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Renewed demand for the Euro | FX ResearchMost of what we've been seeing in recent sessions has been Euro-supportive. Economic data out of the zone has been on the better side of expectations. Inflation data is pointing up, and ECB speak has been decidedly less dovish. Meanwhile, ECB President Lagarde has said she doesn't expect a Euro area recession in the months ahead. Otherwise, the yen has been a little better bid today, perhaps after the BOJ signaled it would be prepared to hike rates more if its outlook was met. Overall, there have been signs of mild U.S. dollar selling, though it’s not enough to be fully convincing, especially with U.S. equity futures pointing south. Month-end flows will also play into things as the day winds down. There has also been talk of mild U.S. dollar demand on portfolio rebalancing. All of this comes ahead of today's round of U.S. data and some major event risk in the days ahead, including tomorrow's U.S. jobs report and next week’s U.S. election. As for the remainder of today, we have Canada GDP, U.S. personal income, personal spending, U.S. core PCE, and U.S. initial jobless claims. Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
by BlackBull_Markets
EUR/USD shrugs as eurozone CPI rises to 2%The euro is flat on Thursday after three straight winning days. In the European session, EUR/USD is unchanged on the day, trading at 1.0854. Eurozone inflation rose to 2% y/y in October, up from 1.7% in September and above the market estimate of 1.9%. This was the fastest increase since April. The main drivers of the inflation increase were services and food prices. Services inflation continues to be a headache for the European Central Bank, unchanged at 3.9% and almost double the target. Monthly, CPI rose 0.3% after a 0.1% decline in September. Core CPI remained at 2.7% y/y, just above the market estimate of 2.6% and the lowest level since February 2022. How will the European Central Bank react to the inflation report? The central bank has been in the forefront of the rate-cutting trend, having lowered interest rates three times this year. The ECB is expected to trim rates at the December meeting, although the October inflation data indicates that inflation has not yet been fully contained. ECB President Lagarde said after the inflation release that she expects inflation will sustainably reach the 2% target in 2025. The eurozone labor market remains strong despite a sluggish economy. Thursday’s unemployment report showed the unemployment rate fell to 6.3% in September, down from 6.4% in August and the lowest level since the eurozone was establish in 1999. The ECB, like other major central banks, will have to balance a strong labor market against weakening inflation as it determines its rate path for the coming months. EUR/USD tested resistance at 1.0885 earlier. Above, there is resistance at 1.0913 1.0842 and 1.0814 are the next support levels
by OANDA
1
$EUGDPQQ -Europe's GDP (Q3/2024) ECONOMICS:EUGDPQQ 0.4% Q3/2024 source: EUROSTAT - The Eurozone GDP expanded 0.4% on quarter in the three months to September 2024, the strongest growth rate in two years, following a 0.2% rise in Q2 and above forecasts of 0.2% The German economy expanded 0.2%, surprisingly avoiding a recession, after a downwardly revised 0.3% decline in Q2. GDP growth also quickened in France (0.4% vs 0.2% in Q2) and the Spanish economy remained robust (0.8% vs 0.8%). In addition, the Portuguese economy grew 0.2%, the same as in Q2 while the GDP in Ireland (2% vs -1%) and Austria (0.3% vs 0%) rebounded and grew faster in Lithuania (1.1% vs 0.3%). On the other hand, the Italian economy stalled, following a 0.2% rise in Q2 and Latvia remained in contraction (-0.4% vs -0.3%). Year-on-year, the Eurozone GDP expanded 0.9%, the best performance since the Q1 2023, compared to a 0.6% rise in the previous quarter and higher than forecasts of 0.8%. The ECB expects the GDP in the Eurozone to expand 0.8% this year.
ECONOMICS:EUGDPQQ
by Mr_J__fx
EURUSD Set To Fall! SELL! My dear friends, EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 1.0861 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clearshort signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 1.0824 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
3
EURUSD Trading Opportunity! BUY! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.0777 Bias -Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 1.0797 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
XAU/USD : Ready for more LONG ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Gold chart in the 15-minute timeframe, we can see that gold is currently trading around the $2780 level. If it holds above this level, I expect further upward movement. The potential targets for this rise are $2784, $2787, and $2790. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
11
EURO - Price can move up to resistance level and continue fallHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 A not long time ago price entered to falling channel, where some time declined near resistance line of channel. Later it bounced and fell to support line of channel, but soon backed up to resistance line, after which continued to fall. Soon, Euro broke $1.0840 level, which coincided with resistance zone, and exited from falling channel. Then price started to trades inside flat, where it declined to support area and then bounced up to $1.0840 level. After this, price made a correction and then backed up to this level, but recently started to decline. In my mind, EUR can make movement up to resistance level and then continue to fall to $1.0765 If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Short
by WalterMoon
5
Key Levels to Confirm Bullish Reversal or Extend DowntrendEUR/USD Technical Analysis The price is likely to attempt to reach 1.0915 from the pivot line, with the possibility of a retest down to 1.0832 before initiating a bullish trend. Bearish Scenario: If the price remains below 1.0772, this would indicate a continuation of the downtrend towards the support level at 1.0680. Bullish Scenario: A break and a sustained move above 1.0865 could confirm a bullish move toward 1.0915, with further potential to reach 1.1005, signaling upward momentum. Key Levels: Pivot Line: 1.0830 Support Lines: 1.0770, 1.0680, 1.0618 Resistance Lines: 1.0915, 1.1000, 1.1082 Trend Outlook: Bearish by stability under 1.0772 Bullish by stability above 1.0830
Long
by SroshMayi
