EURNZD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISEURNZD is currently trading around the 1.89 zone after successfully completing a retest of its prior breakout area. This level aligns perfectly with a key historical demand zone, where previous resistance has now flipped into strong support. The market structure remains bullish, and the recent higher-low formation combined with increased volume suggests the pair is gearing up for its next impulsive move to the upside. The price has respected the support zone with precision, signaling institutional interest and a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for long positions.
From a fundamental perspective, the euro remains relatively supported against the New Zealand dollar due to diverging monetary policy expectations. The European Central Bank is maintaining a cautious but slightly hawkish tone amid sticky core inflation, while the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is under pressure to ease policy later this year due to softening economic indicators, including a slowdown in GDP growth and weaker labor market conditions. These macro drivers favor a bullish bias on EURNZD as capital flow leans toward safer, yield-protected assets in the eurozone.
Technically, this setup has clean market geometry. The pair has broken through a multi-month consolidation structure and is now retesting the breakout with confluence from the main support zone at 1.88–1.89. With momentum building and volume increasing on the bounce, the setup is valid for a continuation toward the 1.99 level, especially if the pair reclaims the minor resistance at 1.9050. Breakout traders and position holders should monitor this area closely for confirmation.
Overall, this is a textbook bullish continuation play. The market has absorbed sell pressure at a critical level, and the successful retest confirms the strength of the new support base. With both technical structure and macro fundamentals aligned, this setup offers high potential for trend continuation, and I'm anticipating a strong move toward 1.99 in the coming weeks.
EURUSD
USD/CAD: The US Dollar in a Trap! Ready for a Rebound?Technical Overview:
The monthly chart of USD/CAD shows a weakening phase of the US dollar against the Canadian dollar. Currently, the price is located at a key support zone around 1.3800. The RSI suggests a potential technical rebound, but the bearish structure remains intact until the resistance at 1.4000 is broken.
Seasonality:
According to seasonal trend data, the month of May historically shows a slightly positive trend for USD/CAD:
20 years: +0.0017
15 years: -0.0027
10 years: +0.0014
5 years: +0.0039
2 years: -0.0020
This trend highlights a historical short-term weakness (2 years), while over longer periods, the movement is marginally positive.
COT Report:
COT data shows an increase in long positions on the dollar (+2,158 contracts), while short positions also increased (+2,817 contracts). This suggests uncertainty among institutional traders, with a slight inclination towards short positions.
Market Sentiment:
Data indicates that 65% of retail traders are short on USD/CAD, while only 35% are long. This could signal a potential squeeze if the price breaks above resistance levels.
Operational Conclusion:
Considering the bearish pressure and technical structure, a prudent strategy could include:
Long Entry: Above 1.4000 with confirmation on lower timeframes.
Stop Loss: Below 1.3800 to minimize exposure to false breakouts.
Primary Target: 1.4200, then 1.4400.
Alternative Strategy: If the price rejects the 1.4000 resistance, consider shorting towards 1.3700.
BTCUSD…relative equal lowsGood day traders, I’m back with another setup and this time we looking at the cryptocurrency (BTCUSD). This setup up is a short term trade, looking at the 1H TF we can clearly see the equal lows lows and one of lows that make up those relative lows is also our minutes TF’s low.
For the day our narrative is that internal liquidity and we also can expect price to push past that external liquidity. The 2 ray lines make up the volume imbalance that’s once price rebalances we can expect lower price for the rest of the day or maybe even rest of the week.
"Boom. Called it before it happened. Now watch it fly!"Price did exactly what was anticipated — a clean drop into the demand zone, followed by a sharp reaction. This setup was all about patience and precision. As drawn on the chart, structure held, liquidity was grabbed, and now we’re eyeing that breakout to the upside.
Zoom in and you’ll see the textbook pattern forming — correction, trap, then rally.
This is how you forecast with confidence.
Stay sharp, stay prepared — the next move is already in motion.
#EURUSD #ForexTrading
EURUSD – Rebalancing Before Repricing HigherEURUSD is currently trading within a corrective phase after failing to sustain its bullish momentum from the earlier impulsive rally. The market structure on the 1-hour chart shows a clean breakdown from recent highs, with sellers starting to step in more aggressively. This pullback feels more like a calculated retracement than a complete trend reversal, and the market may be seeking out a deeper discount before any continuation higher. With multiple rejections forming at lower highs and downside pressure increasing, it looks like EURUSD wants to drive lower first before making a run for higher levels.
Consolidation Structure
We’ve been consolidating after the last upward push, forming a short-term range with price grinding sideways but gradually bleeding lower. What stands out is the clear cluster of equal lows forming, acting as obvious sell-side liquidity. Just below that area sits a 1-hour fair value gap that remains unmitigated, offering a strong magnet for price. The FVG sits just beneath the golden pocket zone, which adds more confluence for a potential reaction from that area. This range looks designed to draw in early buyers, only to flush them out before price finds real support.
Bearish Scenario – Setup for a Deeper Retracement
Right now, the structure leans bearish in the short term. The market looks like it wants to run the lows and wick into the 1-hour fair value gap sitting below the golden pocket. This area is an unmitigated imbalance that lines up perfectly with the idea of a final liquidity grab. I’m expecting price to reach down into that gap, around the 1.112 region, before any kind of reversal occurs. The goal of this move would be to clear out stops and rebalance the inefficiency from the previous rally, setting the stage for the next leg higher.
Bullish Scenario – Reversal from Discount
Once price trades into the 1.112 zone and sweeps the current lows, the setup for a bullish reversal becomes much cleaner. That area offers a combination of liquidity, inefficiency, and fib confluence, making it a high-probability level for buyers to step back in. If we get a solid rejection or displacement out of that level, the upside potential opens up quickly. The idea is that after this corrective move and stop hunt, the market reclaims momentum and starts driving toward the next key structure zone.
Price Target and Expectations
If price delivers the expected sweep and mitigation into 1.112, I’ll be looking for confirmation of bullish intent and signs of strength to enter long. The target sits much higher, all the way at the 0.28 fib level, which is around 1.20. That level offers a logical take-profit zone based on fib projection and structure alignment. The potential reward-to-risk on this move is excellent if the entry holds and the displacement confirms. This would essentially be a play on manipulation and continuation, classic liquidity run before expansion.
Conclusion
EURUSD is setting up nicely for a textbook sweep-and-reverse play. The market is currently moving lower, and I’m expecting that move to extend into the 1-hour FVG just below the golden pocket, targeting an entry near 1.112. From there, if price reacts cleanly, the next leg should aim for the 0.28 fib level at 1.20. All the ingredients are there: a clean imbalance, obvious liquidity to take, and a higher-timeframe fib target to anchor the move. Just need to wait for price to do its job and follow the plan.
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EURUSD - Shift In Momentum Confirmed!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈After breaking below the structure marked in orange, EURUSD's momentum has been shifted from bullish to bearish.
EURUSD is currently rejecting the upper bound of its falling channel marked in red.
Moreover, it is retesting the orange structure.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of structure and upper red trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURUSD is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
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EURUSD: Move Down Expected! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 1.11983 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 1.11888.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
HelenP. I Euro may reach resistance level and break itHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Observing this chart, we can see how the price appears to be finding stability just above the trend line support. This zone also aligns closely with the local swing low formed after the rejection from the resistance area near 1.1270. Buyers managed to defend this key trend structure, forming a potential higher low setup within the broader bullish framework. The price is now trading below a significant resistance cluster, where both horizontal and supply pressure meet, the 1.1270 to 1.1315 zone. However, the fact that EUR is respecting the rising trend line and hasn't broken below the previous local low suggests that bullish momentum may still be intact. A corrective dip into the trend line could offer the final shakeout before a new leg upward begins. If price manages to build strength around this support and push back toward the resistance zone, a breakout becomes increasingly likely. In such a case, the market may extend toward the 1.1400 area, which I consider my current target. Given the sustained higher lows, trend support, and structure of accumulation forming below resistance, I expect EURUSD to continue pushing upward after this retest phase. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
EURUSD: Long Signal with Entry/SL/TP
EURUSD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy EURUSD
Entry Level - 1.1202
Sl - 1.1128
Tp - 1.1344
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Gold - New ATH in the making?Overall Market Context
This daily timeframe chart of Gold (XAU/USD) reflects a textbook example of a bullish retracement within a broader upward trend. The price has recently pulled back after printing a significant swing high, which is currently the all-time high (ATH). This retracement brings Gold into a high-probability reversal zone, aligning several technical elements that point toward potential bullish continuation.
Retracement Into A Confluence Zone
Price has retraced into a key technical area defined by the Fibonacci golden pocket (0.618–0.65) and a Fair Value Gap (FVG). The golden pocket is widely regarded as one of the most reactive retracement levels in Fibonacci analysis, where institutional participants often enter or scale into positions. The addition of an FVG overlapping this zone strengthens its importance. An FVG is typically created by an aggressive move that leaves behind inefficient price action or unmitigated imbalances, and in this case, it represents an area where demand previously overwhelmed supply.
The combination of the golden pocket and FVG creates a strong demand zone, from which a bullish reaction is expected if the overall macro sentiment remains supportive.
Bullish Reaction And Confirmation
Price wicked slightly below the FVG, likely triggering liquidity stops resting beneath prior swing lows before showing signs of a strong bounce. This type of price action—known as a liquidity grab or "spring"—is often a precursor to significant reversals when it aligns with higher timeframe bullish order flow.
The current bounce from this zone suggests that smart money may have accumulated long positions here. If price continues to hold above this zone, it confirms a successful defense of this key area and increases the probability of bullish continuation. The market is showing signs of shifting from a retracement phase back into an impulsive phase.
Break Of Structure And Targeting Buy-Side Liquidity
The next key area of interest is the buy-side liquidity resting above the most recent swing high, labeled as the "BSL" (Buy-Side Liquidity). If price breaches this level, it will confirm a break of market structure to the upside and signal a continuation of the overall bullish trend.
Such a break would invalidate the idea of deeper retracement and instead align with an impulsive leg that could target the previous ATH—and potentially exceed it. This makes the current zone a critical pivot point in determining whether gold resumes its long-term bullish trajectory.
New All-Time High Scenario
Should the BSL be breached and momentum maintained, price is likely to head toward printing a new all-time high. From a psychological and technical standpoint, the break of an ATH often leads to price discovery, where resistance is minimal, and price action becomes more volatile and parabolic.
Traders and institutions monitoring historical highs often front-run such moves or aggressively participate once confirmed, driving increased volume and volatility. This behavior can lead to rapid upside extension, especially when supported by macroeconomic narratives such as inflation hedging, geopolitical tensions, or declining real yields—all traditionally bullish catalysts for gold.
EUR/USD – BEARISH BIAS IN PLAY, IS A FAKEOUT COMING?EUR/USD – BEARISH BIAS IN PLAY, IS A FAKEOUT COMING?
🧠 Market Context:
After a technical rebound earlier this week, EUR/USD is now consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle. Despite buyers attempting a breakout, low volume and price action still below the 200 EMA indicate weak bullish momentum.
The DXY is recovering on expectations the Fed will hold rates higher for longer.
Meanwhile, the Euro lacks fundamental support as the ECB remains cautious with policy moves.
👉 Given the current technical setup, the higher probability scenario (70%) is a bearish breakout, continuing the dominant downtrend.
📊 Trade Scenarios for Today:
✅ High Probability – SITUATION 1 (70%):
Price breaks below the triangle’s base near 1.1185–1.1190 and continues lower toward the 1.1110 demand zone.
⛔ SELL ZONE: 1.1210 – 1.1220 (after minor retest of broken trendline)
🎯 TP: 1.1180 → 1.1150 → 1.1120 → 1.1100
🛑 SL: 1.1245 (above EMA200)
🚨 Lower Probability – SITUATION 2 (30%):
Price breaks out and closes firmly above the triangle and 200 EMA (~1.124x) → short-term bullish reversal.
🔵 BUY ZONE: 1.1250 – 1.1260 (only after confirmed breakout with volume)
🎯 TP: 1.1290 → 1.1325 → 1.1350
🛑 SL: 1.1215
🔍 Key Technical Levels & EMA:
Resistance (200 EMA on H1): ~1.1247
Major Support Zones: 1.1180 – 1.1150 – 1.1110
🎯 Execution Strategy:
Favor short setups unless a clear bullish breakout occurs above 1.1247 with strong volume.
Watch for a breakdown and retest below 1.1180 to confirm bearish continuation.
Avoid premature entries — let price come to your levels.
⚠️ News to Watch:
No major data today, but USD is still sensitive to Fed tone and macro headlines.
Keep an eye on Fed speakers later in the NY session for potential impact on dollar direction.
✅ Final Thoughts:
The triangle pattern is coiling tight, but overall momentum favors sellers.
Expect liquidity sweeps and volatility traps, especially around session transitions.
Stick to your plan, respect your levels, and let the market decide the breakout direction.
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
EUR/USD entered a corrective phase after its recent bullish rally and a test of the resistance zone.
Despite the short-term pullback, the mid-term trend remains bullish.
We expect the price to complete its correction near the identified support zone, and then resume its upward movement toward the specified target level.
This pullback may provide a buying opportunity in line with the broader trend.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
EUR/USD - Triangle Formation (16.05.2025)The EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.1321
2nd Resistance – 1.1376
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Euro H4 | Overlap resistance at 38.2% Fibonacci retracementThe Euro (EUR/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.1263 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.1395 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a multi-swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 1.1081 which is an overlap support that aligns close the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Bearish reversal off 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1265
1st Support: 1.1071
1st Resistance: 1.1367
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EURUSD: Growth Is Coming! Buy!Driven by the lower-than-expected U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data, the EUR/USD exchange rate oscillated higher and broke through the 1.1200 threshold. During the North American trading session, EUR/USD rose 0.25% and traded near 1.1200, indicating that short-term bullish momentum is gradually strengthening.
The EUR/USD has successfully broken through the psychological resistance level of 1.1200, forming a strong upward breakout pattern. The MACD indicator shows a golden cross formation, with the histogram turning from negative to positive, signaling a shift in momentum to bullish. In the short term, EUR/USD is expected to continue its upward momentum, with the primary target being the previous high of 1.1230. If this level is effectively breached, it could challenge the 1.1250–1.1275 area.
For support levels, 1.1180 serves as a key short-term support, followed by the 1.1150 zone.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
EURUSD: The Market Is Looking Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 1.11806 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 1.12047.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EUR/USD holds resistance but lacks momentumThe EUR/USD has given up the mild gains made earlier in the day to almost turn flat on the session, following the release of mixed US data. With equity indices bouncing back, we have see the EUR/USD come off its highs. But strong eurozone data from earlier today meant the sellers were not rushing in to punish the pair. Still, price action is turning a little more bearish day by day.
Today, we are looking at another inverted hammer candle on the daily chart, albeit a small one. Yesterday, there was a similar pattern as rates held below the broken support area of 1.1215 - 1.1265. Some downside follow-thru is now needed to encourage the sellers.
Support comes in at 1.1100, followed by 1.1000.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
EURUSD Massive Long! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.1186
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.1294
Safe Stop Loss - 1.1123
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD Will Move Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.118.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.090 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/USD Triangle Breakout (15.05.2025)The EUR/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.1085
2nd Support – 1.1030
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