Eurusd-3
EURUSD: Potential USD Strength On Trump Election MomentumHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.09000 zone, EURUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.09000 support and resistance area.
I would also consider the ongoing Elections in the US, if Trump wins as he is bullish the Dollar we should see a significant downsides in the Dollar.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD 1.09085 +0.71% short idea INTRA-DAY SET UP...HELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at The EURUSD NY FROM AM - PM SESSION
* With a bullish run into Monday CLOSE (PO3) today will be looking for some retracement.
* looking at the daily HIGH taken which is a sign of weakness on EU.
* Looking at the VI below as targets as well.
* on the 4H looking for a bullish open to take ASIA high LQ✔.
* PO3
* Push higher before going for lower structures✔.
* looking for an aggressive move above out of the range to sweep.
* and aggressive in.
* this where I would look for entries short.
* Looking for the take of that ERL WHICH we saw friday.
* with two possible OTE ( ASIA HIGHS, AND LONG TERM HIGH) , EXECUTION IS BASED ON RR & RISK MANAGEMENT.
* DXY 15M
- Will wait for the DXY to take ASIA lows and trade back in the range as a confirmation as well...
* BASED on the price action served next session...
* We will see what does the market dish.
🤷♂️😉🐻📉🐮📈
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE
SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
|
* ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
EURO - Price can leave wedge and decline to support levelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price broke $1.0885 level and continued to decline inside falling channel, where it at once fell to support line.
Then price bounced to resistance line of channel and then declined to $1.0785 level and even broke it.
Price fell to support line, after which made upward impulse, thereby breaking $1.0785 level again and exiting from channel.
Next, Euro entered to wedge, made correction to support line, and then started to grow to resistance level.
A not long time ago, price reached this level, and some time traded near, but soon bounced down.
At the moment, I think EUR can make a rise movement and then fall to $1.0785 support level, exiting from the wedge.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
EUR/USD Surges as U.S. Political Uncertainty Ahead of Key EventsDuring Monday’s European session, the EUR/USD currency pair is making headlines by hovering around the 1.0900 mark. With an ambitious target of 1.09780 in sight, this major currency pair is showing a notable surge at the expense of the U.S. Dollar (USD). This movement comes amid rising uncertainty as the United States approaches its presidential election on Tuesday, alongside the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting later in the week.
A Bearish Start for the U.S. Dollar
As the new week begins, the U.S. Dollar is experiencing a bearish trend, reflected in the decline of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). Market participants are especially focused on the tight race shaping up between former President Donald Trump and current Vice President Kamala Harris, fueling a climate of uncertainty around the election outcomes. The anticipation surrounding the elections appears to have contributed to a flight from the dollar, as traders brace for potential volatility based on the implications of the election results.
Technical Analysis: No Major Changes
From a technical perspective, the current market behavior reflects continuity rather than change. Price levels remain largely similar to those observed in previous weeks, suggesting a moment of stabilization as traders await catalysts that could lead to clearer directional moves. Additionally, the Commitment of Traders (COT) report indicates that the positioning of traders has not changed significantly, continuing to reflect the trends seen last week.
Preparing for Election Aftermath
As the market gears up for the immediate aftermath of the elections, traders should be prepared for substantial fluctuations. The uncertainty regarding the election outcomes and the potential shifts in U.S. monetary policy are poised to create considerable movement across various asset classes. Depending on who emerges victorious, expectations for fiscal strategies, regulatory changes, and economic recovery plans may influence market sentiment and asset performance for weeks to come.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the EUR/USD's rise toward the 1.09780 target reflects broader market dynamics influenced by political uncertainty in the United States. As participants navigate this complex landscape, the interplay between election outcomes and central bank policies will be crucial to the future trajectory of the currency pair. Traders are advised to remain vigilant, as upcoming events could lead to significant volatility, reshaping market expectations and price actions in the process.
Previous Forecast:
✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
EUR/USD Starts Tuesday with Optimism Amid Mixed Dollar StrengthThe EUR/USD pair opened Tuesday with a positive sentiment, trading at 1.08230 as of this writing. This follows a shaky start to the week for the US Dollar (USD), which initially showed strength but saw limited momentum as investors opted for caution, especially in the absence of major economic data or fundamental drivers early in the week.
ECB’s Cautious Tone Amid Inflation Progress
On Monday, ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos offered insights into the central bank’s view on inflation, noting that while there has been substantial progress in reducing inflation, it's premature to assume that the battle is over. His statements suggested that the ECB will maintain a flexible stance on monetary policy, leaving room for adjustments depending on economic developments. This cautious, yet open stance by the ECB may lend some support to the euro, as markets interpret the ECB's careful monitoring of inflation as a signal that interest rate hikes could still be in the realm of possibility.
