EURO - Price can drop to $1.1200 points, exiting from pennantHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price traded inside a flat structure with weak movement and low volatility in a tight range.
Then the Euro made a breakout and formed a strong impulse, reaching resistance and creating a new local high.
After that, price entered a pennant and made a short correction, but then continued rising with momentum.
Later, it touched resistance again and started forming a triangle pattern with a tightening structure.
Now price is near the upper boundary of the triangle and trades above $1.1135 support without a clear breakout.
In my opinion, Euro can reverse from resistance and decline to $1.1200 in the next move, thereby exiting from pennant.
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Eurusd-4
ECB lowers rates, Euro edges higherThe euro is showing little movement on Friday. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.1369, up 0.09% on the day.
The ECB lowered its deposit facility rate on Thursday by a quarter-point, bring the rate to 2.25%. This marked the seventh rate cut since the ECB started its easing cycle in June 2024 and interest rates are now at their lowest since December 2022. The markets had expected the rate cut and the euro showed limited movement in response to the move.
The ECB's rate cut was largely a response to the chaos around US tariff policy. US President Donald Trump has sharply attacked the EU over its trade policy and slapped 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports into the US. The EU retaliated with counter-tariffs but suspended those measures for 90 days after Trump suspended a second round of tariffs on EU goods. The sides are negoatiating but the US has threatened new tariffs on pharmaceutical products and the EU-US trade war could escalate in the coming weeks.
The euro has benefited so far from the escalating trade tensions, as hit 1.1476 last week, its highest level since February 2022. The US dollar has sustained sharp losses against the major currencies as investors look for safer shores in the midst of the turmoil in the financial markets.
The ECB statement said that the inflation continues to ease but expressed concern over worsening trade tensions which have muddied the economic outlook. ECB President Lagarde said in her follow-up press conference that "downside risks to economic growth have increased" which would likely impact on exports, investment and consumption.
The Federal Reserve is prepared to lower rates if necesary but the markets have priced in a hold at 90% the May 7 meeting according to CME Fedwatch. A cut in June is much more likely, with a 60% probability.
EURUSD: Weak Market & Bearish Continuation
Looking at the chart of EURUSD right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move down seems to be quite likely.
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EURUSD Is Going Down! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.136.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.127 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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EURUSD Holds Below 3-Year HighsAs the U.S. dollar lingers near 3-year lows, the euro is testing 3-year highs—holding critical resistance zone at 1.1520.
This level marks a pivotal point, further challenging the broader downtrend that has shaped the EUR/USD chart since 2008.
A confirmed breakout above 1.1520 could open the door to further upside toward 1.17 and 1.20, revisiting the highs last seen in 2021.
Should the euro fail to break higher and begin to retreat, key support levels to watch include 1.1270, 1.1140, 1.1000, and 1.0920.
A potential pullback may be amplified if overbought momentum begins to fade—particularly as the current 3-day RSI levels echo those last observed in 2020.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D18 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D18 Y25
Fun Coupon Friday.
Summary
- STILL with HTF Order block (weekly)
- All long positions invalid until weekly close above weekly order block
- Short positions charted
- The more breaks of 15' structure the more confluence for bearish pressure
- Lower time frame turn around in price action REQUIRED in all short positions.
FRGNT X
XAU/USD at a Critical Juncture: Uncovering the Key Levels for ApHere is the technical analysis of the gold/US dollar (XAU/USD) pair on the daily timeframe for today, April 18, 2025, identifying key support and resistance levels based on the latest available data:
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🔹 Current Price:
The price of gold reached an all-time high of $3,357.40 per ounce, driven by growing concerns about tariffs, which Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell described as "much larger" than expected, leading to slower economic growth and higher inflation.
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📊 Technical Analysis (Daily Timeframe):
• Overall trend: Upward, with higher highs and lows, indicating continued positive momentum.
• Moving Averages: The price is trading above all major moving averages, including the 20-day simple moving average at $3,114.60, supporting the uptrend.
• Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI remains in the overbought zone, which could indicate a potential short-term price correction.
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🔻 Key Support Levels:
1. $3,317.20 – Immediate support reflecting a previous high.
2. $3,305.65 – Medium-term support.
3. $3,292.80 – Additional support reflecting a previous consolidation zone.
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🔺 Key Resistance Levels:
1. $3,335.00 – Current resistance that was recently tested.
2. $3,350.00 – Important psychological resistance level.
3. $3,375.00 – Potential resistance if the upward momentum continues.
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⚠️ Additional Notes:
• Technical indicators are showing overbought signals, which could lead to a short-term price correction.
• In the event of a correction, the above-mentioned support levels may be potential entry points for investors.
• Upward momentum remains intact, but it is advisable to closely monitor technical indicators to identify appropriate entry and exit points.
EURUSD: 4H holding and is pushing for the next High. The EURUSD pair is bullish on its 4H technical outlook (RSI = 58.651, MACD = 0.006, ADX = 20.500) as despite turning sideways since last Friday, the price remains over the 4H MA50 and inside the short term Channel Up. As long as those hold, we anticipate a new bullish wave of at least 5%, like the previous one. Aim for the top of the Channel Up (TP = 1.1800).
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Golden Cross Alert on EUR/USDFor the first time since August, the Euro has printed a Golden Cross — the 50-day moving average (SMA) has just crossed above the 200-day SMA.
This is one of the most well-known technical signals, often interpreted as a bullish shift in trend. Here's why this is worth watching:
✅ Strong momentum leading into the cross
✅ EUR/USD breaking above recent resistance levels
✅ Long-term downtrend possibly reversing
But remember: Golden Crosses don’t guarantee sustained upside. Many are followed by consolidation or even bull traps — volume and confirmation matter!
📈 Could this be the beginning of a bigger move in the Euro? Time to zoom in.
EURUSD: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.13506 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.13834.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD Short Term Buy Idea Update!!!Hi Traders, on April 15th I shared this idea "EURUSD Short Term Buy Idea"
Expected retraces and further continuation higher until the strong support zone holds. You can read the full post using the link above.
Price is moving as per the plan!!!
Retraces happening as expected, my bullish view still remains the same here.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD My Opinion! SELL!`
My dear subscribers,
EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.1362 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 1.1441
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probableBearish continuation.
Target - 1.1195
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK