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Eurusd-4

Correction and rebound down EURUSD. H4 08.10.2024Correction and rebound down EURUSD The euro has pushed down and formed a sellers zone at 1.1045-1.1085 from which I recommend to look for selling on the fall to the margin and option support at 1.0880. Also 1/2 margin zone falls into the sellers' zone and judging by the growing cumulative on the price drop, we will continue to fall after the pullback, so I do not change the priority. Keep in mind that within the medium term this is a general downward correction as the more global up trend continues. OANDA:EURUSD
Short
by KovachTrader
EURUSD Continues to Decline Amid Stronger USDToday, EURUSD continues its downward trajectory, trading below key levels as the US Dollar strengthens. The pair has been under pressure due to positive US economic data, which has fueled expectations of prolonged higher interest rates by the Federal Reserve. Meanwhile, eurozone economic outlook remains uncertain, contributing to the weakening of the Euro. As a result, EURUSD shows no significant signs of recovery, with bearish momentum dominating the market. Traders are now eyeing key support levels to assess the next move for the pair.
by Pierce_Bowers
1
EUR/USD: USD Remains Strong as Market Awaits Key Economic DataThe US Dollar Index (DXY) continues to show strength at the start of the new week, holding firm against the Euro. The Greenback surged last Friday after the release of the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, which revealed a healthier-than-expected US labor market. This solid performance in the world’s largest economy has reassured investors that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will not need to implement aggressive interest rate cuts in the near term. With the stronger labor market, the likelihood of a 50 basis point (bps) rate cut in November has dropped significantly to around 5%, while expectations have shifted to a smaller 25 bps cut in the upcoming meeting. Focus Shifts to Upcoming Economic Data As we move into the week, market attention is firmly on upcoming key events. Tomorrow, the FOMC Meeting Minutes will provide further insights into the Fed’s stance on interest rates. Following that, Wednesday will bring the release of significant data, including the Core CPI m/m, CPI m/m, CPI y/y, and Unemployment Claims. These releases will be crucial in shaping the market's expectations for the Fed’s next moves. While forecasts for these economic reports suggest a potentially worse scenario for the US Dollar, the Greenback has continued to rally over the past week. The direction of the USD may only become clearer after these critical data releases, as they will offer a more detailed picture of the inflationary landscape and labor market health. Technical Analysis: Demand Zones in Focus In the EUR/USD chart, we have identified two key demand areas. The demand zone highlighted in the gold rectangle appears the most plausible if the price drops following the release of the economic news. This area could serve as a critical point for traders to look for potential buy opportunities if the market reacts negatively to the data. At present, we are not holding any active positions in EUR/USD and are carefully watching for the price to approach an area of interest before making any moves. Patience will be key as we await the impact of this week’s economic announcements on the market. Conclusion The US Dollar’s strength remains intact as we head into a week filled with pivotal economic data. With the FOMC Meeting Minutes and inflation data on the horizon, the market is eagerly awaiting clearer direction. For now, the USD is holding its ground, but traders should stay vigilant and wait for confirmation from the upcoming news releases before making any major trading decisions. We remain on standby, watching the EUR/USD pair closely, and will assess potential trade opportunities as the market reacts to the economic developments. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EURUSD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
by FOREXN1
1
Potential bullish rise?EUR/USD has reacted off the support level which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.0955 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Stop loss: 1.0899 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 1.1048 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
1
Euro H4 | Rising into pullback resistanceThe Euro (EUR/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 1.1005 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 1.1065 which is a level that sits above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level and an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 1.0951 which is a multi-swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
EURUSD weakens due to ECB's dovish stance The Eurozone Retail Trade (Aug) increased by 0.2%(MoM), reaching a five-month high in line with expectations. However, the annual figures fell below expectations, indicating a general decline in consumer spending. In contrast, German factory orders experienced a significant 5.8%(MoM) decrease (previously 3.9%, consensus -1.9%). These conflicting economic indicators may compel the ECB to adopt a cautious stance by prioritizing growth and could result in additional monetary easing, potentially leading to a weakening of the euro. EURUSD broke the 1.1000 threshold and consolidated near the 1.0980 level. EMA21 has death-crossed EMA78 and widened the gap between them, indicating a bearish trend. If EURUSD sustains below 1.1000 and breaks 1.0950, the price may fall further to 1.0870. Conversely, if EURUSD breaches the 1.1000 threshold and EMA21, the price could rise to 1.1050.
by inkicho_exness
EURUSD Confirmed sell signal with MA50 (1d) confirmationEURUSD broke below the MA50 (1d) for the first time since August 2nd, which is a technical sell signal. The MA50 (1d) has been the pivot of the Ascending Triangle and every break below it has delivered more downside. Trading Plan: 1. Sell on the next rebound to the MA50 (1d). Targets: 1. 1.078000 (Support A). Tips: 1. The MACD (1d) is posting the same pattern of the December top. Technical sell signal. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
Short
by TradingBrokersView
EURUSD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisEURUSD is moving on support zone The chart is above the support level, which has already become a reversal point twice. We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level. We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level which suggests that the price will continue to rise Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity EURUSD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad ⚜️
Long
by TheGrove
1
EURUSD Scalping-Day trading LONG1st Entry - 15min POI: I decided to open three trades using the OTE reversal strategy within the 0.705 to 0.79 zone, taking advantage of the range between the swing high and swing low. Entry timeframes: 1min Emotions: Calm and confident Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.58 Lot size: 0.5 2nd Entry: Entry Price: 1.0968 Risk/Reward Ratio: 4.53 Lot size: 0.8 Emotions: Calm and confident 3rd Entry: Entry Price: 1.0967 Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.45 Lot size: 0.3 Emotions: Calm, but I entered too quickly, as the price was nearly the same as my second entry. However, I'll close this trade earlier at the STR.
Long
by Jaytradermb
XAU/USD : More Bullish Move ??? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that, as expected, after the NFP news release, which was higher than the forecasted rate, the price experienced a sharp decline, dropping over 290 pips down to $2,632. Following this drop, the price rebounded to gather more liquidity and rose to the key supply level of $2,670, after which it faced another strong decline, correcting down to $2,642. Ultimately, on the last trading day of the past week, the price closed at $2,653.840. Considering the rising tensions between Iran and Israel, if the conflict escalates, I expect Gold to open with further bullish movement. Keep in mind that at the market opening, we could witness high volatility in the price, so it's better to be cautious with your trades and wait for the market to stabilize to find better trading setups during the London and New York sessions. (This analysis will be updated.) Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
14
Euro can rise a little and then continue to decline nextHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price entered to range, where at once fell to the current resistance level and then rebounded up. EUR rose to the top part of the range and then turned around and dropped to the resistance area, thereby exiting from the range. After this, the price started to grow inside the upward channel, making a fake breakout of the 1.1030 level. Inside the channel, the price rose to the 1.1175 level, after which rebounded and fell to the support line of the channel, and then it backed up. EUR even rose higher than the seller zone, reached the resistance line of the channel, and then made a correction movement, breaking the 1.1175 level again. After this, the price in a short time rose to the seller zone and then made an impulse down, thereby breaking the 1.1175 level, and exited from the upward channel. Also soon, Euro broke the 1.1030 level and now it is trying to grow. For this case, I think that the price can grow to the resistance area and then continue to decline more. That's why I set my TP at 1.0900 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
3
DreamAnalysis | EURUSD Critical Levels and Entry Signals✨ Today’s Focus: EUR/USD – A Key Market Asset We’ll delve into recent price movements and provide insights on potential future trends based on significant market levels. 🚨 Previous Analysis Recap: As anticipated, the price reversed downward after sweeping some Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL), establishing both the previous month and week highs. Today, we’ll explore the critical levels that were overlooked during this reversal and how we can leverage them. 📊 Current Market Overview: Currently, the price is hovering just above the Previous Week Low (PWL). We might see a retracement to clear the liquidity below this level, after which we can explore additional scenarios. Additionally, there’s a substantial 4-hour Imbalance Zone nearby; we expect the price to react to it and its 50% level. 🕓 Key Levels to Watch: Here are the crucial zones we’re monitoring: - PMH: Previous Month High - PML: Previous Month Low - PWH: Previous Week High - PWL: Previous Week Low - BSL: Buy-Side Liquidity - SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity - EQL: Equal Lows - Daily FVG: Fair Value Gap (imbalance zone) - 4H FVG: Fair Value Gap (imbalance zone) These levels are vital for identifying where price may accumulate liquidity or rebalance. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) signify zones where the market could retrace to gather orders before continuing its trend. 📈 Bullish Scenario: We can look for bullish entry signals on lower time frames (LTF) at this point. Ideally, we’d want to clear the liquidity behind the Equal Lows (EQL), which coincide with the Previous Week Low (PWL), before seeking our entry model on the lower time frames. 📉 Bearish Scenario: For a bearish outlook, we should focus on lower time frames (LTF) to identify areas of low resistance buy-side liquidity (LBSL). We can also utilize the marked imbalances; once within these zones, we can seek entry opportunities on lower time frames. 📝 Conclusion: Remain adaptable to shifting market conditions. By closely monitoring these key levels and potential scenarios, you can refine your strategy and spot promising opportunities. 🔮 Looking Ahead: Stay tuned for updates as we monitor the NASDAQ, DXY, EUR/USD, and other major currency pairs. Expect timely insights as market trends develop. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
by DreamAnalysis
EURUSD: USD gain on a jobs dataThe US nonfarm payrolls were in the focus of the market attention during the previous week. Posted figure of 254K added jobs in September surprised the market, which was expecting to see 140K. Average hourly earnings were higher by 0,4% in September, bringing it to the level of 4,0% on a yearly basis. Figures were higher from market consensus. The unemployment rate dropped down to 4.1% in September from 4,2% in August. The ISM Manufacturing PMI remained relatively flat in September, at the level of 47,2 which is the same level where the index was standing in August. The ISM Services PMI index reached 54,9 September, much higher from market consensus at 51,7. Preliminary inflation rate in Germany for September surprised the market, with a significant drop to the level of 1,6% y/y, from the previous level of 1,9%. At the same time easing of inflation continues also within the Euro Area, where preliminary inflation in September reached the level of 1,8% y/y, down from 2,2% posted in August. Core inflation continues to be elevated, at the level of 2,7% in September. Unemployment rate in the Euro Zone remained flat in August at the level of 6,4%. The Producers Price Index in the Euro Area was standing at 0,6% for the month in august, bringing the index to the level of -2,3% on a yearly basis. The US non-farm payrolls data and dropping unemployment rate pushed the USD to the higher grounds at Friday's trading session. At the start of the week the eurusd currency pair was testing the 1,12 resistance line, but without strength to pass this level, the currency pair reverted to the downside for the rest of the week. The currency pair is ending the week at the level of 1,097, after reaching the lowest weekly level at 1,095. The RSI turned to the downside, reaching the lowest level at 39, however, the clear oversold market side has not been reached. Moving average of 50 days continued to diverge from MA200, without an indication that the cross might come in the near future period. The level of 1,10 has not been clearly tested during the previous week, which leaves space for the market to test it in a week ahead. As per current sentiment, there is a low probability that this level might be crossed to the upside, in which sense, some further move to the downside is highly probable. The markets will need some time to digest the latest US jobs data, and considering that there are no currently significant macro data set for a release in a week ahead, some stronger moves to either side are highly unlikely. The level of 1,095 might be tested for one more time. Important news to watch during the week ahead are: EUR: Retail Sales in the Euro Zone for August, Industrial Production in Germany in August, Balance of Trade in August in Germany, Inflation Rate in Germany in September. USD: FOMC Meeting Minutes, Inflation Rate in September, Producers Price Index in September, Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary for October.
by XBTFX
EUR/USD Under Pressure Despite Eurozone Retail Sales ReboundThis morning, the Eurozone Retail Sales data showed a slight rebound, rising 0.8% year-on-year (YoY) in August, compared to the 1.0% estimate. On a monthly basis, retail sales increased by 0.2%, aligning with expectations, after being flat in July, according to data released by Eurostat. While this rebound reflects some recovery in consumer activity, the data missed market expectations, which has limited its impact on the Euro. Despite these figures, the EUR/USD pair remains under pressure, largely due to stronger sentiment surrounding the US Dollar. The economic data from the Eurozone was marked as low-impact, further minimizing its influence on the currency pair. As a result, the price of EUR/USD continues to feel the weight of broader market forces. Sentiment Analysis: COT Report Shows Divergence The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals an interesting shift in market sentiment. Retail traders have turned bearish on EUR/USD over the past week, likely reacting to the stronger USD performance and weaker-than-expected Eurozone data. On the other hand, Smart Money (institutional traders) has begun building long positions, suggesting a potential upside as these large market participants start positioning for a future rebound. Technical Outlook: Eyes on the 1.08500 Demand Area We previously closed a bearish position on EUR/USD after a successful trade, as noted in our forecast here: EUR/USD Previous closed Forecast. Looking forward, we are awaiting further price action before considering new positions. The 1.08500 level is a key demand area where we expect the price may find support and possibly reject the previous low. A decline to this area seems likely, and we are watching closely for consolidation and potential entry signals around this level. At the moment, however, we remain on the sidelines until a clearer opportunity presents itself. Conclusion While the Eurozone Retail Sales figures showed a modest rebound, they missed expectations, and the overall impact on the EUR/USD pair has been minimal. The pair remains under pressure, with the USD benefiting from recent economic data and hawkish remarks from the US Federal Reserve. We are watching for a potential price drop to the 1.08500 demand area, where a rebound could occur, but no new positions will be taken until the market offers clearer signals. For now, patience is key as we wait for EUR/USD to reach an area of interest that may provide a solid entry point. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EURUSD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
by FOREXN1
1
Is It Still Bearish for the EURUSDWhile on the Monthly and Weekly we see this pair in a bearish swing, on the Daily, it appears to be in a Bullish swing. We have seen prices while sustaining the bullish swing, go through a strong bearish retracement. Price has come all the way into the Daily reversal zone. At this point, we expect to see some form of reversal and for prices to begin the bullish extension towards the Daily liquidity target. Where this happens, we will look to enter on long positions, using the panzy pips trading system. In the unlikely event that prices continue to dip and the zone is breached, we will be look to see prices head for the Weekly liquidity target down below. For whatever it is worth, the more likely direction, as at now, is a bullish reversal in the current zone, followed by a rally all the way up towards the Daily liquidity target.
Long
by PanzyPips