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EURUSD

USD/JPY : More Bullish Move Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the USD/JPY chart on the daily timeframe, we can see that the price moved exactly as expected — first correcting down to the 142.5 area, and then rallying strongly to hit the 146.2 target. Currently, this pair is trading around 145.2, and if the price can hold above 145, we can still expect further upside movement on USDJPY. The next potential targets are 148.7 and 150 respectively. This analysis will be updated. The total return of this analysis so far has been over 720 pips! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
10
BTC - ATH Incoming?current market structure this 1-hour chart of btcusdt presents a sophisticated transition from accumulation to a potential breakout structure, with well-defined fair value gaps (fvgs) and a clear instance of manipulation followed by rapid recovery. the market appears to be attempting to regain bullish momentum following a liquidity sweep and subsequent internal shift in structure. accumulation within an ascending channel price action developed within an ascending channel, marked by higher highs and higher lows over time. this is a classic representation of controlled bullish accumulation. the tight, stair-stepping movement reflects steady institutional positioning, building long exposure while keeping volatility contained. this phase shows multiple rejections of the lower trendline, confirming consistent demand. manipulation into fvg the breakdown beneath the channel coincides with a sharp move into a large fvg (highlighted in light blue). this aggressive wick likely triggered stop-losses of retail longs, constituting a liquidity grab or manipulation event. such actions are typical after extended consolidations, flushing out weak hands to enable large players to enter at a discount. the reaction from this zone confirms its significance, as buyers immediately stepped in and reclaimed lost ground. recovery and shift in momentum after manipulation, the market found support in the fvg zone and launched a sharp bullish move. the rapid recovery illustrates strong underlying demand. the price re-entered a smaller fvg (labelled “resistance in this fvg”), briefly faced selling pressure, and then decisively broke through it. this reclaim of supply zones is often a powerful signal that bullish momentum is back in control. bullish inversion fair value gap (ifvg) price is now challenging a smaller bullish internal fair value gap (ifvg), marked in red. this zone, which once acted as a resistance layer, has now become a pivot point. successful hold or breakout above this region would likely trigger continuation, with market participants targeting previous swing highs or beyond. break of structure and bullish continuation a key development here is the break above the previous swing high or "bsL" (buy-side liquidity). this signifies a structural shift—no longer just recovering, the market is actively seeking higher liquidity. such breaks often catalyze rapid directional movement, especially when they occur after liquidity has been swept from the opposite side. distribution and potential for new all-time high the green projection suggests the possibility of further bullish expansion toward a distribution zone. if current momentum continues and no major supply zones disrupt the advance, the market could be on its way to challenge or set new all-time highs (ath). the label “on the way to new ath?” reflects this open-path scenario, contingent on continuation above 105,600–106,000 levels. market psychology this chart reveals a narrative of engineered manipulation followed by strength confirmation. institutions manipulated price below support to shake out retail traders, then absorbed that liquidity and pushed price higher. once resistance was reclaimed, confidence returned, inviting both short cover and fresh long entries. such sequences reinforce the importance of waiting for price reactions at key levels rather than acting on the first impulse. summary btc has exited an accumulation phase within a rising channel, experienced a strategic liquidity sweep into a deep fvg, and then quickly reversed. the current positioning above multiple reclaimed fvgs and just beneath a structural break confirms a bullish outlook. if price holds above the current bullish ifvg, the pathway to distribution and possibly new highs remains open. strategic traders may now focus on confirming pullbacks into these reclaimed zones for continuation setups.
Long
by Louigi_24
127
GBPJPY( British pound my banker!)Good day traders, I’m back with another idea on GbPJPY but this one is based on the strength and weakness of the pound itself. Before you ask what I mean…on this respective TF we had a break of structure higher(strength) but we saw price immediately move lower showing some weakness in price. For the rest of the London session we can expect price to move higher on that volume imbalance to start the New York session. The rectangle is a balanced price range.
Short
by FxPipMaster_TebohoMatla
DeGRAM | EURUSD rebound in the channel📊 Technical Analysis ● Strong rebound from 1.1070/channel base produced a V‑shape and broke a minor falling wedge; price is now carving higher lows above 1.1200 support. ● Room remains to the upper wedge rail / supply 1.1380, which aligns with the channel’s mid‑line; invalidation if 1.1200 fails. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● US April CPI printed 0.3 % m/m (vs 0.4 % cons) while retail‑sales missed, knocking 2‑yr yields beneath 4.70 % and weakening the USD. ● ECB hawks (Vujčić, Nagel) said cuts after June hinge on data, tempering dovish bets and underpinning euro rates. FXStreet flags fresh demand above 1.12. ✨ Summary Channel‑floor bounce + softer US data versus guarded ECB tone favour a grind to 1.1300 → 1.1380; long bias void under 1.1200. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
4
EURUSD Approaches Key Resistance After Strong BounceThe 1.1050–1.11 support zone held EURUSD almost like a textbook example. Still, it is too early to say the retest has failed and that the main direction is now definitively upward. You can check our earlier post here: In the short term, the bounce and breakout above 1.12 were strong. However, bulls should remain cautious as the main resistance is now within reach. The 1.1275–1.1295 zone is the key short-term resistance, in our view. This area includes a former key horizontal support level, the short-term downtrend line, and it also marks the midpoint of the April 21 to May 13 retreat. Unless this zone is broken, EURUSD could start to lose momentum. The 1.12 level may now act as a pivot between the 1.1150–1.12 support area and the 1.1275–1.1295 resistance range.
Short
by ftdsystem
GBPUSD inverted FVG update!!Good day traders, we back again we an update on the setup on GBpUSD that I posted. Coming into this week on Monday we show a very strong push lower and it was anticipated for Thursday and Friday that move but because the narrative still holds and we saw price fail to close about the midpoint of the inverted FVG. Price did not only reject that level once but multiple times, price than moved away from the Inverted FVG. The green arrow shows a balanced price range that we wanna see price revisit and break past, but remember price do not move in a straight line so monitor minor reversals that can really do damage. On the 4H TF we saw break structure lower and that leg has a lot of imbalances in them!! But overall bias we bearish on GBPUsD
Short
by FxPipMaster_TebohoMatla
EURCAD H2 Best Level to SHORT/HOLD +100/+200 pips🏆 EURCAD Market Update H2 chart 📊 Technical Outlook 🔸broke down on high vol 🔸compression BEAR FLAG 🔸Mid-term: BEARS 5500 🔸Status: compression/dump 🔸5710/5720 heavy S/R BEARS 🔸5520/5540 key s/r zones below 🔸Price Target Bears: 5520 🔸final pump possible 🔸strategy: SHORT SELL 5710/5720 🔸SL 40 pips TP1 +100 pips TP2 +200 pips 🔸swing trade setup for patient traders 📊 Forex Market Update (May 7, 2025) 🇪🇺 EUR/USD 📉 Price: \~1.1370 USD strength ahead of Fed dampens Euro German HCOB Services PMI fell in April; ECB rate-cut bets rising Key Levels: Support 1.1320 | Resistance 1.1380 🇬🇧 GBP/USD 📉 Price: \~1.3320 (slid from recent highs) Modest USD buying ahead of Fed decision BoE policy caution keeps Pound in check Key Levels: Support 1.3300 | Resistance 1.3400 🇺🇸 DXY (US Dollar Index) 📈 Price: \~99.39 Supported by rising U.S. yields and Fed rate-cut delays Pressured by strategic uncertainty and trade tensions Key Levels: Support 98.00 | Resistance 100.00
Short
by ProjectSyndicate
39
EUR/USD Outlook – Potential Short SetupsHi everyone, In today’s post, let’s break down the current market structure and potential opportunities in the EUR/USD pair. 🔍 Market Context After nearly a month of consolidation, EUR/USD appears to have stalled around the previous weekly swing highs . Despite several attempts to hold above this level, the price eventually broke down, signalling a shift in structure on the 4-hour (4H) timeframe. This short-term breakdown could be an early sign of a larger structural shift on the daily chart , and it’s something I’m keeping a close eye on. 🧭 Key Levels & Price Behaviour At the moment, price action is bouncing from a demand zone , which might provide a short-lived relief rally . However, this bounce may only be temporary. In my humble opinion, bullish momentum is fading , and we could be entering a trap zone for late buyers . I’m watching the 1.132–1.138 region , just above the short-term downtrend line, as a potential resistance zone and an ideal area to consider shorts. 🎯 Trade Ideas I’ve marked two trade setups on the chart, catering to different risk profiles: 1. Aggressive Trade – For traders willing to enter closer to resistance with tighter stop losses. 2. Conservative Trade – For those who prefer more confirmation before entry. You can treat these setups independently or combine them into a single strategy depending on your trading style and risk tolerance. ⚠️ Disclaimer This post is purely for educational purposes . I am not a financial advisor , and nothing here should be taken as financial advice. Always consult your financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
by johntradingwick
2
EUR/USD Breakdown in May: Seasonality + Smart MoneyEUR/USD Weekly Outlook – May 15, 2025 EUR/USD is showing clear signs of weakness after a sharp rejection from the key supply zone between 1.1450 and 1.1600. Last week’s candle closed decisively below the 1.1250–1.1300 structure, confirming the failure to sustain bullish momentum. The RSI has also dropped below the 40 level, signaling strong downside pressure. From an institutional positioning standpoint, non-commercial traders are rebalancing: both longs and shorts on the euro have decreased, while spread positions have increased—suggesting hesitation and a lack of clear conviction. On the other hand, commercials remain heavily long on the euro, but this appears to be more of a hedging move than a directional bias. The US dollar is regaining strength, with new long positions added by speculative traders, aligning with the recent EUR/USD decline. Retail sentiment shows that a majority of traders are short, but not in extreme proportions. There’s a heavy cluster of long orders between 1.1100 and 1.1050, likely serving as liquidity targets for further downside movement. From a seasonal perspective, May is historically bearish for EUR/USD. All major seasonal timeframes (5y, 10y, 15y, 20y) point to consistent average negative performance in this month. The current 2025 trend aligns perfectly with this historical pattern, providing a statistical tailwind to the bearish thesis. Macro-wise, today’s key US data releases—PPI and Retail Sales—could significantly impact the USD. A positive surprise would further strengthen the dollar, adding downward pressure on the pair. Market attention is also focused on Fed Chair Powell's speech later today, which could add fuel to the current move. Conclusion: The macro, technical, sentiment, and seasonal frameworks all converge on a bearish continuation for EUR/USD. A weekly close below 1.1175 would confirm the downside extension, targeting the 1.0850–1.0700 demand zone. A break above 1.1330 would temporarily invalidate the bearish setup.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
2
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 15, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is holding near 1.12000 in Thursday's Asian session, recovering the day's losses as the euro (EUR) gains momentum ahead of the preliminary Eurozone gross domestic product (GDP) report for Q1 2025 to be released later in the day. The euro is being bolstered by growing confidence in its role as a reserve currency. Analysts at Capital Economics noted that the single currency is now in its strongest position in years and is closing the gap with the US dollar (USD) in global reserves. This shift is partly due to the policies of US President Donald Trump, which are seen as undermining the traditional appeal of the USD as a “safe-haven currency”. Further boosting the euro's reserve status was Germany's move to loosen fiscal restraints to boost defense and government spending, sparking additional demand for the currency. Meanwhile, European Central Bank (ECB) officials continue to emphasize the need for further interest rate cuts amid growing confidence that U.S. tariff measures will not significantly boost inflation in the eurozone. While interest rate cuts usually have a negative impact on the euro, the currency has so far remained resilient. EUR/USD is also finding support from a softer US Dollar as markets remain cautious amid continued, albeit slightly diminished, trade uncertainty. Attention now turns to upcoming US data releases, including retail sales and the Producer Price Index (PPI). Adding to the broader context, speculation is growing that Washington may favor a weaker dollar to boost its trade competitiveness. The Trump administration has argued that an overvalued dollar puts U.S. exporters at a disadvantage against competitors with weaker currencies. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.11900, SL 1.11400, TP 1.12600
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EURUSD Just Landed in the Killzone — Bounce or Breakdown?🔥 EURUSD 15-Min SMC Precision Play — May 14, 2025 Here’s a sweet Smart Money sniper entry on EURUSD, caught right as price tagged a powerful triple confluence zone: 📊 1. Structure & Momentum Recent bullish momentum created a weak high around 1.12660 Retracement follows with strong bearish pressure Price lands exactly at a previous OB, Fair Value Gap, and the 61.8% fib retracement 🧱 2. Confluence Breakdown 🔴 Fair Value Gap (FVG): Unfilled imbalance tapped 🟣 Order Block (OB): The last down candle before bullish rally 🟡 61.8% Fibonacci Level: Price kissed the golden pocket This stacking creates a high-probability reversal zone 🎯 3. Trade Plan Entry: Around 1.12160 SL: Below 1.12090 (under 70.5% fib) TP: At 1.12660 targeting previous weak high RRR ≈ 1:6 — optimal asymmetric reward play 🔄 4. Management & Outlook Watch for reaction on the 50% level at 1.12300 Break of market structure above 1.12400 = confirmation Scaling out advised at midline levels with stop-loss trailed manually 🧠 Smart Money knows this is where the liquidity pools live. You're not late — you're patiently positioned where the institutions hunt. 🎯 Drop a “📍” in the comments if you're watching EURUSD 🎥 Follow for more sniper setups like this one — @ChartNinjas88
Long
by ChartNinjas88
Could the Fiber bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 1.1137 1st Support: 1.1077 1st Resistance: 1.1241 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Bearish drop?EUR/USD has rejected off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.1274 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.1373 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 1.1084 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
1
EURO - Price can continue to decline in falling channelHi guys, this is my overview for EURO, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Not long ago, price entered to pennant, where it at once made an impulse up and broke $1.0820 level. Then price rose to resistance line of a pennant and then corrected to support area, where it later reached the support line. Next, Euro made an upward impulse, thereby exiting from the pennant pattern and breaking $1.0820 level again. Price made a small correction and then rose higher than $1.1270 level, breaking it, but later started fall in falling channel. In channel, Euro broke $1.1270 level one more time and fell to support line, after which rose almost to this level. Now, I expect that price can rise to the resistance line and then continue to fall in a falling channel to $1.0960 If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Short
by WalterMoon
3
EURUSD long.The trading setup on the 1-hour timeframe, and it includes the following key components: Entry Zone: The area is marked as the Entry Zone. Traders are expected to enter a buy position when the price dips into this zone. Approximate entry range: 1.10871 – 1.10567 🔴 Stop Loss (SL): Marked below the Entry Zone. The Stop Loss is placed at around 1.10256. This protects against further downside if the trade setup fails. 🟢 Final Target: The area marks the take profit zone, or Final Target. Target price: 1.12477 This is where the trade is expected to reach if the price moves favorably. 📈 Projection: Two potential upward price paths are shown, indicating: One quick bounce from the Entry Zone. Another scenario where price dips slightly deeper into the Entry Zone before reversing upward. 💬 Summary: This is a long (buy) trade setup where the trader aims to buy near the 1.10500–1.10871 area, sets a stop loss around 1.10256, and targets a profit at 1.12477. The analysis assumes a bullish reversal after the recent downtrend.
Long
by m_zeeshan3644
EURUSD - at Resistance: Will it drop to 1.11300?OANDA:EURUSD price is now at a strong resistance level, this is an area where it has struggled to break through in the past and reversed to the downside. It's also where sellers have stepped in before, so it’s worth keeping an eye on, especially for anyone considering short trades. If we start seeing signs that the price is getting rejected here: like long wicks, bearish candles, or buyers starting to lose momentum, I think we could see a move down toward the 1.11300 level. But if price breaks through this zone clearly, that might dismiss the bearish idea and suggest even more upside will continue. This area is pretty important and could give us a better idea of where price is headed next. Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk wisely.
Short
by TrendDiva
91
EUR/USD Daily Short SetupSetup: Retest of the former support zone (now supply) after the recent pullback from the mid-April highs Entry: Short around 1.1336 (within the shaded resistance box) Stop-Loss: Above the recent swing high at 1.1390 Take-Profit: Near the lower range support at 1.0735 Risk : Reward: ~1 : 5 Rationale: Following a strong rally from early March to mid-April, EUR/USD has corrected sharply and is now back into the grey supply area that previously acted as support. This zone is likely to cap upside moves, making a short entry here attractive. The next major support lies around 1.0735, offering a high reward relative to risk. A break above 1.1390 would invalidate the setup.
Short
by SerenityEquity
4