EURUSD should buy or sell?Hello everyone!
EURUSD is currently following my previous prediction as it is in a deep decline, hovering at 1.098 and breaking out of the support level of 1.101.
With 3 deep declines and breaking out of 3 support levels, sellers continue to profit. Therefore, I expect it to continue moving down at least to the lower price channel, as indicated by the flat EMA for shorting.
Happy trading and don't forget to share your opinions in the comments section!
Eurusd-4
EURUSD H4 I Bullish BounceBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 1.0876, which is a pullback support close to the 78.6% Fibo retracement
Our take profit will be at 1.0955, an overlap resistance.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.0876, which is a pullback support level.
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The dollar surge takes a breather, pullback pending?We finally saw the USD rebound I was beating the drum about back in September. But now it's hit a decent resistance zone, I weigh up its potential to hold its ground or producer a deeper pullback. Markets covered include the USD index, EUR/USD and gold.
MS.
EURUSD All 4H contacts are sell opportunities.EURUSD has turned completely bearish as after the Sep 25th rejection, it broke under the previous Channel Up and formed a Death Cross on the 4hour time frame.
It continues to be a similar sequence of events as the post December 28th 2023 High.
We expect a similar Channel Down to lead the price lower and every MA50 (4h) test will be a sell opportunity.
Sell and target 1.07700 (-4.00% from the top).
Previous chart:
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Is a New ECB Rate Cut Just Days Away? European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde signaled that weaker-than-expected inflation will be on the agenda at the central bank’s October meeting next week. This has fueled speculation that policymakers could move to cut rates again.
For the exact date and time of these major economic events, import the BlackBull Markets Economic Calendar to receive alerts directly in your email inbox.
Germany’s sluggish growth has added to the ECB’s challenges. While other parts of the eurozone are showing signs of recovery, Berlin issued a stark warning this week, forecasting its economy will contract for a second consecutive year—a major drag on the region’s broader outlook.
Technical signals also potentially point to downside risks. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching oversold territory, and a break below the 1.0900 level could see traders targeting the 200-day moving average near 1.08710
Euro lower as US inflation dips slightlyThe euro is lower on Thursday. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0908, down 0.28%.
The German economy has been struggling but there was positive news as German retail sales rose 1.6% in August and 1.5% in July, after declines of 1.1% in June and 1.4% in May. The four monthly releases were all published today due to a technical problem in June.
US inflation for September was within expectations and the market reaction has been muted. Headline CPI continued its downswing and rose 2.4% y/y, down from 2.5% in August but above the market estimate of 2.3%. The decline in inflation was driven by a decrease in energy prices, particularly gasoline. On a monthly basis, CPI rose 0.2% in September, unchanged from August but above the market estimate of 0.1%.
Core CPI remains a bit high and came in at 3.3% y/y, above the August reading of 3.2% and the market estimate of 3.2%. Still, the Fed has demonstrated that it is willing to slash rates by 50 basis points despite inflation running above the 2% target. Today’s inflation data hasn’t changed market expectations for the November meeting, which remain at around 85% for a cut of 25 basis points.
The Fed minutes reflected optimism about the US economy, a signal that more rate cuts are in the pipeline. There was only one dissenting vote against the 50-bps cut in September, but the minutes indicated that some dovish members voted with the majority although they would have preferred a modest 25 bps cut. Jerome Powell may not have the same support for another jumbo cut if the labor market remains solid. That could mean cuts of 25 bps at the November and December meetings.
EUR/USD has pushed below support at 1.0920 and is testing support at 1.0901. Below, there is support at 1.0865
1.0956 and 1.0975 are the next resistance lines
Eurusd H1 EUR/USD failed to extend gains and is back under selling pressure in the American session. United States inflation and employment-related figures kept the Fed on the 25 bps rate cut path.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the 4-hour chart stays near 30, suggesting that the pair is about to turn technically oversold. On the upside, immediate resistance is located at 1.0950 (static level, Fibonacci 61.8% retracement of the latest uptrend). In case EUR/USD stabilizes above this level and confirms it as support, it could edge higher toward 1.1000 (Fibonacci 50% retracement) and 1.1050 (Fibonacci 38.2% retracement).
Confirm
EURUSD Potential Trading SetupsHTF looks bearish enough to me, short-term correction. Not seeing enough volume to make a major move till key news this week, trading with less expectation till then.
Long setups look very weak, waiting for major manipulation to get better probability.
Looking for shorts to go below previous week low but will take time to confirm EU is ready to go, so far it doesn't show enough strength. Decent hourly closure is key for this to happen.
EURUSD: Sell RalliesThe dollar has been in a strong recovery for the past two weeks, ever since the Fed decided to cut rates by 50 basis points in mid-September. This appears to be a classic “buy the rumor, sell the news” situation, as much of the dollar weakness earlier this year was driven by speculation that the Fed would cut rates. Now that they've finally done it, we’re seeing the opposite reaction.
