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Eurusd-4

#EURUSD - 18 OctI was away and while I was still looking at the indices, it was not so much for FX but I do know how USDJPY is rallied, and how DXY is strong. It was much interesting how indices continued to be strong but at the same time, DXY gained so much strength too. But if we look at the weekly candle, we can see how bearish EURUSD was from 3 weeks back, with the bearish engulfing candle, and from then on, EURUSD just almost just trend down from then; there is pretty much nothing bullish on daily but trying to catch any bottom from here would much be disastrous. However, for today, especially after yesterday's sell down, almost to the strong level, and then a quick rebound, IMO, EURUSD has a chance to go to 1.0864 before a move lower. And 1.0864 is a confluence of level and my algo band and also a trendline resistance. A break above 1.0864 IMO will bring further recovery in EURUSD.
by FadeMeIfYouCan
EURUSD : Preferred sales strategy.Analysis: Pattern Breakdown: The price has broken below the rising trendline, confirming a bearish sentiment. Resistance Zone: There's a highlighted zone around 1.0950 – 1.1000, where a previous support level is now acting as resistance. Support Target: The chart suggests a potential move down towards the key support area around 1.0790. Trading Strategy: Sell Opportunity: If EUR/USD retests the resistance zone (1.0950 – 1.1000) and fails to break above, this presents a selling opportunity. Target: The initial target would be the 1.0790 level, which is a key support area and the next significant downside target. Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss above the 1.1000 level to manage risk in case of a reversal.
Short
by Pierce_Bowers
Eurozone CPI falls below 2%, and ECB cuts further by 25bp The Eurozone CPI significantly undershot market expectations, prompting the ECB to implement additional rate cuts. In Sep, Eurozone CPI stood at 1.7%, falling short of the projected 1.8% and decelerating by 0.5% from the previous month's 2.2%. This marks the first instance in 40 months that Eurozone CPI has dipped below 2% since Jun 2021. The ECB has implemented an additional 0.25% rate cut due to slowing economic growth and falling inflation. The ECB stated that the deflation process is proceeding smoothly and anticipates gradually easing labor cost pressures. ECB President Lagarde emphasized that future rate direction in December will be contingent on upcoming economic data. EURUSD is still in a downtrend, falling to 1.0830. The gap between both EMAs widened, and the price broke the 1.0830 threshold, sending out a bearish signal. If EURUSD continues its downtrend within the descending channel and breaks the support at 1.0780, the price may fall further to 1.0670. Conversely, if EURUSD breaches both EMAs and the channel’s upper bound, the price could gain upward momentum to 1.0940.
by inkicho_exness
Gold Nears $2,700 on Election UncertaintyThe price of gold continues its bullish run, nearing $2,700 per ounce due to uncertainty surrounding the U.S. elections, despite the strength of the dollar and rising Treasury yields. Political uncertainty is increasing demand for the precious metal, considered a safe haven, as polls show a tight race. Additionally, the recent decision by the ECB to cut interest rates temporarily strengthened the dollar, but this has not prevented gold from maintaining its positive momentum. Better-than-expected economic data in the U.S., such as increased retail sales and the Philadelphia Manufacturing Index, also supported the dollar, but these factors were not enough to reverse gold’s trend. From a technical standpoint, moving averages, particularly the 20-day SMA around $2,649.50, continue to provide support to the bullish trend, while the 100-day and 200-day SMAs remain far below, confirming persistent buyer interest. Technical indicators suggest further upside, though minor short-term corrections may occur, potentially offering new buying opportunities.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
EURUSD short term relief rebound is expected.EURUSD is trading inside a Channel Down on the (1h) time frame. The price hit its bottom and is consolidating, being oversold on the RSI (1h). This consolidation usually leads to a short term rebound to the 0.5 Fib and MA50 (1h). Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 1.08550 (the 0.5 Fib and potential contact with the MA50 (1h)). Tips: 1. The RSI (1h) has formed the exact same sequence it did on October 10th. That was also a bottom that led to a 0.5 Fib/ MA50 (1d) test. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
Long
by TradingBrokersView
The EUR/USD forecast for reaching 1.11 by December 2024The EUR/USD forecast for reaching 1.11 by December 2024 might seem ambitious given current trends, but let's delve into why this could indeed happen: Economic Recovery in the EU: Recent posts on X highlight expectations around the ECB's monetary policy. If the European Central Bank continues to adjust rates in response to economic recovery signals, a stronger Euro might follow. Discussions around inflation cooling off and potential rate adjustments suggest a more robust Eurozone economy, which traditionally supports a higher EUR/USD rate. Political Stability and Sentiment: With the U.S. political landscape shifting due to the Democratic nomination of Kamala Harris for the 2024 election, there's a narrative shift. While not directly economic, political stability or perceived changes in policy direction can influence currency strength. If her campaign promises economic policies that might strengthen the Euro against the