XAU/USD: Bull or Bear? Let's Find Out! (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after our previous analysis, the price first corrected to the $3323 area and is currently trading around $3336. As mentioned in the previous analysis, as long as the price remains above $3313, we can expect further upside for gold. Based on the prior analysis, the next bullish targets are $3342, $3358, $3366, and $3394.
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Eurusd-4
EURUSD: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 1.13300 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 1.13052 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
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trap ya “liquidity grab” jaisa zone ho sakta hai.Jahan sab buyers wave 5 ko continuation samajh ke buy karein,
Tumhara analysis keh raha hai ki wahan se reversal hoga.
Ye trap ya “liquidity grab” jaisa zone ho sakta hai.
Chart me price ne 5 wave ka bullish pattern complete kiya.
Ab wo Supply Zone me hai jahan se girne ke chances hain.
Tum expect kar rahe ho BOS ke saath downtrend shuru hoga.
Final target lower demand zones tak hai.
EURUSD Bearish Setup | Head and Shoulders BreakdownEUR/USD has formed a clear Head and Shoulders pattern on the 15-minute chart, indicating a potential short-term trend reversal.
Key Technical Points:
Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder are well-defined.
Price has broken below the neckline support around 1.1375, confirming bearish intent.
Volume confirms the selling pressure on the right shoulder breakdown.
Target area aligns with previous price action around 1.1294, a likely support zone.
Risk is controlled with a stop above the invalidation level near 1.1376.
This setup reflects classical price action structure and could offer a clean downside move if momentum continues.
📊 Pure technical structure — pattern-based idea with disciplined trade planning.
EURUSD Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1346
Bias -Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1371
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AudCad..PWL taken!!Good day traders, I’m back with another setup on AudCad and I like that previous week low was taken. We can now look at the power of 3 with higher TF in mind.
On the 4H TF price has been bearish but we can see that price left very “smooth” highs(relative equal highs) but ICT teaches us that price will always go back to make the smooth highs, smooth cries(liquidity sweep).
Before price took our low it left a FVG that’s we wanna see turn into an inverse.
The first target has to be our internal liquidity than the external liquidity that also has relatively equal highs too.
EUR/USD Holds Above 16-Year ChannelThe U.S. dollar, pressured by debt concerns, has declined toward critical 2025 lows near the 98 level. Meanwhile, the euro has stabilized near 1.1380, now trading above the upper boundary of a 16-year descending channel originating from the 2008 peak and extending through 2024.
This breakout positions EUR/USD for a potential long-term bullish move—provided the DXY confirms further downside. A firm monthly close above 1.16 would confirm the breakout, setting sights on highs from 2018 and 2021, between 1.20 and 1.24.
On the downside, key pullback levels are 1.1270, 1.1140, and 1.1070. A break below those could extend pressure toward 1.0990 and 1.0890.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
Euro Nears $1.14 as Dollar is PressuredEUR/USD climbed to $1.1395, approaching a one-month high as the dollar softened amid mounting U.S. fiscal concerns and uncertainty over Trump’s tax-and-spending bill. Risk sentiment improved after Trump delayed a planned 50% tariff on EU goods, easing fears of a transatlantic trade clash. The euro also gained from ECB President Lagarde’s remarks that it could strengthen as a global currency if EU institutions were reinforced.
Resistance is at 1.1425, with additional levels at 1.1460 and 1.1580. Support begins at 1.1260, followed by 1.1100 and 1.1050.
EURUSD INTRADAY uptrend supported at 1.1300Trend Overview:
EUR/USD continues to exhibit a bullish price structure, supported by a rising trendline and higher lows. Recent intraday action reflects a corrective pullback, suggesting a temporary pause within the broader uptrend.
Key Technical Levels:
Support: 1.1300 (primary), followed by 1.1235 and 1.1180
Resistance: 1.1430 (initial), then 1.1470 and 1.1500
Technical Outlook:
A pullback toward 1.1300, which coincides with the previous consolidation zone, may present a bullish continuation setup. A confirmed bounce from this level could open the path toward 1.1430, with 1.1470 and 1.1500 as potential longer-term targets.
However, a daily close below 1.1300 would indicate a breakdown of near-term bullish momentum. This scenario would increase the likelihood of a deeper correction toward 1.1235, and possibly 1.1180.
Conclusion:
The outlook for EUR/USD remains constructively bullish, contingent on the 1.1300 support holding. A bounce from this level would reinforce the uptrend. Conversely, a decisive break below 1.1300 would shift the short-term bias to bearish, suggesting further downside toward the 1.1200 area.
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EURUSD – Bouncing on trendline amid EU optimismEURUSD continues to hold a strong upward momentum within a short-term ascending channel. After retesting the channel bottom around the 1.1360 zone, price is showing signs of rebounding, and a "small double bottom" pattern appears to be forming. If confirmed, EURUSD may rally toward the resistance area at 1.1447.
Factors supporting the bullish trend:
Trump temporarily postponed the 50% tariff on EU goods until July 9 → Trade tensions ease, supporting the euro.
