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Eurusd-4

BTC - Bullflag Pattern points to new ATHMarket Context Bitcoin has been trading within a well-defined descending channel for several weeks now, respecting both upper and lower boundaries with precision (3 touches on the top, 2 on the bottom). This structure suggests an orderly pullback after a strong impulsive leg to the upside in Q2. As price compresses within this flag-like pattern, market participants are watching closely for signs of breakout or breakdown. Bullish Fair Value Gap Reaction Recently, price dipped into a Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) and bounced strongly — a key bullish signal indicating that demand stepped in at the inefficiency. The FVG also aligns with a retest of the channel’s resistance-turned-support, further validating the bounce. This confluence zone acts as a springboard for potential continuation. Channel Breakout & Liquidity Above ATH Price has now broken above the channel structure, shifting the market narrative from consolidation to potential expansion. The breakout zone is located just beneath the All-Time High (ATH) — an area that’s likely loaded with stop orders and breakout buys. A sweep or clean break above the ATH would not only invalidate the prior bearish structure but also trigger a fresh wave of bullish momentum. Bull Flag Continuation Potential Structurally, this chart presents a classic bull flag breakout. After a strong impulsive leg up and a controlled consolidation phase, we now see bullish continuation potential toward the 112,000–114,000 region. If the ATH gets breached and reclaimed, it could become strong support in the next leg higher. Final Thoughts This is the type of setup that blends both technical precision and market psychology — structure, liquidity, and momentum all coming together. Whether you're already long or watching for confirmation, this move could set the tone for Bitcoin’s next major rally. If you found this analysis helpful or thought-provoking, please give it a like! And let me know in the comments — do you see this as a true breakout or a trap in disguise?
Long
by Louigi_24
86
GBP/CHF Headed to 1.10 – But Bulls Might Regret It📉 1. Price Action & Technical Structure (D1) Key demand zone tested with bullish reaction: Price reacted strongly around the 1.0790–1.0840 structural demand area, previously the origin of a significant bullish impulse. The latest daily candle closed above the previous swing low, suggesting a potential technical rebound. Immediate target: The 1.0980–1.1010 zone, aligning with: A clear supply area RSI bouncing from oversold territory A visible imbalance left unfilled Technical bias: Short-term LONG to fill the imbalance before a potential institutional-driven short setup at supply. 2. Retail Sentiment 86% of traders are LONG, with an average entry of 1.0997 Only 14% are SHORT, with lower volume and better pricing Current price: 1.0833, meaning most long traders are in drawdown Contrarian view: The heavy long positioning creates a liquidity pool between 1.0990–1.1010, making that zone highly attractive for institutional distribution and liquidation of retail longs, especially if accompanied by a structural shift. 🎯 Operational impact: Supports a technical long to 1.10, but high risk of reversal once that level is reached. 3. COT Report GBP (British Pound – CME) Non-commercials: Long: -6,434 → massive unwind of bullish exposure Short: +2,028 → rising bearish bets Net positioning is increasingly bearish Commercials: Long: +7,459 → increasing coverage against GBP weakness Short: -569 → slight reduction Positioning is mixed, but commercials are taking defensive long positions GBP interpretation: Bearish pressure rising from institutional speculators, despite some commercial support. CHF (Swiss Franc – CME) Non-commercials: Long: +327 Short: +1,215 Net positioning still heavily short, but shorts increasing again Commercials: Long: +1,909 Short: +307 Commercials are accumulating long CHF positions (bullish sign) CHF interpretation: Divergence between commercials (bullish CHF) and speculators (still short) → shift may be underway. 4. July Seasonality GBP: Historically strong in July, especially the last 2 years (+3.5%) Positive tendency across 10y/15y/20y averages CHF: Also seasonally positive in July, but underperforms GBP across most timeframes (except 2Y where CHF is also strong) Operational impact: Favors short-term bullish GBP/CHF bias, supported by seasonal momentum. ✅ Final Outlook Current short-term bias is bullish, driven by: Clear technical rebound Visible imbalance toward 1.10 Seasonal divergence in favor of GBP However, excessive retail long positioning + COT speculative pressure on GBP suggest this rally could be a distribution phase, offering an optimal short opportunity at 1.10.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
3
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) 4-hour timeframe Smart Money Concept (SMC)📌 Key Zones: Zone Type Price Area Importance Premium ~111,000-112,000 Sell area / resistance Buyers Box ~107,000-108,500 Current minor support FVG Zone ~100,000–106,000 Strong buy zone with imbalance Discount Below 102,000 High interest zone for large buyers Resistance Target 111,627.83 Key liquidity target --- 🔔 Conclusion: As long as buyers defend the current support, price can target the 111.6K resistance. If rejected, deeper discount entries may be formed in the FVG zone, giving smart money a chance to reaccumulate. Keep an eye on economic calendar/news (indicated by icons on chart) which might trigger volatility near July 10.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Greenfireforex
$EUIRYY - Europe CPI (June/2025)ECONOMICS:EUIRYY 2% June/2025 source: EUROSTAT - Eurozone consumer price inflation rose slightly to 2.0% year-on-year in June 2025, up from May’s eight-month low of 1.9% and in line with market expectations, according to a preliminary estimate. The figure aligns with the European Central Bank’s official target. Among major economies, inflation in Germany unexpectedly declined, while France and Spain saw modest increases and Italy’s rate held steady.
