Is a Trend Reversal Coming?OANDA:EURUSD
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
Current Price: 1.07962
Potential for a Bullish Reversal:
EUR/USD is showing strong signs of a possible bullish reversal across multiple timeframes, marked by key technical indicators:
• Breakout of Descending Channel Upper Trendline
• Weekly Major Support Zone
• Potential Double Bottom Formation
• Emerging Bullish Divergence
Descending Channel Breakout:
The price has broken above the descending channel’s upper trendline (highlighted in the red circle on the chart), turning this line into a weaker resistance zone.
Weekly Major Support Zone:
We anticipate that price may retest the major weekly support level at 1.07421. This zone could serve as a solid foundation for a double bottom formation, combined with a bullish divergence. If this occurs, it could present an optimal entry point for buyers.
Top of Trading Range:
Should price rally, the next significant resistance lies at the top of the trading range, around 1.08635. Given the strength of this resistance, we might see a pullback at this level before further movement upward.
Price Target:
Based on technical indicators and chart patterns, the final target stands around the psychological level of 1.10000.
Key Levels to Watch:
• Support: 1.07421
• Resistance: 1.08635
• Target: 1.10000
Stay tuned and happy trading!
Eurusd-4
EUR/USD May Continue to Drop SharplySo far, the euro has become the weakest currency among the G10, and the reason is quite clear. The expectation that Donald Trump will extend his trade war from China during his first term to other partners in his second term has created a sense of concern. In the short term, the EUR/USD pair may continue to decline even further.
On the 1-hour technical chart, the EMA 34 has crossed below the EMA 89, signaling that the price of this pair is in a downtrend. While there is support at the 1.072 level, this may not be enough to stop the decline, and the price is likely to continue falling in the near future. The next support level could be around the 1.065 area, where the pair may test before continuing its downtrend. However, if this level fails to hold, EUR/USD could slide further, potentially reaching 1.050 in the longer term.
EUR/USD 8H SwingTrade: Institutions in Control Amid Deep RetraceThis long position on EUR/USD continues to develop as the trade approaches a critical zone near 1.09600, where partial profits will be taken if the market starts to move in the anticipated direction. The setup shows a potential for a reversal following a controlled decline, which may indicate institutional players hedging their positions. Despite the lack of a significant pullback, the steady decline suggests deeper market manipulation by larger participants, as they may be positioning themselves for a move upward.
This swing trade is grounded in both technical and fundamental factors. While the euro has faced challenges due to economic slowdown in the Eurozone, the technicals are showing signs of alignment for a potential bullish reversal. If the market sentiment shifts, the euro could gain momentum, supported by upcoming key economic data and central bank statements.
Technicals:
• The price action shows a controlled decline with minimal volatility, indicating institutional hedging and the possibility of a corrective move.
• Price is trading within the momentum cloud, signaling a neutral-to-bullish shift in sentiment. The next key level to watch is the 1.09600 area, where partial profit-taking is planned.
• A full break above 1.10280 (next significant resistance) could fuel further bullish momentum, targeting higher levels at 1.1070 and beyond.
• Stop loss is placed below 1.0740 to account for market volatility while keeping the risk-to-reward ratio balanced.
Fundamentals:
• Eurozone Outlook: With inflation persisting in the Eurozone, the European Central Bank (ECB) continues its cautious approach, maintaining tight monetary policy. However, the euro remains under pressure due to underwhelming growth figures, geopolitical risks from the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and high inflation.
• USD Strength: The USD remains strong amid solid US economic data, including robust housing starts and job growth. This strength has limited the euro’s ability to recover, but any weakening in the US data could help fuel a euro recovery.
• Macro Events: Key macro events, including ECB President Lagarde’s upcoming speeches and US economic data releases, are likely to have an impact on this pair. Lagarde’s recent dovish tone, combined with any signs of weakening in the US economy, could catalyze a EUR/USD reversal.
Risk Management:
• Taking partial profits near the 1.09600 level minimizes downside risk while locking in gains if the trade moves favorably.
• The stop loss remains tight to protect against any sudden reversals, placed below the recent low at 1.0740 to maintain an optimal risk-reward ratio.
• By maintaining flexibility in managing the position, this setup aims to capture gains while protecting capital in volatile market conditions.
This trade setup offers a promising opportunity as we monitor both the technical and fundamental aspects closely. Let’s stay focused and continue to manage the position based on market developments!
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Trump’s Lead Boosts the DollarTrump’s Lead Boosts the Dollar
Early results in the U.S. presidential election indicate a lead for the Republican candidate.
A potential Trump victory is seen as favourable for the U.S. dollar, based on Donald Trump's plans to:
→ increase tariffs on key U.S. trading partners;
→ stimulate domestic business and support small-cap companies.
Additionally, the Trump administration may influence the Federal Reserve's rate policies, potentially leading to rate cuts as anticipated earlier.
The forex market has responded with a stronger U.S. dollar, especially against the euro.
On 21 October, an analysis of the EUR/USD chart indicated potential support from:
→ a major trendline (shown in blue);
→ the psychological level of 1.0800.
The price indeed rebounded upwards from this area (shown by an arrow), but recent news has sparked a bearish impulse, bringing EUR/USD below the key trendline today.
It’s possible this bearish momentum could continue, potentially keeping EUR/USD below the 1.0800 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
After reaching a key support area and trendline, this currency pair has begun a bullish corrective move, as expected. This correction is anticipated to continue up to a specified resistance level, where selling pressure may increase, potentially triggering a new bearish wave.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
The Best Level to short USDCAD TP +250/+500 pips🔸Hello traders, let's review the daily chart for USDCAD today. Trading
near premium prices of the multiyear range, established in 2023.
Currently risk/reward is shifting in bears favor, so it's recommended
to look for sell side setups in this market.
🔸Range highs set at 3800, premium prices overhead at 3880 3960
range lows set at 3300 and premium prices below at 3140 3240
current bid is 3885.
🔸Recommended strategy for USDCAD traders: focus on short selling any
rips/rallies near market price. price is currently trading near premium levels
and is maxed out already, limited upside. TP1 bears +250 TP2 bears +500 pips keep in mind this is a swing trade setup so naturally will take more time to complete / hit both targets. good luck traders!
🎁Please hit the like button and
🎁Leave a comment to support our team!
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Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Long to the resistance area 1.09508.Dear Colleagues. I have redrawn the waves and it seems that the price has not reached the minimum values yet. Apparently wave “4” is the longest correction we have had recently.
According to the data, the price tends to the area of strong resistance at 1.07575. This will be the completion of the corrective wave “C”. Then I would still like to see an upward movement with a renewal of the upper levels. At a minimum, I expect to reach the 1.09508 area.
A more risky entry into a long position is possible - from current levels.
And a more conservative entry is possible - from the area of 1.07575.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
EUR/USD Technical AnalysisFxNews —The EUR/USD currency pair stabilizes above the 100-period simple moving average and the 1.084 immediate support level. This occurs as Stochastic records show a reading of 82, indicating that the Euro is overpriced in the short term. Additionally, the Awesome Oscillator histogram is red, suggesting that the bear market is strengthening.
Forecast
From a technical perspective, the bullish outlook remains valid as long as the price holds above the 1.085 support level. In this scenario, the next target could be the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.093.
Please note that the bullish outlook should be considered invalid if the price dips below 1.084.
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 6, 2024 EURUSDEvent to pay attention to today:
16:00 EET. EUR - ECB President Christine Lagarde Speaks
EURUSD:
The EUR/USD exchange rate is declining in Asian trading on Wednesday. The US dollar is gaining ground as voters favour former US President Donald Trump in the upcoming US presidential election.
The polls are now closing in 15 states, including Arizona, Michigan and Wisconsin. Mr. Trump is currently outperforming Mr. Biden in rural areas, while Ms. Harris is outperforming him in suburban areas. The strengthening of Trump's trade position is providing further support to the US dollar (USD) against the euro (EUR).
Steve Englander, head of G10 global currency research and North American macro strategy at Standard Chartered Bank in New York, commented, "At present, the outlook appears to favour Trump." Mr. Englander further noted that throughout October and early November, the Trump trade had favored a stronger dollar and higher yields.
The outcome of the US presidential election will be a key factor influencing the dollar's momentum this week. However, investors will be monitoring the Federal Reserve's (the Fed) monetary policy decision, which is scheduled for announcement on Thursday.
In Europe, positive Eurozone GDP data prompted traders to reduce their bets on a larger-than-usual interest rate cut at the December meeting. The market anticipates that the ECB will cut the deposit rate by the usual 25 basis points (bps) in December. nvestors will be keeping an eye on ECB President Christine Lagarde's speech on Wednesday.
Trading recommendation: Trading mainly by Sell orders from the current price level.
GBPUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.0823, which is a pullback resistance
Our take profit will be at 1.0747, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be at 1.0905, a pullback resistance
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#EURUSD - 06112024I was bullish EURUSD yesterday; the algo bands held the lows perfectly before the rally to our price target and exactly at our price target, EURUSD sold down 100 pips to my buy target given yesterday and held there!
Very bearish daily candle but TBH overall IMO trend is still up. Thus IMO, look for price to base at current levels for a move higher from here, at least back to 1.0890.
EURUSD: Get ready for a fast short.EURUSD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.619, MACD = -0.004, ADX = 44.229) as it has started the new bullish wave following the test of the 1 year HL trendline but on 1H it got overbought (RSI = 76.034) rebounding very aggressively on its 1H MA50. That is fairly similar to the October 30th rebound of the bullish wave that topped upon a +1.15% rise. We are approaching that % increase so get ready to short. So far we have had two pullbacks of -0.56% each, an amazing display of symmetry inside the Channel Up. That is our target on the short term (TP = 1.08950).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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XAU/USD : Gold Set for a Move as U.S. Election Sparks VolatilityBy analyzing the #Gold chart in the 1-hour timeframe, we can observe several reactions to the demand levels we identified. Yesterday, we saw an initial bounce from the $2733 zone, with a 70-pip rise taking it close to $2740. Later, this morning, the price dipped below $2730 and reached the $2727 zone, where it was met with strong demand, resulting in a sharp increase of over 200 pips up to $2745.
Currently, gold is trading around $2742, and I expect it to soon make another move toward the liquidity pools above $2745 and $2748. After that, keep an eye on the price reaction at $2752.
Note that today is the U.S. election day, and the market may experience significant volatility. Be cautious with your trades!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Euro can reach resistance line of upward channel and then dropHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see how the price some days ago entered to wedge, where it at once rebounded from the support line and rose to the resistance line, breaking the resistance level. Then, the price turned around and made a correction movement, below the resistance level to support line of the wedge pattern. Next, the Euro in a short time rose to the resistance line again, after which turned around and started to decline. In a short time, the price declined to the 1.1050 level, which coincided with the seller zone and broke it, thereby exiting from the wedge too and continuing to fall next. Later price fell to the 1.0840 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and broke this level too. But then, the EUR turned around and started to grow inside the upward channel. So, soon, the price broke the support level again and even made a gap, after which continued to move up. For this moment, I think that the Euro can reach the resistance line of the channel and then drop to the support line, breaking the support level. That's why my TP is located at 1.0820 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD: Move Down Expected! Sell!
Welcome to our daily EURUSD prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 1.08801
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
EURUSD: Will It Retrace to POI?Our philosophy focuses on simplicity and precision, avoiding cognitive overload.
On the daily chart, EURUSD is trading within Range Zone.
If another daily candle closes bullish above $1.086 (the Daily Range Bottom), it could push the price up to the Range Top at $1.1, which is our Daily Point of Interest (Daily POI).
The Mid Daily Range may act as minor resistance on this move.
If EURUSD falls below the Daily Range Bottom, it enters a bearish zone, with the next target around Key Daily Level 1↓ at $1.066.
Alternatively, a bullish breakout above the Daily Range Top could extend gains to the Minor Daily Level at $1.112.
Though, this scenario is secondary as long as EURUSD remains within the Daily Range Zone.
US Presidential Election Forex Analysis5th November US Presidential Election
DXY: Could retest 103.50 area, and rebound up to cover gap and up to 104.30 (if price breaks 103.40 could trade down to 102.90)
NZDUSD: Sell 0.6040 SL 20 TP 80
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6635 SL 20 TP 60 (trend following) Counter trend opp: Buy 0.6670 SL 30 TP 90
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2980 SL 40 TP 130
EURUSD: Buy 1.0930 SL 30 TP 70
USDJPY: Ranging between 151.70 and 153.40, looking for breakout potential following major news
USDCHF: Buy 0.8650 SL 20 TP 55
USDCAD: Sell 1.3870 SL 20 TP 50
Gold: Needs to break 2730 to trade down to 2710 and then possible rebound
EUR/USD is increasing and expected to tend to be higherAdemha greets everyone,
Currently, the EUR/USD exchange rate stands at around 1.089 USD per Euro. The outlook ahead leans towards a potential appreciation of the Euro, driven by several factors:
Monetary Policy: Although the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) maintains a tightening stance, there is anticipation that pressure to raise interest rates will gradually ease if inflation continues to cool. This could weaken the Dollar, allowing the Euro to recover.
Eurozone Economy: If economic stimulus measures in Europe or improvements in the service and industrial sectors prove effective, the strength of the Euro could increase.
Forecast: The Euro is likely to rise if economic conditions in the Eurozone improve or if the Fed adopts a more dovish policy by 2025, creating a favorable environment for the exchange rate to reach higher levels in the medium to long term.
EURUSD at Key Support – Bullish Rebound Ahead?Hello Ben's great friends!
Currently, EURUSD is fluctuating about 1,0878 in the early morning session in Asia. The US dollar decreased slightly when traders prepare for the US presidential election and the possibility that the Federal Reserve cut interest rates, supporting some support for the main currency pair.
Moreover, based on technical analysis, the price is approaching the strong support area (suitable for EMA 34.89). If this support level is maintained, it can act as a platform to increase prices.
What do you think about this view? Let me know your ideas.