EURUSD
EURUSD 3-7 Feb 2025 W6 - Weekly Analysis - Tariffs Impact & NFP This is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 3-7 Feb 2025 W6 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
Weekly Chart Analysis
Daily Chart Analysis
4H Chart Analysis
Economic Events for the Week
Market Sentiment
On February 1, 2025, President Donald Trump announced the imposition of tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China, effective immediately. The tariffs include a 25% levy on goods from Canada and Mexico, and a 10% tariff on Chinese imports. These measures are intended to address issues such as illegal immigration, drug trafficking, and trade imbalances.
The Federal Reserve is closely monitoring the situation to assess the potential economic impact of the new tariffs. The primary concerns include:
Inflation: The tariffs are expected to raise the cost of imported goods, which could contribute to higher inflation rates. This development may influence the Fed's monetary policy decisions, potentially leading to adjustments in interest rates to manage inflationary pressures.
Economic Growth: The increased costs for businesses and consumers may dampen economic growth. The Fed will need to balance the risks of slowing growth with the potential for rising inflation when considering future policy actions.
In summary, the imposition of tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China has introduced significant uncertainty into the markets. Investors are concerned about the potential for increased costs and supply chain disruptions, while the Federal Reserve is evaluating the implications for inflation and overall economic growth.
Weekly Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹Internal Bearish
🔹In Swing Discount
🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2️⃣
🔹INT structure continuing bearish with iBOS following the Bearish Swing. (End of 2023 till end of 2024 was a pullback phase after the first bearish iBOS)
3️⃣
🔹After the bearish iBOS we expect a pullback, price tapped into Monthly Demand and the liquidity below Nov 2022 which is above the weekly demand formed with the initiation of the bearish iBOS pullback phase.
🔹Price made a bullish CHoCH which indicates that the liquidity was enough as per previous week analysis to initiate a pullback phase for the bearish iBOS.
🔹Price currently looking to target the liquidity built up during September 2024 and maybe reaching the Weekly supply zone (In INT structure Premium).
🔹Price had tapped into the Weekly Demand formed from the Bullish CHoCH last week. Is this demand enough to initiate the INT Pullback or with the current market sentiment and USD expectation to strength in the short-term we will continue Bearish following the Bearish Swing and INT Structures to target the Weak INT Low and Weak Swing Low?
🔹Expectations for price react from the current Weekly demand and then target the Weak INT Low to target the Weak Swing Low.
Daily Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2️⃣
🔹Following the Bearish Swing BOS, INT Structure continuing bearish tapping the weekly demand zone.
3️⃣
🔹After the failure to close below the Weak INT Low, price continued bullish sweeping the liquidity above Dec 30 and currently mitigating a Daily supply zone within the INT Structure Premium Zone.
🔹With the mitigation of the Daily supply, price created a Bearish CHoCH signaling the end of the Pullback Phase of the INT structure and the start of the Bearish move targeting the Weak INT Low.
🔹Currently price tapping into a Daily/Weekly Demand Zones which could provide some bounce / or reversal for price to continue up (Depends on market Sentiment and if tariffs will trigger Risk-Off and USD Strength or it’s already priced in from last week strength in USD).
🔹Expectation is set to Bearish and more LTF development required to have a clear view.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Reached Swing EQ
🔹Swing Pullback
2️⃣
🔹Price managed to create a Bearish iBOS indicating that the Swing Pullback started.
🔹After the iBOS, we expect a Pullback.
3️⃣
🔹Price currently tapping into the Daily/Weekly demand which could provide a short-term pullback (waiting for at least a Bullish CHoCH to confirm).
🔹Expectation is set to have a reaction from the Daily / 4H Demand zone to facilitate the pullback (Aligns with the Daily/Weekly expectations) then we will continue bearish to facilitate the Daily / Weekly expectations of bearish move.
Economic Events for the Week
Weekly FOREX Forecast Feb 3 - 7th.This is an outlook for the week of Feb 3 - 7th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
USD Index
EURUSD
GBPUSD
AUDUSD
NZDUSD
CAD, USDCAD
CHF, USDCHF
JPY, USDJPY
The USD Index is reacting to the Monthly and Weekly Supply Zone. The week before last was an aggressive bearish candle, followed by last week retracement. Although the week ended with a bullish close, it inside Supply. We could see price resume the bearish reaction to the HTF Supply this week. This could mean the majors may see bullish weeks against the USD.
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EURUSD On The Rise! BUY!
My dear friends,
EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.0356 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.0386
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
HelenP. I Euro will make small move up and then drop to $1.0220Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. In this chart, we can see how the price dropped below the resistance level first and then soon backed up, making a gap. Next, the price some time traded near the resistance level and then rose to the trend line, after which turned around and started to decline. In a short time, the price fell below the 1.0500 level, breaking it, and then EUR trades in a small flat and then dropped to the support zone, which coincided with the support level. After this movement, the Euro rebounded from the support zone and rose to the trend line, but when it touched this line, it at once rebounded and fell belowthe 1.0300 level, breaking it. Soon, the price turned around and rose to the support area, where it some time traded near the 1.0300 level and later broke it. After this movement, the price rose to a resistance zone, breaking the trend line, and then it turned around and started to decline. So, I expect that EURUSD will little grow and then continue to decline to the trend line, breaking the support level. For this reason, I set my goal at 1.0220 points, which coincides with the trend line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
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EURUSD Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
EURUSD // still some time to prepare for the short expansionThe weekly trend is bearish, and the daily has broken the long structure.
The market is in a minor short trend, that may speed up with a significant break below the lowest clean (not yet tested) daily and H4 breakout zone (red dashed).
From there, the H4 and the daily target fibo levels are valid that align well with a daily / H4 breakout zone.
Key Fundamentals
Summary
The EUR/USD currency pair has come under pressure due to escalating U.S. tariff threats and diverging monetary policies between the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank (ECB). The U.S. dollar has strengthened amid these developments, while the euro struggles with a dovish ECB stance and economic uncertainties in the Eurozone.
Key Factors
U.S. Tariff Threats:
President Donald Trump has announced a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada, aiming to address issues such as illegal immigration and fentanyl trafficking, which has bolstered the U.S. dollar’s safe-haven appeal (Reuters).
Divergent Monetary Policies:
The Federal Reserve has maintained its interest rates, citing a strong U.S. economy, while the ECB has cut its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to counteract the Eurozone’s economic slowdown. This divergence has strengthened the U.S. dollar relative to the euro (Reuters).
Eurozone Economic Challenges:
The Eurozone is facing high energy costs, political instability, and external threats from global powers, which have weakened investor confidence in the euro (Wall Street Journal).
Market Sentiment:
The U.S. dollar has risen against major currencies as markets brace for potential tariff hikes. Meanwhile, stock indexes have posted gains, with Apple performing notably well (Reuters).
Actionable Insights
Bullish Case for EUR/USD:
If trade tensions de-escalate, the euro could recover against the U.S. dollar as market risk appetite improves.
Positive economic data from the Eurozone, such as stronger GDP growth or inflation data, could bolster the euro’s value.
Bearish Case for EUR/USD:
If the U.S. implements its 25% tariffs, the dollar could strengthen further, leading to a decline in EUR/USD.
Continued monetary policy divergence between the Fed and ECB could push the euro lower, especially if the ECB remains dovish while the Fed keeps rates steady or moves higher.
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Orange lines represent impulse bases on major timeframes, signaling the direction and validity of the prevailing trend by acting as key levels where significant momentum originated.
Level colors:
Daily - blue
Weekly - purple
Monthly - magenta
H4 - aqua
Long trigger - green
Short trigger - red
Clean (not yet tested) breakdown - dashed green
Clean (not yet tested) breakout - dashed red
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Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼♂️
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EUR_USD SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG|
✅EUR_USD is approaching a demand level of 1.0340
So according to our strategy
We will be looking for the signs of the reversal in the trend
To jump onto the bullish bandwagon just on time to get the best
Risk reward ratio for us
LONG🚀
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US Economic Data Impact: Will EURUSD Test Support zone Again?Today, key U.S. economic data was released , including GDP , Unemployment Claims , and the GDP Price Index . These data points had a direct impact on the U.S. dollar, resulting in volatility in the EURUSD pair . The weaker-than-expected GDP and lower inflation caused a temporary weakening of the USD, but the strong labor market data still supports the dollar, potentially limiting further downside for EURUSD.
This was an analysis of the US economic data that was released today.
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EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) entered the Resistance zone($1.054-$1.044) again, and it seems that this move is a Pullback to the ascending channel (broken) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , pullback appears to be a Zigzag corrective wave(ABC/5-3-5) .
I expect EURUSD to attack the Support zone($1.039-$1.033) again, 100_SMA(4-hour) , and decline to at least the width of the broken ascending channel .
Was the bullish candle the previous hour in the role of a pullback or the start of another upward trend for EURUSD?
Note: If EURUSD goes over $1.049, we can expect more pumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
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EURO - Price can fall to support level and then bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price entered to flat, where it at once reached resistance area and then dropped to $1.0345 level.
Later, price turned back to flat and reached resistance area again, making a gap, after which corrected.
Then price rose to resistance area again and then dropped to support line, exiting from flat and then bouncing up.
Soon, Euro declined to support line back, breaking $1.0345 level again, but soon rose back and started to trades in a wedge.
In wedge, price corrected to support line and later rose to resistance line, breaking $1.0345 level.
Now it trades close to support line and I think EUR can fall a little and then bounce up to $1.0560
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EURUSD Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.0416 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.0431
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EUR/USD - Bearish Setup with Elliott Wave StructureAnalyzing EUR/USD on the 15-minute timeframe using Elliott Wave Theory. Expecting a corrective wave (4) to complete before a final impulsive wave (5) downward.
Entry Zone: Just below the recent high
Stop Loss: Above wave (4) completion
Target: 1.0330-1.0315 range
Watching for confirmation before taking the trade. Let’s see how it plays out!
#ElliottWave #EURUSD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis
EURUSD: Bullish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why:
Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to buy EURUSD.
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EURUSD Is Trading At Strong Support While Finishing A CorrectionEURUSD came lower as expected, broke into the fifth wave we talked about last few weeks, and it finally moved into important support levels at 1.02 area. Notice that we are actually tracking the final leg within this downtrend from 2024 high, so ideally its wave C of a higher degree A-B-C correction, meaning that pair can stabilize still some time this month, ideally after the completion of an ending diagonal around important and golden 61,8% Fibonacci retracement. Even RSI is showing a divergence. A bounce in impulse back above 1.0435 will suggest that low is forming.