ECONOMICS:EUIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
Euro can rebound up from support area to 1.1860 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. In this chart, we can see how the price has been moving confidently inside an upward channel after breaking out of a wedge formation. Previously, price consolidated within a narrowing wedge pattern above the buyer zone and broke upward, showing strong bullish momentum. That breakout initiated the current uptrend and led to the formation of a new support area. Now, price is pulling back from the resistance line of the channel and approaching this support area, which also coincides with the support line of the channel. This confluence increases the probability of a bullish reaction in this region. The structure suggests that buyers may step in around this level, preventing a deeper retracement. If the pair bounces off the support zone, I expect a continuation of the uptrend toward the upper boundary of the channel. For that reason, I set my TP at 1.1860 points, almost aligning with the resistance line of the channel. Given the current price action, the bullish structure, and strong reaction levels, I remain bullish and anticipate a rebound followed by further growth toward my target. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Long
by LegionQ8
16
Candlestick Patterns - How to read them like a ProOverview Candlestick charts serve as a cornerstone in technical analysis, presenting price activity in a visually digestible format. By examining how prices move over a given timeframe, traders gain key insights into potential market direction, sentiment shifts, and trend strength. Mastering candlestick interpretation is essential for identifying bullish or bearish sentiment, as well as for spotting possible trend reversals or continuations. Still, candlesticks alone don’t paint the full picture—using them without broader context increases the risk of false signals. --- What You'll Learn What are candlestick charts? Common bearish candlestick patterns Common bullish candlestick patterns How to apply candlestick analysis in trading --- What is a Candlestick Chart? A candlestick provides a snapshot of an asset’s price behavior during a specific time interval, whether it's one minute, one hour, or one day. This format allows traders to quickly assess how the price has moved within that period. Each candle reveals four price points: * Open – the price at the beginning of the interval * Close – the price at the end of the interval * High – the highest price reached * Low – the lowest price during that time Anatomy of a Candlestick: * Body: The thick section between the open and close. A green (or white) body means the close was higher than the open (bullish), while red (or black) means the opposite (bearish). * Wicks (or Shadows): Thin lines extending from the body to indicate the high and low. * Upper wick: Marks the highest traded price * Lower wick: Marks the lowest traded price --- Bearish Candlestick Patterns Understanding bearish candlestick patterns helps traders identify moments when buying momentum might be running out—setting the stage for a potential downward shift. Evening Star A three-candle formation that signals a shift from buying pressure to selling dominance. It starts with a strong bullish candle, followed by a small-bodied candle of indecision, and concludes with a large bearish candle that cuts deep into the first. This pattern often appears at the end of an uptrend. Bearish Engulfing This setup includes a small bullish candle followed by a large bearish candle that completely swallows the previous one. It indicates that sellers have seized control, potentially marking the beginning of a downward trend. Shooting Star With a small real body near the low and a long upper wick, this pattern reflects strong early buying that is ultimately rejected by the close—suggesting fading bullish momentum. Gravestone Doji This candle opens, closes, and hits its low all around the same price, leaving a long upper wick. It suggests that bulls pushed higher during the session but were overpowered by bears by the close. Three Crows Three consecutive bearish candles, all approximately the same size. These indicate that a sell off is coming soon. --- Bullish Candlestick Patterns Bullish patterns can alert traders to possible reversals after a downtrend or strengthen conviction during an uptrend. Morning Star This three-candle formation marks a potential turning point from bearish to bullish. It begins with a strong bearish candle, followed by a smaller candle showing indecision, and ends with a large bullish candle breaking upward—signaling buying strength is returning. Bullish Engulfing This two-candle pattern begins with a bearish candle, then a larger bullish candle that completely envelops the previous body. It reflects a sharp transition in sentiment, suggesting renewed buying pressure. Dragonfly Doji A single candle where the open, close, and high are all very close, with a long lower wick. It shows sellers