Focusing on the EUR/USD pair, we can see a very clear and strong push to the downside, forming an impulsive pattern from the 1.12 level. In Elliott Wave terms, this structure indicates the trend direction, which on the intraday timeframes is currently down. I would expect more weakness ahead, although markets never move in a straight line, so an ABC pullback is possible. In such a case, 1.10 to 1.1040 could serve as a good resistance zone to sell into.
It's also important to note that the ECB may be leaning towards more rate cuts, especially with Germany’s economic struggles. This could further pressure the euro, particularly if the Fed slows down its dovish actions, given that US inflation didn’t drop to the expected 2.3%, but instead came in at 2.4%. With US yields poised to move higher while the ECB remains dovish, I believe EUR/USD will stay under pressure.
EURUSD: Dollar holds steady as Fed minutes emergeThe US dollar remained steady today, providing some respite for the yen and other major currencies after rising to a seven-week high last week. Market participants are taking a moment to assess the future trajectory of US interest rates.
Investors are awaiting the release of the minutes from the Fed’s September meeting today, which will reveal the discussions that led to a 50 basis point rate cut, agreed by all but one policymaker amid a seemingly worsening labour market.
EURUSD Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.0939
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.1014
Safe Stop Loss - 1.0902
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD: Strong Bullish Bias! Buy!
Welcome to our daily EURUSD prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 1.09591
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
Sell EURUSD Bearish ChannelThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.0986, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0935
2nd Support – 1.0909
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.1005. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
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NEW IDEA FOR EURUSD By examining the trend in the four-hour time frame of EUR/USD, provided that there is no closing of the four-hour candle time below the important support interval in the range of 1.0915-1.0882, it can reach the resistance interval in the range of 1. 1004-1.0994, increase in price.
EURUSD Will Move Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 1.096.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 1.092 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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EUR/USD BEARISH MOVEMENTHello Guys,
I have shared my idea regarding this major pair. As you can see the pair did not make any retracement but more based on the analysis I made it will keep going downstream till it reaches the point 1.07780. Please do let me know your ides as well. I'm still learning, so please forgive me if my analysis is wrong. Thank you.
EUR/USD Decline Amid Strong US Dollar Ahead of Key Economic DataAs forecasted in our previous analysis, the EUR/USD pair remains under bearish pressure, continuing its descent over the past two days, reaching around 1.09300 during the London session. The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report indicates that retail traders remain bullish on the pair. Despite this, the price is approaching one of the two demand areas we've identified, though we are currently awaiting a possible bullish impulse if the price drops to the lower demand zone.
US Dollar Strength and Market Sentiment
Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) remains near its highest level since mid-August as traders have adjusted their expectations regarding a potential 50 basis points (bps) rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in November. The likelihood of such a cut has been largely priced out, with current market sentiment suggesting a 20% chance that the Fed will keep rates unchanged at its next meeting. This expectation was reinforced by the hawkish tone in the FOMC minutes released on Wednesday, which underpinned the USD's strength.
DXY ( USD ) Daily Chart
The elevated yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond, which remains above the 4% threshold, continues to support the US Dollar, acting as a headwind for the EUR/USD pair. The stronger USD, coupled with market sentiment around potential Fed actions, has weighed heavily on the Euro in recent sessions.
Upcoming Economic Data and Market Impact
Today brings several important economic releases that could inject volatility into the market, including:
Core CPI (Consumer Price Index)
CPI y/y
CPI m/m
Unemployment Claims
These reports are key indicators of inflation and employment in the United States, and they could shift the market's outlook for the US Dollar. Currently, the forecasts suggest that the data may work against the USD, potentially leading to an initial bullish move in EUR/USD. However, the ultimate impact will depend on how closely the actual data aligns with expectations.
Our Strategy: Waiting for a Key Demand Support
At this time, we are not opening any positions as we await the price to reach the lowest demand support level. A potential bullish reversal may occur once this level is tested, and we’ll be closely monitoring market movements following today's key economic data releases. Patience remains essential as we look for confirmation of a potential bullish setup.
Conclusion
The EUR/USD pair continues its downward trend, driven by USD strength amid expectations of steady interest rates from the Federal Reserve. As key economic data is released today, we anticipate increased market volatility, which could present trading opportunities. For now, we are waiting for the pair to reach critical demand levels before considering any new positions. Stay tuned for further updates as we continue to monitor market developments.
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EURUSD Analysis And Route Map For Next MovePair Name = EURUSD
Timeframe = D1
Analysis = technical + fundamentals
Trend = Bullish
Details :-
EURUSD is ready to get good volume now and it dropped well from last few days. Exactly on the way as predicted. It will hit a strong support level around 1.090 to 1.087
Price level.
Bullish Targets :-
1.12
1.13
Bearish Target :-
1.09
1.08
EMA 5 Cross over.
1.097
1.100