EURUSD: Market Sentiment & Forecast
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the EURUSD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move up.
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EURUSD
EUR/USD Testing Demand Zone: What Are the Next Moves...?The EUR/USD currency pair is trading at the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level on the 4-hour timeframe, indicating a potential point of support or resistance. This level is often referred to as the "golden zone," a critical area for traders looking for reversals or continuation patterns.
When we examine the 15-minute timeframe, we can see that the price action is consolidating within a defined range. This consolidation suggests that market participants are indecisive, with neither buyers nor sellers gaining a clear advantage at this moment.
To identify a potential trading opportunity, we should closely monitor the upper and lower boundaries of this consolidation zone. A break above the upper boundary could signal a bullish continuation, prompting us to look for long positions, especially if it's accompanied by increasing volume or other confirming indicators. Conversely, a break below the lower boundary may indicate bearish momentum, suggesting a potential entry for short positions.
As we await a decisive breakout from this range, it's important to remain cautious and patient, ensuring that any trade setup aligns with our overall trading strategy and risk management protocols. Keeping an eye on external factors such as economic news or events can also provide additional context for making informed trading decisions.
Elliott Wave Outlook (Wave C in Progress?)Key Technical Zones:
Demand Zone: 0.9750 – 1.0350 (Support from Wave B low)
Supply Zone: 1.1600 – 1.2000 (Potential Wave C target)
Current Price: 1.0959
Support Levels: 1.0730, 1.0350
Resistance Levels: 1.1250, 1.1600
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact for Wave C as long as the pair holds above 1.0730. Any deeper pullback into the demand zone could still be part of a healthy correction, offering long opportunities on confirmation. Keep an eye on macroeconomic data, especially from the U.S. (FOMC, CPI) and EU (ECB stance), as they may heavily influence EUR/USD sentiment in the coming weeks.
Conclusion:
Watch for bullish continuation setups toward the supply zone, but remain cautious of a mid-term rejection pattern, which could trigger a deeper correction. Trade safely, and always use proper risk management.
Current Scenario:
Price is now trading near 1.0950, suggesting a potential Wave C rally in progress.
If Wave C unfolds as anticipated, EUR/USD could approach the supply zone marked between 1.1600–1.2000, which aligns with previous structural resistance and Fibonacci retracement levels.
However, a false breakout or early rejection from current levels could lead to a sharp retracement, possibly retesting the demand zone before any major upside continuation.
EURUSD: Support & Resistance Analysis for Next Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis
and important supports and resistances for EURUSD for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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BTC/USD update on the drop!Good day traders, yesterday I posted the same set up on bitcoin and now I’ve decided I’m gonna update this setup till we hit our Daily lowest low.
1H TF yesterday before end of trading day we show price bounce off the the horizontal lines and that is used as my support area, going into the New York session we can expect price to retest the break after it breaks below the support which will than become my resistance.
Hopefully today we can see price run our liquidity resting below(equal lows).
My name is Teboho Matla but you don’t know me yet..#Salute
Blueprint for Becoming a Successful Forex Trader in 2025🚀 Blueprint to Becoming a Successful Forex Trader in 2025: Leveraging ICT, Automation, and Prop Funding
Here’s a detailed, actionable blueprint designed to position you for success by carefully navigating broker selection, adopting advanced trading strategies, obtaining prop funding, and integrating automation and AI technologies into your trading.
🏦 Broker Selection (Actionable Steps)
🔍 Choose brokers with true ECN/STP execution
⚡ Ensure brokers offer low spreads (0.0-0.2 pip average) and fast execution to maximize ICT precision entries.
🛡️ Prioritize brokers regulated by ASIC, FCA, or FSCA with verified Myfxbook execution reports.
📊 Confirm broker compatibility with MetaTrader 4 (MT4) to seamlessly integrate Expert Advisors (EAs).
💳 Check for flexible withdrawal/deposit methods and swift payouts (Crypto, Wise, Revolut).
🎯 Trading Strategy (ICT Concepts & Supply-Demand Zones)
🧠 Master ICT Concepts: Liquidity sweeps, Order Blocks (OB), Fair Value Gaps (FVG), Market Structure Breaks (MSB).
📍 Combine ICT with Supply-Demand: Identify institutional supply-demand zones aligning with ICT Order Blocks & liquidity areas.
📐 Execute High-Probability Setups: Trade only after liquidity grabs at key daily/weekly ICT points, avoiding retail traps.
📈 Time & Price Theory: Trade London Kill Zones and New York Open exclusively, exploiting predictable ICT volatility.
📆 Weekly Preparation: Annotate D1/H4 charts on weekends marking liquidity points, order blocks, and premium/discount zones clearly.
💰 Getting Prop Funding (Actionable Approach)
🥇 Target reputable prop firms (FTMO, MyForexFunds, The Funded Trader, 8cap, etc) with clear and attainable evaluation objectives.
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📊 Monitor performance closely using provided analytics dashboards (e.g., FTMO Metrics App) and adapt accordingly.
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⚙️ Automating & Executing Trades (MT4 EA & Bots)
🛠️ Hire experienced MQL4 developers to code custom ICT-based MT4 Expert Advisors
🤖 Develop EAs specifically around ICT logic (Order Block detection, liquidity grabs, market structure shifts) and or supply/demand logic
🤖 use advanced algo based breakout EAs for automation
📌 Automate trade management: EAs should handle entry precision, partial exits, break-even stops, and trail stops.
📡 Set EAs on VPS Hosting (NY4, LD4) for optimal latency and consistent execution (ForexVPS, AccuWeb Hosting).
📈 Regularly perform forward-testing and optimization of EAs on demo accounts before live deployment (at least quarterly optimization).
📲 Integrating Advanced Bots and Technology in 2025
📊 Combine your MT4 EAs with third-party analytics platforms for detailed trade performance insights.
🔮 Incorporate AI-based forecasting tools to refine ICT setups and trade signals.
🔔 Use automated bots for real-time alerts on ICT-based setups via Telegram or Discord channels.
🧑💻 Maintain manual oversight for discretionary ICT decisions—use automation for entry efficiency, not blind reliance.
🔄 Continuously retrain and update your bot’s logic monthly using the most recent trade data, ensuring adaptive execution.
🗓️ Daily Routine for Success
🌅 Pre-session (30 mins): Review annotated charts, ICT concepts (liquidity, OB, FVG), and supply-demand levels.
💻 During trading session: Monitor EA execution, manually adjust positions based on real-time ICT setups.
📝 Post-session (15 mins): Journal trades meticulously in detail, noting ICT reasoning behind wins and losses.
📆 Weekly review: Assess overall ICT & EA performance—adjust EA parameters as needed to match evolving market conditions.
📚 Continuous learning: Keep updated on advanced ICT framework,
supply demand zone trading.
📌 Final Actionable Advice for 2025
🔍 Specialize intensely on ICT & supply-demand concepts rather than multiple strategies—depth over breadth.
🚩 Always adapt and evolve your trading algorithms to ICT methodology—market dynamics continually change.
🧘 Maintain emotional discipline and patience, relying on high-probability setups to steadily compound your account.
💡 Stay ahead by embracing technology: automation, AI-driven forecasting, and custom ICT tools will provide a significant edge in 2025.
EURUSD: Tariff – economicsAlmost every macro indicator and business news were left in a shadow during the previous week, because the main words which were shaping quite negative market sentiment were trade-tariffs. Investors are currently estimating the impact that the new US Administration trade tariffs imposed on imports to the US from almost all countries around the world, not only to the US economy, but for world growth during this year. As for macro news posted during the previous week for the US, the ISM Manufacturing PMI for March was at the level of 49, slightly lower from forecasted 50. Job openings in February were at the level of 7.568M, lower from market estimate at 7,63M. The ISM Services PMI for March was at the level of 50,8, again lower from market consensus of 53. The most important macro data for the week were non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate for March. The NFP added 228K jobs, above the market estimate of 135K. At the same time, the unemployment rate in March was higher by 0,1pp, reaching 4,2%. The average hourly earnings were higher by 0,3% for the month, bringing the indicator to the level of 3,8% on a yearly basis.
The Retail sales in Germany in February were higher by 0,8% for the month, bringing the indicator to the level of 4,9% on a yearly basis. The Inflation rate in Germany, preliminary for March, was at the level of 0,3% for the month and 2,2% on a yearly basis, which was in line with market expectations. The Inflation rate for the Euro Zone, flash for March, was standing at the level of 2,2% y/y a bit lower from market estimate of 2,3%. The core inflation remained elevated at the level of 2,4%, but still a bit lower from forecasted 2,5%. The Unemployment rate in the Euro Zone in February dropped to the level of 6,1%, from 6,2% posted for the previous month. The Producers Price Index in the Euro Zone in February was higher by 0,2% for the month and 3% on a yearly basis. Both figures were higher from market estimates.
A shock wave hit financial markets after the US Administration announcement of new trade tariffs imposed for the rest of the world. The eurusd currency pair was in a sort of a rollercoaster during the second half of the week. The week started slowly around 1,078 level, but the Thursday trading session brought a significant move toward the higher grounds and the highest weekly level at 1,1145. Trading on Friday brought some relaxation and its return toward the level of 1,0955. The RSI entered into the clear overbought market side, but ended the week around the level of 62. The MA50 continues to strongly converge toward the MA200, erasing the distance between two lines, implying a potential cross in the near term period.
The markets will use the week ahead to estimate a potential full effect of newly implemented trade tariffs on the US economy, but also for other economies around the globe. In this sense, some adjustments in the eurusd currency pair could be expected. The level of 1,09 is just the short term support line, when looking at historical moves of the currency pair. However, testing of 1,10 and 1,11 levels during the previous week, showed market sentiment, which is more oriented in favor of the euro. There is some probability that the 1,10 resistance line will be again tested in the week ahead. Probability for the downside is quite low at this moment. Still, if the market turns to this direction, then the next level to watch will be 1,08, historically important for eurusd.
Important news to watch during the week ahead are:
EUR: Balance of Trade in February for Germany, Retail Sales in the Euro Zone in February,
USD: FOMC Meeting Minutes, Inflation rate in March, Producers Price Index for March, Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary for April.
GBP/USD: The Make-Or-Break Zone”GBP/USD is showing strong bullish momentum, pushing toward the key resistance zone between 1.33000–1.36000. However, a short-term correction may occur before the next leg higher.
Key Levels:
Support Zone: 1.27983
Resistance Zone (Target): 1.33000–1.36000
Invalidation Level of Bullish Trend: 1.22544
Bearish Scenario: If 1.22544 breaks, eyes on 1.13843
The structure supports bullish continuation unless price breaks below 1.22544. Stay patient and look for clean entries post-correction.
XAU/USD: First Long,Then SHORT! (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the gold chart on the 15-minute timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around $3122, and I expect the price to soon reach higher levels such as $3128, $3133, $3135, and $3143, and after reaching each of these important levels, we will probably see an initial negative reaction!
Ultimately, I expect a strong rejection from the price once gold reaches $3144!
The level of this analysis is very high, so make sure to study it carefully!
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EUR/USD pullback from last week’s bull run!!Good day traders, this past week was filled with so much volatility and momentum but now we focus on the new week, new opportunities, new challenges and all things new😂
EURUSD here we want to take advantage of last week’s run, we expecting price to pullback and already we have had confirmations agreeing with the idea in mind, we’ve already had a shift in structure on the hourly TF and we also see price left equal lows that we also wanna see price run through them this coming week.
HelenP. I Euro will rise a little and then drop to support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. After breaking the structure of the previous downtrend, Euro showed a powerful bullish impulse, which allowed the price to exit the downward channel and move confidently higher. This breakout was supported by the trend line, which began to act as dynamic support throughout the rise. The bullish movement reached a local high near the 1.11 area before losing momentum. Soon after reaching that high, the price began to decline, pulling back to the area of the trend line and testing the support zone between 1.0950 and 1.0970. This zone aligns with Support 1 at the 1.0950 level and was already tested multiple times in recent price action. Although the trend line provided some temporary support, the strength of buyers has clearly faded. Currently, EUR/USD is trading just above the trend line, but price action suggests pressure is shifting back to the downside. Given the rejection from higher levels and the repeated tests of support, I expect the pair to decline further toward the 1.0950 target — my current goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
EURUSD on high time frame
"When considering EUR/USD, the price has decisively broken the structure on the daily time frame. Currently, it is undergoing a pullback towards the origin of the move. In my analysis, once this pullback is complete, it presents a favorable buying opportunity. My target for this trade is 1.120.
Depending on your strategy, you may opt to wait for the completion of the pullback and the formation of a (FVG) candle on the 1-hour chart before taking action."
If you need further assistance or have any specific questions, feel free to ask!
EURUSD Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.096.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.084 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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EUR/USD BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
The BB lower band is nearby so EUR-USD is in the oversold territory. Thus, despite the downtrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bullish reaction from the support line below and a move up towards the target at around 1.110.
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Bitcoin TA 25.4.5Hello friends, I hope you are doing well. In this daily timeframe, we have an order block that has caused a price level to break. Inside this daily order block, there is a hidden order block that can be observed in the 4-hour timeframe, which has the potential to push the price down to $74,000. We are waiting for the price to reach this order block as indicated in the chart, and then we will look for a trigger in the 15-minute and 5-minute timeframes to set up a short position with a target of $74,000. This is my roadmap. If there are any changes, I will definitely inform you.
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Sadegh Ahmadi: @GPTradersHub
📅 25.Apr.5
⚠️(DYOR)
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EURUSD Asian London Session Sell Recap I have drawn a resistance or demand zone with the red box to show yesterday's sell off during the Asian and London sessions. You can see some of the price action matching with the technical indicators. There was some moderate news yesterday that was forecasted as slightly volatile at 1:00 am Vancouver time, regarding the EUR. This news was regarding the ECB's De Guindos Speaking.
Thank you please follow me for more market analysis.
@ilyaskhan.1994
SOLID EUR/USD SETUP🔥 EUR/USD Trade Setup – Range Trading at Its Finest
EUR/USD is printing a textbook range setup — unconfirmed for now, but packed with potential.
🔹 We've got 3 clear lows, with L3 within the deviation low
🔹 There's visible demand sitting right under L3
🔹 Stop-loss goes just below that demand zone
🔹 Entry comes after break of structure on the 15m
🔹 First target: liquidity sweep just below the range high
🔹 Bonus: consider extending your TP — EUR is showing strong trend strength vs USD
⚠️ Never FOMO —> wait for confirmation.
👉 Follow for more clean, structured setups without noise or hype.
EURUSD - Bullish Reversal Setup After Fair Value Gap MitigationMarket Overview:
EURUSD has experienced a strong bullish impulse, breaking through a key resistance level and forming a temporary top. Following this surge, price has started a corrective pullback within a descending channel, a structure often seen before a continuation in the dominant trend. The market appears to be in the process of mitigating a Fair Value Gap (FVG), which could provide an optimal area for bullish continuation.
Technical Insights:
- A significant support level was broken earlier, which later turned into a demand zone after the price surged. This confirms a shift in market structure towards bullish conditions.
- The ongoing correction is forming a descending channel, a classical bullish flag or wedge pattern, suggesting that once the corrective phase is over, buyers might step in to push the price higher.
- The FVG region below the current price aligns with key Fibonacci retracement levels, reinforcing the likelihood of a reaction from this zone. If price reaches this area and forms bullish confirmation patterns such as a bullish engulfing candle or a shift in order flow, it could signal the end of the correction and the beginning of another upward move.
Potential Scenario:
If price continues to decline and fills the FVG, traders should monitor for a reaction in this zone. A strong rejection from this level could lead to a bullish reversal, targeting previous highs and resuming the overall uptrend. The presence of a well-defined descending channel adds confluence to the bullish setup, as a breakout from this structure would further validate the expected upside movement.
Risk Considerations:
Traders should be cautious of any unexpected macroeconomic developments, such as central bank policy changes or geopolitical events, that could impact market sentiment. Additionally, waiting for confirmation in the FVG area is crucial to avoid premature entries and unnecessary exposure to risk.
Conclusion:
EURUSD is currently in a corrective phase after a strong bullish move, with price approaching a high-probability reversal zone. If the market responds positively to the FVG mitigation, there is a strong potential for a bullish continuation. Traders should remain patient and wait for confluence before making any trading decisions.
Euro will rise a little more and then make correction to 1.0950Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Earlier, the price started to grow from the lower region near 1.0730, where it bounced off the buyer zone between 1.0690–1.0730 points and entered a strong upward movement. This impulse helped Euro break through previous resistances and approach the upper boundary of the support area, which lies between 1.0950–1.0990 points. After reaching a local high, the price formed a pennant pattern, consolidating within narrowing trend lines while respecting both the support and resistance structure. During this phase, the pair remained stable, building pressure before making the next move. Recently, EUR made a strong breakout to the upside, exiting the pennant and continuing its bullish rally. The price surged rapidly and now trades above the current support level at 1.0950, reaching fresh highs in this local trend. I expect the price to reverse soon from the current overbought region and begin a decline toward the support area, which now acts as a potential pullback zone. My target for this corrective movement is the 1.0950 level, which aligns perfectly with the current support level and the upper boundary of the support zone. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD update 20.03After a successful swing long
that was taken
We've reached external liquidity
Now, I expect a correction to the green box; from it, we will go even higher—reaching liquidity from above.
The current correction will take some time to form. It may happen faster, but I have indicated the targets on the chart.
Best regards EXCAVO
EURUSD forming a top?EURUSD - Intraday
Continued upward momentum from 1.0778 resulted in the pair posting net daily gains yesterday.
Trades at the highest level in 6 months.
A Fibonacci confluence area is located at 1.1105.
Our medium term bias is bearish below 1.1014 towards 1.0700.
There is scope for mild buying at the open but gains should be limited.
We look to Sell at 1.1160 (stop at 1.1245)
Our profit targets will be 1.0837 and 1.0700
Resistance: 1.1146 / 1.1160 / 1.1214
Support: 1.0837 / 1.0700 / 1.0675
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SHORT ON EUR/USDEUR/USD has finally given a change of character to the downside and is currently pulling back into a supply area.
The dollar is gaining strength due to Tariffs and looks like it will rise.
I will be selling EUR/USD with a sell limit order looking to catch over 200-300 pips over the next few days.