US Dollar Trends:Navigating the Supply Area and Market SentimentAs the trading week began on Monday, the US Dollar (DXY) found itself testing a significant supply area, leading to a period of consolidation within a tight range. This move comes on the heels of disappointing Durable Goods orders data, which has sparked bearish sentiment among traders, prompting a downward shift in the Greenback's value. The Impact of Economic Data The recent Durable Goods orders report fell short of expectations, raising concerns about the resilience of the US economy. Such data often serves as a barometer for economic health, influencing traders' decisions and market dynamics. With this disappointing figure, traders have been quick to react, driving the dollar lower as they reassess their positions. Analyzing Market Sentiment The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals a telling shift in market sentiment. Retail traders appear to be holding long positions on the dollar, while institutional investors—often referred to as "smart money"—are beginning to accumulate bearish positions. This divergence in sentiment raises an essential question: is there an impending reversal in the dollar's trend? Timing the Market Timing becomes crucial in a market characterized by conflicting signals. While the COT report indicates a potential shift, it’s essential to identify the right entry points. Many analysts believe the DXY could experience another bullish impulse before any significant decline materializes. This potential upward movement may serve to "trap" sellers who have positioned themselves in anticipation of a downturn. Seasonal Patterns and Technical Analysis Adding to the complexity of this scenario is the emergence of a seasonal bearish pattern indicated by forecasters. Seasonal trends often play a critical role in currency movements, and traders must remain vigilant to these patterns when planning their strategies. In conjunction with this seasonal insight, technical analysis reveals a rectangle pattern on the chart, which suggests a defined range of support and resistance levels. Traders are advised to look for entry opportunities within this range, where the likelihood of a price breakout is heightened. Conclusion In conclusion, as the US Dollar navigates this crucial supply area amidst mixed signals from market participants, traders must approach their strategies with caution. Monitoring economic indicators, understanding market sentiment shifts, and analyzing technical patterns will be pivotal in making informed trading decisions. The current environment presents both challenges and opportunities, and identifying the right entry point could be the key to capitalizing on potential market movements. As we move forward, it will be interesting to see how these dynamics play out. What are your thoughts on the current market conditions, and where do you see the DXY heading next?
TVC:DXY
by FOREXN1
1
EUR/USD: Euro Gains Amid German Growth, Weak US GDPOn Wednesday, the Euro extended its rally, driven by positive economic data from Germany and the dampening effect of a weaker-than-expected US GDP figure. Germany’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) recorded a modest 0.2% growth, indicating resilience in Europe’s largest economy. Furthermore, annual inflation in Germany, measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), showed a significant rise, moving up to 2% in October’s preliminary estimate from 1.6% in September. This uptick in inflation adds to the bullish sentiment surrounding the Euro, as it hints at economic stability and a possible need for continued monetary tightening in the Eurozone. From a technical analysis perspective, the Euro remains in a profitable position from our identified demand area, where a reversal pattern was noted. The DXY (US Dollar Index) continues to retrace, suggesting potential weakening of the USD, while the COT (Commitments of Traders) report further supports our bullish Euro outlook. Given the ongoing trend, a negative reading in today’s US Unemployment Claims report could provide additional momentum for the Euro’s upward trajectory, potentially solidifying the current trend in favor of the Euro. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
4
EURUSD Set For Possible Bullish Breakout? Key Price Action Signa👀👉 EURUSD is demonstrating bullish momentum across the monthly, weekly, daily, and 4H charts. I'm closely watching for a potential buying opportunity, aligning with the key criteria covered in the video. In this analysis, we’ll pinpoint essential price action signals to track and outline strategic positioning for the next potential move. *Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. 📊✅
Long
by tradingwithanthony
3
EUR/USD: Opportunity to profit from resistance!Hello all dear traders! After yesterday's important economic news, we saw a pretty impressive breakout of EUR/USD, but the pair is currently trading slightly lower at around 1.084, down around 0.06% on the day. This downside correction is largely due to the USD rising slightly on positive signals from the US economy. However, there is an important supporting factor for EUR/USD: the market is gradually losing confidence in the possibility of a strong ECB easing in the near future. This helps limit the downside momentum of the currency pair, allowing EUR/USD to hold firm against the pressure from the USD. From a technical point of view, I see that EUR/USD could gain some more upside momentum thanks to the nearby 34 EMA, which acts as an important support zone in the short term. But! Any upside momentum is likely to face resistance at around 1.087 and is likely to correct back to support to test liquidity before a clearer upside momentum emerges. Wishing you all a successful and profitable trading day!
Short
by Bentradegold
1
EURUSD: The trend of increasing dominant!Hello all my dear friends, the third day has started, wish you lots of energy! Currently, the EUR/USD pair is stable around 1,0810 and works well on the price channel to 1 hour. Despite the US dollar consolidated in the early morning of Asia in Tuesday. On the other hand, the price increase of the US dollar shows some signs of fatigue when the dollar index (DXY) returns to the recent peak at nearly 104.60 before falling to 104.30 at the delivery session. The end of the translation ends, thereby supporting the continued increasing trend of this pair of money. I wish you a lot of profits!
Long
by Bentradegold
USDJPY: Will the NFP Halt the Dollar?The USD/JPY moves between sustained bullish momentum and possible technical corrections: the Bank of Japan’s decision to keep rates unchanged temporarily strengthened the Yen, pushing the pair below 153, but post-election political uncertainty limits any lasting appreciation of the Japanese currency. Conversely, the US dollar continues to benefit from a favorable economic backdrop, bolstered by a strong labor market and the potential for a gradual Fed approach in the future. Imminent economic data, such as consumer confidence and JOLTS job openings, could confirm the US recovery, further boosting Treasury yields and the dollar. From a technical perspective, the trend remains bullish, with key resistance levels at 153.90 and 155.10, while a correction toward supports at 151.95 and 149.50 might indicate a pause or reversal of the trend.
Long
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1