EURUSD formed the first 4H Death Cross in 4 months.The Double Top on EURUSD last time we mentioned it (September 23, see chart below) worked perfectly and followed its technical bearish bias as not only did the price got rejected but also broke below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and marginally the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the May's Channel Up:
At the same time, the pair just completed its first Death Cross on the 4H time-frame in almost 4 months (since June 14) and every time in the past 2 and more years (except June 14) that it made that formation, it gave a solid medium-term (at least) sell signal.
As a result, there is no reason to diverge from the 1.08350 bearish Target, which as with the February 14 Low, it is on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level.
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Eurusd-4
EUR/USD Analysis: The Exchange Rate Falls Below 1.100EUR/USD Analysis: The Exchange Rate Falls Below 1.100
As shown in today's EUR/USD chart, the euro has dropped below the 1.100 level against the US dollar. This decline is partly due to Friday's strong US jobs report, which revealed:
→ the largest job growth in six months,
→ a decrease in the unemployment rate,
→ solid wage growth.
These factors suggest a resilient US economy and increase the likelihood of a "soft landing" following the inflation surge.
Technical analysis of the EUR/USD chart:
→ Since July, price movements have formed an ascending channel (shown in blue), but it now faces the immediate threat of a bearish breakout after sellers prevented the price from rising above 1.12.
→ The psychological level of 1.10 could shift from support (indicated by an arrow) to resistance.
Note that Friday's decline was rapid, and it’s possible that the downward momentum could continue into this week.
On the other hand, bulls still have a chance to regain control at the lower boundary of the channel (which could trigger a rebound). If they fail to do so, traders should be prepared for the emergence of a potential downward channel on the EUR/USD chart (its possible outline is shown by red lines).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#EURUSD 1DAYEUR/USD 1-Day Chart Analysis:
Pattern: The EUR/USD currency pair is forming a channel pattern on the 1-day chart. This indicates that the price has been moving between two parallel trendlines, where the upper trendline acts as resistance and the lower trendline acts as support. The pattern suggests that the market is in a consolidation phase with no clear breakout direction yet.
Forecast: Sell. Given the current market structure, the EUR/USD appears to be closer to the resistance of the channel, which often provides opportunities for short-selling. A bearish reversal at the top of the channel could lead to a downside move towards the lower trendline. Traders might look for bearish signals such as a rejection of the upper trendline, decreasing momentum, or bearish candlestick patterns before entering a short position.
Risks: A breakout above the upper trendline could invalidate the sell signal and suggest potential upside. Therefore, it is crucial to monitor the price action closely around key levels.
EURUSD Sell SetupTime Frame:
- Daily: (FVG Identification)
- 4-hour: (FVG Identifiication)
1. Trend Confirmation:
Identified a Change of Character (CoC) by the break of the previous support at 1.1000, indicating a reversal in market sentiment and a new bearish trend.
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG):
On both the daily chart and H4, I’ve noted a confluent Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 1.1087 and 1.1097. This gap could serve as a potential reversal zone if the price retraces to this area.
3. Entry Signal
Waiting for any reversal candle pattern on the 4-hour chart, if the price touches the identified FVG zone.
4. Trade Execution
Entry Price: Wait for confirmation
SL: 1.1115 (below above Daily FVG)
TP1: 1.0950 (previous low)
TP2: 1.0795 (1.618 Fibonacci)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:11
Monitoring: Check-in daily at 8 AM & 8 PM
5. Outcome:
Exit Price:
Profit/Loss: pips
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Disclaimer
The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
EURUSD Multi Timeframe Analysis 07.10.202415m Swing and Internal are Bearish
Price probably will target the 15m weak low from here and mitigate 4H demand below before we see a bullish momentum
For shorts you may follow bearish internal order flow
For longs ideally wait for 15m Internal Structure to turn bullish
EURUSD PROBABILITY/BOSIBILITYCurrent Market Overview: The EUR/USD pair is showing consolidation in a key no trade area, with price trading sideways between levels of liquidity and a Fair Value Gap (FVG). Let's dive deeper into the potential price movements based on this market structure.
Key Zones Identified:
Fair Value Gap (FVG):
The FVG on the 15-minute chart is located slightly above the current price. This area typically attracts the price as it represents inefficiency where orders are likely to be filled.
Watch for a potential move upwards to fill this gap before any significant market direction is established.
Liquidity Zone:
A key liquidity zone is marked just above the FVG. Liquidity zones are areas where stop-losses of traders are clustered, creating an opportunity for market makers to push prices in these areas to capture that liquidity.
If the price moves toward this zone, expect a reaction as buyers or sellers attempt to capitalize on this liquidity.
No Trade Area:
The current price is in a no trade area, which suggests that it's a period of indecision and low trading volume. Traders should wait for a breakout before making entries to avoid getting trapped in consolidations.
This zone is bounded by resistance near 1.09800 and support near 1.09400.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
If the price breaks above the current consolidation zone, we could see the price head towards the liquidity area and fill the Fair Value Gap around the 1.10024 level. Traders might look for buy setups targeting this zone.
Bearish Scenario:
On the other hand, if the price breaks downwards from the current no trade area, there is potential to see a move towards the next support zone around 1.09125. This could provide a selling opportunity for those aiming to short the pair.
Strategy Consideration:
Wait for Confirmation: Since the price is in a no trade area, it is advisable to wait for a breakout either above or below the current range. Entering before a clear trend emerges could expose traders to unnecessary risk.
Watch Key Levels: Traders should closely monitor the FVG and liquidity zones for potential entry points. These levels often act as magnets, drawing the price to them before reversing or continuing the trend.
Conclusion: Currently, EUR/USD is consolidating with key areas of interest just above and below the market price. A breakout from the no trade area will give us a clearer indication of the next major move. As always, ensure you have proper risk management in place and trade with a plan.
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Geopolitical Concerns Support Gold PricesGold price remains resilient, with buyers showing persistence as long as the static support at $2,630 holds firm.
Gold's recent struggle to capitalize on the US Dollar's pullback, following the Greenback's seven-week highs, is notable. Despite weakening US Treasury bond yields, which typically support Gold prices, other global dynamics are weighing on the precious metal. Market risk sentiment remains elevated, driven by expectations of further stimulus measures from China as markets reopened after a week-long break. This surge in risk appetite has suppressed demand for traditional safe-haven assets like Gold and US bonds.
Another factor dampening Gold's outlook is the shifting sentiment regarding Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cuts. Following stronger-than-expected US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, which reported robust job growth of 254,000 in September, expectations for a 50 basis points (bps) rate cut by the Fed have almost disappeared. The probability of a 25 bps cut is now seen at 94%, leaving little room for further dovish moves. This has reduced Gold’s short-term appeal, as higher interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like Gold.
However, geopolitical concerns continue to support Gold prices. The escalating conflict between Israel and Iran, highlighted by Israeli airstrikes on Hezbollah targets in Beirut and retaliatory rocket launches by Hezbollah into northern Israel, raises the risk of a broader regional war in the Middle East. This geopolitical uncertainty keeps safe-haven demand for Gold alive, counterbalancing the downward pressure from global risk appetite and Fed expectations.
EURUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.1006, which is a pullback resistance close to the 23.6% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 1.0940, a pullback support level close to 127.2% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss will be at 1.1081, an overlap resistance level close to 50% Fibo retracement.
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Bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD is falling towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.0943
1st Support: 1.0894
1st Resistance: 1.1003
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GBP/USD Faces Continued Bearish PressureThe GBP/USD pair continues to experience downward pressure, primarily due to the resilience of the US Dollar. After breaking the key psychological level of 1.3100 following the release of stronger-than-expected US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, GBP/USD remains in a corrective phase. The NFP report showed a job growth of 254K in September, significantly surpassing the 140K forecast. Additionally, the Unemployment Rate dropped to 4.1%, further strengthening the US labor market outlook and reducing the likelihood of aggressive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed). As a result, the US Dollar has extended its gains, limiting any upward momentum for GBP/USD.
Fundamentally, the Pound remains under pressure due to the dovish rhetoric from Bank of England (BoE) officials. Early Thursday, Governor Andrew Bailey's comments triggered a selloff in the Pound as the market interpreted his remarks as signaling imminent monetary easing. Although BoE Chief Economist Huw Pill struck a more cautious tone, stating that policymakers must avoid cutting rates "too far or too fast," this has done little to offset the bearish sentiment.
In conclusion, the combination of a stronger US Dollar, resilient US labor market data, and the dovish BoE rhetoric creates a challenging environment for GBP/USD. Unless the pair can break through key resistance levels, the path of least resistance remains to the downside, with potential targets at 1.3050 and 1.3000 in the short term.
EURUSD Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
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Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
XAU/USD : NFP's effect on the market! (READ THE CAPTION)In the latest analysis of the gold chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that, as expected, yesterday the price rose to $2654, and exactly after reaching this key level, it faced heavy selling pressure and corrected by 175 pips down to $2637. After hitting the target of $2638 and gathering the liquidity below this level, buying pressure emerged, and today it managed to rise to $2667. Currently, gold is trading around $2656, and in less than 30 minutes, the NFP data will be released. If the figures come in higher than the forecast, it could lead to a decline in gold prices to lower levels, and conversely, if the figures are below the forecast, it could lead to an increase in gold prices. Please note that the risk of an Israel-Iran war still hangs over this market, so we should be cautious with our personal trades. Personally, I believe that today the NFP figures will be higher than expected, which may lead to a decline in gold prices. The potential targets are $2654.5, $2649, $2642.5, and $2638, respectively.
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EURUSD 6/10/24Starting off the week with euro to the US dollar. I bearish bias came into play as we thought it might. we now have a longer term bearish outlook for this pair. We swept all of the liquidity that was based on the lower end of price action except for the low that we have marked which is relatively close to current price We have an area of supply to watch if we pull back to go lower. We also have a liquid high that's seated above that point. So take into consideration that we may break through the short term trajectory that we have made. this can give us a higher pullback to the upper higher time frame water block if this happens we are still expecting a short main bias here is for the area of supply to be tapped into in price action to sell to the low that we have marked.
Trade safe, stick to your plan and your risk.
Bitcoin Weekly Analysis : Bull or Bear? Let's See (READ CAPTION)By analyzing the #Bitcoin chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the current price is around $62,640. We observed that after dropping to $60,000 due to the ongoing conflict between Iran and Israel, the price was met with strong demand and, as mentioned earlier, has rebounded 4% to the current level. If the conflict continues, there is a high probability that Bitcoin will See target levels below $60,000 and even $52,000. Therefore, keep in mind that the most crucial support level for Bitcoin at the moment is between $60,000 and $60,200. This analysis will be updated accordingly.
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Daily analyzes of EURUSD - Dollar regains lost positionsAmong the important fundamentals from Monday is Factory Orders for the month of August in Germany from 8am GMT. It is very likely that we will see another contraction that will negatively affect the Euro. In general, the industry in Germany has started to shrink and there are no chances for growth.
The other important news is related to retail sales in the Eurozone at 11am GMT. Although we expect levels around zero or very little growth in retail sales.
Among the world events that affect the currency markets are the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East, where mainly the Euro may suffer due to disrupted supplies of both goods and fuels.
Overall, the Dollar will be in a stronger position this week and we at World-Signals.com expect the Dollar to strengthen against the Euro.
In the last week, the Dollar has taken about 200 pips on the Euro. In retrospect, the Dollar had 3 losing weeks, and only in the last one did it regain some of the lost positions.
Use the 1.1010 levels to open short positions with a 6-8 business day closing target.
GBP/USD : First Long, Then SHORT! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the GBP/USD chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that the price has dropped more than 200 pips since last week up until now, finally reaching the demand level we had marked on the chart. After reaching the 1.30720 demand level, the price encountered strong demand pressure, rising over 60 pips and ultimately closing at 1.31132 . The total return of this analysis so far has been over 260 pips . It is likely that after an initial upward movement, we will see further price correction.
The Main Analysis :
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WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST SEPT 7-11th: EURUSD EURUSD is at an OTE level currently, and may find support for higher prices. I am on the lookout for BUY setups, as I do not want to take shorts in this market until prices breaks below 1.0940.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
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EURUSD Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear friends,
EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.0971 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.1027
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.0935
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURO - Price can reach resistance area and then bounce downHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price rose to $1.1135 level, which coincided with the resistance level, and at once bounced down.
Price fell to $1.1005 level and then started to grow inside wedge, where it in a short time reached $1.1135 level.
After this, price some time traded between this level, until it finally broke it and then rose higher than resistance zone.
But then, EUR turned around and made strong downward impulse, thereby exiting from wedge and breaking $1.1135 and $1.1005 level.
Also, price little fell more, but recently it turned around and started to grow, so, I think it can reach resistance area.
Then Euro can bounce from resistance zone and start to decline to $1.0900
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