Focus on U.S. JOLTS Job Openings Data
Later in the day, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the JOLTS Job Openings data for September, which may influence USD sentiment. Markets are anticipating job openings to slightly decrease to 7.99 million, from 8.04 million in August. However, should the reading exceed expectations, particularly if it reaches 8.5 million or higher, it could reinforce USD strength as it would indicate continued labor market resilience—a key factor for the Federal Reserve's policy decisions. Conversely, a reading below 7.5 million might dampen USD appeal, as it would suggest cooling in the labor market, potentially leading the Fed to reconsider its tightening pace.
Technical Overview: EUR/USD Positioned Near Demand Zone
From a technical perspective, EUR/USD is showing some resilience around a demand zone, though it isn’t the strongest of support levels. The pair’s recent reaction in this area suggests some buying interest that could offer temporary support. Given this positioning, a long position might be worth considering if the upcoming JOLTS data provides a supportive backdrop by coming in below expectations, potentially weakening the USD.
On the other hand, if the data surprises on the upside, EUR/USD might test lower levels, and the demand zone’s strength could be challenged.
Conclusion
In summary, the EUR/USD outlook today hinges significantly on the JOLTS report, with the euro finding slight support from the ECB's cautious optimism on inflation. A supportive labor report could provide USD strength, but a weaker-than-expected report may favor euro bulls, positioning EUR/USD for further upside near current demand levels. With this dynamic, traders might consider waiting for the JOLTS data before committing to positions, using it as a potential trigger for directionality in this volatile environment.
✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
EURUSD targeting 1.0500 after the 1W MA100 rejection.Late August (Aug 26, see chart below) saw us emphasizing the critical role of the Lower Highs trend-line, being the top of a multi-year Falling Wedge pattern that started at the peak of the 2008 Housing Crisis, and its important on the long-term trend, with a break-out being bullish while a rejection being bearish:
The price was eventually rejected exactly at the top and at the same time the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), which did the July 2023 rejection. That rejection initiated a correction back to the Symmetrical Support Zone of 2015.
As a result, we expect EURUSD to gradually descend towards that Zone and by mid 2025, hit 1.0500.
Notice also that the 1W RSI also got very close to its 15-year Resistance Zone. This has triggered in the past more brutal sell-offs.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
EURUSD Down Trend ContinuationEURUSD has opened with an upward gap and is moving toward a significant resistance zone within a larger bearish trend. If the market meets resistance here and rejects both the resistance zone and the upper border of the descending channel, it may indicate an impending bearish reversal. Historically, this level has acted as a strong resistance, with price bouncing off it multiple times, which reinforces the likelihood of another rejection.
There is potential for a push above last week’s high as an initial move to gather liquidity, followed by a bearish reversal aiming to fill the recent gap. If this scenario unfolds, the target would be the support zone around 1.08510, aligning with the gap-filling objective and providing a solid level for further downside momentum
Levels discussed during livestream 4th November4th November
DXY: Needs to break 103.90 to trade up to 104.30 (trendline)
NZDUSD: Sell 0.5985 SL 30 TP 45
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6590 SL 25 TP 50
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2985 SL 40 TP 130
EURUSD: Buy 1.0910 SL 30 TP 90
USDJPY: Ranging between 151.70 and 153.40, looking for breakout potential following major news
USDCHF: Buy 0.8645 SL 20 TP 55
USDCAD: Sell 1.3910 SL 20 TP 100
Gold: Needs to break 2730 to trade down to 2710
XAU/USD : Another Bullish Move Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Gold chart in the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that, as expected last night, gold showed an upward movement with the market opening. After maintaining its position above the noted support level, it reached the targets of $2739 and $2744. Currently, gold is trading around $2742, and we’ll need to watch over the next two hours to see if it can stabilize above this level.
The key demand zones are $2738.6-$2739.7 and $2727-$2733, while the important supply zones are $2747, $2752, and $2757.
Positive Economic Data and ECB's Interest Rate OutlookThe strength of the Euro (EUR) is supported by positive economic data from the Eurozone, reducing the likelihood of the European Central Bank (ECB) making significant interest rate cuts in December. Eurostat reported that the region's economy grew faster than expected in the third quarter, prompting traders to adjust their expectations regarding interest rate cuts in the upcoming meeting. Additionally, inflation pressure increased by 2% in October, further reinforcing the likelihood that the ECB will maintain interest rates.
EUR/USD is fluctuating around the resistance level of 1.0896 during the European trading session on Monday. With support at 1.0778, the upward momentum of this currency pair is solidified, and it is likely to test the resistance level of 1.0896 again. Moreover, this upward trend may continue and break through that resistance, especially as the EMA 34 and 89 have reversed to an uptrend.
What do you think about the outlook for this currency pair? Let me know!
EURUSD: Strong Bullish Bias! Buy!