Dollar, this could be a psychological boost for EUR/USD. Market Sentiment and Speculation: There's noticeable chatter on platforms like X about EUR/USD movements. Speculation can drive markets; if traders and investors start betting on a stronger Euro due to any positive economic data or geopolitical shifts, this speculative buying could push the rate towards 1.11. Technical Analysis: Some analysts have pointed out key resistance and support levels. Breaking through these levels, especially with momentum, could set new targets. If EUR/USD manages to convincingly breach the 1.09 resistance and maintain that level, the next psychological target becomes 1.10, with 1.11 not far beyond in terms of market psychology. Interest Rate Differentials: If the ECB's rate adjustments lead to a narrowing of the interest rate differential with the Fed, capital flow might favor the Euro more, pushing its value up against the Dollar. Given historical trends, even a small change in rate expectations could significantly impact the forex market. Global Economic Factors: Broader economic conditions, like improvements in European trade balances, could bolster the Euro. If the EU manages to show resilience or growth in sectors previously affected by global downturns, this could reflect positively on the EUR. Seasonal Trends and Market Calendar: There's often a lull before the end-of-year where markets might move based on year-end portfolio adjustments. If there's a sentiment that the Euro will strengthen, this could be the period where movements towards 1.11 get traction due to year-end positioning.
Long
by NYRUNSGLOBAL
EUR/USD Breakdown – Quick Bounce or Headed for a Wipeout?Alright, trading family, the EUR/USD pair is riding some choppy waters. A short bounce to 1.0809 might be in the cards, but don’t get too comfy—it could just be a quick breather before we dive back toward 1.0700 or even deeper to 1.0645 or 1.0580. Key Levels: Breakdown Zone: 1.0700 – Looks like the next wave if sellers keep control. Bounce Play: 1.0809 – Bulls might show up, but it could be a short ride. Lower Support: 1.0645 / 1.0580 – If the tide turns, this is where we might land. This is one of those "stay ready" moments—either we catch a quick rally or the tide pulls us lower. Keep an eye on those short time frames to catch the next set. What’s your vibe—are we bouncing or heading straight into the deep? Drop your thoughts, follow, and share if this chart got you set for the next move. Mindbloome Trader
Short
by Mindbloome-Trading
$EUINTR -Europe Interest Rates ECONOMICS:EUINTR (October/2024) source: European Central Bank - The ECB lowered its three key interest rates by 25 bps in October 2024, as expected, following similar moves in September and June. The deposit facility, main refinancing operations, and marginal lending facility rates will now be 3.25%, 3.40%, and 3.65%, respectively. This decision stems from an updated assessment of inflation, which shows disinflation progressing well. In September, inflation in the Eurozone fell below the ECB’s target of 2% for the first time in more than three years. While inflation is expected to rise in the short term, it should decline toward the 2% target in 2025. Wage growth remains high, but pressures are easing. The ECB remains committed to restrictive rates to ensure inflation reaches its medium-term goal, using a data-driven, flexible approach without committing to a specific rate path.
ECONOMICS:EUINTR
by Mr_J__fx
Euro got no backboneGuess what... I believe the EURUSD pair is ready for a sell. My decisions to enter a trade are primarily based on my intuitive assessment of the market. While I do rely on certain patterns that have proven effective for me, the actual execution of a trade is often based on a gut feeling—whether or not I like what I see at that moment. However, this particular setup has got me thinking on a more macro level. In my opinion, the USD is on its way to strengthening. With stocks and cryptocurrencies currently trading at such high valuations, I anticipate that a sell-off in these assets could increase USD volume as people take profits and hold cash. I also see potential in buying other USD pairs. I could be wrong, but the EURUSD pair fortunately offers a positive swap fee for sellers, and I’m in no rush—I have plenty of time to see how this plays out.
Short
by vitowodenik
Bullish Butterfly EURUSD DailyLooks like EURUSD is forming a Bullish Butterfly pattern as the Dollar strengthens across most pairs. I'm looking for the pair to continue decline into support around 1.0575-1.0675, consolidate and possibly dead cat bounce before proceeding towards the 1.05 range. I'm also looking for the 14-period RSI to enter oversold territory during this time, which I project may go through the end of November. I'm currently already short, having racked up ~300 pips. My current stop loss is about 150 pips trailing.
by thetradeWELL
EUR-USDThis EUR/USD chart shows a recent decline after reaching a resistance level around 1.12137, forming a double-top pattern that suggests a trend reversal. The price has since dropped sharply and is approaching a significant "Order Blocker" zone between 1.07515 and 1.08022, where institutional buying may occur. If the price holds in this area, a potential bounce toward the 50% retracement level near 1.1000 could happen, indicating a bullish correction. However, if the price breaks below this zone, further bearish momentum could push it toward the next support at 1.0715. In summary, the market is currently bearish, but the reaction at the "Order Blocker" will determine whether a reversal or further decline is likely. Traders should monitor this key zone closely.
Long
by Dhareja
6
Euro can reach resistance line of channel and then continue fallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see that the price some days ago entered to downward channel, where it at once rebounded from the resistance line and started to decline. In a short time price reached the 1.1030 level and some time traded inside the seller zone, after which broke this level. Next, the price fell to the support line of the channel and then tried to grow, but later failed and fell to the current resistance level, which is located inside the resistance area. Euro some time traded near this area and later continued to decline, thereby breaking the 1.0900 level. Then the price some time traded below this level and not long time ago continued to move down. Now EUR fell more and continues to decline inside the downward channel, so, I think that the price can rise to the resistance line of the channel and then rebound. After this, the price can continue to decline to support line of the channel, for this case, I set my TP at 1.0750 points, which coincides with this line. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
1
EUR/USD Extends Decline Near 1.0850 Ahead of Key Economic DataThe EUR/USD pair extended its decline during the early Asian session on Thursday, hovering around the 1.0850 mark. The continued strength of the US Dollar (USD) has added selling pressure on the euro, as investors anticipate critical developments in both Europe and the United States. Notably, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to announce another interest rate cut during its monetary policy meeting today, which will play a pivotal role in shaping the near-term direction of the EUR/USD. ECB Meeting and Rate Cut Expectations The ECB meeting is a focal point for the market, with investors widely expecting another rate cut as the central bank attempts to stimulate the sluggish Eurozone economy. The ongoing monetary easing measures aim to address inflationary concerns and support economic growth in the region. A further reduction in interest rates would likely put additional pressure on the euro, especially against a strengthening dollar. Traders will be closely watching the tone of the ECB’s announcements, looking for any clues regarding future policy direction, which could set the stage for increased volatility in EUR/USD. US Economic Data in Focus In addition to the ECB's decision, the market’s attention will shift to the release of key economic data from the US later today. The USD Core Retail Sales (m/m), Retail Sales (m/m), and Unemployment Claims reports are set to inject volatility into USD-correlated currency pairs, particularly EUR/USD. These reports are crucial in assessing the overall health of the US economy, and stronger-than-expected figures could further bolster the USD, applying additional downward pressure on the euro. Retail sales data will provide insight into consumer spending patterns, a key driver of US economic growth, while unemployment claims will shed light on labor market conditions. Should the data come in stronger than anticipated, it may reinforce expectations of a resilient US economy, prompting the Federal Reserve to maintain its hawkish stance on interest rates. Conversely, weaker data could weigh on the dollar and offer a temporary reprieve for EUR/USD. Technical Outlook: Demand Zones in Focus From a technical perspective, the EUR/USD is currently reacting to a previously identified demand area. While the pair has experienced selling pressure, the price could see a bullish reaction if the upcoming US data or the ECB meeting provide supportive conditions for the euro. In case of a positive outcome for the EUR after the news releases, we may consider opening a long position. However, the best entry point for a long trade remains within the lower demand zone, which offers stronger support and a more favorable risk-reward setup. The Commitment of Traders (COT) report indicates a notable shift in market positioning. Retail traders have been increasing their short positions on the euro, while smart money (large institutional investors) has moved long on the currency. This positioning dynamic suggests the possibility of a reversal, as smart money often takes contrarian positions against retail traders. With the data releases and central bank decisions looming, today could present a long setup, especially if the market interprets the news favorably for the euro. Conclusion The EUR/USD continues to trade under pressure, driven by the strength of the USD and expectations surrounding the ECB’s upcoming monetary policy decision. As the day unfolds, the release of critical US economic data will further shape the pair’s direction, potentially adding volatility and creating opportunities for traders. While the euro remains under pressure, technical and positioning factors indicate that a bullish setup could emerge, particularly if the euro finds support in the lower demand zones or if the news flow turns in its favor. Traders are advised to exercise caution and patience, keeping a close eye on the upcoming data releases and market reactions before entering any positions. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
EURUSD Multi Timeframe Analysis 17.10.202415m Swing, Internal and Fractal Bearish Recent supply that price currently testing is the strongest range to hold the price imo. The one placed between 1.08592-1,08622 is very likely to fail, thats why I have not mentioned on the chart We now have mitigated the extreme Daily Demand range and we likely get a bullish reaction but we might get couple of fake breaks in low time frames before price pushes up. Ideally wait for 4H Internal Structure to shift bullish I will look for quick 15m setups ( buy / sell ) if I see any and publish here as update as I have done before
by alplaila
EurUsd in search of supportAs anticipated in my previous analysis, EUR/USD dropped from the 1.12 resistance level and successfully hit my 1.10 target. The pair continued to decline, breaking below the 1.0950 technical support, and is now heading toward the next key level at 1.08. I expect the 1.08 level to be reached, followed by a period of consolidation and a potential rebound. In conclusion, I’m looking to buy around this level, aiming for a target of approximately 100 pips.
by Mihai_Iacob
2
EURUSD continues downtrend below 1.0900Dear Friends, You may be wondering why the price has fallen so sharply. In international market news: - The US Dollar (USD) continued to appreciate, albeit modestly, encouraging the US Dollar Index (DXY) to maintain multi-week highs above 103.00. - Supporting the greenback's rally in recent weeks were the minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on September 18. The minutes showed that a "majority" of policymakers favored easing monetary policy with a 50 basis point cut, but did not commit the Federal Reserve to a specific timeline for future cuts. Results: - As both the Fed and the ECB consider additional interest rate moves, the EUR/USD outlook will depend on macroeconomic trends. The US economy is expected to outperform the Eurozone, potentially boosting the USD further. On technical analysis and gold price forecast for the coming period: - EURUSD has broken above the support level at 1.0892 and the price volume is below both the 34-day and 89-day exponential moving averages (EMA), suggesting a higher possibility of further declines. - Currently, EURUSD is trading near the resistance level of 1.0892, with immediate support at 1.0850.
Short
by Bentradegold
Bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance. Entry: 1.0835 1st Support: 1.0783 1st Resistance: 1.0895 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
EURUSD extends gains above 1.0850Conan, hello everyone! Currently, EURUSD is taking advantage of the upside opportunity from the strong support at 1.0852. It can be seen that the pair is cooling down and gradually opening up more upside opportunities. It is clear that EUR/USD is on a tear, falling to a multi-week low as the Euro continues to weaken ahead of the upcoming European Central Bank interest rate meeting on Thursday. However, the widely expected ECB rate cut of a quarter of a percentage point, or 25 bps, has eased some of the pressure on the pair. The price is currently trading around the 1.0862-1.0860 range and remains dependent on the price momentum of the US Dollar (USD). Resistance: 1.0876, 1.0905 Support: 1.0852, 1.0858
by ConanTradingFX
EUR/USD Potential long trade setup (4H)I am looking a long opportunity on EUR/USD. There is a clear bullish RSI divergence found and suggesting me potential upside, My entry is placed at 1.10218, Targeting 1.11631 (TP-1) and 1.13100 (TP-2) Stop loss set at 1.08778. The risk to reward ratio is favorable and i am expecting a bounce from current levels. i will wait for price action confirmation before entering following the trend reversal signs from divergence. Best of Luck
Long
by kashifone1
9
EURUSD📌 Trading Instrument: EUR/USD 🔶 Bullish Breakout with Strong Potential 🔶 📝 Market Overview: After 16 days of consolidation, EUR/USD has finally broken out of the diagonal resistance, suggesting a bullish move ahead. I took a position just before the breakout, assessing the potential reward as extremely favorable compared to the risk. The trade has a remarkable Risk-Reward Ratio of 17.5:1, making it highly attractive even with a low initial risk. The breakout is supported by triple bullish divergences, signaling a strong potential for upward momentum. Moreover, the market is currently trading near the 0.61 Fibonacci retracement level, a critical point often signaling reversals. Additionally, we have a solid support zone just below, which has held firm for 750 days. The absence of any significant breakdown from this level strengthens the bullish case. If this support holds, it will continue to fuel the upward momentum. However, any breakdown here could signal a notable trend reversal, so I'm closely monitoring the price action. Given these technical signals, I opted for a day trade with the potential to extend it through the week, depending on price movement and relevant news flow. 🎯 Trade Details: Stop Loss (SL): Today’s low Take Profit (TP): 1.09528 This trade leverages several technical signals: Bullish divergence across multiple timeframes. Holding near the 0.61 Fibonacci retracement level. The strong support that has not broken for 750 days. The lack of a breakdown further solidifies the bullish outlook, and if the breakout gains momentum, this could be a highly profitable setup. 🚨 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and trade responsibly. Markets are highly volatile, and you should only invest money you are prepared to lose.
by RhinoAkaBear