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EURUSD

Fundamental Market Analysis for January 3, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD paused its four-day losing streak, trading near 1.02700 during the Asian session on Friday. European Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data on Thursday fell short of expectations, which only added to Euro traders' concerns following a soft speech from European Central Bank (ECB) Governor Yannis Stournaras later in the day. According to ECB Governing Council member Yannis Stournaras, the ECB intends to smoothly cut interest rates until 2025. According to Stournaras, the ECB rate is expected to be somewhere in the neighborhood of 2% at the end of this year. As the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates much more slowly than previously expected in 2025, the EUR interest rate differential will widen significantly by the end of the year, putting downward pressure on EUR/USD in the long term. This is in line with the expectations of some analysts who are calling for the euro to reach parity with the US dollar as early as this year. Pan-European PMI results for December fell slightly to 45.1 against expectations of holding at 45.2. While the data itself had relatively little impact, it helped underscore the growing likelihood that the European Central Bank (ECB) will accelerate rate cuts to support the European economy, even as gasoline prices hit their two-year highs, further confounding Europe's economic outlook. The only significant data on Friday's economic calendar is the results of the ISM US manufacturing PMI, which is expected to remain at the declining 48.4 reading for December. Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 1.02500, if it is fixed below consider Sell positions, if it bounces back consider Buy positions.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Short to Support area 1.02539.Dear Colleagues, due to the recent sharp price movement, I have redrawn the waves and now I see the completion of the five-wave impulse in the wave “5” of higher order. I expect that the price should update the nearest local minimum of the wave “3” 1.03350. I expect the price to reach at least the area of 1.02539. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Short
by Hellena_Trade
11
EUR/USD Bearish Trend: Possible Reversal & Trade Opportunities👀💡 In this video, we analyze the EUR/USD currency pair, currently in a bearish trend on the 4-hour timeframe. Notably, the trend appears overextended, and as we approach the end of the trading week, there’s a potential for a low to form either for the week or the day. This could lead to a retracement on Friday and Monday, with the possibility of a move higher as the market seeks liquidity and establishes the next day’s high. Such movements could present opportunities for counter-trend trades on Friday and potential continuation trades on Monday if the trend persists. Please note, this is not financial advice. 📊✅
by fxtraderanthony
1
USD/JPY: After Testing 158.07, Ready for a Bearish Move?The analysis of the USD/JPY exchange rate reflects a complex combination of macroeconomic, monetary, and geopolitical factors influencing the pair's performance. During the Asian session on January 3, 2025, USD/JPY dropped toward 157.00, highlighting bearish pressure driven by a deterioration in risk sentiment and weak Chinese PMI data, which increased demand for the Japanese yen as a safe-haven currency. Reduced activity due to Japanese holidays amplified exchange rate movements. Nonetheless, Japan’s December manufacturing PMI showed a marginal improvement to 49.6 from November’s 49.0, although it remained in contraction territory for the sixth consecutive month. Recent dynamics have been influenced by declining U.S. Treasury yields, with the 10-year yield at 4.62% and the 2-year yield at 4.32%, temporarily weakening the U.S. dollar. However, the greenback’s resilience is supported by expectations of fewer rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2025. The DXY remains near 108.00, reflecting the dollar's intrinsic strength, further corroborated by solid U.S. economic data and persistently high inflation, with Tokyo's CPI rising to 3.0% year-over-year in December. In Japan, the government and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintain a cautious stance. The BoJ has emphasized that potential adjustments to monetary policy will depend on wage dynamics and inflation, which is expected to approach the 2% target in 2025. While the minutes of the latest meeting left room for gradual rate hikes, the likelihood of significant actions in the short term appears limited. This strengthens the expectation that the interest rate differential will continue to favor the dollar over the yen in the medium term. The global geopolitical and macroeconomic context also adds to uncertainty. Recent statements from Japan’s Finance Minister expressing concerns over unilateral and sharp currency market moves suggest potential FX interventions in the event of further yen depreciation. However, such interventions would likely have only a temporary impact, given that structural monetary policy dynamics remain favorable to the dollar. Investors are closely monitoring upcoming macroeconomic events, including U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (January 10, 2025), which could confirm further strengthening of the U.S. labor market, and the U.S. CPI release (January 15, 2025), which will provide insights into the Fed’s future monetary policy trajectory. The BoJ’s monetary policy meeting is another key event, as any signal of monetary normalization could trigger yen strengthening. In the short term, the pair is expected to remain near current levels, with a potential test of the 158.07 resistance. In the medium term, the trend remains bullish, supported by the interest rate differential and the strength of the U.S. economy. In the long term, however, potential economic reforms in Japan and global monetary policy normalization could reduce the dollar's appeal against the yen, pushing the exchange rate lower.
Short
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
EURUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.0343, which is a pullback resistance close to a 50% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit will be at 1.0250, a swing low support level. The stop loss will be at 1.0451, an overlap resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
1
EURUSD // plan for the countertrend breakThe countertrend of the primary short trend is valid, and it turns into a primary long trend only above the daily impulse base. Until it's traded below that level, the primary short trend may resume any time. 💰 The condition: significant break below the trigger zone. Since H4 is already down, the next wave south has the chance to go to the first target, that is the daily target fibo 161.8. ——— Orange lines represent impulse bases on major timeframes, signaling the direction and validity of the prevailing trend by acting as key levels where significant momentum originated. ——— Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼‍♂️ <<boost🚀 if you enjoy💚
Short
by TheMarketFlow
EUR/USD: Is Parity (1.00) in Play?Chart Analysis: The EUR/USD pair has extended its downtrend, decisively breaking below the critical support at 1.0340, which previously held as a major floor. The pair is now trading at 1.0265, hitting levels not seen in recent months. 1️⃣ Key Breakdown: The breach below 1.0340 confirms a continuation of the bearish trend, with sellers firmly in control. This level may now act as resistance on any retracement. 2️⃣ Moving Averages: 50-day SMA (blue): Positioned at 1.0578, far above the current price, reinforcing bearish short-term momentum. 200-day SMA (red): At 1.0806, reflects the broader downtrend and significant distance from current levels. 3️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI: At 29.46, firmly in oversold territory, which may lead to a short-term bounce or consolidation. MACD: Deeply negative, confirming strong bearish momentum with no signs of reversal yet. What to Watch: Immediate support levels: The next downside target could be 1.0200 or even lower if bearish momentum persists. Oversold RSI: While the RSI signals a potential pause, the trend remains firmly bearish until a reversal pattern emerges. For bulls to regain control, a move back above 1.0340 and the 50-day SMA would be needed, which seems unlikely in the near term. The EUR/USD remains under heavy selling pressure after breaking key support. Watch for further declines or a potential relief bounce from oversold conditions. -MW
by FOREXcom
EURUSD Trade LogEURUSD TDV Trade Log – Swing Long Plan --- Trade Setup Overview: - Instrument: EURUSD - Entry Zone: 0.5 Monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG), which aligns with the Weekly FVG. - Technical Confluences: - Both the Monthly and Weekly FVG levels exhibit bullish signals. - Weekly RSI is in oversold or "deep waters," indicating potential upward momentum. - Risk Management: - My personal risk: 4% (highly aggressive and not financial advice). - Recommended risk: Adjust to your own risk tolerance—always prioritize capital preservation. - Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:2 - Stop-Loss: Below the lower boundary of the FVG. - Take-Profit: Double the distance of the stop-loss. --- Macro Analysis Supporting This Swing Long: 1. US Interest Rate Dynamics: - Recent Federal Reserve projections have suggested higher-for-longer rates, leading to USD strength. - However, the shock effect of these projections appears to be diminishing, signaling potential stabilization or reversal in USD strength. - Market sentiment suggests that the economic impact of elevated rates may start weighing on the USD as growth prospects taper. 2. Eurozone Economic Factors: - Despite economic struggles, the ECB has hinted at maintaining relatively tight policy, providing a degree of support for the EUR. - Any positive surprise in Eurozone data could act as a catalyst for a EURUSD recovery. 3. Technical Alignment with Macro Themes: - The confluence of the Monthly and Weekly FVGs signals robust technical support zones. - Bullish signals from these levels align with the potential macroeconomic reversal in USD strength, creating a favorable environment for a swing long. --- Personal Notes: This trade aligns with both the technical framework of my system and macroeconomic insights. The key is discipline—if the setup invalidates (e.g., price action breaks below critical levels), do not force the trade. Always stay within your risk parameters, and remember this is not financial advice. Good luck and trade safely!
Long
by Fondera
EUR/USD Year-End Review: A Bearish Outlook for 2025As the curtain fell on 2024, the EUR/USD currency pair concluded the year under a veil of bearish pressure, aligning closely with the predictions outlined in previous analyses. On the final trading day of the year, the pair reached a significant low, hitting our predetermined take profit level at 1.03500. This movement signifies the prevailing market sentiment as we transition into 2025, with indicators suggesting that the bearish trajectory remains firmly in place. The backdrop of this price action is rooted in a risk-averse atmosphere that has characterized global markets. Investors seeking safety gravitated towards the US Dollar (USD), further dampening the EUR/USD pairing as we approached the New Year break. Such aversion to risk has historically led to a strengthening USD, which paints a challenging picture for the Euro amid ongoing economic transformations across Europe. As we move into the first week of 2025, all eyes are on the forthcoming US economic indicators, particularly the weekly Initial Jobless Claims data. Analysts predict that the number of first-time applications for unemployment benefits will climb to 222,000, a modest uptick from the previous week's 219,000. Should the actual figures exceed expectations, this could lead to a weakening of the USD in the latter part of the day, introducing an element of volatility into the market. On the other side of the Atlantic, European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde provided insights into the ECB's progress in combating inflation throughout 2024. In her recent statements, she expressed optimism about hitting the inflation targets set for 2025, stating, "Hopefully, 2025 is the year when we are on target as expected and as planned in our strategy." Despite these assertions, the market reaction to her comments was tepid at best, illustrating a possible disconnect between the ECB's hopes and the stark realities facing the Eurozone. Lagarde’s emphasis on the progress achieved in 2024 indicates a deliberate and strategic approach to monetary policy; however, the actual impact on the Euro remains to be seen. The broader economic conditions in Europe, including persistent inflationary pressures and slower economic growth compared to the United States, add layers of complexity to the Euro's valuation against its American counterpart. Previous Idea with Take profit reached: ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
Euro can exit from pennant and continue to fall nextHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some time ago started to grow and soon broke resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and continued to grow in range. Later EUR reached the top part of the range and then made a correction movement to the resistance level, after which rebounded and quickly rose back. Then price started to decline and in a short time fell to the 1.0475 level and even made a fake breakout of this level, after which backed up to the range. But soon, the price turned around and dropped to the current resistance level, thereby exiting from the range and breaking the 1.0475 level. Next, the price made an impulse up inside the downward pennant, but later it made a small correction. After this, EUR rose to the resistance line of the pennant and then turned around and dropped to the support line, breaking the 1.0350 level, which coincided with the resistance zone. A not long time ago price bounced from the support line, therefore I think that the Euro can reach the resistance zone and then continue to decline, even exiting from the pennant pattern. That's why I set my TP at 1.0240 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
2
EURUSD accelerates downward, testing 1.02 EURUSD has been weakening along the main trend recently, and the previous market analysis has been continuously confirmed. From the current pattern, after the price broke under the pressure of the triangle convergence in the downward channel, it accelerated downward for the second time, testing the 1.03 support line below. If it falls below this position, it will test 1.026 and 1.024 below. The upper resistance line of 1.034 is suppressed. If the price rebounds and breaks through this area, the euro/dollar market may form a wide consolidation at a low level in the future, and the price may return to the 1.045-1.05 area again. Overall, the euro/dollar trend is in the stage of accelerating downward in the downward channel. It is recommended to arrange short orders under the pressure of 1.034 when rebounding.
Short
by RonPeter_Trading
DXY at 108.4: The Dollar’s Midlife Crisis—Breakout or Breakdown?Alright, traders, let’s not sugarcoat it. What you’re looking at here isn’t just another chart—it’s the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) standing at the gates of destiny. 💥 🔥 The Setup: Testing the almighty 108.4 resistance. Will it smash through like a battering ram or faceplant into oblivion? 🤔 Riding the top of the Bollinger Bands like it’s a rollercoaster at peak speed. Overbought much? 🎢 RSI? She’s chilling at 59 —neither here nor there but whispering “don’t count me out just yet.” 🧘‍♂️ 🚀 The Bullish Dream: Break 108.4, and this thing’s flying to the moon (or at least 112). Bulls will party like it’s 1985. 🐂💃 💀 The Bearish Nightmare: Rejected here? Say hello to a pullback at 104, and if things really hit the fan, we’re looking at 100.6. Bears will sip their coffee smugly. 🐻☕ But here’s the kicker: DXY isn’t just a chart—it’s the puppet master pulling the strings of everything from Bitcoin to gold to your morning cup of coffee. ☕ (Yes, inflation is still a thing.) ⚡ Final Word: Whether it breaks or bends, this is the make-or-break moment for the dollar. Get ready for fireworks. 🎇 George out. ✌️ #DXY #DollarIndex #Forex
TVC:DXYLong
by RoadToAMillionClub
GOLD BUY Gold prices have shown a significant increase over the past year, with spot gold rising by over 27% in 2024, marking its largest annual gain since 2010. As of January 2, 2025, gold prices continue to rise, with spot gold increasing by 0.39% to $2,634.15 per ounce. Analysts at major financial institutions like JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, and Citigroup predict that gold prices could further climb to $3,000 in 2025, driven by factors such as lower interest rates, geopolitical uncertainties, and increased central bank purchases. However, some forecasts suggest potential short-term corrections. For instance, a recent analysis indicates that gold prices might test resistance near the $2,630 area before potentially declining towards the $2,545 level. Given these mixed signals, it's essential to stay informed about market trends and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions. For a more detailed technical analysis of gold as of January 2, 2025, you might find the following video helpful:
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradeAdvisory
EURUSD (12H/4H): HIGH-RISK UPTRENDThe EUR/USD pair is showing signs of potential recovery from oversold conditions on the 4-hour timeframe. While the broader trend remains bearish, several oscillators are indicating the possibility of a short-term bullish reversal. Key support levels are holding firm, suggesting that buyers may soon step in to regain control. Although the EUR/USD pair is under broader downward pressure due to macroeconomic factors, oversold conditions on the technical chart suggest a potential near-term rally. Subscribers should be cautious but open to opportunities for upside moves, especially if market sentiment shifts in favor of risk-on assets. The EUR/USD is positioned at a critical juncture, with oscillators signaling a potential reversal to the upside. Subscribers are advised to monitor the 1.0332 support zone closely and consider taking long positions, targeting the 1.0450-1.0500 resistance levels. This setup presents a favorable risk-reward scenario for traders who align with the uptrend bias. The pair remains in a downtrend, as confirmed by lower highs and lower lows, coupled with bearish signals from moving averages. Current price action is consolidating near key support levels, suggesting indecision in the market. OSCILLATORS Stochastic %K (11.44) and Stochastic RSI Fast (12.91): Both are signaling a strong Buy, indicating the pair is deeply oversold and due for a bounce. Commodity Channel Index (CCI) (-145.83): The CCI shows a clear Buy, highlighting a potential recovery from the current price levels. Momentum (-0.00283): The Momentum indicator also flashes a Buy, suggesting a slowing of bearish pressure and improving upward momentum. Williams Percent Range (-86.11): This indicator suggests oversold conditions, providing a Buy signal for the pair. MOVING AVERAGES Most moving averages show a bearish bias The Hull Moving Average (HMA) is signaling a Buy This indicates potential for short-term upside momentum PRICE ACTION The pair has consistently respected the 1.0332 major support level, showcasing a strong demand zone where buyers are stepping in to defend prices. The short-term bounce from these levels aligns with the uptrend bias supported by oscillators. SUPPORT 1.0332: Major support and a critical pivot low for buyers. Holding above this level is key to maintaining upward momentum. 1.0400: Minor support level offering immediate stability. RESISTANCE 1.0450: The first key resistance level to test the strength of the recovery. 1.0500-1.0518: Strong resistance zone, aligning with the 200-period EMA and SMA. TRADE RECOMMENDATIONS Buy Entry: Look for long positions near the 1.0332-1.0350 zone, with a stop-loss below 1.0300 to limit downside risk. Profit Targets: Target 1: 1.0450 – First resistance level. Target 2: 1.0500-1.0518 – Upper resistance zone aligning with key moving averages. Confirmation Entry: Additional buying opportunities may arise if the pair breaks above the 1.0450 resistance, confirming further bullish momentum.
Long
by ProfessorCEWard
Heading into pullback resistance?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.0387 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.04128 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 1.0345 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
EUR/USD: Key Levels to Watch!EUR/USD stabilizes around 1.0400, with low volumes and a cautious market favoring a resilient US Dollar. The technical setup remains bearish: the 20-period moving average acts as dynamic resistance at 1.0470, while the 100 and 200-period moving averages confirm the downward trend. Technical indicators are weak and lack clear direction, highlighting the absence of bullish momentum. Key support is at 1.0370, with immediate resistance levels at 1.0440 and 1.0470. Fundamentally, the Dollar benefits from a stronger US economy and expectations of less accommodative monetary policies, while the Euro faces pressure from weak sentiment and uncertain economic prospects in the Eurozone. Key events, such as the Global Outlook Report and the FOMC meeting in January, could increase volatility. In the short term, the outlook remains bearish with the risk of approaching parity. However, the medium and long term could offer buying opportunities, supported by potential economic recovery in Europe and a weaker Dollar after the peak in US interest rates.
Short
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
2
Update: EUR/USD Downward Movement to Continue?In my previous analysis, I highlighted the potential for bearish continuation, targeting the sell-side liquidity (SSL) below. As anticipated, the price respected the retracement into the Daily FVG and Fibonacci zones, sweeping liquidity by taking out the highs. This reaction confirmed bearish intent. On the lower timeframes, a clear entry opportunity emerged, and the pair has since moved lower, heading toward the anticipated SSL target. The bearish structure remains intact, with the next key area of interest around the liquidity pool below. This setup took a week to deliver an entry, but the rewards were definitely worth the wait! This goes to show that patience is essential in trading—there’s absolutely no need to trade every day to succeed. Trade safe!
Short
by jp7fx
EUR/USD Under Bearish Pressure: A Market Analysis [Update]As anticipated in our previous analyses, the EUR/USD currency pair experienced significant downward pressure during the late American trading session on Wednesday, hitting its lowest point in almost a month, below 1.0350. Currently, while I am drafting this article, the pair has seen a minor rebound and is trading around 1.0410; however, the technical indicators still suggest a bearish outlook. The price is nearing a critical area where it may continue to decline. Our analysis reveals an imbalance on the Daily timeframe that could signal a further downturn. For more detailed insights, please refer to the link provided below. Following the last Federal Reserve policy meeting of the year, the central bank announced a reduction in its policy rate by 25 basis points, aligning with market expectations, bringing it to a range between 4.25% and 4.5%. In their accompanying statement, the Fed emphasized that they would take into account incoming data, the evolving economic landscape, and the balance of risks when evaluating future rate adjustments. In the aftermath of the Fed's decision, the US Dollar (USD) gained substantial strength, leading to a sharp decline in the EUR/USD pair. Moving forward, our outlook suggests the potential for a new bearish correction in the market as we navigate these developments. Previous close position SHORT ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
EUR/USD Market Dynamics: Analyzing Recent Price MovementsFollowing our previous analysis, we anticipated the market's response to last week's robust U.S. economic indicators, particularly regarding the USD's strength against the EUR. After experiencing a notable bearish trend, the euro managed to recoup some losses, specifically retesting our pending order at 1.04380. As I write this article on December 23, 2024, the currency pair trades around 1.04130, providing a rejection of our entry point. On Monday, the U.S. Dollar (USD) stabilized after a significant drop on Friday. This sell-off was prompted by weaker-than-expected growth in the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE). Specifically, the core PCE—a key inflation metric favored by the Federal Reserve—rose by 2.8%, falling short of the projected 2.9%. On a month-to-month basis, both headline and core PCE inflation inched up by only 0.1%, leading to speculation about the Federal Reserve's trajectory concerning interest rate adjustments in 2025. Federal Reserve officials are beginning to signal expectations of fewer rate cuts in the coming year, as the disinflation process appears to be slowing and uncertainties loom over how President-elect Donald Trump’s upcoming immigration, trade, and taxation policies could affect the economy. Given the current outlook, we are anticipating a continuation of bearish trends in the market. Previous Idea: ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
1