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EURUSD

Euro H4 | Heading into overlap resistanceThe Euro (EUR/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 1.0453 which is an overlap resistance. Stop loss is at 1.0544 which is a level that sits above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level and an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 1.0343 which is a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
Euro vs. Dollar: A Wild Ride to 1.06 or a Slide to 1.00? Evening Trading Family The Euro and Dollar are in for a big adventure! If the Euro can jump over the big wall at 1.04, we might see it zoom up to 1.06, like scoring a high jump in track and field! But be careful, if it falls under 1.03, it's like tripping and tumbling down to 1.02 or even 1.00. After that, there might be a small bounce back up, but be ready because the Dollar could push it down again, like a game of tug-of-war where the Dollar's team is strong. It's going to be a thrilling ride! If you found this post helpful like, boost and share I greatly appreciate it Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
by Mindbloome-Trading
Levels discussed on livestream 6th Jan 20256th January 2025 DXY: Consolidating along 108.90, could test 108.50 (61.8%) before trading higher again to 109 round number (below 108.50 could test bottom of channel) NZDUSD: Sell 0.5575 SL 30 TP 60 AUDUSD: Sell 0.6265 SL 30 TP 60 GBPUSD: Wait for reaction at 1.25 round number resistance level EURUSD: Look for rejection of 1.04, Sell 1.0315 SL 30 TP 90 USDJPY: Sell 157.65 SL 50 TP 150 EURJPY: Buy 163.55 SL 40 TP 120 GBPJPY: Sell 196.40 SL 50 TP 150 USDCHF: Look for reaction at bottom of channel 0.9060 or support level 0.9020 USDCAD: Ranging between 1.4335 and 1.4465 XAUUSD: Break 2624 to trade down to 2610 (bullish trendline)
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
2
Short term EU buySo, this is my strategy moving into 2025. I'm a break even trader starting my 5th year in the hot seat. I'll be trading a 50k demo right here on tradingview. 1% risk per trade, minimum r:r = 1:1. I'm only entering trades on EU at this stage, however DXY and GU are always on my screen. Timeframes: Weekly, Daily and H4, primarily focused on the daily, hence it is now necessary for me to take part in an end of day analysis. My plan remains the same as Day 1: Get profitable. Blue = EUR/USD Green = DXY Red = GBP/USD The dollar is inverted simply because it looks better based on how I'm analysing. So, the weekly has made a significant close lower across the board and the range of this candle is highlighted in gold. After Monday's trading, the Euro has closed above its recent daily parent candle, signally potential further movement towards the upside. This can be confirmed when looking at the DXY which is harbouring relative equal highs at the weekly gap, a considerable draw on liquidity. At this moment in time I can only wait and see how the market interacts with these htf areas of interest I have labelled. I need to see some kind of event occur at a high, low or 50%. I would imagine there will be further buys throughout the daily sessions, drawing up to the 1.05 zone. I'm open to feedback and chill conversation.
Long
by PointOneFx
2
Brent Oil Poised for a Rally!Brent crude prices are currently influenced by a combination of strong geopolitical and climatic factors. At present, WTI is trading around $73.30 per barrel, nearing its highest levels since October 2024, as investors closely monitor the potential impact of colder weather in the United States and Europe. Seasonal demand for heating oil is expected to rise, providing additional support to crude prices. Simultaneously, China’s economic policy plays a crucial role in shaping the global energy market, given its status as the world’s largest crude importer. Recent stimulus measures announced by Beijing, including ultra-long-dated treasury bonds and initiatives to boost investment and consumption, have heightened expectations for increased fuel demand. Support from the People’s Bank of China, which anticipates a potential interest rate cut in 2025, along with the Shanghai Stock Exchange’s commitment to further open capital markets to foreign investors, strengthens the country’s economic recovery outlook. In addition to these dynamics, the outlook for Iranian exports remains a critical factor for the Brent market. Goldman Sachs forecasts a decline in Iranian production by approximately 300,000 barrels per day by the second quarter of 2025, lowering the country’s total output to 3.25 million barrels per day. This drop is attributed to the anticipated tightening of sanctions under the new Trump administration, which could curtail global supply and support higher prices. The combination of rising seasonal demand for heating oil, growing demand from China, and reduced Iranian supply could sustain an upward trend in Brent prices in the short to medium term. However, it remains essential to closely monitor geopolitical developments and major central bank policies, as any significant changes could alter the current outlook.
TVC:USOILLong
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
Analyzing XAUUSD: Support and Resistance Dynamics Driving a BullXAUUSD, representing the price of gold against the US dollar, is currently trading at 2635 with an anticipated target price of 2800. The price movement is based on the support and resistance pattern, where the current price is bouncing off a strong support level. This suggests that buyers are stepping in at this level, preventing further declines and creating upward momentum. The support level at 2635 is critical, indicating strong buying interest, while the target price of 2800 reflects bullish sentiment. This pattern demonstrates the interplay of technical levels, with the price expected to rise as it moves toward resistance zones. Traders anticipate a potential breakout above intermediate resistance levels as the price progresses toward the target. The market sentiment is supported by gold's status as a safe-haven asset, attracting investors during uncertain economic conditions. To confirm the upward move, traders may use additional technical indicators like RSI or MACD. However, risk management strategies, such as stop-loss orders below the support level, are essential to mitigate potential losses. Overall, XAUUSD is poised for an upward trajectory, highlighting the importance of support and resistance dynamics in forex trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
Market Analysis: How to Execute This Trade // EURUSDFX:EURUSD How to Execute This Trade Forex Analysis Over the past three months, the EUR/USD exchange rate has experienced notable fluctuations. In early October 2024, the euro was trading at approximately $1.10. By early January 2025, it had declined to around $1.04, marking a depreciation of about 5.5% How to Make This Trade? Let’s analyze the recent movements in the EUR/USD market. After a medium-term upward trend and a long-term lateral trend, EUR/USD failed to break the resistance level at 1.10. In October, this triggered a downward trend that led to a 2% decline, repositioning the pair on important support levels for the recent rally. However, these supports were unable to hold. Subsequently, we observed a small price recovery, building a timid upward move. However, it was quickly stopped by another decline, likely due to new data. This decline established a support level, which soon turned into resistance and a high-volume area (the yellow zone). These two signals indicate the strength of the downtrend. The support failed to hold even upon the second touch, confirming the weakness of the pair. The most common mistake in such situations is going long with the thought, “It has fallen so much; it must reverse now.” But markets don’t work that way. You need to view the market objectively and unemotionally. In this specific case, the market clearly indicates a downtrend, so the best strategy is to follow the trend and enter short at the next rebound // The chances of success are much higher this way than trying to go long. After breaking support and finding a buying zone on a significant support level (part of the long-term lateral trend mentioned earlier), the price moved back up and broke the resistance area. In such cases, it is always better to wait for a “climax,” a sharp movement that confirms the breakout. A good entry point could have been the resistance level or the volume zone. To avoid unpleasant surprises or anomalous movements, set an alert and wait for confirmation before entering. Ideally, you want to see an upward candle entering your area of interest, retracing, and closing with a medium-to-large spike. Our reasoning is confirmed as the market absorbs a large candle, creating an excellent opportunity for a short. To the left, we see a large expansion candle breaking several support levels—these candles often act effectively at their base, and this case is no exception. We placed our trade at the candle’s close, aiming for a risk-reward (RR) of 3.46. The stop loss (SL) was set above the expansion candle’s opening, giving it some breathing rooM // The more space you allow for your stop loss, the higher the probability of success. Let the trade run, and you’ll notice how the position almost never went into the red. This is because we waited for the right entry point without any emotional bias. Of course, this won’t always be the case, and mistakes will happen, but the key is to remain objective and measured. We were also fortunate that new data caused a sharp price drop. In such situations, it’s smart to capitalize on the movement // Cut losses short and let profits run. Adjust the take profit (TP) accordingly. Switching to a 10-minute time frame, we implemented a “Follow the Price” (FTP) strategy. This involves moving the TP higher, to the base of the last candle, and continuing to adjust it until the price fills the TP. Let’s see how much we extended the profit. In this case, the profit extension wasn’t huge but still added value without taking additional risks. This is “How to Execute This Trade.”
Education
by TIMINGTRADE
EURUSD Will Grow! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD. Time Frame: 3h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 1.030. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 1.038 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
2
EURUSD Short-term buying activity spotted.The EURUSD pair has been under heavy selling pressure for the whole December but despite the red candle, it closed last week on a long wick and opened today on a green note. The weekly closing managed to make it inside the 2-year Megaphone pattern. At the same time, the 1W RSI is making a Double Bottom and that resembles the August 06 2018 candle, which was also a medium-term bottom after a multi-month decline. The rebound that followed peaked a little below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and Resistance. As a result, we are bullish on this pair, at least on the medium-term, targeting 1.0600 (just below the Resistance level). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
EurUsd could drop under parity in 2025 (0.95 target)Now that 2024 has concluded, EUR/USD has ended the year at its lowest point, marking a 7% decline from January and a 9% drop from its summer peak. Most notably, the pair fell 6% since November—a significant move for such a typically stable currency pair, highlighting strong bearish momentum. Technical Analysis On the daily chart, the EUR/USD has shown a steady downtrend since its double top in August and September. Every meaningful reversal attempt was met with selling pressure, leading to a quick resumption of the downward trajectory. The long-term (monthly) chart paints an even grimmer picture. The pair has been in a clear downtrend since its 2008 peak of 1.60, and it now sits precariously on critical support levels from the 2015 and 2017 lows. Fundamental Outlook The fundamentals align with the technical bearish trend. Diverging monetary policies and a bleak economic outlook for the EU add to the pair's struggles. Conclusion: Given these conditions, a drop below parity appears likely in the coming year. The most prudent trading strategy for EUR/USD is to sell into rallies and wait for further declines. My target is 0.95, but, to be honest, I would not be very surprised by 0.9
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
13
GBPUSD Analysis: Falling Wedge Pattern and Potential 500+ Pips The forex pair GBPUSD is currently trading at 1.247, with a target price set at 1.290, presenting a potential gain of 500+ pips. The market is forming a falling wedge pattern, a bullish technical setup that often signals a potential breakout to the upside. This pattern indicates a gradual narrowing of price movement, with sellers losing momentum and buyers preparing for a reversal. Traders are closely watching for a breakout above the wedge, which would confirm the bullish bias. A breakout could trigger significant upward movement, aligning with the target price. This setup provides an attractive risk-to-reward opportunity for buyers. However, confirmation through price action and volume is essential before entering a trade. Risk management is critical due to forex market volatility. Monitoring momentum indicators can help validate the expected breakout. The next move depends on how the pair reacts at key resistance levels.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
EURUSD: a clear road to parityDuring the previous week markets were celebrating the New Year, with only a few days spent in trading. For this reason, investors would have to wait another week or two to get the latest currently significant data related mostly to inflation. Data posted for the US include the S&P Global manufacturing PMI final for December, which was standing at 49,4 a bit higher from expected 48,3. The ISM Manufacturing PMI in December was at the level of 49,3 a bit higher from forecasted 48,4. Data posted for the Euro Zone and Germany include HCOB Manufacturing PMI final for December, which was 42,5 for Germany and 45,1 for the Euro Zone, both in line with expectations. The Unemployment rate in Germany in December was standing at 6,1%, unchanged for the previous month. During the first trading week of the year, the US Dollar gained in strength. The 1,04 support line remained under pressure. This represents a historically important level, whose breach to the downside would lead to eurusd parity in the coming period. Since the end of the previous year, the market was testing this level, however, the level sustained, bringing the currency pair back toward the 1,05 levels. Since there was no strength for the higher grounds, the currency pair reverted again toward the 1,04 level. During the previous week, the support line has been clearly breached, leading eurusd to the lowest weekly level at 1,023. Still, the pair is ending the week at 1,0308. With the latest move, the RSI reached its clearly oversold market side, and is currently gearing for a short reversal. The moving average of 50 days still strongly diverges from MA 200, leaving no space for a potential cross in the near term period. By looking at the charts, it could be noted that the currency pair is on a tricky road right now. Since the end of the previous year it was clear that the 1,04 would be a target of the market in the coming period, however, it could not be predicted that the market would so swiftly turn its look toward the next support line. The last time when markets were on this territory was in November 2022. Based on these movements, charts are showing that there is no significant level between 1,024 and 1,0. This brings us to a conclusion of a high probability that the breach of 1,024 level would certainly lead toward the final parity of currencies. However, for the moment, charts are showing a potential for a short term reversal. In this sense, the level of 1,04 would be tested for one more time. Important news to watch during the week ahead are: EUR: HCOB Composite and HCOB Services PMI final for December in both Germany and the Euro Zone, Inflation rate in Germany preliminary for December, Inflation rate flash in December for the Euro Zone, Unemployment rate in the Euro Zone in December, Retail Sales and Factory Orders in Germany in November, Industrial Production in Germany in November, Retail Sales in the Euro Zone in November, USD: S&P Global Composite PMI final for December, S&P Global Services PMI final in December, ISM Services PMI in December, FOMC Minutes will be posted on January 9th, Non-farm Payrolls in December, Unemployment rate in December, Michigan Consumer Sentiment
by XBTFX
Market Analysis: EUR/USD TumblesMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Tumbles EUR/USD declined from the 1.0450 resistance and traded below 1.0300. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro started a fresh decline below the 1.0350 support zone. - There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.0320 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to clear the 1.0450 resistance zone. The Euro started a fresh decline and traded below the 1.0350 support zone against the US Dollar. The pair declined below 1.0300 and tested the 1.0225 zone. A low was formed near 1.0224 and the pair recently attempted a recovery wave. There was a minor recovery wave above the 1.0280 level. The pair climbed above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.0458 swing high to the 1.0224 low. The pair is now trading above 1.0285 and the 50-hour simple moving average. On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near the 1.0320 level. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.0320. The next key resistance is at 1.0340. The main resistance is near the 1.0365 level or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.0458 swing high to the 1.0224 low. A clear move above the 1.0365 level could send the pair toward the 1.0460 resistance. An upside break above 1.0460 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.0500. If not, the pair might resume its decline. The first major support on the EUR/USD chart is near 1.0280. The next key support is at 1.0225. If there is a downside break below 1.0225, the pair could drop toward 1.0200. The next support is near 1.0150, below which the pair could start a major decline. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EUR/USD Shorts from 1.03600 back down?My analysis for EUR/USD (EU) this week closely mirrors my expectations for GBP/USD (GU), as both pairs share similar points of interest (POIs). I’ll be focusing on capitalizing on the bearish trend evident in the formation of lower lows and lower highs. With the recent break of structure to the downside, new supply zones have been created. I’ll be waiting for a retest of these zones to catch sell opportunities in alignment with the overall trend. Once the price sweeps liquidity and forms a clear schematic, I’ll enter sell trades targeting the demand zone below. Confluences for EU Sells: - The price has shown a Change of Character (CHOCH) and multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the downside. - A few unmitigated supply zones remain, which are likely to be tapped. - Lots of liquidity below, alongside imbalances that need to be filled. - The Dollar Index (DXY) is bullish, strengthening the bearish case for EU through correlation. Note: If the price continues dropping, I’ll wait for a new supply zone to form or look for counter-trend buy opportunities from a valid demand zone.
Short
by Hassan_fx
4
Bearish reversal?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.0345 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that line sup with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.0418 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level tat is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 1.0268 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets