EURUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.1104, which is a pullback resistance and a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit will be at 1.1046, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be at 1.1143, an overlap resistance level close to 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Eurusd-3
EURUSD: Bearish momentum remains strong!Hello everyone! Today, let's review the EURUSD pair's performance last week and discuss suitable strategies for the current trend with Conan!
Currently, EURUSD is stuck in a downtrend, with the price trading below the important support zone of 1.1125 and currently hovering around 1.1115. Notably, the pair is still below the two important EMAs 34 and 89, suggesting that any recovery attempt will face strong resistance zones indicated on the chart.
The bearish outlook for EURUSD remains high as the long-term trend is still biased to the downside, with the short-term target towards 1.1090. Given the current technical situation, the possibility of further decline is quite high, but of course, everything is possible.
What about you? Do you think EURUSD will continue to decline today? Let's analyze and discuss the most appropriate strategy for this market!
EURUSD: Bearish reversal if the 1D MA50 breaks.EURUSD is on the lower levels of neutrality on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 46.772, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 17.817) as it reversed aggressively on the 1.12100 R1 level, forming what is so far a DT (double top) on a 1month 1D RSI bearish divergence. The same divergence was formed on the December 28th 2024 HH and it caused a decline to the 0.618 Fibonacci level. The trigger point to sell is always the 1D MA50. Consequently, we will turn bearish if it is crossed, aiming at the 0.618 Fib (TP = 1.08350).
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EURUSD: Local Correction Ahead! Sell!
Welcome to our daily EURUSD prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 1.10261
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
XAU/USD : Be Ready for Another Correction! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that yesterday, as expected, the price finally dropped to $2624. After reaching this key demand level, it experienced a bullish move and has risen over 250 pips to $2650 so far. The $2651 to $2656 range is a key supply zone, and I expect a price correction once it reaches this area. Keep an eye on the price reaction at this level! (This analysis will be updated)
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Euro can reach seller zone and then rebound downHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. By observing the chart, we can see that the price some days ago started to decline from the resistance level inside the downward channel. In channel, the price rebounded from the resistance line of the channel and dropped to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and support line of the channel. Then the price made a fake breakout of 1.1050 level and then rebounded up, thereby exiting from the downward channel and then turned around and started to decline inside the wedge. EUR dropped to the support line of the wedge, breaking the support level, but soon it started to grow and rose back and broke this level again. Then price continued to grow in a wedge, and later reached the resistance line, after which made a correction below. EUR fell to the support line of the wedge and then in a short time rose to the resistance line of the wedge, but soon turned around and declined back. A not long time ago price repeated movement up from the support line and at the moment it trades very close to the resistance level. So, I think that the price can rise to the seller zone and then it turn around and fall to support line of the wedge. That's why I set my TP at 1.1155 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EUR/USD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/USD pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly rising on the 1H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 1.114 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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EUR/USD Rate Accelerates Decline Following European Inflation NeEUR/USD Rate Accelerates Decline Following European Inflation News
According to the Eurostat data released today:
→ Core CPI Flash Estimate (YoY): actual = 2.7%, expected = 2.7%, previous = 2.8%;
→ CPI Flash Estimate (YoY): actual = 1.8%, expected = 1.8%, previous = 2.2%.
This news, coupled with yesterday’s statements from the Fed Chair, led to the EUR/USD rate dropping by over 1% from yesterday’s high.
Could the downward trend continue?
Technical analysis of the EUR/USD chart shows that:
→ In the second half of September, bullish sentiment dominated, resulting in the formation of an ascending channel (shown in blue). However, near the key resistance at 1.1200 (drawn from the August peak), the bullish momentum faded, and the price entered a range between 1.1200 and 1.1122.
→ The bearish momentum that started from yesterday’s peak (B) is developing strongly. The price has broken both the lower boundary of the 1.1122 range and the lower boundary of the blue channel. Moreover, it has dropped below 1.1108, approximately the 50% retracement of the A→B rise.
This suggests that the first day of October could see bulls losing much of the gains from the previous month. A glimmer of hope for them may lie in the psychological support at 1.1080.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Levels discussed on Livestream (1st October)1st October
DXY: If price can break 101, could trade up to 101.40 (61.8% area)
NZDUSD: Sell 0.6290 SL 20 TP 40
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6885 SL 20 TP 60
GBPUSD: Sell 1.3350 SL 20 TP 45
EURUSD: Sell 1.1075 SL 20 TP 65
USDJPY: Stay above 143.45, Buy 144.90 SL 50 TP 150
USDCHF: Continue higher, look for reaction at 0.8510
USDCAD: Buy 1.3545 SL 20 TP 50
Gold: Needs to stay below 2649 to trade lower, below 2630 could trade down to 2616
Types of traders 101Overview of types of traders
SCALPER
🔸Scalpers buy and sell securities quickly, usually within seconds, with the aim of achieving profits from minuscule price changes from large trade volumes.
🔸Scalper also refers to someone who buys up in-demand merchandise or event tickets to resell at a higher price.
🔸Scalpers buy and sell securities many times in a day with the objective of making consistent net profits from the aggregate of all these transactions.
🔸Scalpers must be highly disciplined, combative by nature, and astute decision makers in order to succeed.
EATRADER / Algo Trader
🔸Algorithmic trader will use process- and rules-based computational formulas for executing trades.
🔸 Algorithmic trader is performing statistical analysis on stocks, funds, or currencies and then writing algorithms and programs using computer languages like C# or Python or PineScript.
🔸While it provides advantages, such as faster execution time and reduced costs, algorithmic trading can also exacerbate the market's negative tendencies by causing flash crashes and immediate loss of liquidity.
Technical Trader
🔸Generally, a technician uses historical patterns of trading data to predict what might happen to market in the future.
🔸A technical trader prefers to study price patterns over time periods ranging from a few minutes to a month. This is usually done using a variety of tools, such as indicators, to understand which way price is moving in any given market.
Swing Trader
🔸Swing trading refers to a trading style that attempts to exploit short- to medium-term price movements in a security using favorable risk/reward metrics.
🔸 Swing traders primarily rely on technical analysis to determine suitable entry and exit points, but they may also use fundamental analysis as an added filter
Fundumental Trader
🔸Fundumental trader focuses on company-specific events to determine which stock to buy and when to buy it. Trading on fundamentals is more closely associated with a buy-and-hold strategy rather than short-term trading.
🔸Furthermore, fundumental traders must understand technical analysis to identify trends and price patterns supporting their fundamental analysis.
Money Manager
🔸A money manager is a person or financial firm that manages the securities portfolio of individual or institutional investors.
🔸 Professional money managers do not receive commissions on transactions; rather, they are paid based on a percentage of assets under management.
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Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
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Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Long to the 100%-161.8% Fibo lvl 1.13296Colleagues, I reviewed the waves a bit and realized that the upward movement is likely to continue. At the moment I believe that the price is in wave “3” lower wave and in wave “5” higher wave.
Therefore, I think that the nearest target is in the area of 1.13296, which is 100%-161.8% of Fibonacci extension levels.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
EURUSD TRADING THE NEWS & Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀 👉 We can see that EUR/USD is currently trending bullish on the higher time frames. I'm eyeing a potential buy setup, contingent on certain conditions playing out as outlined in the video. With key EUR and USD data releases scheduled for later today, I’ll walk you through how to navigate and trade around these events. In the video, we cover the key price action signals to watch for and how to seize the next opportunity when it arises. Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. 📊✅
EURUSD H4 - Short setupEURUSD H4
Our sell zone here on EURUSD is playing out well 1.12 seems to be the handle which is holding as effective resistance. 3 attempts to break higher, 3 time resistance has held and see a dump of around 60-70 points, with just 10-15 points of movement around the 1.12 stoploss area. This 60-70 point range is certainly an area and range we can follow.
Ultimately, out target is 1.10, but we may see price bounce from current price like we have on the last few occassions.
EUR/USD Awaits NFP!The upcoming key EU inflation data could play a decisive role in the currency pair's movement. With the ECB signaling potential inflation stabilization at 2% by 2025, future monetary policy may be less aggressive. On the other hand, the Fed has kept the possibility of further rate cuts on hold, with the market anticipating up to 100-125 basis points of rate reductions over the next 12 months. This potential alignment between Fed and ECB policies could support EUR/USD, but the long-term economic strength of the US may limit the euro's upside.
The US dollar has shown a significant rebound, recovering ground due to rising US Treasury yields, pushing EUR/USD down towards the 1.1110 level.
The main resistance is set at 1.1214 (2024 high), followed by the 2023 peak at 1.1275. Should EUR/USD break these levels, a significant recovery may unfold. On the downside, immediate support is at 1.1113, followed by 1.1082.
In the short term, EUR/USD could move sideways between the identified support and resistance levels, with EU inflation data and the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report acting as catalysts for significant movements. If inflation data shows a marked decline or NFP data underperforms, EUR/USD may break above the 1.1214 resistance level.
EURUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.1171, which is a pullback resistance and 61.80% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit will be at 1.1130, a multi-swing low support level.
The stop loss will be at 1.1205, a swing high resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Will the ECB's dovish stance put downward pressure on the euro?
EURUSD has remained range-bound between 1.1100~1.1215 for the week amidst escalating debates on whether the ECB will implement further rate cuts. Germany's September CPI has dropped to 1.6% YoY, down from the previous month's 1.9%. Market expectations indicate that the eurozone's CPI will decrease to 1.9% in September from 2.2%, marking the first time it has fallen below 2% since July 2021. A sustained decline in eurozone CPI could prompt the ECB to lower interest rates, exerting additional downward pressure on the euro.
Since last week, EURUSD has consolidated in the 1.1110-1.1215 range. After breaking EMAs, the price awaits an additional catalyst for a bounce back. If EURUSD recovers above EMA21 and breaches 1.1215, the price could surge to 1.1270, the highest since Jul 2023. Conversely, if EURUSD breaks the support at 1.1110, the price could fall further to 1.1050.
#EURUSD - 01102024EURUSD gave a good long off the PZ yesterday as per plan; giving a 50pips up move, hitting the double resistance twice before selling down strongly for 100 pips. Difficult call from here IMO; EURUSD daily candle is bearish but price sold back down to support and overall trend is still up.
I see a possible pullback in DXY and thus a recovery in EURUSD first before further downside is possible IMO. 1.1160/1.1167 would, IMO be low risk levels to look for shorts for a move lower.