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EUR TRY

EUR/TRY 1H Chart: Pair trades near long-term channelThe common European currency continues its long-term appreciation against the Turkish Lira. As a result, the pair is constantly pushing its ultimate high northwards. During the past three months, the Euro is stranded in an ascending wedge. However, it seems that a breakout is likely to occur soon, as the upper boundary of this pattern has been unreachable for the last week and a half. In addition, the rate has approached the upper boundary of a senior channel circa 4.57 which has bounded the rate since mid-2014. Along the way, the Euro faces a strong resistance of the weekly and monthly R1 at 4.55. Given the pair’s long-term appreciation, it would not be surprising if this bullish movement continues to prevail. However, it is more likely that a pair retraces from the senior channel just to cool off its high levels.
Short
by UnknownUnicorn890690
4
EUR/TRY hinders near channel boundaryThe common European currency has been trading against the Turkish Lira in two ascending channels simultaneously. The junior pattern was formed as a result of the rate remaining at a relatively stable position during the past two weeks. As apparent on the chart, the Euro has failed to overcome a resistance area located near the 4.2189 mark. During the last trading hours, the rate has been stranded in a narrow range between the 100– and 200-hour SMAs; thus, a breakout might occur in any direction. In case the pair succeeds at surpassing the 100-hour SMA and the weekly PP circa 4.20, it might appreciate until the aforementioned resistance area. The base scenario, however, favours a soon movement southwards. This would comply with characteristics of the senior channel. In addition, it is apparent that the pair has failed to reach the upper boundary of the junior pattern during the last week. The closest downside target is the weekly S1 at 4.1701.
by UnknownUnicorn890690
EURTRY - Bearish Swing Due? - What goes up must come down?EURTRY has been clearing up-trending for over a decade. The upside momentum has been significantly stronger in recent years, as seen by the more aggressive trend support lines. How long will the upside continue? Is price finally reaching a high? The main reason for me wanting to open a long-term short on EURTRY is the positive swap rate. I personally believe that these is no other currency pair (offered by retail Forex brokers) that has such an opportunity - an extremely high short swap rate with possible strong downside. A few things to consider... Price is looking over-extended . Recent bullish moves have been euphoric. The swing in January 2017 was almost vertical. From past experience, this generally means that a correction is due, and usually a major correction. Bearish pin bars and inside-bars. The current bullish swing is struggling to form a higher high. 31/07 saw a clear bearish pin bar close. This has been followed by an inside-bar with a bearish break-out. If price continues to remain quiet this week, this weeks candle may close another inside-bar. Possible signal of a shift in momentum? There is a lot of support. If price does start heading South, it may find a lot of support (unless EURTRY plummets). Dynamic support, trend support and horizontal levels have been identified on the chart. The only positive from all this support is that if the EURTRY closes below these support areas, they may then act as resistance, possibly helping price to move lower. Brexit. Yes, that word that frustrates the British (and perhaps the Europeans?). Who knows what this will bring to the EUR and GBP in coming months. A weakening Euro is a possibility but your guess is as good as mine. If the position is stopped-out, I will look for the next opportunity to short the pair. I believe this pair offers potential trades that should not be missed.
Short
by love-the-pips_SamMorton
RSI Quick Scan - Forex (aka Fiat)Here is my quick scan of the market. Of course please don't just buy in Long/Short just because strength shows overbought/oversold. There is always more room to 0 or 100. 1Day: AUDCHF - 26 RSI USDCHF - 29 RSI USDSGD - 28 RSI USDDKK - 26RSI Honorable mentions: USDPLN - 30 RSI Rising ATR NZDCHF - 30 RSI USDNOK - 31 RSI High ATR EURNZD - 75 RSI EURSEK - 72 RSI EURTRY - 67 RSI (Bull Div) A little extra work defining key candle swings/fib support levels with price alerts tends to pan out on at least one. I tend to look for: key candle momentum swings day close fractals dbl bottom/top
by j_nathan