12.77
TP1: @12.69
TP2: @12.59
TP3: @12.44
SL: @12.9
As mentioned on previous posting, we oscillate daily with the market based on Human Behavior and Sentiment.
Feel free to share your thoughts and opinions in the comment section below, I will be glad to discuss my friends!
Short Vision on EUR TRY for 17/11/2021Hello Dear Traders,
You find below my analysis for EUR/TRY the currency pair is in the sell zone. I expect the price to fall. According to my set of rules, in the M30 frame EUR/TRY will fall to 11.84 as I am showing in my chart. Our Daily Goal is 11.81.
Currently, EUR/TRY is moving towards the resistance level 11.9436,where there is some liquidity from this value we are looking for short-term selling opportunities of EUR/TRY.
Good Luck and enjoy your Bearish Market for today.
Entry:@11.945
TP1: @11.9
TP2: @11.86
TP3: @10.81
SL: @12.5
As mentioned on previous posting, we oscillate daily with the market based on Human Behavior and Sentiment.
Feel free to share your thoughts and opinions in the comment section below, I will be glad to discuss my friends!
Long Vision on EUR TRY for 16/11/2021Hello Dear Traders,
You find below my analysis for EUR/TRY the currency pair is in the sell zone. I expect the price to fall. According to my set of rules, in the M30 frame EUR/TRY will fall to 11.65 as I am showing in my chart. Our Daily Goal is 11.62.
Currently, EUR/TRY is moving towards the resistance level 11.793,where there is some liquidity from this value we are looking for short-term selling opportunities of EUR/TRY.
Good Luck and enjoy your Bearish Market for today.
Entry:@11.7932
TP1: @11.75
TP2: @11.72
TP3: @11.65
SL: @10.5
As mentioned on previous posting, we oscillate daily with the market based on Human Behavior and Sentiment.
Feel free to share your thoughts and opinions in the comment section below, I will be glad to discuss my friends!
The spike high on EUR/TRY is a classic reversal patternThere are a couple of technical analysis patterns that can help identify reversals – some are more important than others, but this morning we note this beauty: - The spike high on daily EUR/TRY chart
The spike high on EUR/TRY, not only did it chart a spike high, but it reversed from a Fibonacci extension (1.618) AND we note the divergence of the daily RSI. All these factors imply that the market has topped.
Spike highs are identified by the following criteria:
• a High sharply above the days on either side,
• a Close near the day's Low, and
• a strong preceding rally.
The more extreme each of these conditions are, the greater the likelihood of a reversal.
NB RSI = Relative strength Index (click here if you would like to know more - www.investopedia.com).
Fibonacci extensions: Click here if you would like to know more: - www.investopedia.com
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Long Vision on EUR TRY for 25/10/2021Hello Dear Traders,
You find below my analysis for EUR/TRY, the currency pair is in the buy zone. I expect the price to rise. According to my set of rules, in the M30 frame EUR/TRY will rise to 11.3 as I am showing in my chart. Our Daily Goal is 11.35.
Currently,EUR/TRY is moving towards the support level of 11.15 where there is some liquidity, from this value we are looking for short-term buying opportunities of EUR/TRY.
Good Luck and enjoy your Bullish Market for today.
Entry:@11.15
TP1: @11.20
TP2: @11.25
TP3: @11.35
SL: @11.1
As mentioned on previous posting, we oscillate daily with the market based on Human Behavior and Sentiment.
Feel free to share your thoughts and opinions in the comment section below, I will be glad to discuss my friends!
EURTRY bearish scenario:In this pair, technical analysis shows a technical figure Triangle. The Triangle has broken through the support line on 17/08/2021. EURTRY forming a bearish formation on a daily chart. If the price holds below this level we will have a possible bearish price movement with a forecast for the next 42 days with a target of 9.5735. If you decide to enter this position, experts say your stop-loss order should be placed at 10.1869.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Long Vision on EUR TRY for 19/07/2021Hello Dear Traders,
You find below my analysis for EUR/TRY, the currency pair is in the buy zone. I expect the price to rise. According to my set of rules, in the M30 frame EUR/TRY will rise to 10.11 as I am showing in my chart. Our Daily Goal is 10.125.
Currently,EUR/TRY is moving towards the support level of 10.05 where there is some liquidity, from this value we are looking for short-term buying opportunities of EUR/TRY.
Good Luck and enjoy your Bullish Market for today.
Entry:@10.05
TP1: @10.075
TP2: @10.095
TP3: @10.115
SL: @10.015
As mentioned on previous posting, we oscillate daily with the market based on Human Behavior and Sentiment.
Feel free to share your thoughts and opinions in the comment section below, I will be glad to discuss my friends!