FX Market Preview: NFP week - EUR/USD in focusIn this FX market preview I go into recapping the EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY price action last week and what I'm looking at for this week.
I also take a look at ETF's QQQE and Nvidia opportunities.
I continue to hold my EUR/USD short positions while keeping a strong eye on 1.0860 and then 1.0900. I feel these areas are important for the bears to hold the line if we're going to continue the slide down.
NFP in focus this week as well as Trump Tariffs.
As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe.
EURUSD
Potential bearish reversal?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0876
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0948
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Take profit: 1.0799
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EUR/USD Double Top Analysis - Bearish Reversal Trade Setup This analysis highlights a Double Top pattern forming on the EUR/USD 4-hour timeframe, which is a classic bearish reversal pattern. The pattern signals a potential shift from a bullish trend to a downtrend, providing traders with a well-defined entry, stop loss, and target levels.
1. Understanding the Double Top Pattern
A Double Top is a trend reversal pattern that forms after an extended uptrend. It consists of two peaks (Top 1 and Top 2) at approximately the same resistance level, followed by a break below the neckline (support level), confirming the pattern.
Pattern Breakdown:
Top 1 & Top 2: These peaks represent failed attempts to break higher, showing strong selling pressure at resistance.
Support (Neckline): The price found support at a key level, where buyers initially stepped in, but eventually, this level was broken, triggering a potential downtrend.
2. Key Levels & Trading Setup
📌 Resistance Level (Bearish Rejection Zone)
The resistance level is marked in the 1.09500 - 1.09600 range.
Price action tested this zone twice (Top 1 & Top 2) but failed to sustain above it.
The repeated rejection indicates that sellers are dominant in this zone.
📌 Support Level (Neckline Breakout Confirmation)
The support level is marked in the 1.07700 - 1.07800 zone.
The price bounced off this area initially, but later broke below it, confirming a bearish move.
The breakout suggests selling momentum is increasing.
3. Trading Strategy – Bearish Setup
🔴 Entry Point (Sell Trigger)
A short trade is confirmed when the price breaks below the neckline (support level) after forming the Double Top.
The breakout confirms seller dominance and signals potential downside movement.
🚨 Stop Loss Placement
Stop Loss is placed slightly above the resistance level at 1.09575.
This ensures protection against false breakouts or price retracements.
🎯 Target (Take Profit Projection)
The price target is calculated based on the height of the Double Top pattern.
Target Level: 1.06639, aligning with the measured move from the resistance to the neckline.
4. Market Outlook & Risk Management
📉 Bearish Scenario (High Probability Move)
✔️ The market structure shows a strong bearish reversal with price failing to break above resistance.
✔️ The confirmed neckline break indicates sellers have taken control.
✔️ If the price continues lower, we can expect a move toward 1.06639.
📈 Bullish Scenario (Invalidation of Trade)
❌ If price closes back above resistance (1.09575), it would invalidate the bearish setup.
❌ This would indicate that buyers are regaining control, and the trade setup should be re-evaluated.
5. Final Thoughts & TradingView Tags
Summary of Trading Setup:
✅ Pattern: Double Top (Bearish Reversal)
✅ Sell Entry: Below the support neckline
✅ Stop Loss: Above 1.09575
✅ Target: 1.06639
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable
📌 Tags for TradingView Idea:
#EURUSD #DoubleTop #ForexTrading #BearishReversal #SupportResistance #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexSetup #TradingStrategy
WHY EURUSD IS BULLISH ?? DETAILED FUNDAEMTALS AND TECHNICAL EUR/USD is currently trading around 1.0880, exhibiting a bullish trend after completing a retest within the 0.50 to 0.61 Fibonacci retracement levels. This technical formation suggests a potential upward movement toward the target price of 1.1000, indicating strong support and the possibility of continued appreciation.
Fundamentally, the euro has shown resilience despite recent dovish signals from the European Central Bank (ECB). ECB board member Piero Cipollone has advocated for further policy easing, citing declining inflation and economic shifts as justifications for additional interest rate cuts. Conversely, the U.S. dollar has experienced modest gains amid uncertainties surrounding potential tariffs and mixed economic data, contributing to its volatility. These dynamics create a nuanced environment where the euro's strength may persist in the short term
Technical analysis reinforces the bullish outlook for EUR/USD. The pair's rebound from the 0.50 to 0.61 Fibonacci retracement levels indicates robust support, with the recent completion of the retest phase suggesting readiness for further ascent. Key resistance levels to monitor include 1.0945, with a sustained break above this point potentially paving the way toward the 1.1000 target. Indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and moving averages also support the continuation of the upward trend
Traders should remain vigilant regarding upcoming economic releases and central bank communications, as these can significantly influence market sentiment and price action. Implementing sound risk management strategies, including appropriate stop-loss orders, is essential to navigate potential volatility. By staying informed and adaptable, traders can effectively capitalize on the anticipated bullish movement in the EUR/USD pair.
EURUSD: Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest support and resistance analysis
for EURUSD for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
ICT Concepts for FX and GOLD traders: 2025 edition🔍 ICT (Inner Circle Trader) is a trading methodology developed by Michael J. Huddleston. It focuses on market structure, smart money concepts (SMC), and how institutions manipulate liquidity to trap retail traders.
📚 It's not about indicators or over-complication — it's about reading the price action like a pro, understanding where liquidity is, and trading with the banks, not against them.
📐 1. Market Structure
Understand Highs & Lows: Identify break of structure (BOS) and change of character (CHOCH)
Follow the macro to micro flow: D1 > H4 > M15 for precision entries
🧱 2. Order Blocks (OBs)
An order block is the last bullish or bearish candle before a major price move.
Banks and institutions place large orders here.
Smart traders look for price to return to these areas (mitigation), then enter with tight stop losses.
👉 Think of OBs as institutional footprints on the chart.
💧 3. Liquidity Zones
Equal highs/lows, trendline touches, support/resistance — these are liquidity traps.
ICT teaches that price often hunts liquidity before reversing. That’s why many retail traders get stopped out.
Learn to trade into liquidity, not off it.
🔄 4. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)
Also called imbalances — when price moves too fast and leaves gaps.
Price often retraces to "fill the gap" — a key entry point for ICT traders.
🥇 ICT for Gold & Forex in 2025
💰 Why It Works for XAUUSD & Majors:
Gold is a highly manipulated asset, perfect for ICT-style trading.
It responds beautifully to liquidity grabs, order blocks, and Asian–London–New York session transitions.
Forex majors (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, etc.) are also ideal since they’re heavily influenced by institutional flow and news-driven liquidity hunts.
🕐 Timing Is Everything
Trade Killzones:
📍 London Killzone: 2AM–5AM EST
📍 New York Killzone: 7AM–10AM EST
These are high-volume sessions where institutions make their moves.
📈 Typical ICT Setup
▪️Spot liquidity zone above or below recent price
▪️Wait for liquidity sweep (stop hunt)
▪️Identify nearby order block or FVG
▪️Enter on a pullback into OB/FVG
▪️Set tight SL just past the recent swing
Target internal range, opposing OB, or next liquidity level
👨💻 Why FX/GOLD Traders Love ICT
✅ It’s clean, no indicators, and highly logical
✅ Great for part-time trading — 1 or 2 trades a day
✅ Feels like "leveling up" your understanding of the market
✅ Perfect for backtesting and journaling on platforms like TradingView or SmartCharts
✅ Easy to integrate into algo-based systems or EAs for semi-automation
If you’re tired of indicators and guessing, and want to trade like the institutions, ICT is a game changer. In 2025, more prop firms and traders are applying ICT concepts to dominate markets like gold, forex, and even crypto.
🧭 Master the method. Understand the logic. Ride with the smart money.
🔥 Welcome to the next level of trading.
EURUSD Is Very Bearish! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.082.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.069 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EUR-USD Bullish Rebound Expected! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD made a retest of
The horizontal support
Of 1.0750 from where
We are already seeing a
Bullish rebound so we are
Locally bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD Daily, H4,H1 Forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading Idea💡 Daily Timeframe:
As forecasted by 4CastMachine AI last week, EURUSD started corrective decline.
This decline may continue, but the support area of 1.0732 could trigger a rebound.
If this area is broken, the price will decline to the support area of 1.0600 to 1.0527.
This area, which was previously a major resistance, will become a major support, creating a good buying opportunity.
So, given the long-term uptrend, we can use this area as a long-term BUY ZONE.
💡 H4 Timeframe:
The Downtrend was a corrective wave and is broken now. It suggests we will soon see another leg higher.
💡 H1 Timeframe:
The price is in an UpTrend.
The bullish wave is expected to continue as long as the price is above the strong Support at 1.0732
1.0802 resistance is broken now. It will act as a support now!
Forecast:
Correction wave toward the Buy Zone
Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs
EURUSD: Weak Market & Bearish Continuation
Balance of buyers and sellers on the EURUSD pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the sellers, therefore is it only natural that we go short on the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
HelenP. I Euro drops to $1.0650 points, breaking support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. After analyzing this chart, we can see that the price spent some time within a consolidation range. During this period, the price tested the lower support zone and made a strong reaction from this level, moving upwards. This move showed strong buying pressure as the price quickly reversed from the support zone, signaling that buyers were ready to push higher. The price then broke above the trend line, continuing to rise and establishing a bullish momentum. It reached the upper resistance zone before encountering resistance and starting to consolidate. This consolidation happened within a narrow range, confirming that the market was unsure about the next move but still held above the important support 1. Now, the price is trading near the trend line and is testing the support zone. A reaction from this support will be crucial for determining the next move. Given the current price action, I expect a potential continuation of the move towards my goal at 1.0650, where the price may encounter further support and the previous price action. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish TargetChart Overview:
The provided EUR/USD daily chart displays a well-structured Rising Wedge pattern, which eventually led to a significant bearish breakdown. The analysis highlights key levels, including resistance, support, stop loss, and a downside target, all of which contribute to a well-planned trade setup. The market structure suggests a strong bearish continuation, targeting lower price levels based on technical projections.
1. Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge Formation & Breakdown
A Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that forms when price creates higher highs and higher lows, but the slope of the trendlines indicates weakening bullish momentum. This pattern is often a signal of upcoming bearish price action once a breakout occurs.
Pattern Breakdown Analysis:
The price moved inside the wedge, showing a gradual upward trend with declining momentum.
Upon reaching a key resistance level, price faced strong rejection (marked with a red circle).
The bearish breakdown below the wedge confirmed the pattern, leading to a sharp decline.
A retest of the broken wedge followed before continuing downward.
This confirms a classic bearish trend reversal, making it a strong technical setup.
2. Key Levels and Trade Setup:
🔹 Resistance Level (Major Supply Zone)
The resistance zone (highlighted in beige) acted as a strong supply area, where buyers lost control.
Price reached this resistance multiple times but failed to sustain above it.
A bearish reversal initiated from this level, marking the beginning of a downward trend.
🔹 Support Level (Key Demand Zone)
The support zone (also highlighted) represents a major demand area where price previously reversed.
This level aligns with historical price action, making it a critical area to monitor for potential reactions.
🔹 Stop Loss Placement
A stop loss is placed above the previous high within the resistance zone to protect against false breakouts.
If price invalidates the breakdown and moves above this level, the bearish setup would no longer be valid.
🔹 Price Target Projection
The breakdown suggests a potential drop towards 1.00874, as indicated by the 100% measured move.
This aligns with previous historical support, making it a realistic downside target.
3. Trade Execution Plan: How to Trade This Setup?
📌 Entry Strategy:
Traders can enter short after confirmation of the breakdown and a potential retest.
A sell position can be initiated around the resistance turned support after a pullback rejection.
📌 Stop Loss Strategy:
A stop loss should be set above the resistance zone (around 1.12208) to minimize risk.
This ensures protection against a bullish breakout invalidation.
📌 Take Profit Strategy:
The first take profit target is set at the support level near 1.04498.
The final take profit target is at 1.00874, which aligns with the full measured move projection.
4. Conclusion & Market Sentiment
🔸 Bearish Market Bias – The breakdown of the rising wedge confirms strong bearish momentum.
🔸 Key Resistance Held Strong – The price was unable to break above, confirming seller dominance.
🔸 Downside Target Aligns with Previous Support Levels – A confluence of technical signals supports further decline.
Final Thought:
This chart presents a high-probability bearish trade setup in EUR/USD. The combination of a rising wedge breakdown, clear resistance rejection, and a defined downside target makes it an ideal short-selling opportunity. Traders should watch for price action confirmations and risk management strategies before executing trades.
🚨 Risk Disclaimer: Always apply proper risk management and confirm signals before trading. Market conditions may change, so monitoring price behavior is crucial for trade adjustments.
Weekly Market Analysis - 29th March 2025 (DXY & EURUSD Only)Here is my DXY & EURUSD analysis for the upcoming week and month.
I share what I think will happen in terms of anticipating price using the concepts of liquidity and efficiency as mostly taught by ICT.
I hope you find it useful in your perspective of the market.
- R2F Trading
EURUSD - Key FVG Zones and Potential Market MovesThis EURUSD 4-hour chart highlights critical Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) that could serve as key decision points for price action. The chart illustrates a confluence of factors:
1. Upper FVG Zone:
Located near the 0.618-0.786 Fibonacci retracement levels, this area represents a potential supply zone. Price reaching this level could either result in a bearish rejection or continuation upwards, depending on momentum and market sentiment.
2. Lower FVG Zone:
A well-defined demand zone in the 1.07000-1.07500 range, serving as a key support area where buyers may step in if the price retraces.
3. Projected Scenarios:
- Bullish Scenario (Green Path): If the price holds above the lower FVG and gains momentum, a push toward the upper FVG with potential breakout above could ensue, aiming for levels around 1.09000 and higher.
- Bearish Scenario (Red Path): A rejection from the upper FVG could lead to a retest of the lower zone, and if broken, may lead to further downside below 1.07000.
This analysis underscores the importance of monitoring these zones and the price action dynamics around them. Traders should be prepared for both scenarios while aligning their strategies with broader market context and risk management principles.
EURUSD Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.0807
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.0781
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAU/USD: Possible Fall Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that, as expected, the price continued its bullish movement and climbed close to its all-time high of $3057, reaching $3056 today. Since this level acted as a Bearish Rejection Block, we’re now seeing a price correction from that area, with gold currently trading around $3049. If the price stabilizes below the $3050 mark, we may see further downside. Potential bearish targets are $3045, $3040, and $3035, respectively.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Euro can exit from pennant and rebound up from support areaHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The price was previously trading inside an upward channel, where it consistently rebounded from the support line and moved toward the resistance line. After a final bounce from the lower boundary, EUR made a strong breakout and exited the channel, triggering a powerful bullish impulse. This move brought the price directly to the current support level at 1.0745, which overlaps with the support area. After reaching the local high, the price turned around and entered a correction phase, forming an upward pennant pattern. Inside this structure, we can see how EUR respected both the resistance line and the rising support line of the pennant. Recently, the price rebounded from the support line again, showing signs of strength near the support area, and is now consolidating at the edge of the pennant. This setup often signals an upcoming breakout. I expect the price to break above the resistance line of the pennant and continue its bullish move toward TP1, which is set at 1.0950 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Why GBPJPY IS BULLISH ?? DETAILED TECHNICAL AND FUNDAMENTALS GBPJPY is currently trading at approximately 195.000, having achieved a substantial gain of over 300 pips. Technical analysis suggests that the pair is poised for further upward movement, with a target price of 199.000, indicating the potential for an additional 400 pips gain. This bullish momentum is supported by the pair's recent breakout from a consolidation phase, signaling strong buying interest.
Fundamentally, the British pound has demonstrated resilience, bolstered by stable economic indicators and a proactive monetary policy stance from the Bank of England. Conversely, the Japanese yen has experienced depreciation, influenced by the Bank of Japan's commitment to maintaining ultra-loose monetary policies. This divergence in central bank policies has widened the interest rate differential between the two currencies, favoring a stronger pound against the yen.
Technical indicators further reinforce the bullish outlook for GBP/JPY. The pair has been trading above key moving averages, with oscillators indicating strong upward momentum. The recent breakout above the 193.000 resistance level has opened the path toward the 199.000 target. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains in bullish territory, suggesting that the current uptrend has room to continue
Traders should monitor key resistance levels closely, as a sustained move above 195.000 could confirm the continuation of the bullish trend toward 199.000. Implementing robust risk management strategies, such as setting appropriate stop-loss orders, is essential to navigate potential market volatility. Staying informed about upcoming economic data releases and central bank communications will also be crucial in effectively capitalizing on this trading opportunity.
EurUsd- The "big" move is down, not upLast week, TRADENATION:EURUSD reached a high of around 1.09 and has been consolidating ever since, now for the fifth consecutive trading day. Despite some weak upward spikes, the pair remains in a range-bound phase.
From a technical perspective, multiple resistance levels lie ahead, with the psychological 1.10 mark acting as a key barrier. Given the current price action, I believe this consolidation is more likely to result in a downside breakout rather than a continuation of the uptrend.
There is a strong possibility that EUR/USD will correct the impressive rally that began in early March.
With this outlook in mind, I see more downside potential than upside and I am considering selling into rallies, targeting a move toward 1.07.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Strong GDP, Weak USD – How Will EURUSD React!?Today's U.S. data showed strong GDP growth (2.4%) , but lower inflation ( 2.3% Final GDP Price Index ) and a weaker trade balance ( -147.9B ) suggest the Fed may remain cautious on rate hikes. This limits USD's strength , supporting a potential EURUSD rebound .
EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is moving in the Support zone($1.08180-$1.0745) and has also managed to break the Downtrend line . 50_SMA(Weekly) plays a good role of support for EURUSD .
In terms of Classic Technical Analysis and Price Action , there is also a possibility that EURUSD will return to an uptrend with Inverse Head and Shoulders and Bullish Quasimodo Patterns .
Regarding Elliott Wave theory , it seems that EURUSD has managed to complete the main wave 4 . The main wave 4 structure is an Expanding Flat Correction(ABC/3-3-5) .
I expect EURUSD to trend higher in the coming hour s and rise to at least $1.0855 , and if the Resistance zone($1.0867-$1.0850) is broken, we should expect more pumping .
Note: If EURUSD breaks below the 50_SMA(Weekly), we expect further declines. The worst Stop Loss(SL) could be $1.072.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree .
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.