pushed prices lower but buyers stepped in and brought them back up—an early sign of possible reversal. Hammer A classic bullish reversal signal that features a small real body near the top and a long lower shadow. It indicates a battle where sellers initially dominated, but buyers managed to close near the open price. Three soldiers Three consecutive bullish candles, all approximately the same size. These indicate that a big buy is coming soon. --- Trading with Candlestick Patterns Candlestick patterns become more meaningful when they align with major chart areas—such as previous support or resistance, trendlines, or retracement zones. A bullish signal at a support level can hint that the downward pressure is fading, while a bearish pattern at resistance may warn of an upcoming decline. To increase the reliability of your trades, combine candlestick patterns with other forms of technical analysis: * Support & Resistance Zones: These are price levels where the market has historically reacted. Candlestick patterns forming near these zones have stronger potential implications. * Fibonacci Levels : These help identify likely retracement areas. When a candlestick pattern forms near a key Fibonacci level like 61.8%, it adds strength to a potential reversal setup. * Liquidity Areas: Clusters of orders (buy or sell) tend to create strong reactions. When patterns appear in these zones, they often precede more decisive moves. * Technical Indicators : RSI, MACD, Moving Averages, and Stochastic RSI can provide confirmation. For instance, a bullish reversal pattern that appears when RSI is oversold strengthens the signal. 💡 Tip: Don’t rush into trades based on one candlestick alone. Always wait for the next candle or price confirmation (e.g., a break of a previous high/low) to validate your signal. --- Thanks for Reading! ✨ If you found this helpful, show some love by liking or commenting! 🔔 Don’t forget to follow for more technical breakdowns and trading insights coming soon!
Education
by Louigi_24
99
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 4, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the trading session this week, we witnessed the successful completion of the Outer Currency Rally at a level of 1.177. Recent analyses suggest that the Euro is likely to encounter a downward trend, with an initial target set at the Mean Support level of 1.168 and a potential extension to an additional Mean Support of 1.160. Nevertheless, it is crucial to acknowledge the possibility of a subsequent increase toward the next Outer Currency Rally level of 1.187 before any definitive downward movement transpires.
by TradeSelecter
EURUSD - Where next?Looking at EURUSD I still feel like we are due some sort of deeper retracement to the downside considering how bullish the 4H and Daily time frame have been in recent times. Although the market does not care how I feel in all honesty haha. I will play the short term short until the 15min orderflow switches bullish once again. The expansion that is currently happing right now is very interesting and makes a good watch to see what we will do come market open as we are engineering liquidity for both a buy and sell with both POI's looking primed for entries. Will be keeping a close and keen eye on EURUSD when the market opens Any questions feel free to give me a message
by BenFxLDN
GBP/USD : First Long, Then SHORT! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the GBP/USD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around 1.3625. I expect a new Fair Value Gap (FVG), formed by the recent sharp drop, to be filled soon. The first target for this potential move is 1.3650, with the next bullish zone between 1.3670 and 1.3730. Supply and demand zones are marked on the chart — keep a close eye on how the price reacts to these key levels! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
1
EURUSD 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸 Bullish Wave Coming From : 1.17400 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute. EURUSD 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )
Long
by Path_Of_Hanzo
1
EURUSD A Fall Expected! SELL! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for EURUSD is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.1784 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 1.1667 My Stop Loss - 1.1853 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
EURO - After movement up, price will drop to support lineHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Recently price started to grow inside a rising channel, where it some time traded below the support area and soon bounced up. Price broke $1.1455 level and rose to the resistance line of the channel, after which it turned around and made correction movement. Next, price some time traded near $1.1455 level and then bounced and continued to move up inside the channel. In a short time Euro rose to $1.1700 level, which coincided with a support area, and some time trades between this level. Then the price broke this level and continued to move up, until it almost reached the resistance line of the channel and started to fall. Now, I think the Euro can rise a little and then continue to fall to $1.1610 support line of the channel, breaking $1.1700 level. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by WalterMoon
14
EURUSD 4H Structure Analysis | MMC Strategy + Channel + CurveIn this EURUSD 4-hour chart analysis using MMC (Market Mind Concept), we are observing a textbook rising channel structure accompanied by a black mind curve (evidence of psychological support behavior). Let's break it down: 📊 Structure Overview: Straight Ascending Channel: Price has been respecting a clean, straight rising channel, forming higher highs and higher lows over the past several weeks. This structure provides a controlled bullish bias, but we are approaching an inflection point. Black Mind Curve Support (Evidence 2): A curved trendline (Mind Curve) is providing dynamic support. This curve intersects with the lower boundary of the rising channel—creating a confluence zone, which is likely to act as strong short-term support or the base of a reversal. Major BOS (Break of Structure): A significant bullish BOS occurred earlier, confirming momentum strength. This previous break is acting as a reference point for bullish continuation scenarios. 📉 Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the channel and mind curve support, this would invalidate the current bullish channel structure. A clean breakout + retest below the support zone may invite strong selling pressure, targeting previous support zones around 1.1500 – 1.1350. 📈 Bullish Scenario: If the price holds above the mind curve and continues upward, we may see a breakout above the top of the channel. A confirmed breakout could send price toward the 1.1900 – 1.2000 resistance zone. Patience is key—wait for a confirmed breakout from the channel (either side) before engaging. ⏳ Strategy Outlook: ✅ Wait for channel breakout confirmation (up or down) ⚠️ Watch for fakeouts or liquidity grabs near channel boundaries 🔁 Mind Curve Support adds another layer of decision-making structure 🧠 Trade with the trend, but remain adaptable to shift if channel breaks 🔍 Summary: The EURUSD pair is in a decision-making zone—either we get a bullish continuation breakout, or the structure fails and we flip into a bearish correction. The confluence of the straight channel and mind curve makes this setup high-quality for both trend traders and breakout traders.
by GoldMasterTrades
EURUSD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.177. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.172 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
BTC - Will the Bearish Channel continue?Market Context After a strong impulsive rally earlier in the year, BTC has been trading within a descending channel on the daily timeframe. This corrective structure suggests a period of consolidation and redistribution, as price oscillates between the channel's boundaries. The repeated rejection from the upper trendline and the inability to break through key highs reinforce the bearish bias in this structure. Buy Side Liquidity Sweep Potential Price is currently positioned just beneath a relatively clean swing high, sitting above the mid-range of the channel. This high represents a clear area of Buy Side Liquidity—stop losses from short positions and pending breakout orders from longs are likely clustered there. An engineered sweep of this high would serve as a strategic move for larger participants to collect liquidity before driving price lower. Fair Value Gap as a Pivot Point Beneath current price lies a Fair Value Gap—a visible inefficiency formed during a fast upward move earlier in the structure. This Gap remains unfilled and offers a compelling target for price once the Buy Side Liquidity Sweep occurs. It represents a logical zone for price to rebalance before deciding on continuation or reversal. Should price break below the Gap cleanly, it would confirm the bearish intent and potentially accelerate toward the lower bounds of the channel. Channel Continuation Structure The overall geometry of the channel remains intact, and the price respecting both upper and lower boundaries strengthens the likelihood of a continuation toward the downside. If the Buy Side Liquidity Sweep and subsequent rejection occur, the market could be poised for another leg lower—possibly seeking the next structural support closer to 90,000 or even toward the lower extremities of the channel around 80,000–82,000. Final Thoughts This chart reflects classic price delivery behavior: corrective structure, engineered liquidity sweeps, and the magnetic pull of inefficiencies like Fair Value Gaps. Whether you’re actively trading or simply observing, this is a clean, educational setup to learn from. If this breakdown helped you see the market a bit clearer, I’d really appreciate a like. And feel free to share your thoughts or counterviews in the comments—your insights make the analysis even more valuable.
Short
by Louigi_24
93
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 4, 2025 EURUSDEvents to pay attention to today: 12:00 EET. EUR - Producer Price Index EURUSD: On Friday, during the Asian session, the EUR/USD pair is trading in a narrow range around 1.1760. The main currency pair is showing sluggish dynamics amid the US holiday (Independence Day). The US dollar (USD) is maintaining its recovery, triggered by better-than-expected non-farm payrolls (NFP) data for June. Data released on Thursday showed that the US economy added 147,000 new jobs, exceeding expectations of 110,000. The better-than-expected NFP data brought some relief to the US dollar, but this is unlikely to continue as the report shows that private sector hiring is losing momentum. Private employers added 74,000 jobs in June, well below the three-month average of 115,000. This scenario is unlikely to ease the position of several Federal Reserve (Fed) officials, including Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman, who advocated for lower interest rates at a policy meeting later this month, citing potential risks in the labour market. In the eurozone, the sharp appreciation of the euro (EUR) has raised concerns that inflation could fall below the European Central Bank's (ECB) 2% target. According to a senior ECB official, ‘the ECB may have to make it clear that too strong a euro could be a problem, as it could cause inflation to hover below target,’ reports the Financial Times (FT). Trading recommendation: SELL 1.17700, SL 1.18000, TP 1.16900
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EURUSD Bullish Setup: Watching for a Break and Retest📈 Looking at EURUSD right now, we’re in a strong bullish structure 🔼 — but it’s clearly overextended 🚀 As we head into the end of the week, there’s still potential for more upside today ⬆️ — but ⚠️ be cautious, since Fridays often bring retracements as we move into the weekly close 🕒📉 🔍 I’m watching for a bullish opportunity if we get a break above the current equal highs, followed by a retest and failure to break back below 🧠📊 If that setup doesn’t materialize, we’ll simply step aside and abandon the idea 🚫 💬 Not financial advice — always trade at your own risk.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
EUR/USD: A Perfect Storm for BullsThis is a high-conviction long setup based on a powerful combination of macroeconomic divergence and a confirmed multi-year technical breakout. The Non-Farm Payrolls report has now been released, and the resulting price dip has created what I believe is an ideal entry opportunity to align with the dominant bullish trend. The Fundamental Why 📰 NFP Aftermath: Yesterday's NFP report was a mixed bag that ultimately reinforces the case for Fed rate cuts. The headline number beat expectations, causing an initial USD rally and a dip in EUR/USD. However, the underlying details like wage growth were soft. Crucially, the market continues to price in a 96% probability of a Fed rate cut by September, a figure that was unchanged by the data. The core driver of USD weakness—a dovish Fed—remains firmly intact. Resilient EUR 🇪🇺: In contrast, the ECB has signaled it is at or near the end of its easing cycle. Economic data from core Eurozone countries is stabilizing, providing the Euro with relative strength. Risk-On Sentiment 💹: The broader market remains in a "risk-on" mood, which is typically negative for the safe-haven USD. Gold is soaring and equities are near all-time highs, confirming the anti-dollar flow. The Technical Picture 📊 The Secular Breakout 🚀: The most significant event is the breakout of a decade-long downtrend resistance line. This is a major structural shift. The pair has also achieved a monthly and quarterly close above the critical 1.1500 handle, turning a historic resistance level into a new support floor. The Impulsive Uptrend 🌊: On the 4-hour chart, the price is in a clear ascending channel. The post-NFP dip represents a healthy correction within this uptrend, bringing price back toward key support. Key Levels 🔑: Support Zone: The dip has brought price directly into the key support confluence between 1.1700 and 1.1760, making this an ideal area to enter long. Resistance Zone: Major resistance still sits at 1.1900, making it a prudent take-profit target. Strategy & Risk Management 🧠 The stronger-than-expected NFP headline has provided the exact pullback this strategy was designed for. The dip presents a prime opportunity to buy into the dominant uptrend at a more favorable price. Instead of chasing the market, we are now positioned to enter on a technically sound correction. Good luck, and trade safe! Trade Parameters ✅ Pair: EUR/USD Direction: Long / Buy 🟢 Entry Type: Limit Order Entry Price: 1.1745 Stop-Loss: 1.1685 (60 pips) 🔴 Take-Profit: 1.1895 (150 pips) 🎯 Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.5 : 1
Long
by MaxellAguiran
1