Euruad
EurAud Waiting for retracement to go long towards the fib retracement 61.8 inline with the trendline that I have in place.
so im expecting a short around that area depends on price action, once it goes short im expecting a breakout.
as you can see I have a cross there which shows that the market is repeating itself, creating the same pattern but towards the downside.
Is it EUR/AUD getting ready for more bullish moves?After brief consolidation the EUR/AUD’s rise from 1.5976 resumed and intraday bias is back on the upside. Friday’s daily candle came out as a bullish Marubozu candle, which indicates that the buyers are in control. Additionally, the today breakout on daily chart above Friday’s high may push the price upside with good bullish momentum.
But the H4 chart shows that after being very bullish, the price retreated a little bit. The pair may find resistance at the level of 1.6310 (24th October's high). Further rally should be seen to 1.6432 resistance first. Sustained move above this level will pave the way to retest 1.6787 high.
If the downward correction keeps, it may come up to 1.6202 to find its support. A clear breakout below 1.6202 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for testing 1.6150 (100-day SMA on H4), followed by 1.5976 key support zone. The H4 RSI was in overbought area which is indicative that the underlying momentum is positive for the AUD relative to the EUR.
In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5895 support (the triple bottom since July) holds, outlook remains bullish.
We prefer upside momentum and buying opportunities on the declines. So, in short-term look for Sell at the current level with TP at 1.6205 and Stop Loss around 1.6305. On daily chart waiting the long positions to hit the target 1.6435.
What's your strategy for that pair?
EURAUD shortI will be waiting for a break and retest of my boxed zone and a 4H confirmation candle before entering short to around 1.5800.
II must wait for a break and retest as price is currently at 1.27 fib extension so price could still reverse from here. However confluence for EURAUD start with a strong bearish close on weekly showing momentum for the bears swell as price breaking through both EMAS. On daily both my 20ema and 50ema have crossed showing potential for more bearish movement. My target being the 1.618 fib extension where I will be looking for longs on corrective wave 4 up to around 1.600.
My trade should look something like this:
SELL EURAUD ~@ 1.5910
SL @ 1.5955 (-45)
TP @ 1.5780 (130)
R:R = 2.9
After this move I will be looking for longs but I will post this when the time comes, and if price plays out how I hope it does...
KNOW WHAT TO LOOK FOR IN A RANGE PATTERNThe market is working a range pattern the majority
of the time which is good news if you know what to look for.
Range patterns are full of information that will help you anticipate what comes next, so you can trade. Here are 3 examples that will make you chart smarter!
The first chart is my personal favorite range pattern. When you see a well established range, watch for price to "overshoot" your expected high or low. When that happens, get ready! As soon as it goes past the expected high or low, place pending orders to sell from the top or buy from the bottom. If price comes back to the range, it will come back fast!
The 2nd chart is an example of past performance predicting future price movement. During a range pattern, look back 15 bars from the middle of the range, and anticipate the market moving that far in the opposite direction. In this example, the solid arrow is predictive of the dashed arrow.
The last chart is an example of how the typical slow or no momentum you would expect is happening in the middle third, shaded in orange. To and from the outer edges of the range, momentum shows up.
EUR/AUD Bearish Run to Continue? - Swing Trade SetupWe had a big move down after the flash crash but this bearish momentum has continued to hold sway. Based on how fast we moved last week we will probably get a drawback first, but I am looking for a strong bearish breakout to stay below the kumo and break the support line I've drawn for entry. I've drawn several targets including my long term one as our final swing Take Profit level. We do have a bearish kumo twist already and chikou span is below price and clear, but it would be helpful if chikou span can get below the cloud as well. If we fail to move lower or break our support line for entry, this setup may become invalidated.