Germany's Q1 GDP grew by 0.4% – above expectations → Boosts confidence in Eurozone recovery.
The ECB aims to elevate the euro’s global role (digital euro, cross-border payment improvements).
Potential scenario:
If the 1.1360 zone holds (channel bottom + EMA support), there is a high chance that price will retest and break above the 1.1447 resistance.
EURUSD H4 | Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently at our sell entry at 1.1397 (Bearish OB)
Our take profit will be at 1.1342, a pullback support.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.1457, above the 161.8% Fibo extension.
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Deciphering EURUSD —Highest Level Since 2018 (1.40)This was a hard chart, I couldn't quite put my finger on it. I had to check multiple timeframes and several indicators, it was all mixed, plus, I had the geopolitical landscape in mind which made it even harder. All is clear after looking at the monthly timeframe. The weekly and daily MACD were also of help. MA200 revealed the trend. The RSI as well.
Here is the conclusion: The Euro is going to rally against the dollar. Next long-term target is 1.40 as shown on the chart. There will be a strong rise on this pair.
Current monthly candle is quite revealing, this month will close ultra-strong, super bullish signal. Four months closing green. Rising volume.
I don't know how you trade this stuff but the trend is up. Betting with the trend can increase positive results. EURUSD is going up. Up, up, up, up, up, up, up.
Namaste.
USD/JPY Breakdown: Is 140 the Next Target? Smart Money Says Yes!USD/JPY is currently in a highly interesting technical and macro phase, characterized by divergences between price action and institutional positioning, negative seasonal signals, and retail sentiment that goes against what would typically be expected in a reversal scenario. Let’s break it down:
1. Institutional Positioning (COT Report)
The COT data reveals a mixed picture with bearish implications for USD/JPY:
On the USD side, non-commercial traders continue to increase their net long exposure (+2,044 new long contracts this week). However, this rise is almost equally offset by +1,975 new shorts, indicating indecision and hedging activity.
For the Japanese Yen, non-commercials (speculators) are significantly rebuilding long JPY positions, while commercials have started covering their short exposure.
📌 Implication: The net flow favors the Yen, meaning bearish pressure on USD/JPY. The increase in JPY long positions reflects expectations of a stronger Yen in the short to medium term.
2. Historical Seasonality
Seasonal data reinforces the bearish bias:
In May and June, USD/JPY has historically posted negative returns.
The 5-year average shows -0.57 in May and -0.76 in June, with both the 2Y and 10Y averages confirming a similar downward seasonal pattern.
📌 Implication: The current seasonal window does not favor a USD rebound vs. the Yen. Historically, the likelihood of downside increases into early summer.
3. Retail Sentiment
Retail traders are heavily long, with 64% positioned long on USD/JPY versus 36% short.
📌 Implication: From a contrarian perspective, this is a bearish signal. Markets tend to move against retail positioning, adding further downside risk.
4. Price Action & Technical Structure (Daily Chart)
On the weekly chart:
Price broke the key 144.00 support decisively, closing the week at 142.81.
Structure shows lower highs and lower lows, typical of a bearish trend.
RSI is falling but still above oversold levels, leaving room for further downside.
First demand zone: 141.50–142.20. A confirmed break could open the way to 140.00–139.80.
Key resistance on any pullback: 145.00–146.00.
📌 Implication: The confirmed break of support activated a bearish continuation setup, unless short-term bounces offer new sell opportunities near resistance.
5. Market Depth
Market depth shows a strong cluster of long orders above current levels, while short volumes appear fragmented. This suggests any short-term rally could face aggressive selling between 144.50–145.50.
🎯 Conclusion & Operational Outlook
The overall context points to a high probability of further downside in USD/JPY over the short to medium term:
Smart money is rotating toward the Yen.
Seasonal patterns historically support a drop in May–June.
Contrarian retail sentiment adds additional bearish weight.
The weekly chart confirms a break of structure, opening space below 141.50.
GBPAUD…being the best is a mindset!!Good day traders, I am back again with another great setup and again another opportunity to learn something new.
On the daily TF on GBpAUD we still in a bearish structure and if we use the 2022 model, we had a structure shift lower and now that price is retesting the OTE entry levels we can now expect price to shoot lower, before you asked about the recent FVG on 4H TF. That newly formed BISI is that candle that created the BPR and from what I’ve learned is that price normally shoots past BPR’s.
My poll of liquidity is resting below(weekly), that Ray line makes weekly represents previous week’s low which we want to see the market get to. Just on top of that ray line we have a FVG that price left open, we also wanna see price fill that FVG fully.
EUR-USD Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD made a retest
Of the key horizontal
Support level of 1.1369
And we are already seeing
A bullish rebound so we will
Be expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD Rally already underway on the 1D MA50.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up since practically the beginning of the year. The recent rebound (May 12) on its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) has technically started the pattern's new Bullish Leg.
Given that the previous two have risen by +7.50% on average, and were both confirmed by a 1D MACD Bullish Cross like the one formed today, we expect a minimum +7.20% rise from the bottom. Our Target is 1.18500.
