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EURUSD

BTC - Short Setup at 0.702 Fibonacci & Fair Value GapMarket Context Bitcoin recently rejected from a major resistance area and has since been retracing downward, finding temporary support inside a bullish Fair Value Gap. The market is currently in a corrective phase, with buyers attempting to defend lower levels while sellers look for optimal positions to reload shorts. This environment shows a classic tug-of-war between these two forces as price moves between supply and demand zones. Consolidation and Current Phase Although the prior consolidation has been broken, the current price action can still be described as corrective, with intraday structure forming lower highs. The bullish Fair Value Gap beneath price has been respected so far, creating a temporary base. However, the path remains complex, as the market has unfilled imbalances both above and below. Bearish Retest Scenario One key scenario involves a retracement toward the bearish Fair Value Gap near 117K, which also aligns with the 0.702 Fibonacci retracement level. This confluence makes it a high-probability area for sellers to step in again. A rejection from that zone would likely resume the downtrend, with the next logical target being the deeper unfilled bullish Fair Value Gap around 110K. This zone acts as a magnet for price due to the inefficiency left behind during the last rally. Bullish Defense Scenario For bulls to regain control, the current Fair Value Gap at 114K must hold, followed by a strong move that invalidates the lower-high structure. Such a move would need to break above the 117K bearish FVG with conviction. Only then could momentum shift back to the upside, opening the door for another challenge of the higher resistance zones. Final Words Patience and precision are key when dealing with setups like this. Let the market come to your level — and react with intent. If you found this breakdown helpful, a like is much appreciated! Let me know in the comments what you think or if you’re watching the same zones.
Short
by Louigi_24
96
EURUSD - Major resistance ahead with the fair value gaps!The EUR/USD pair remains firmly within a prevailing downtrend, characterized by a consistent pattern of lower highs and lower lows. This bearish momentum has resulted in the formation of several significant Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) on the 4-hour chart, which now act as potential resistance zones on any pullbacks. These FVGs not only coincide with important technical structures, but also align with key Fibonacci retracement levels, adding confluence to their strength. In the analysis below, we’ll walk through these zones and discuss the most probable scenarios based on the current price action. First resistance zone The first major resistance lies within the 4-hour FVG in the 1.1600 to 1.1650 region. This zone coincides with the golden pocket, which is formed between the 0.618 and 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels. This overlap strengthens the likelihood of price reacting bearishly here, should the market manage to retrace upwards into this area. Given the strong downward momentum, this level may be enough to trigger a continuation to the downside, making it a critical area to monitor for rejection signals. Second resistance zone The second key resistance is found in the upper 4-hour FVG, ranging from 1.1690 to 1.1750. This zone aligns closely with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level and marks a former support zone that has now been broken, indicating a potential structure break. Price returning to this level would be retesting the underside of broken market structure, which often acts as a powerful resistance area. Given this, a deeper pullback into this region may serve as a trap for late buyers and potentially offer a high-probability short setup. Bullish bounce area On the bullish side, the most relevant support is currently found within the 1-hour FVG that was formed last Friday, during the release of the U.S. unemployment rate data. This zone is positioned below current price levels and is likely to act as a strong short-term demand area. It is reasonable to anticipate a bullish reaction from this zone if the market retraces downward, making it a favorable area to seek long opportunities for a potential move into the higher resistance levels described above. Final thoughts While the broader trend remains bearish, short-term bullish bounces are likely within defined fair value gaps. Traders should keep a close eye on the 1-hour FVG for possible long entries, while watching the 4-hour FVGs, particularly those aligning with key Fibonacci levels, for signs of bearish continuation. If resistance holds firm, the EUR/USD could resume its downtrend, but any structural breaks or sustained closes above these levels would challenge that view. As always, price action around these zones should guide the final decision-making. ------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
by Youriverse
38
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.17578.Colleagues, the price has made a strong downward movement, which can only mean one thing: the correction is not complete. This means that the latest upward movement is wave “1” of medium order. Therefore, I now expect the correction to end in wave “2” at the 50% Fibonacci level and thean upward movement to continue to at least the resistance level of 1.17578. It is quite possible that after updating the level of 1.15570, the price will immediately begin an upward movement — this is a more risky option for entering a position. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Long
by Hellena_Trade
25
DeGRAM | EURUSD returned to the channel📊 Technical Analysis ● EURUSD broke above the descending channel resistance and reclaimed the 1.1567 level, signaling a potential reversal after defending 1.1446 support. ● The price is forming a bullish sequence of higher lows, and a breakout above 1.1592 could open the path toward the 1.1765 resistance zone. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● A weaker-than-expected US ISM Services report triggered USD selling, while hawkish ECB remarks from Nagel supported euro recovery. ● Markets are pricing in fewer Fed hikes as job data cools, reducing dollar appeal and favoring EUR upside. ✨ Summary Long bias above 1.1446. Breakout targets 1.1592 ➜ 1.1765. Setup valid while structure holds above prior resistance-turned-support. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
6
EURUSD – Retest in Play After NFP Reversal?EURUSD started last week with a heavy bearish tone, dropping 200 pips on Monday alone — which is quite a move for such a typically stable pair. After a brief consolidation around the neckline support of the recent double top, sellers came back in, pushing the pair down to 1.1400 by Friday — a level I highlighted in my previous analysis. But then came NFP... The weak jobs data triggered a sharp bullish reversal, and the euro took off like a rocket. By the weekly close, the pair had rallied all the way back to the neckline zone, now acting as potential resistance. ________________________________________ 🔍 Technical Outlook: This area around 1.1550–1.1590 could now serve as a retest of the broken structure. • 🔽 A rejection here, followed by a break back below 1.1500, would confirm the bearish scenario and open the door for a move toward 1.1200, the next major support. • 📌 On the flip side, a sustained move above the neckline would invalidate the double top — and put bulls back in control. ________________________________________ Conclusion: Watching for sell signals around the neckline makes technical sense — but confirmation is key. The reaction early this week will likely set the tone for the next major swing. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
4
EURUSD – price retest in motion, will the selloff resume?After a decisive break below key support, EURUSD is now retesting that zone in a classic break–retest setup. While familiar to many traders, this structure can be deceptive if the reaction is misread. Currently, price action remains cautious. Buyers have pushed price back toward the former support – now acting as resistance – but we haven’t seen any strong bullish candle closes. If clear rejection signals emerge (such as a bearish engulfing candle or increasing downside momentum), EURUSD is likely to resume its decline toward TP1 at the Fibonacci extension near 1.1288, or even further down to TP2 at the 1.618 extension. On the flip side, a convincing break and hold above 1.1580 would invalidate the short-term bearish outlook. That would signal a potential shift in market sentiment – and flexibility will be key. I’m currently waiting for more confirmation. What about you – how are you reading this reaction? Let me know your take in the comments!
Short
by Alexx_Bui
5
EURUSD fails to develop short-term bullish. Here is whyEURUSD fails to develop short-term bullish. Here is why On August 1 the market received NFP report data. Numbers were so low that EURUSD has rocketed on 1.22% right immediately after publishing. The probability of a September reduction in interest rates is now estimated at approximately 94%, according to CME Fedwatch, up from 63% last week. Market analysts anticipate at least two quarter-point cuts by the end of the year. The odds increased following the release of disappointing non-farm payrolls data on August 1, which caused a decline in stock markets and led to Trump's reaction, firing the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics and promising to replace her within a short timeframe. Still, the pair has failed to develop on August 1 bullish momentum and is currently pulling back from the local resistance of 1.15800. If the price fails to hold the EMA20 on 4-h timeframe, then the decline towards 1.14000 is expected.
Short
by ProfessorSingapore
2
EUR/USD - Bearish Outlook (05.08.2025)The EUR/USD Pair on the H4 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Days. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.1400 2nd Support – 1.1300 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
2
EURUSD – Bearish pullback in play ? EURUSD has broken the ascending trendline and dropped below the EMA confluence, confirming a bearish structure. The current rebound is testing the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci zone, but weak buying pressure and rejection candles suggest it’s likely just a technical pullback. If momentum holds, the pair may resume its downtrend toward 1.1400 and potentially 1.1296. The bears remain in control unless strong fundamentals shift the balance.
Short
by Kevinn_Nguyen
CADJPY - Wave C Near Completion: Big Drop Coming!We’ve been tracking CADJPY for years, and price has followed Elliott Wave structure almost perfectly. In mid‑2024, an ending diagonal signalled the top and kicked off a major bearish impulse. That drop formed wave A of the current ABC correction. Wave B completed in late 2024, and price is now in wave C -pushing toward the 50–61.8 % Fibonacci retracement, which marks our sell zone. We’ll be watching for a trendline to form into this zone. A clean break of that trendline will be our trigger to enter shorts. Trade Idea: - Watch for rejection in the 50–61.8 % sell zone - Aggressive entry: Inside sell zone with stops above rejection - Conservative entry: On break of trendline, stops above the break candle Targets: TP1: 101.5 (1000pips) TP2: 95 ( 1650pips) Optional: Leave a runner for a long-term swing See below for our previous CADJPY setups: Swing 1: Swing 2: Swing 3: Swing 4: Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
by WicktatorFX
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?The price has rejected off the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 1.1584 1st Support: 1.1406 1st Resistance: 1.1715 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
EURUSD Will Move Lower! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.156. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.140 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
EURUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W32 | D5 | Y25📊 EURUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W32 | D5 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FX:EURUSD CHART UPDATE !!!!!
Long
by JCFRGNT
EURUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W32 | D4 | Y25📊 EURUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W32 | D4 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FX:EURUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
Bearish reversal off 50% Fibonacci resistance?The Fiber is reacting off the pivot, which acts as an overlap resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 1.1691 1st Support: 1.1391 1st Resistance: 1.1811 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
The Fiber H4 | Bullish riseEUR/USD has bounced off the support level, which serves as a pullback support and could potentially rise from this level to our take-profit target. Buy entry is at 1.1585, which is a pullback support. Stop loss is at 1.1455, which is a pullback support. Take profit is at 1.1702, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
Bullish rise?EUR/USD has reacted off the support level and could potentially rise from this level to our takeprofit. Entry: 1.1535 Why we like it: There is a pullback support. Stop loss: 1.1405 Why we like it: There is a swing low support. Take profit: 1.1684 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
EURUSD: tariffs impact?The previous week was a very intensive one when it comes to US macro data. Certainly, the most important weekly event was the FOMC meeting, where the Fed left interest rates unchanged at current levels. As per information by Fed Chair Powell, the economy is in a solid condition. Growth is at a moderate pace, with some decrease due to decrease in consumer spending. Although inflation remains relatively near to the targeted level of 2%, still, there are some indications of its modest pick-up, as a reflection of implemented tariffs. The Fed will continue further to balance interest rates based on “the incoming data, the evolving outlook and the balance of risks”. The full effects of implemented tariffs is to be seen in the future period, but there are Fed expectations that these effects might be a one-time effect on inflation. Fed Chair Powell did not provide a clear answer regarding the potential cut of interest rates in September. On the other hand, the bulk of important macro data was released during the previous week, providing some insight to investors that the economy is starting to see the effects of tariffs, but also increasing their expectations that the rate cut might occur in September. The week started with JOLTs Job Openings data for June, which reached 7.437M and were lower from expected 7,55M. The GDP Growth Rate estimate for Q2 is 3% for the quarter, which was better from forecasted 2,4%. The PCE Price Index in June reached 0,3% for the month and 2,6% for the year. At the same time, the core PCE was also standing at 0,3% in June. Personal Income increased by 0,3% in June, while Personal Spending also reached 0,3% in the same period. Huge weekly surprises were the Non-farm payrolls which were increased by 73K in July, well below market estimate of 110K. The unemployment rate modestly increased to the level of 4,2% in July from 4,1% posted previously. Friday brought the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment final for July at the level of 61,7 which was fully in line with market expectations. The five years inflation expectations were further decreased to the level of 3,4% from previous 4%. Data posted for the Euro Zone include the GDP Growth rate estimate for Q2 of 0,1% for the quarter and 1,4% on a yearly basis. Both figures were higher from estimated 0% q/q and 1,2% y/y. The GDP Growth Rate in Germany in Q2 was standing in the negative territory of -0,1% for the quarter and +0,4% on a yearly basis. The inflation rate in Germany preliminary for July was standing at 0,3% for the month and 2% y/y. The inflation rate flash in July in the Euro Zone was 2%, just a bit higher from market estimate of 1,9%. The core inflation reached 2,3%. The week full of important macro data guaranteed higher volatility in the value of the U.S. Dollar. During the first half of the week, markets favored the USD, which reached the highest value against the euro at 1,14. However, Friday trading session and the release of surprisingly weak NFP data, brought the value of currency pair back toward the 1,1586 level. The RSI modestly touched the level of 31 and swiftly turned back toward the 48. Clear oversold market side has not been reached on this occasion. The MA 50 slowed down its divergence from MA200, but with a still large distance between the two lines, the cross is not in the store for some time. Markets will use the week ahead to digest all the data posted during the previous week. For the US there are no currently important data scheduled for a release, in which sense, market moves could be much calmer. During the previous week, the support line at 1,14 has been tested, however, the 1,16 resistance is pending clear testing. In this sense, it is possible that the market will start the week ahead with a move toward the 1,16 level, heading toward 1,650 eventually 1,1680. At this moment on charts there is a lower probability for 1,17 levels. A move toward the down side is also probable, where 1,15 is currently marked on charts. Important news to watch during the week ahead are: EUR: Retail Sales in June in the Euro Zone, Balance of Trade in June in Germany, Industrial Production in June in Germany, USD: ISM Services PMI in July.
by XBTFX
EURUSD Will Go Lower! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 1.158. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 1.153 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1