Welcome to our daily EURUSD prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 1.09196
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
EURUSD 7 Dimension Sell Trade Idea Top-Down View (H4 Analysis):
The H4 timeframe shows that the price has recently formed a Change of Character (CHoCH) and appears to be making a retracement. Despite this pullback, it hasn’t mitigated the higher-timeframe Points of Interest (POI), particularly the unmitigated Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG). Observing H1, we see considerable volatility and uncertainty, possibly indicating attempts to shake out weak-handed traders before a deeper corrective move toward the H1 internal extreme POI for mitigation.
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
🟢Time Frame: H4
🟢Swing Structure:
Bullish with CHoCH: The swing structure is bullish on the H4, with a recent CHoCH indicating a potential shift. An inducement has been observed, and price has just entered the discounted zone, which aligns with the 61% Fibonacci retracement level.
POI and Liquidity Levels: The area of interest includes the 61% & 88% Fibonacci level, liquidity sweeps, and support at the demand zone. Waiting for price to reach this zone and observing its reaction will be critical.
Pattern:
🟢 Chart Patterns:
Double Bottom: Forming as a potential reversal pattern at the discounted zone.
🟢 Candle Patterns:
Long Wick & Momentum Candles: Recent candles show long wicks and momentum on the downside, indicating that bears are still in control of the current session, albeit with limited momentum strength for long-term sustainability.
Volume:
Moderate volume suggests that while sellers are currently dominant, the bearish momentum may not hold for an extended period, reinforcing the expectation of a retracement.
Momentum (RSI):
🟢 Range Shift: Momentum has shifted from bearish to sideways with multiple bullish divergences, suggesting a loss of bearish strength and a potential for reversal or retracement.
Volatility (Bollinger Bands):
🟢 Middle Band Breach: The price has dropped below the middle band, indicating a slight bearish bias.
Expansion Cool-Down: Following a period of expansion, price appears to be consolidating and "cooling down" before the next directional move.
🟢Strength (ROC and Consolidation):
Consolidation Phase: ROC reflects consolidation, supporting the idea that the bearish momentum may pause or weaken, aligning with the expectation of a retracement or sideways movement.
🟢Rating: ⭐⭐⭐
Probability: 65%
This setup has a moderate confidence level for a short-term sell entry, considering the confluence of factors on both the H4 and refined lower time frames.
🟢Trade Setup:
Entry Details:
Entry Time Frame: 15-Minute (15M)
Entry TF Structure: Bearish (for counter-trend entry in a corrective move)
Point of Interest (POI): Extreme Fair Value Gap (FVG)
Trade Execution:
💡 Decision: Sell Limit
🚀 Entry: 1.8747
✋ Stop Loss: 1.0888
🎯 Take Profit: 1.07927
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 6.94 RR
🕛 Expected Duration: 1 Day
SUMMARY:
This H4-based top-down analysis with entry refinement on the 15M timeframe provides a short-term sell opportunity within a bullish higher timeframe structure. Price action, volume, and momentum indicators suggest a potential bearish pullback toward the 15M POI, aligning with the 61% Fibonacci level and significant liquidity areas. The setup targets a short-term retracement with a high reward-to-risk ratio, with the expectation that price may retrace to mitigate lower timeframe liquidity levels before resuming the bullish trend.
DXY + EURUSD Analysis (4th Nov 2024)Here is my analysis for the DXY and EURUSD for the edification of a learner.
As we know the US elections are coming up, so we are likely going to see some manipulation and volatility this month. It will be very interesting. I caution anyone to not take high leveraged swing trades during this time unless they are in a gambling mood.
- R2F
fib at 1.1034fibonnaci at 1.1034, it is my 1st target and first real ressistance, appart of not beeing there the price for long in my pov, but dxy has a resistance on the 16th of august at that level wht can invade the long posistion making a bigger resistance, but imo it will might go to 1.12 to 1.14 but only the markets can say, and be careful on election day.
keep ur trading safe, do your own analysis, you can take value in others persons analysis but do ur own, and keep ur risk safe,
take care at elections day, it can change everything,.
EURUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.0919, which is an overlap resistance and 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Our take profit will be at 1.0839, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be at 1.0969, an overlap resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
High Probability EURUSD Buy Setup – FVG RespectEURUSD is showing a strong buy setup as price respects a daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) while forming a short-term swing high. A secondary FVG was created as price broke through the swing high, causing a retracement back into the FVG. The displacement through this high and respect of the FVG suggest bullish continuation, targeting the next daily swing high at 1.09981.
DYOR
#EURUSD - 04112024Perfect path given on Friday; I was bearish EURUSD on Friday; and we saw how nicely EURUSD moved down lower first, hit the double level, rallied 50 pips to my sell level and it sold down 70 pips to close near the lows.
Today, it opened gap u; that indicate a possible change in trend. Weekly candle is bullish IMO, thus plan for today is a possible pullback to PZ but look for a move higher.