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EURUSD: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 1.13787 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 1.13975.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD: Short Signal Explained
EURUSD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell EURGBP
Entry - 1.1383
Stop - 1.1438
Take - 1.1272
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Gold H4 Technical update and key levels bulls/bears📊 Technical Outlook Update H4
🏆 Bull Market Overview
▪️stuck in range for now
▪️overhead resistances will limit upside
▪️Bears key S/R: 3410/3460 USD
▪️Bulls key S/R: 3160/3240 USD
▪️Expect range price action
▪️Focus on selling high / buying low
▪️volatility likely to remain low
▪️next few weeks as no major headlines
⭐️Recommended strategy
▪️short high and buy low
▪️detailed price levels above
▪️right now no trade recommended
Latest gold market updates:
📈 Gold surges as renewed tariff threats and geopolitical tensions drive safe-haven demand.
💳 Fiscal concerns escalate after the U.S. credit rating is downgraded, increasing investor interest in gold.
📊 Analysts identify $3,300 as a crucial support level, with strong buying interest keeping prices elevated.
🔮 Major banks project gold to surpass $4,000 per ounce within the next year, citing robust demand from both investors and central banks.
💍 Record gold prices prompt jewelry designers to shift toward 14-karat gold and alternative materials to control costs.
📉 Gold jewelry demand in India continues to decline due to high prices, while investment gold purchases rise.
🌍 Central banks, especially in emerging markets, sustain gold purchases to hedge against currency volatility and inflation.
🛡 Gold maintains key support above $3,200 despite market volatility and profit-taking pressures.
📈 Leading investment banks remain bullish, forecasting significant upside for gold through year-end.
💰 Gold is currently trading near $3,358 per ounce, reflecting ongoing volatility and global economic uncertainty.
Pullback or Deeper Reversal After False Breakout Near 1.1425? EUR/USD Weekly Plan: Pullback or Deeper Reversal After False Breakout Near 1.1425?
🧭 MARKET OVERVIEW
EUR/USD surged toward a new monthly high at 1.1425 earlier this week but quickly lost momentum and retraced to the 1.137x zone as the US Dollar bounced back. While the short-term recovery in DXY supported the dip, macro uncertainty surrounding Trump’s erratic trade policies continues to raise questions about the dollar’s long-term credibility.
Meanwhile, Germany’s revised Q1 GDP growth of 0.4% (vs. 0.2% prior) helped support EUR, reinforcing its appeal as a safe alternative to the greenback.
📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1 Chart)
Main Trend: Short-term correction after strong bullish rally
Resistance Levels:
1.14165 → Previous top, strong reversal zone
1.14017 → Minor supply zone
Support Levels:
1.13476 → Key break structure zone
1.12791 → Daily demand zone & previous FVG bottom
Indicators:
EMA 20 & EMA 50 crossover signals weakening bullish momentum
Price Pattern: Potential double top forming below 1.1425
🌐 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT
Trump’s tariff threat postponed to July 9, but his unpredictable tone weakens USD trust.
Germany Q1 GDP upgraded to 0.4% → boosts confidence in Eurozone’s economic resilience.
ECB expected to cut rates in June, with policymakers showing confidence inflation will reach 2% target this year.
This week’s key focus:
→ US PCE Price Index (April)
→ EU May HICP (CPI)
These will drive short-term volatility and determine breakout/reversal confirmation.
✅ TRADE SETUPS
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 1.1400–1.1416
SL: 1.1440
TP: 1.1382 → 1.1347 → 1.1279
🟢 BUY SCALP ZONE:
Entry: 1.1345–1.1347
SL: 1.1320
TP: 1.1382 → 1.1400
📌 Preferred scenario: Look for bearish confirmation around 1.1400–1.1416 to enter short. Avoid aggressive buys unless price strongly holds above 1.1384.
🧩 CONCLUSION
EUR/USD is showing signs of exhaustion after testing 1.1425. If bears reclaim 1.1384 and hold below 1.1347, deeper correction toward 1.1279 is likely. Conversely, if bulls defend 1.1345 and CPI/PCE data disappoints, price may retest highs.
EURUSD - SHORT PREDICTION - MONDAY, 26TH MAY 2025A pullback appears to be underway, following a sweep of inducement around the 15-minute level at 1.13900—marking our first significant Change of Character (CHoCH). This shift aligns with the broader narrative from the 1-hour timeframe, suggesting the potential for a deeper retracement into the extreme 1H order block.
With the current price trading around 1.13777, we anticipate a move back up to the 1.14078 level. This area is of interest for initiating short positions, in line with the ongoing correction.
Our first take-profit target is set at 1.13368, where we expect an initial reaction. Should bearish momentum continue, we foresee price extending lower to sweep the previous daily low at 1.12771 and potentially tapping into the daily external order block at 1.12664.
From there, we’ll closely monitor price behavior. If bullish intent begins to form, we’ll assess the potential for long setups targeting a move back toward the weekly high at 1.14190.