ECB Rate Cut Expected as EU Unveils €800B Defense PlanThe euro neared $1.08, a four-month high, as increased defense spending and borrowing strengthened Eurozone optimism. Germany’s CDU/CSU and SPD agreed to exceed 1% of GDP in defense spending and create a €500 billion off-budget fund. EU plans to mobilize €800 billion for defense, with €150 billion in loans and more fiscal flexibility. The ECB is expected to cut rates for the fifth time this week.
Key resistance is at 1.0840, followed by 1.0900 and 1.0950. Support stands at 1.0760, with further levels at 1.0700 and 1.0650.
EURUSD-2
EUR/USD Surges, but Is a Reversal Coming?After retesting the 1.0360 support during Monday’s Asian session open, EUR/USD reversed to the upside, reaching the 1.05 resistance zone.
The pair then broke above this level, surging higher and reaching the 1.08 zone, surpassing the 1.0780 resistance.
Currently, the pair is consolidating above this level. However, since the DXY is sitting on strong support with a high chance of reversal, this breakout could turn out to be a false one.
If the price drops back below the 1.0780 zone, it would confirm a false breakout, potentially leading to a decline toward the 1.06 support level.
In conclusion, I’m waiting for confirmation to enter short positions.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
USD Index Drops Sharply – Watching for Reversal SignalsSo far, it has been a rough week for the USD, with the index dropping from the 107 zone to 104 and breaking below the key 106 support level.
However, the DXY is currently seated on strong support, and a relief rally could be imminent.
I’m closely watching for signs of a reversal for confirmation while keeping an eye for short trades on EUR/USD and GBP/USD.
EUR/USD Long Utilizing 1H FVGSince Sunday March 2nd 2025 EU has been on an uptrend. A FVG formed on the 1 hour timeframe at 4am eastern time. It was then triggered/retested between the hours of 6 and 7am eastern time. The profit targets were determined by past buy side liquidity that hadn't been touched yet.
"Gold (XAU/USD) Forming Inverse Head & Shoulders – Bullish BreakThis chart represents the technical analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe. Here are the key insights:
### **1. Head and Shoulders Pattern:**
- The chart suggests a possible **inverse head and shoulders** formation.
- **Left Shoulder:** Marked at a recent price dip.
- **Head:** A lower dip indicating a strong support level.
- **Right Shoulder:** Expected to form at a slightly higher level than the left shoulder.
- This pattern is **bullish**, indicating a potential price reversal to the upside if the neckline (resistance level) is broken.
### **2. Bearish Flag & Downtrend Resistance:**
- A **bearish flag** is drawn on the chart, showing a downward sloping channel.
- The price is currently trying to break out of this downtrend.
- A successful breakout above this resistance could lead to bullish momentum.
### **3. Key Levels:**
- **Major Resistance:** **$2,952.784** (Highlighted in red).
- **EMA 200 Support:** **$2,899.278** (The blue moving average line).
- **Current Price:** **$2,908.690**
- **Main Support Area:** The green trendline supports the potential right shoulder.
### **4. Possible Market Movement:**
- The red arrows suggest a **bullish breakout** scenario.
- The price may test support around the green trendline before pushing higher.
- If the inverse head and shoulders pattern plays out, the price could move toward the **$2,950+** resistance.
### **5. Conclusion:**
- **Bullish Scenario:** If price breaks above the neckline, it could continue towards **$2,950 - $2,960**.
- **Bearish Scenario:** If price fails to hold the right shoulder support, it may drop back toward **$2,880 - $2,860**.
By KingProTrader
Euro/Usd (Mar/06) for rest of the weekHello eveyone.
as you can see price at golden pocket (high to low).alos near cpr Monthly R3 .
I know it's scary to sell at thi moment but this is what i see in chart.
......................................
( This is an idea and entry-tp-sl placed for my own trade , you can change entry-tp-sl depends on your risk management )
EURUSD H4 | Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently testing our sell entry at 1.0808 that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit will be at 1.0651, a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.0933, which is a swing high resistance level.
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EUR/USD is facing a very strong resistance zone EUR/USD Short Trade Plan
The idea is to short EUR/USD from a high resistance zone, anticipating a price rejection and reversal.
Key Trade Levels:
Resistance Zone (Entry Area): The market has reached a strong resistance zone between 1.08498 and 1.08992, making it an ideal entry area for short trades.
Stop Loss: Placed above the resistance at 1.10368 to minimize risk in case of a breakout.
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 1.06943 (First level of expected support)
TP2: 1.06655 (Deeper support level)
TP3: 1.05785 - 1.05654 (Strong support zone)
Market Outlook & Strategy:
Bearish Bias: The recent sharp upward move suggests exhaustion, making a pullback likely.
Confirmation: A rejection from the resistance zone will provide confirmation before entering short trades.
Risk Management: A controlled risk-to-reward ratio with a stop loss above the resistance ensures a calculated approach.
This trade aims to capitalize on a potential reversal after a strong bullish rally, targeting key support levels for profit-taking.
OANDA:EURUSD FOREXCOM:EURUSD CAPITALCOM:EURUSD FOREXCOM:EURUSD
DXY Weakens, EUR/USD Breaks Out BullishThe DXY has broken its bullish trendline and a key support area. It is now approaching the next support level on the daily timeframe. Similarly, EUR/USD has broken out above its falling wedge pattern, signaling a bullish move for the euro. Consider buying EUR/USD and riding the trend until it reaches the resistance level.
XAU/USD Analysis & Market Insights📉 Bearish Context & Key Resistance Levels:
Major Resistance at 2,934.00
Strong supply zone where price has previously rejected.
Multiple tests of this area indicate seller pressure.
Short-term Resistance at 2,920-2,925
Price is consolidating near this zone.
A rejection could lead to a downward move.
📈 Bullish Context & Key Support Levels:
Support at 2,846.88 - 2,832.72 (Demand Zone)
Strong reaction zone where buyers stepped in.
Previous price action suggests liquidity in this area.
Deeper Support at 2,720-2,680
If 2,832 breaks, this is the next key demand area.
Aligned with moving averages, adding confluence.
📉 Current Market Outlook:
Price recently bounced from the 2,846-2,832 support, showing buyers’ presence.
However, the 2,920-2,925 area is acting as resistance.
If the price fails to break higher, a move back toward 2,846 or even 2,720 is possible.
📈 Potential Trading Setups:
🔻 Short Setup (Bearish Bias):
Entry: Below 2,920 after a clear rejection.
Target 1: 2,846
Target 2: 2,832, with possible extension to 2,720.
Stop Loss: Above 2,935 to avoid fakeouts.
🔼 Long Setup (Bullish Scenario):
Entry: Break and hold above 2,934.00 with confirmation.
Target 1: 2,960
Target 2: 3,000+
Stop Loss: Below 2,915 to minimize risk.
📰 Fundamental Analysis & Market Drivers
1️⃣ US ISM Services PMI & ADP Jobs Report:
The ISM Services PMI increased to 53.5, signaling stronger services inflation and employment.
However, the ADP Employment Report showed a disappointing 77K jobs, far below the expected 140K, weighing on the USD.
2️⃣ Trump’s Tariffs & USD Weakness:
Trump announced massive tariffs on trade partners, affecting risk sentiment.
While he downplayed negative effects, US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick hinted at potential tariff rollbacks, boosting risk appetite.
This weakened the USD, allowing gold to rise.
3️⃣ Upcoming ECB Decision:
The ECB is expected to cut rates by 25 bps on Thursday, which could further impact market sentiment and gold’s direction.
If the rate cut weakens the EUR, gold could see more upside.
📌 Final Thoughts:
2,920-2,925 remains a key resistance for short-term direction.
A break above 2,934 could signal bullish continuation.
A rejection from current levels could push price back toward 2,846 or lower.
Fundamentals favor gold's strength as the USD weakens due to poor job data and trade uncertainty.
🚀 Key Decision Zone: Watch price action near 2,920-2,925!
EUR_USD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅EUR_USD will be retesting a resistance level soon at 1.0824
From where I am expecting a bearish reaction
With the price going down but we need
To wait for a reversal pattern to form
Before entering the trade, so that we
Get a higher success probability of the trade
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
EURUSD BUY...hello friends
As you can see, the price is correcting and we have identified its important supports for you.
Each of the supports is very important and we expect a reaction from each of them...
So here we can give you two suggestions:
1_React on any trade support (buy in low time and get fast)
2- In the 4 specified support areas, open a purchase transaction step by step, which is the same way we suggest to you.
*Trade safely with us*
**Trade Setup:** - **Pair:** EUR/USD
### **Trade Setup:**
- **Pair:** EUR/USD
- **Current Price:** **1.06768**
- **Support Level:** **1.06520**
- **Resistance Level:** **1.07220**
- **Target (TP):** **1.07735**
- **Stop-Loss (SL):** **1.06225**
- **50 EMA:** To be used as dynamic support for trade confirmation.
---
### **Technical Analysis & Strategy:**
1. **Trend Confirmation:**
- If the **price is above the 50 EMA**, it suggests an uptrend and supports the long trade.
- If the price is below the 50 EMA, consider **waiting** for confirmation before entering.
2. **Entry Strategy:**
- Enter **long near 1.06768** if price remains above the **50 EMA** or if it retests support at **1.06520** and bounces.
- Ideal confirmation: **Bullish candlestick pattern (e.g., engulfing, pin bar) near support or EMA.**
3. **Resistance & Take Profit Strategy:**
- First resistance at **1.07220** – Consider partial profit-taking or moving SL to breakeven.
- Final target at **1.07735**.
4. **Stop-Loss & Risk Management:**
- **SL set at 1.06225**, giving a **risk of 54.3 pips**.
- **Reward of 96.7 pips to TP**, yielding a **Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) of ~1.78:1** (acceptable).
- Risk per trade should be limited to **1-2% of account balance**.
5. **Trade Management:**
- If price moves in favor, **trail stop to secure profits** (e.g., move SL to **1.06850** if price reaches 1.07220).
- If price breaks below 50 EMA and **closes below support (1.06520)**, consider exiting early.
---
### **Additional Considerations:**
✔ **Check news/events** that could impact EUR/USD (e.g., Fed, ECB, NFP, CPI reports).
✔ Monitor **DXY (US Dollar Index)** – A strong USD could push EUR/USD down.
✔ Ensure **liquidity and volatility** are optimal (best during London/New York sessions).
EURUSD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The market is trading on 1.0707 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.0572
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.0774
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD Bullish Surge: Targeting 1.1000 with 200+ Pips GainEURUSD is currently trading at 1.0700, moving exactly as predicted and showing strong bullish momentum toward the 1.1000 target. The pair has gained significant traction, with price action aligning with technical expectations for a 200+ pip rally. If this momentum continues, EURUSD could push higher, testing key resistance levels before reaching its final target.
From a technical standpoint, the bullish structure remains intact, supported by strong price action and increased buying pressure. A break above minor resistance levels near 1.0800 could accelerate the move toward 1.1000. Traders should monitor volume and price action confirmations to ensure sustained bullish momentum, while also keeping an eye on potential retracements for re-entry opportunities.
Fundamentally, the euro’s strength is driven by market expectations surrounding the European Central Bank’s (ECB) monetary policy, as well as potential weakness in the US dollar. If the Federal Reserve signals a dovish stance or weaker economic data emerges from the US, the dollar could see further declines, supporting EURUSD’s bullish move. Additionally, any positive Eurozone economic data could further fuel the rally.
In summary, EURUSD is following its projected bullish path, with 1.1000 as the next key target. Traders should watch for continued bullish confirmations while staying cautious of economic events that could impact the pair’s momentum. With technical and fundamental factors aligning, the pair remains well-positioned for further upside.
EURJPY IS GETTING STRONGE OR WEAK ? DETAILED ANALYSISEURJPY has successfully broken out of the falling wedge pattern, hitting the projected target of 160.000 and delivering significant profits. This breakout confirmed a strong bullish reversal, allowing traders to capitalize on a deep profit opportunity. The falling wedge is a classic bullish pattern, and its breakout was accompanied by increasing momentum, pushing the pair higher in a sustained rally. With price action playing out as expected, traders who entered early have already locked in substantial gains.
From a technical perspective, EURJPY’s bullish structure remains intact, with strong support now forming around the 158.000–159.000 range. If the price consolidates above this level, we could see further upside potential beyond 160.000. However, traders should watch for any retracements or potential resistance at key psychological levels. If bullish momentum continues, the next targets could extend toward 162.000 or higher, depending on market conditions.
Fundamentally, EURJPY’s movement is heavily influenced by central bank policies. The European Central Bank’s (ECB) stance on interest rates, coupled with the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) continued monetary easing, has contributed to yen weakness and euro strength. Additionally, risk sentiment in the market plays a crucial role—any shift toward a more risk-on environment will likely support further bullish moves in EURJPY. As the pair remains in an uptrend, traders should monitor key economic events and price action signals to maximize their profit potential.
Why GBPJPY is Bullish? Detailed Technicals and fundamentalsGBPJPY has successfully broken out of a falling wedge pattern, signaling a strong bullish momentum ahead. The breakout confirms a potential trend reversal, with buyers stepping in to push the price higher. Currently trading around 191.500, the pair is expected to gain over 500 pips, targeting the 198.500 level. A falling wedge breakout is typically a bullish continuation signal, and with increasing buying pressure, GBPJPY could see a steady upward move in the coming sessions.
From a technical standpoint, this breakout suggests that the pair has overcome a period of consolidation and is now positioned for an extended rally. Key resistance levels ahead will be 193.000 and 195.000 before reaching the 198.500 target. A strong bullish candlestick confirmation above these levels will add more confidence to this setup. Traders should also watch for retests of the breakout zone, as they often provide good entry opportunities before further upside movement.
On the fundamental side, GBPJPY is influenced by Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) ultra-loose monetary policy and the UK’s economic outlook. If the BoJ continues to maintain its dovish stance, the Japanese yen may weaken further, providing additional fuel for GBPJPY's bullish run. Additionally, any positive economic data from the UK, such as strong GDP growth or inflation control, could support further gains. Given the technical breakout and fundamental factors, GBPJPY looks well-positioned for a strong rally toward 198.500 in the near term.
EURO - Price can make correction, after strong movement upHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few days ago price entered a flat, where it at once declined to support level, which coincided with support area.
The price entered this area and then started to grow, so EUR rose to $1.0520 points in a short time.
After this movement, Euro turned around and fell to $1.0215 support level again, making a strong gap.
Next, price turned around and in a short time rose to $1.0520 level and some time traded near it.
Later, price broke this level and rose until to $1.0720 points, but recently it turned around and started to fall.
So, I think that the Euro can make a correction movement to $1.0525 support area, after movement up.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
EUR/USD : Get Ready for a Huge Sell Position! (READ CAPTION)By analyzing the EUR/USD chart on the three-day timeframe, we can see that the price has started to rise following the sharp decline in the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). Currently, it is attempting to fill the identified Fair Value Gap (FVG).
The key supply zone is located between 1.08300 and 1.09380. Traders can look for a suitable sell trigger within this range for potential short positions.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban