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EURUSD

EUR/USD – Bullish Outlook for Next Week🔹 Higher Timeframe Structure: The daily timeframe structure remains bullish, with clear signs of institutional order flow supporting further upside. Last week's price action confirmed a shift in momentum, respecting key bullish levels. 🔹 Key Technical Levels: ✅ Daily FVG (Fair Value Gap) Support: Acting as a strong demand zone, buyers are expected to step in from this area. ✅ Next Bullish Target: 1.06600 – This level aligns with previous liquidity pools and imbalance fill zones. ✅ Market Structure: Higher highs (HH) & higher lows (HL) indicate continued bullish pressure. 🔹 Institutional Confluence: 🔸 Liquidity has been built below recent lows, creating a potential liquidity grab before a strong bullish expansion. 🔸 SMC Concepts: Price is trading within an unmitigated Order Block (OB), adding confirmation for a bullish reaction. 🔸 Volume Profile: Increasing institutional volume suggests accumulation in the current zone. 📌 Plan for Next Week: As long as price holds within the Daily FVG, we anticipate bullish continuation towards 1.06600. If we get confirmation from the lower timeframes (H4/M15), we will look for long entries with high R:R setups. 💡 Follow for more high-accuracy analysis & real-time trade updates! 🚀 #EURUSD #Forex #SmartMoney #ICT #SMC #Liquidity #ForexTrading
Long
by twb1122
"EUR/USD Bearish Breakdown – Targeting 1.0802 Support"This chart is a 30-minute timeframe analysis of EUR/USD, showing a potential bearish move. Key Observations: Resistance Zone (Red Highlighted Area ~1.0856) Price attempted to break above but got rejected multiple times, indicating strong selling pressure. Break & Retest Formation The price has dropped below 1.0836 and is now testing this level as resistance. This suggests a classic break-and-retest pattern, which could lead to further downside movement. Bearish Expectation (Red Arrow & Green Zone) The chart suggests a short position, with a target around 1.0802 (blue horizontal support). The stop-loss is placed above 1.0856 (resistance), minimizing risk. Trade Setup Analysis: Entry: Below 1.0836, after confirmation of resistance hold. Stop-Loss: Above 1.0856 (previous resistance). Take-Profit: Around 1.0802 (support). Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable, as the target is significantly lower than the stop level. Conclusion: This is a bearish setup with expectations of further downside towards 1.0802. However, if price reclaims 1.0856, the setup might become invalid, and bulls could regain control. Let me know if you need further insights! 📉🔥
Short
by KingProTrader
After strong impulse up, Euro makes correction to 1.0600 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see that the price entered a wedge formation and immediately started to decline. The Euro broke through the 1.0410 level, creating a strong gap before reaching the wedge's support line and beginning to rise. In a short time, it climbed back to the support level and attempted to break it but failed, pulling back slightly. After that, the Euro returned to the 1.0410 support level and finally managed to break through. Following this move, it reached the resistance line of the wedge and made a correction down to the support level. Then, the Euro pushed back up to the resistance line, consolidating near it for a while before dropping to the buyer zone, where it later touched the wedge’s support line again. From there, it made a strong upward impulse, breaking the 1.0410 level once more, exiting the wedge, and surging to 1.0820. However, more recently, the price reversed and started to decline. I believe the Euro may enter a corrective phase after such a strong upward move. Based on this, my TP is set at 1.0600 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
7
XAU/USD: Gold at a Critical Crossroad: Will $2930 Hold or Break?By analyzing the gold chart on the two-hour timeframe, we can see that the price followed the expected bearish movement yesterday, correcting from its recent high of $2928 down to $2900 before finding temporary support. Currently, gold is trading around $2916, showing signs of indecision as it consolidates within a key range. 🔍 Key Levels & Liquidity Considerations A significant liquidity pool exists between $2928 and $2930, which could act as a magnet for price. If gold moves toward this range, we might witness liquidity collection before a potential strong rejection and deeper decline. As long as gold remains below $2930, the bearish outlook remains intact, and further corrections toward $2900 and potentially lower levels could unfold. However, if buyers manage to push the price above $2930 and sustain a breakout with clear confirmation and bullish momentum, we could see gold targeting levels above $2950 in the coming sessions. 📌 Primary & Alternative Scenarios: 🔹 Primary Bearish Scenario: A move into the $2928-$2930 liquidity zone, followed by rejection and continuation of the correction. 🔹 Alternative Bullish Scenario: A clean breakout above $2930 with a strong close and confirmation, leading to further bullish expansion toward $2950+. 🎯 Final Outlook At this stage, the bearish bias remains dominant, but traders should carefully monitor price action near key liquidity zones before executing positions. Watching how gold reacts around these critical levels will be crucial in determining the next major move. Stay updated as we track the market closely! 🔥 Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
25
EUR/USD: Breakdown Amidst Euro Surge on German Fiscal StimulusThe EUR/USD currency pair has recently experienced significant movements influenced by both technical patterns and fundamental developments. Technical Analysis: The EUR/USD pair has been trading within a well-defined ascending channel, characterized by higher highs and higher lows. However, recent price action indicates a breach below the channel’s lower boundary, suggesting potential bearish momentum. This breakdown could signal a trend reversal or a corrective phase, with the next support level identified around 1.06339. Traders should monitor this level closely, as a sustained move below it may confirm further downside potential. Fundamental Analysis: The euro has surged, marking its most substantial weekly gain against the dollar since 2009. This appreciation is largely attributed to Germany’s announcement of a historic fiscal stimulus package aimed at bolstering the Eurozone’s economic recovery. In contrast, the U.S. dollar has weakened due to escalating trade tensions and concerns over the economic implications of aggressive trade policies under President Trump. Investors are increasingly favoring the euro, reflecting optimism about the Eurozone’s growth prospects compared to the uncertain U.S. economic outlook.
Short
by parraggon
1
EUR/USD keeps rolling after ECB rate cutThe euro has posted strong gains on Friday after taking a pause a day earlier.  EUR/USD is trading at 1.0858 in the European session, up 0.69% on the day.  It's been a remarkable week for the euro, which has soared 4.7% against the US dollar. The ECB lowered rates by 25 basis points on Thursday in a widely-expected decision.  This brings the deposit rate to 2.5%, its lowest level since Dec. 2022.  The central bank has been aggressive in its easing cycle, slashing rates by 185 basis points in just nine months. The rate reduction was no surprise and is being described as the "last easy cut".  Inflation is running at a 2.4% clip, above the ECB's 2% target but low enough to deliver rate hikes in order to boost the flagging economy. What's next for the ECB is a tricky question, especially with economic and political developments moving at a dizzying pace. First, the new Trump administration hasn't wasted any time in imposing (and in some cases, suspending) tariffs, which has chilled investor sentiment and sent equity markets tumbling. The US hasn't applied tariffs to the European Union although it has threatened to do so.  The EU would surely retaliate and a trade war between the two giant economies will damage growth and raise inflation in the eurozone. Second, Trump is showing growing impatience with Ukraine and has suspended military aid. Germany has responded by easing its fiscal spending rules and has proposed a massive spending scheme for defense and infrastructure. This has sent German bond yields and the euro soaring. ECB President Lagarde said after the ECB meeting that the situation was changing "dramatically" by the day and the ECB would need to be "extremely vigilant" and "agile". She reiterated that future rate decisions would be based on the data. The US wraps up the week with the February employment report. Nonfarm payrolls sank to 143 thousand in January from 256 thousand a month earlier.  The market estimate for February stands at 160 thousand. A surprise in either direction from nonfarm payrolls would likely have a significant impact on the direction of the US dollar. EUR/USD has pushed above resistance at 1.0801 and 1.0837 and is putting pressure on resistance at 1.0889.  Above, there is resistance at 1.0925 1.0749 and 1.0713 are the next support lines
by OANDA
EUR/UDS D1 | Heading into swing-high resistanceThe Euro (EUR/USD) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 1.0929 which is a swing-high resistance. Stop loss is at 1.1031 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 1.0728 which is a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
Euro Surges Above $1.08 on ECB Rate CutThe euro rose above $1.08, hitting a four-month high after the ECB’s expected 25bps rate cut. The central bank signaled a less restrictive stance but hinted at a pause in further cuts, shifting its rhetoric away from "restrictive policy." Markets now anticipate one or two more 25bps cuts this year. The euro also gained support from expectations of increased government spending. EU leaders are meeting for a special defense session, where Commission President Ursula von der Leyen proposed an €800 billion plan, including €150 billion in loans, to strengthen defense capabilities despite budget constraints. Key resistance is at 1.0840, followed by 1.0900 and 1.0950. Support stands at 1.0730, with further levels at 1.0700 and 1.0650.
by ChartMage
CAD/JPY Analysis – Key Levels & Market Drivers📉 Bearish Context & Key Resistance Levels: Major Resistance at 108.32 Price previously rejected from this strong supply zone. Moving averages (yellow & red lines) are acting as dynamic resistance. Short-term Resistance at 106.00-107.00 Failed bullish attempt, leading to a strong reversal. A break above this area is needed to shift momentum bullishly. 📈 Bullish Context & Key Support Levels: Support at 102.00-101.50 (Demand Zone) Significant buyer interest in this area. If the price reaches this zone, a potential bounce could occur. Deeper Support at 99.00-100.00 If 102.00 fails, the next demand level is in the high 90s, marking a critical long-term support. 📉 Current Market Outlook: CAD/JPY is in a strong downtrend, consistently making lower highs and lower lows. The price is testing key support areas, and further movement depends on upcoming economic events. A potential bounce could occur at 102.00, but failure to hold could trigger further declines toward 99.00. 📰 Fundamental Analysis & Market Drivers 🔹 Bank of Canada (BoC) Interest Rate Decision – March 12, 2025 Expected rate cut from 3.00% to 2.75% → Bearish for CAD. A dovish stance signals weakness in the Canadian economy, potentially pushing CAD/JPY lower. If the BoC provides an aggressive rate cut or hints at further easing, the downtrend could continue. 🔹 Japan Current Account (January) – March 7, 2025 Expected at 370B JPY (significantly lower than previous 1077.3B JPY). A lower-than-expected surplus may weaken JPY, slightly offsetting CAD weakness. If JPY remains strong despite this data, CAD/JPY could fall further toward 101.50-100.00. 📈 Potential Trading Setups: 🔻 Short Setup (Bearish Bias): Entry: Below 103.00, confirming further weakness. Target 1: 102.00 Target 2: 100.00 Stop Loss: Above 104.50 to avoid volatility spikes. 🔼 Long Setup (Bullish Scenario - Retracement Play): Entry: Strong bullish rejection from 102.00 Target 1: 105.00 Target 2: 108.00 Stop Loss: Below 101.50 to limit downside risk. 📌 Final Thoughts: The BoC rate decision will likely be bearish for CAD, increasing downward pressure on CAD/JPY. The Japan Current Account data could provide temporary support for JPY but is unlikely to fully reverse the trend. 102.00-101.50 is a key buying zone, while failure to hold could drive the pair toward 99.00-100.00. 🚨 Key Watch Zones: 102.00 Support & 108.00 Resistance – Strong moves expected!
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
Could the Fiber reverse from here?The price is reacting off the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 1.0783 1st Support: 1.0598 1st Resistance: 1.1007 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
1
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?EUR/USD is reacting off the resistance which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.0788 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension. Stop loss: 1.0954 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 71% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 1.0616 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
EURUSD Rejection expected that will take it to parity.EURUSD crossed above its MA200 (1d) and is headed for the top of the long term Channel Down. A rejection similar to September 2024 is highly likely (which pulled the price to the 1.382 Fib), especially since this week's rise has been huge and based solely on geopolitics. Trading Plan: 1. Sell on the current market price. Targets: 1. 1.000 (the 1.382 Fibonacci extension). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) is overbought. The last time it was this high was on August 23rd 2024. Exactly on the last Lower High of the Channel Down. Please like, follow and comment!!
Short
by TradingBrokersView
EUR/USD Analysis – Invitri Strategy Masterclass Date of Analysis[/b Status: COMPLETED as predicted! On 24th Feb, we shared this clear Elliott Wave setup using our exclusive Invitri Strategy under Green Fire Forex. Here’s how the move played out step by step: Wave 1-2: Formed the base structure. Wave 3: Strong breakout, as expected – the most powerful wave. Wave 4: Beautiful correction holding between 50%-78% Fibonacci, creating a bullish flag pattern. Wave 5: Final push completing the impulse, exactly as predicted. Entry: After Wave 4 breakout confirmation (red zone). Target: Wave 5 completion (achieved successfully). Result: Full 0–5 wave structure completed with precision. What’s next? Now watching for an ABC correction to unfold from here. Why Invitri Strategy works: Combines Elliott Wave + Fibonacci + Chart Patterns. Focuses on breakout confirmations. Gives high-confidence trades with perfect risk-reward setups. Stay tuned for the next move! —
by Greenfireforex
EURUSD - FOMC Prep - These 2 scenarios to anticipateMarket is overall uptrend after previous low showed the reversal point to head higher. Bias is for the Buy However, FOMC can produce volatility so we can have spikes in both direction. There's a Sell scenario off an H4 gap. But the preferred idea is to head lower, getting a better price on the HTF, then continue to the Equal Highs / Double top, taking out the liquidity target eventually. Be aware, if it's not clear this week, we may have a clearer picture on next week's news and the move could also happen then if there's a delay/ranging market. The D1 timeframe usually provides the smoother outlook. I mostly base my ideas on that. Leave your comments below if you have any questions. Thanks
Long
by The_Peaceful_Trader
2
EUR/USD Falling Wedge The falling wedge pattern on the EUR/USD 12-hour chart has been confirmed, signaling a potential bullish breakout. This classic technical setup indicates a reversal from the prior downtrend, with buyers stepping in as price breaks above the upper resistance line of the wedge. Key Details: Pattern Confirmation: The breakout above the wedge resistance line confirms the pattern, with a retest further validating the upward move. Targets: Target 1: 1.0600 – Based on previous support-turned-resistance levels. Target 2: 1.0900 – The measured move from the height of the wedge added to the breakout point. This setup reflects the strength of technical analysis, with the falling wedge showing the market's tendency to reverse after sustained selling pressure. A strong support level provides the foundation for this bullish move.
Long
by Charts_M7M
EUR/USD Long Setup – Institutional & Retail Flows Align This EUR/USD long trade was executed based on a confluence of technical levels, institutional positioning, and macroeconomic factors. Here’s the breakdown of the trade execution, market influences, and the Prime Market Terminal insights that supported the decision. 📊 Trade Execution & Technicals Entry: The trade setup was based on price retracing into a key Fibonacci retracement zone, aligning with a demand area before a bullish continuation. Confluence: A combination of trendline support, 50%–79% Fibonacci levels, and liquidity sweeps confirmed the setup. Target Zones: Price moved towards key Fibonacci extensions (-0.27 & -0.62 levels), which aligned with previous liquidity zones. Market Structure: Higher timeframes indicated a bullish trend, reinforcing the long bias. 🎯 Trade Outcome The trade executed as planned, with price bouncing off the retracement levels and moving towards the projected take-profit zones. Bullish continuation confirmed the validity of the setup, as institutional order flow aligned with the technicals. ⚡ High-Impact News That Influenced EUR/USD 📌 Economic data from the Prime Market Terminal showed major USD events: ISM Manufacturing PMI (53.5) exceeded expectations (52.8) – initially strengthening USD. Durable Goods Orders rose by 3.2%, reinforcing economic resilience. EIA Weekly Crude Stocks & Fed's Beige Book impacted liquidity and volatility in the market. 🛑 Impact on the Trade: Positive USD data initially caused short-term retracements, offering a discounted entry for longs. Market reaction confirmed a USD exhaustion, leading to EUR/USD bullish momentum. 📈 Volatility & Liquidity Insights 📌 Volatility data from the Prime Market Terminal indicated: EUR/USD ATR increased, signaling higher liquidity grabs and expansion. Liquidity Pools: Visible range analysis showed high-volume nodes near the Fibonacci retracement area, acting as liquidity traps before the bullish push. Institutional Order Flow: Increased volume and liquidity injection around key price levels confirmed smart money accumulation. 🏦 Institutional Positioning & Market Flow 📌 COT (Commitment of Traders) Report Insights: Institutional Traders: Increased long positions on EUR/USD, signaling confidence in the bullish move. Retail Sentiment: Majority of retail traders were short, fueling a short squeeze that propelled price higher. Market Depth Data: Prime Market Terminal showed institutional buy orders stacking near the key demand zone, reinforcing the long setup’s strength. 🔥 Conclusion ✅ The confluence of technicals, fundamental news, volatility data, and institutional flows provided a high-probability long setup on EUR/USD. ✅ Key Takeaway: Combining macro analysis with technicals and liquidity insights can increase the accuracy of trade setups. 📌 Did you catch this move? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 🚀💬
Long
by LDForex_