Gold - New All Time High in the making?market context and trend environment
This 4-hour chart of Gold (XAU/USD) from OANDA illustrates a strong impulsive structure within a broader bullish trend. Following a sharp upward movement that broke through previous structure, gold formed a swing high before entering a corrective phase. The market has since pulled back and appears to be stabilizing near a zone of high confluence, suggesting potential for a renewed move to the upside. Price has respected key retracement levels, reinforcing the technical strength of this zone.
fair value gap and fibonacci confluence
A notable feature of this setup is the alignment between a visible fair value gap and the Fibonacci golden pocket zone, comprising the 0.618–0.65 retracement levels. This convergence of technical tools adds weight to the significance of the support zone around the 3,280–3,300 region. Fair value gaps represent inefficiencies in the market caused by strong institutional participation, while the golden pocket is historically known for acting as a magnet for reversals within trending markets. The presence of both in the same area increases the likelihood of price reacting positively here.
liquidity sweep and structural reaction
Before revisiting this key demand zone, price briefly swept below a local low, which may have served as a liquidity grab to fuel the next bullish leg. This liquidity sweep is followed by a sharp reaction, suggesting that downside pressure may have been absorbed by aggressive buyers positioned at the FVG and golden pocket. Price has since rebounded, and the subsequent price action shows a gradual formation of higher lows, hinting at a shift in short-term order flow back in favor of buyers.
projection and bullish scenario
The chart projects a potential bullish continuation move, with a series of higher lows anticipated to form en route to a break of structure above recent swing highs. Multiple buy-side liquidity levels (BSL) are marked, representing areas where buy stops are likely to be clustered. These zones offer clear targets for bullish expansion. The blue arrowed projection outlines a methodical stair-step advance, respecting interim levels before ultimately attempting to reach the prior high near 3,530.
strategic framework and trader insight
This chart offers a methodical roadmap for bullish continuation, rooted in the smart money framework of liquidity, inefficiency, and institutional order flow. The confluence between the fair value gap and Fibonacci retracement is particularly notable and serves as a key validation area for bullish traders. Rather than anticipating immediate breakout behavior, the projection emphasizes a progressive structure that aligns with how larger players tend to accumulate positions before moving the market. Patience and alignment with structure are emphasized as price prepares for a potential continuation move higher.
Eurusd-3
BTC - Accumulation, Manipulation & Distributioncurrent market structure
this btcusdt 1-hour chart illustrates a classic three-phase market structure: accumulation, manipulation, and potential distribution. the price action follows a strong bullish impulse, after which the market enters a sideways range suggesting absorption of previous selling pressure. this kind of behavior is often observed before a continuation of the prevailing trend, but not without intermediate structural games, as seen in the projected manipulation phase.
accumulation phase
the blue highlighted zone marks a consolidation range that serves as an accumulation phase. during this stage, large market participants likely accumulate positions quietly while maintaining the price within a defined range. the tight price action within this zone and relatively small candles are consistent with market absorption, where supply is being matched or outpaced by demand. the repeated rejections of lower prices in this range imply growing buyer interest and strength building beneath the surface.
unfilled fair value gap
beneath the accumulation range lies an unfilled fair value gap (fvg), shown in grey. this price imbalance was left behind during the prior bullish leg and remains a magnet for price action. such gaps often attract price as the market seeks efficiency by mitigating unbalanced areas. the presence of this fvg makes it a likely candidate for a liquidity grab or retest before further bullish continuation.
manipulation setup
the red path outlines a possible short-term manipulation event. this move involves a quick sweep of liquidity beneath the accumulation zone, triggering stop-losses from late long entries and drawing price into the fvg. this is a classic “spring” or “shakeout” scenario designed to trap sellers and create panic, thereby enabling larger players to enter at discounted prices. the manipulation tag here signals a deliberate attempt to create false downside conviction before reversing upward.
re-accumulation and breakout
following the manipulation phase, the green projection shows a sharp reversal and aggressive push upward, initiating a new bullish leg. this move represents re-accumulation, where price quickly exits the range and enters an expansion phase. momentum will likely increase after price breaks back above the original range high, signaling confidence in the trend continuation and drawing in breakout traders. the large green area indicates the expected path toward a new distribution zone.
distribution projection
at the top of the chart, the green box represents a possible future distribution zone. after an extended bullish run, price often enters distribution, where buying interest begins to wane, and larger participants start offloading positions into retail strength. although speculative at this point, its placement reflects the natural progression of a market cycle if the projected bullish move plays out.
market psychology
this chart reflects a clear sequence in market psychology: stealth accumulation, a manufactured dip to create fear (manipulation), followed by a surge fueled by both institutional entries and retail breakout traders. understanding this dynamic helps traders anticipate rather than react, positioning themselves in alignment with likely intent rather than emotional impulses.
summary
the chart outlines a structured bullish scenario with a potential manipulation wick into an unfilled fvg, setting the stage for a continuation higher. if price reacts strongly off the fvg and regains the range, confirmation of bullish intent would be established. this setup emphasizes the importance of understanding liquidity dynamics and price inefficiencies, favoring patient and strategic entries over reactive ones.
BTC - Bulls vs Bears! Who will win?current market context
the chart displays btcusdt on the 1-hour timeframe, currently in a consolidation phase following a strong impulsive move to the upside. this phase is characterized by a range-bound price action forming a horizontal channel, with clear resistance near the top of the range and support near the bottom. the price is fluctuating between these two levels, indicating temporary equilibrium in the market where neither buyers nor sellers have established dominance.
consolidation structure
this range is acting as a reaccumulation zone, typically formed after a significant move when the market pauses to either absorb liquidity or distribute orders before the next impulsive leg. within this range, traders are positioning themselves for a potential breakout, and institutional players may be accumulating or offloading large positions depending on market intent. the balance within the range suggests that market participants are awaiting a catalyst before committing in size to a direction.
bullish breakout scenario
if price breaks above the range high, it would signal bullish continuation. such a breakout would likely occur with increased volume and a strong momentum candle, confirming buyer interest and initiating an expansion move. this move could target new highs, potentially opening the path toward all-time highs as the breakout clears short-term liquidity and invalidates local bearish structures. the green projection on the chart visually outlines this potential path, where the breakout leads to higher prices with minimal resistance above.
bearish breakout scenario
alternatively, a breakdown below the range low would indicate a shift in short-term market sentiment and a break in bullish structure. this scenario would likely trigger sell-side liquidity and initiate a quick move toward lower fair value gaps. these gaps, left unmitigated during the previous bullish rally, now serve as potential targets for price to fill. the red arrow illustrates a scenario where price pierces below support, accelerates lower, and seeks inefficiencies and demand zones around the \$98,000–\$95,500 levels. this breakdown would likely be sharp, driven by stop-loss triggers and sell-side imbalances.
range as a decision zone
the current structure represents a critical decision zone. the upper and lower boundaries are pivotal breakout levels, and the outcome of this consolidation will determine the short- to medium-term market direction. traders should exercise caution while price remains within the range, as fakeouts or liquidity sweeps are common near such levels. confirmed structure breaks and volume surges should serve as validation tools before entering directional trades.
liquidity and volume considerations
liquidity resting above and below the range acts as fuel for the eventual move. the longer the range holds, the more liquidity builds on either side, increasing the probability of a strong expansion when price finally breaks out. volume analysis will be key in validating the breakout’s legitimacy—without accompanying volume, the breakout could fail and result in a false move or whipsaw.
summary
this setup provides a high-probability environment for breakout traders and those waiting to trade the trend continuation or reversal. the market is compressing within a well-defined range, and a decisive breakout is likely imminent. preparation, not prediction, is the priority—wait for confirmation of structure shift and volume expansion before committing to either side.
HelenP. I Euro may break resistance level and rise to trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. If we look at the chart, we can see how the price a long period of slow decline, finally showing early signs of potential reversal. The price has been moving inside a falling wedge pattern, consistently testing lower highs and lower lows. But now, after touching the lower boundary of the structure and reacting near the 1.1200 zone, buyers have stepped in with notable strength. This level aligns not only with the wedge’s base but also with a previous support zone, which adds weight to the current move. The first reaction was sharp, the price rebounded confidently, and started forming higher local lows. That suggests the bearish momentum is weakening, while the structure itself points toward a possible breakout. If the Euro continues to build this upward momentum, it could break through the 1.1285 - 1.1300 resistance zone, which has already acted as a ceiling multiple times. That zone now becomes the key pivot for the next phase of the movement. Given the wedge structure, price behavior near support, and the current momentum, I expect EURUSD may reach the trend line, breaking the resistance level, and continue to grow to the trend line. That's why I set my goal at 1.1320 points, which coincides with the trend line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
EUR/USD Bearish Setup: QM + Breakout Play Targeting Demand Zone!Hello guys!
I think eurusd is bearish! why?
A Range: Market consolidated in a tight horizontal range before breaking out.
QM Pattern: A lower high and lower low structure indicates potential for a trend reversal.
Neckline Break: Bearish confirmation with a strong break and close below neckline support.
Retest Zone: Price is now revisiting the QM supply zone, offering a high-probability short setup.
Bearish Projection: The next expected move is a drop toward the S&D (Support & Demand) zone between 1.12640 and 1.11900, which aligns with historical demand and previous accumulation.
________________________
🎯 Bearish Target Zone:
First TP: 1.12640
Final TP: 1.11900 - 1.12080 (Demand Zone)
My thoughts on EUR/USDSince January 31st, EUR/USD had been in a bullish trend--a bullish channel in the 4H and 1D. I knew we were about to break out of this bullish trend. I had been anticipating a very strong reversal for a while, given we recently retested the top of another stronger Trendline. A much more reliable channel. the channel I speak of is the 3M, 1M and 1W timeframe channels, they are bearish. We once again hit the resistance of this monthly channel, while, at the same time being in a bullish trend in the 4H and 1D timeframes. So obviously I presumed the 4H bullish trend would end and reverse-which it has and did. This monthly bearish channel has been active for 14-17 years and has perfectly retested the support and resistances numerous times--making it a valid A+ setup in my book. To further this, on the 4H-1D timeframes, while we were still inside this 4H bullish channel, we saw a perfect Head and Shoulders pattern and quickly got our confirmation when it crossed the neckline. All of this indicates we will see strong selling pressure very soon.
So, where are we headed exactly? Well we know that we have FVGs and strong Supports. key areas for TPs are 1.09, 1.06, and on the monthly as low as 0.82.
If you guys have any questions feel free to ask. And share your thoughts and opinions on EUR/USD--thanks :)
Example Short Orders
SL 1.137
Limit order 1.255
TP1 1.09
TP2 1.06
TP3 1.02
TP4 0.82
(Maybe i am wrong, but if I am it will be the first time in 17 years for EUR/USD.. I like the odds)
OANDA:EURUSD
EUR-USD Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD broke the horizontal
Level of 1.1300 which is now
A resistance and went down
So the breakout is confirmed
And now the pair is retesting
The resistance so as we are
Bearish biased we will be
Able to to enter a short trade
On Monday with the Take
Profit of 1.1197 and the
Stop Loss of 1.1311
Sell!
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NZDUSD - Elliott Wave Setup: Eyes on the Buy Zone!NZDUSD - 3D Chart Elliott Wave Outlook
We've been tracking NZDUSD over the years and each move continues to align with Elliott Wave Theory.
The current structure is unfolding as a large ABC corrective pattern.
- Wave A and the complex Wave B (WXY) are now complete.
- We're now in Wave C, and we expect it to target the highs of Wave A.
Recently, NZDUSD made a clear bullish impulse but has been consolidating for the past 3 weeks. This correction is likely to resolve with a bullish breakout.
We've marked a buy zone between the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci retracement levels, which we believe is the ideal entry area. We'll be watching this zone closely for lower timeframe bullish confirmations like a break of structure (BOS) or trendline break.
Trade Plan:
- Wait for price to enter the buy zone
- Look for bullish confirmations (BOS, trendline break)
- Enter after confirmation, with stops below the corrective lows
- Targets: 0.63 (500 pips), 0.65 (700 pips)
Goodluck and as always, Trade Safe!
EURUSD: Liquidity Grab & Bearish Outlook 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD broke and closed below a key daily horizontal
support cluster on a daily.
After a breakout, the broken structure turned into a strong resistance
and was retested.
I spotted a confirmed liquidity grab on an hourly time frame
and a consequent bearish imbalance candle.
Probabilities will be high that the price will drop
at least to 1.122
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BTC – One last pushmarket context and structure
This BTCUSDT 4-hour chart from BYBIT provides a broader perspective on BTC’s ongoing uptrend, emphasizing the role of fair value gaps in guiding price behavior. After a prolonged period of sideways action and consolidation, BTC initiates a sharp bullish impulse that breaks previous structure and introduces fresh momentum into the market. Each leg higher is followed by a corrective phase, during which multiple fair value gaps (FVGs) are formed. These FVGs serve as structural inefficiencies left by aggressive buying pressure and outline key zones of interest for future price interaction.
fair value gaps and institutional demand
The chart identifies three key FVGs that have influenced BTC’s price action. The lowest FVG, created during the initial breakout below the 89,000 zone, is the origin of this current bullish leg and reflects strong institutional involvement. The mid-level FVG, created as BTC pushed through the 94,000–96,000 region, marks another significant shift in order flow. The most recent FVG, created just prior to the most recent impulse, lies just beneath the 98,000 level and represents a more immediate zone of demand. Price is currently trading above this uppermost FVG, indicating that it may act as a reaccumulation zone if price retraces.
liquidity dynamics and continuation thesis
The projection drawn on the chart suggests a short-term retracement back into the upper FVG before a potential continuation higher. This idea is rooted in the expectation that institutional participants will revisit unfilled orders left within the FVG before driving price upward toward new liquidity pools. The light blue shaded zone indicates the potential target range for this continuation. The market has consistently respected prior FVGs, confirming their role as reliable demand zones and reinforcing the current bullish bias.
price behavior and structural clarity
BTC’s price action on this timeframe is characterized by impulse–correction cycles with clearly defined inefficiencies. Each impulse leaves behind an FVG, which is either fully or partially mitigated during pullbacks. The most recent bullish leg has created an unmitigated FVG directly beneath current price, suggesting that if a retracement occurs, it is likely to interact with this gap before continuing the upward trajectory. This behavioral pattern of clean imbalances followed by targeted mitigation is a strong indicator of organized institutional involvement in the market.
interpretation and tactical insight
The chart outlines a strategic approach to navigating BTC’s current bullish structure. Rather than entering impulsively, the analysis encourages waiting for price to retrace into identified imbalance zones where the probability of sustained movement is higher. Fair value gaps provide a roadmap for understanding where price is likely to react and continue. In this case, if BTC revisits the nearest FVG and holds that level, it sets the stage for continuation toward the 101,000–102,000 zone, in line with the drawn projection. The setup remains aligned with smart money trading methodology, where price is guided by liquidity and imbalance mechanics.
EURUSD: Growth & Bullish Forecast
The analysis of the EURUSD chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to go up due to the rising pressure from the buyers.
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EURUSD On The Rise! BUY!
My dear friends,
EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.1245 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.1307
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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EURUSD Will Go Down! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.125.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.114 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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EURUSD My Opinion! SELL!`
My dear subscribers,
EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.1357 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.1324
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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EUR/USD: Bearish Structure Intact — Lower Lows Ahead? (READ)By analyzing the #EURUSD chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around 1.136. If the price manages to stay below the 1.1414 level, we can expect further downside from this pair. The possible bearish targets are 1.128, 1.11480, and 1.10 respectively.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
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EURUSD Will Explode! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1278
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1344
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.1236
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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XAU/USD: Gold Regains Strength After Pullback – New Highs Ahead?By analyzing the gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that yesterday, as expected, gold surged above $3400, reaching as high as $3439 before facing strong selling pressure, dropping sharply to $3359.
Currently, gold is trading around $3385, and if the price can hold above $3366, we may expect further bullish momentum. I believe gold is setting up for another move above $3400, potentially aiming to break into new highs once again.
THE LATEST ANALYSIS :
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EUR/USD — Smart Money Concept (SMC) AnalysisStrategy Framework: SMC (CHOCH, POI, Supply/Demand Zones)
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Key Concepts on Chart
CHOCH (Change of Character)
Confirmed bullish CHOCH from higher timeframe demand zone (orange). Signals intent of bullish reversal.
✅ Strong Demand Zone (Yellow Box)
H4 demand zone holds — price swept liquidity below recent swing low and respected demand.
✅ Target Supply Zones (Marked in Yellow)
1st target: 1.1450 – 1.1500
2nd target: 1.1550 (High timeframe supply)
✅ Elliott Wave Context
Wave (4) completion + bullish impulse toward Wave (5) continuation possible — aligning with SMC bias.
Entry Idea:
> Long after confirmed CHOCH & mitigation of minor demand zone (~1.1240 – 1.1260)
Target 1:
> 1.1420–1.1450 Supply Zone
Target 2:
> 1.1500–1.1550 Higher Supply Zone
Invalidation (Stop Loss):
> Below major demand (
EURO - Price can break support level and continue to fallHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago price traded near $1.0835 level and then it made strong upward impulse, breaking this level.
Then it continued to move up inside an upward pennant, where it reached the next support level, which broke soon too.
After this movement, it reached the resistance line of the pennant and then corrected the support line.
Euro tried to grow more, but failed and started to decline inside falling channel, exiting from pennant pattern.
In falling channel, price declined to $1.1200 support level and then turn around and start to move up.
I think that Euro can grow a little and then fall to $1.1065 support line of channel, breaking support level.
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EUR_USD MOVE DOWN IS LIKELY|SHORT|
✅EUR_USD is retesting a
Horizontal resistance level
Around 1.1280 and we are
Locally bearish biased we
Will be expecting a pullback
And a local move down
On Monday
SHORT🔥
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USD/JPY : More Bullish Move Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the USD/JPY chart on the daily timeframe, we can see that the price moved exactly as expected — first correcting down to the 142.5 area, and then rallying strongly to hit the 146.2 target. Currently, this pair is trading around 145.2, and if the price can hold above 145, we can still expect further upside movement on USDJPY. The next potential targets are 148.7 and 150 respectively. This analysis will be updated. The total return of this analysis so far has been over 720 pips!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban