Get started

EURUSD

Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.0455 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.0520 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance. Take profit: 1.0345 Why we like it: There is an overlap support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
1
EURUSD - Ready for a Make or BreakEURUSD is currently sitting close to a downward trendline and the next move is decided by the FOMC meeting. Above are the possible scenarios depending on the minutes of the meetings. For entries, please wait for at least two candle reversals at the specified level and apply appropriate risk management. If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates. Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Short
by MarketsPOV
1
EUR/JPY 4H Chart Analysis – Gap Fill Incoming?EUR/JPY 4H Chart Analysis 🏆📊 🚀 Current Price: 162.308 📍 200 EMA: 162.099 (Dynamic Support) 🔥 Key Levels & Insights: 🟥 Major Support Zone (Red Area - 162.000) ✅ Price recently bounced off this level, showing strong buying pressure. ✅ If price holds above 162.000, a bullish continuation is likely. 📈 Gap Zone (Orange - 163.000 - 163.500) 🔍 There’s a price imbalance above, meaning price could be drawn towards it. 🔼 Gaps act as magnets! A move up to fill the gap is likely. 📊 200 EMA (162.099) - Crucial Level 🚦 Price is hovering above the 200 EMA. If it remains above, we can expect further bullish momentum. 🔮 Price Prediction & Trade Idea 📌 If price breaks and holds above 162.500, expect a 🚀 move towards 163.500. 📌 Rejection from 163.500 could bring a pullback 📉 back to 162.500. 🚨 Risk Alert: 🔻 If price drops below 162.000, bears might take control, pushing it to 161.500 or lower. 💡 Final Thoughts: 👉 Bulls 🐂 need to break 162.500 to push towards 163.500. 👉 Bears 🐻 will gain control if price loses 162.000. 🔥 Verdict: ✅ Bullish Bias if price stays above 162.000. 🚀 Target: 163.500 (Gap Fill). 🔻 Invalidation: Below 162.000.
by MrStellanSight
EURUSD: First red day into the new weekHello traders and welcome back to my channel, as always don't forget to support my work with a like and comment, and follow me for more updates and markets templates! I always repeat it in every post I share, my analysis are not a forecast and/or prediction regarding where the market can go, I'm not interested in gambling, neither in knowing the direction of any market. My goal in trading is to extract money from it, I wouldn't care much about anything else. What I draw (lines, arrows) are not directional move, but the current setup I'm looking for, in the day, so do not be surprised if I go long on tomorrow :) Thanks for understanding and hope this can give more value to your analysis as well. Let's start! EURUSD may start an interesting process, we can see all the week breaking down potentially going to complete the 2 weeks pump and dump, or in the week itself, this market can setup for a weekly dump and pump, starting from Monday. For a better understanding let's analyse day by day to see the logic behind each possible move during the week. Starting from the last week we can see almost all the week trending higher, the first lower low into the LOD happened on Thursday, which is currently a potential anchor point for a pump and dump into this current bearish scenario! Monday, the opening range of the week pushed a little bit higher, breaking out and quickly dumping back down. Tuesday opening, the market kept going lower, breaking through the LOD (Monday low) going in consolidation till the end of the day, triggering breakout short traders and closing the day in breakout. Today, the market went lower and looks like still dumping with a great momentum. Now.. let's talk about the thesis. 1. Bearish: this market can easily stop the traders long form the last Thursday, considering a great bullish move from that level, eventually reversing during the upcoming days or keep going lower, who know, we may see this market completing 2 week pump and dump scenario, back into the previous weekly low. 2. Bullish: although today I'm not interested in counter trending this market, I don't exclude a potential dump and pump in the current week if the market will start consolidating around the previous Thursday low, not gonna happen today but we can see such a scenario by the end of the week. Remember, today FOMC, I don't think I would like to expose my capital in a such a dangerous volatile market! Entry criteria: As I said, currently I'm not interested in counter trending such a strong down move market, at least not today and not before news release. I can think about a scalp short if the market will retest at least the current high of session, consolidating around that level for 30 to 45min before to see a potential 25+ pip scalp in the session. However, during the upcoming days we can certainly see better opportunities, but I decided to share it, because EURUSD look pretty clean to me! Gianni
by GianniPichichero
11
Trendline Tragedy: When the Market Betrays You!Oh, EUR/USD , you sly fox 🦊. First, you tease us with those sweet higher highs. "Look at me, I’m unstoppable!" you whispered seductively. Traders fell for it. Hook, line, and PIP sinker. 🎣 But then... BOOM! Trendline broken. Cue the dramatic sell-off. 📉 Like a bad date, it ghosted the bulls and ran straight into bearish territory. 🫥 And the RSI? That snitch. 🤐 Price: "Higher highs, baby!" RSI: "Yeah, sure... but I’m tired. Let’s tank." Now we're left with the aftermath—a chart that screams "Trust issues!" 😤 Lessons from the Madness: 1️⃣ Trendlines are like New Year’s resolutions—easily broken. 2️⃣ Momentum doesn’t lie. When RSI starts giving you side-eye, maybe it’s time to listen. 👀 3️⃣ Markets are savage. Bring tissues and an exit strategy. 💔 But hey, at least we can laugh about it now. Right? 😅 Or is that just the sound of retail traders crying in the corner? 🤷‍♂️ Who's ready for the next trendline betrayal? Raise your stop losses! ✋
Short
by RoadToAMillionClub
Euro can correct to support area and then continue to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see how the price started to decline inside the downward channel, where it first rebounded from the support area, which coincided with the current support level and rose to the resistance line of the channel. Then the price turned around and in a short time fell to the support area, breaking the 1.0485 level and then fell to the support line of the channel. Next, the price bounced up and almost rose to the support area, and after this, it turned around and dropped to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and support line of the channel. Price made impulse up to the resistance line and then declined lower than the 1.0255 level, breaking it, but later started to grow near the support line. So, in a short time, the Euro broke the 1.0255 level one more time, exiting from the channel and continuing to move up next near the support line. Soon, it reached the current support level and broke it, after which made a retest and now still rising. For this case, I think that the Euro can fall to the support area, where it touches the support line, and then continue to move up. That's why I set my TP at 1.0620 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
9
EURUSD - Will the dollar weakness stop?!The EURUSD currency pair is located above EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. Maintaining the drawn ascending channel will lead to a continuation of the upward trend towards the channel ceiling. A correction of this currency pair towards the demand zone will provide us with its next opportunity to buy it. Donald Trump’s remarks about imposing 25% tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico have sparked concerns among European companies. A report by Bank of America (BofA) highlights dozens of European firms that are vulnerable to these tariffs due to their supply chain dependencies and revenue exposure. Among these companies, the Italian automaker Stellantis stands out. According to the report, Stellantis operates 16 supply chain links in Canada and derives 47% of its total revenue from North America. Similarly, the German auto giant BMW has 18 supply chain links in Canada and generates 26% of its revenue from the United States. In the energy sector, the UK-based utility company National Grid, with a market value of €58 billion, has a significant presence in the U.S., where 50% of its assets and 54% of its revenue originate. Although its tangible supply chain exposure in Mexico and Canada is relatively low, its extensive operations in the U.S. make it highly susceptible to the negative impacts of these tariffs. Eurozone Bank Lending Survey – January 2025: • Credit Standards: In Q4 2024, corporate credit standards tightened due to rising perceived risks and reduced risk tolerance. • Mortgage Loans: Credit standards for household mortgages remained unchanged, but lending conditions for consumer credit tightened further. • Loan Demand: Mortgage loan demand surged significantly, while corporate loan demand remained weak. According to analysts at Standard Chartered, financial markets are currently overly focused on Donald Trump’s economic policies, potentially overlooking the risks associated with this week’s Federal Reserve meeting. The Federal Reserve is set to announce its latest interest rate decision today following a two-day meeting. It is widely expected that the interest rate will remain within the current range of 4.25% to 4.5%. However, investors are keen to find clues regarding the timing of future rate cuts. Based on market pricing, expectations suggest a 40-basis-point rate cut by December. A key unknown factor influencing this outlook is Donald Trump’s policies. He has recently called on the Fed to lower interest rates. Additionally, his tariff policies, which include imposing high tariffs on both allies and competitors, could further drive inflationary pressures. As a result, the Fed may proceed cautiously with its rate-cut cycle. However, Trump’s administration has not yet implemented widespread tariffs, though he has threatened to do so. Meanwhile, some Fed officials have recently signaled a more hawkish stance. There is also speculation that the Fed may seek to assert its independence at the beginning of Trump’s new presidential term by resisting his demands. If the Fed takes such a position, Trump may respond aggressively, which could further heighten market uncertainty.
Long
by Ali_PSND
Fed Policy and Trump’s Rate Cut Push Keep EUR/USD in FocusEUR/USD trades around 1.0440, while the Dollar Index holds at 107.9 as investors await the Fed’s policy decision. The central bank is expected to keep rates unchanged, with a focus on Powell’s remarks and inflation outlook for rate cut signals. Trump's call for immediate rate cuts adds pressure, while traders await Friday’s PCE inflation report. The dollar strengthened after Trump’s new tariff threats, with the first round against Mexico, Canada, and China set for February 1. From a technical perspective, the first resistance level is at 1.0490, with further resistance levels at 1.0515 and 1.0550 if the price breaks above. On the downside, the initial support is at 1.0355, followed by additional support levels at 1.0270 and 1.0225. 
by zForexcom
EUR/JPY - Smart Money Concept (SMC) Breakdown!# **📉 EUR/JPY - Smart Money Concept (SMC) Breakdown! 🔥** 🔎 Price at Key Decision Zone! We are seeing a **triangle formation**, indicating a potential breakout soon. Based on SMC concepts, we have two possible scenarios: 🚀 **Case 1 (Red Path - Bullish Fakeout & Sell-off)** - Price may **break above resistance** into the supply zone (169-172) - This could be a **liquidity grab**, trapping buyers before a sharp rejection - A **sell-off** follows, targeting **144-148** 📉 **Case 2 (Blue Path - Immediate Breakdown)** - Price fails to break resistance and **rejects instantly** - A strong breakout to the downside confirms a bearish move - Targeting the **144-148 demand zone** 📌 **Key Levels to Watch:** 🔺 **Liquidity Grab Zone**: 169-172 🔻 **Bearish Breakdown Zone**: 160-164 🟢 **Potential Reversal Area**: 144-148 💡 **Question for Traders:** - Will we see a **bullish trap before a crash** or a **direct breakdown**? - Are you **selling from resistance** or waiting for confirmation? 🔥 **Comment below your views & trade setups!** 🚀 --- This keeps it
by Greenfireforex
EUR/JPY - Key Decision Zone!this Wave B completing, or are we in the early stages of Wave C? 📊 Price is testing a critical area—will sellers take control, or is another leg up still in play? 🚀 Key Questions: 1️⃣ Is this Wave AB or BC? 2️⃣ Will we see a major sell-off, or is it a buying opportunity? 3️⃣ What’s the ideal entry & confirmation? 📌 Levels to Watch: 🔻 Bearish Scenario: If price rejects, we could see a deeper correction toward the demand zone 📉 🔼 Bullish Scenario: If buyers hold, we might see a breakout before reversal 📈 👀 Drop your analysis in the comments! Are you buying or selling? 🔥 Let me know if you want any tweaks! 🚀
by Greenfireforex
EURUSD 29 Jan 2025 W5- Intraday - US Interest Rate / PowellThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 29 Jan 2025 W5 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment Tariff Discussions Continue: Still the main factor currently that effects the market and supporting USD with Trump insistence to apply Tariffs Plan. Powell Press Conference: Today Rate decision is already priced in but the market is waiting for Powell press conference to give clues on what will be the Fed plan with Trump's recent announcements as on one hand, he has expressed a strong commitment to reducing inflation; on the other, his proposed 25% tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico, set to take effect on February 1, 2025, are anticipated to exert upward pressure on prices. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bullish 🔹Swing Continuation after BOS 2️⃣ 🔹INT structure continuing bullish after the bullish BOS. We expect that at anytime the Swing Pullback will start. 🔹With price failing to close above Weak INT High, there is a HP that we are going to target the INT Low which will facilitate the Bullish Swing Pullback. 🔹Price is currently mitigating the 4H Demand and we could see some bullish move to facilitate the LTF pullbacks only. 3️⃣ 🔹Expectation is set for price to continue Bearish to facilitate the Daily Bearish Continuation. 15m Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Swing Pullback Phase 2️⃣ 🔹Swing structure turned bearish after mitigating the Daily Supply zone. 🔹With the bearish BOS, a pullback is expected, currently INT structure is bearish and mitigating the 4H Demand. 🔹Price currently at the extreme of the Bearish INT structure and there is a HP that the Strong INT High could be taken out in order to facilitate the 15m Bearish Swing Pullback Phase. 3️⃣ 🔹Expectations is set neutral due to the following: US Interest Rate decision and Powell Press Conference. We are currently within the 4H demand and it’s tough to follow the 15m Bearish INT Structure and Short. Not yet Bullish iBOS to indicate that the 15m Swing Pullback is starting.
by Amr-Sadek
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 29, 2025 EURUSDEvent to pay attention to today: 21:00 EET. USD - FOMC Rate Decision EURUSD: On Tuesday, the EUR/USD exchange rate experienced a slight decline, dropping six-tenths of a percentage point to the 1.04000 mark as financial markets prepare for the upcoming Federal Reserve (Fed) statement scheduled for Wednesday. Market analysis indicates a strong likelihood of the Fed maintaining its current interest rates in January. However, investors will be closely monitoring not only the content of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference, but also any potential tweets from US President Donald Trump. The economic calendar for the first half of the week features no significant European data, with traders having to wait until Thursday's release of gross domestic product (GDP) data from both Germany and the EU for the fourth quarter.US President Donald Trump resumed his aggressive tariff programme late on Monday, reiterating his intention to impose high duties on imports of a wide range of foreign goods and industries. The latest version of the plan includes unspecified tariffs on steel, copper, aluminium, various semiconductors and foreign microprocessors in general, with the aim of encouraging foreign companies to move their factories to the US.It is not an easy task to convince these industries to shift production to the domestic market, as setting up plants in the US is usually costly and US labour requires significantly higher wages compared to countries that produce manufactured goods on a large scale. Consequently, import duties are unlikely to significantly impact production decisions; instead, they could lead to inflation and reduced consumer spending.The US Federal Reserve is expected to announce its latest interest rate decision on Wednesday. While no change in the federal funds rate is expected this week, traders will be closely monitoring the developing tensions between Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and President Trump. The Fed's significant autonomy limits the White House's influence over interest rates, and President Trump has previously expressed dissatisfaction with this.Trump's recent comments that he will 'demand' lower interest rates are expected to influence Fed Chairman Powell's upcoming press conference. Trading recommendation: Trading mainly by Sell orders from the current price level.
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
1
USD/JPY: Will the Fed or BoJ Dominate the Tug of War?The USD/JPY exchange rate has shown both resilience and vulnerability in recent trading sessions, shaped by competing factors from monetary policy shifts to global economic developments. On the positive side, the U.S. dollar remains underpinned by Federal Reserve rate decisions, with market expectations of steady rates in the near term supporting its strength. Tariff threats from the U.S. administration further bolster the dollar’s safe-haven appeal, particularly as external economic pressures persist. Additionally, the pair has demonstrated an ability to recover from lower levels, such as rebounding to 155.50 during Tuesday's Asian trading, aided by softer Japanese service-sector inflation data. However, the Japanese yen has also gained momentum due to the Bank of Japan’s recent 25 basis point rate hike, which reflects a confident stance on inflation and wage growth trends. This decision has increased the yen’s attractiveness as a safe-haven asset, exacerbating pressure on the USD/JPY pair, particularly as global uncertainties and shifts in risk sentiment encourage investors to diversify into safe havens like the yen and the Swiss franc. Market sentiment surrounding U.S. economic vulnerabilities, including concerns over tariffs and a potential dovish shift by the Federal Reserve, has further weighed on the dollar. Traders are now pricing in a 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed later this year, a factor that could erode the dollar’s appeal if realized. Overall, while USD/JPY has displayed moments of strength, the competing influences of U.S. dollar dynamics, Japanese yen strength, and global market sentiment create a volatile environment where traders must remain vigilant of economic data and central bank decisions.
Long
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1