BE CAREFUL CHASING EURUSD breakout! Intraday Update: The EURUSD is breaking higher, HOWEVER, the pair is nearing a triple confluence of the long term 38% retracement, and 127% and 161% extension from the 1.0570-80's. With the intraday RSI's reaching overbought, there is a risk of a reversal at those levels.
EURUSD
XAU/USD : 1000 Pips Down from ATH, What's Next? (READ CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the one-hour timeframe, we can see that the price, based on the previous analysis, managed to rise by nearly 200 pips but then started to decline from the $2894 zone. Today, we witnessed a price correction down to $2859.
This week, gold has experienced a 3.5% correction from its all-time high, with a decline of over 1000 pips. Currently, gold is trading around $2860.
The attractive SELL zones are $2894, $2900, and $2906.
The attractive BUY zones are $2820, $2833, and $2845.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EURO - Price can continue to decline inside falling channelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price declined to $1.0380 level and then started to grow inside a wedge, where it at once reached $1.0500 level.
Then price turned around and made correction movement to support line of the wedge, after which quickly bounced up.
Price grew to $1.0500 level and some time traded near this level and later finally broke it, after which turned around.
Euro broke $1.0500 level again, exited from wedge and continued to decline inside falling channel.
Inside channel, price declined to $1.0380 level and a few moments ago broke it and now continued to fall.
Possibly, Euro can rise a little higher than $1.0380 level and then continue to fall to $1.0300 inside channel.
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EURO STOXX 50 celebrates new ATH, due to Ukraine war abateThe European stock rally is beginning as investors have gotten optimistic about a potential ceasefire in Ukraine.
The end of the 3-years conflict was always a wild card for European equity markets. Now investors are starting to prepare for this scenario, aggressively buying energy-intensive sectors and European laggards.
While a lot of upside potential remains for some sectors, the path ahead is likely to be rapid. The benchmark Euro Stoxx 50 has rarely been this overbought in the past four years.
Some investors have been aggressively buying back their shorts on Europe, while others are diversifying out of expensive and heavily concentrated US equities. The region trades at about a 40% discount to the US and this gap has the potential to narrow. There’s also room for gains within the Stoxx Europe 600 to broaden, with just 20% of its members in overbought territory.
With the prospect of an eventual ceasefire on investors’ minds after the US and Russian leaders agreed to start negotiations, stocks geared to the reconstruction of Ukraine are in focus, like construction stocks Heidelberg Materials AG and Holcim AG as well as chemicals company BASF SE.
The strategists at Barclays Plc are overweight chemicals but are more cautious on autos, partly due to the US tariffs threat. They say construction materials have had a strong run already, while mining and steel may have more catch-up potential, along with transport and leisure.
Rebuilding Ukraine would be one of the largest construction undertakings in recent years, with total costs of nearly $500 billion, according to the World Bank. This would be highly commodity-intensive, especially for steel and cement, to restore buildings and infrastructure.
It is clearly unequivocally good news for European markets.
The EURO STOXX 50 is a stock index that represents 50 of the largest and most liquid stocks in the Eurozone. It is designed to represent blue-chip companies considered leaders in their respective sectors. The EURO STOXX 50 is one of the most liquid indices for the Eurozone.
Key facts about the EURO STOXX 50:
The index includes shares from various Eurozone countries, including Belgium, France, Finland, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, and Spain.
France and Germany contribute to over 66% of the index.
The technology, industrial goods and services, and consumer products and services sectors account for more than 45% of the index.
The EURO STOXX 50 was introduced on February 26, 1998. Prices were calculated retroactively to 1986, with a base value of 1000 points on December 31, 1991.
The index captures about 60% of the free-float market capitalization of the EURO STOXX Total Market Index (TMI), which covers about 95% of the free-float market capitalization of the countries represented.
The EURO STOXX 50 serves as a benchmark for the Eurozone's stock market performance.
Eurex trades futures and options on the EURO STOXX 50, which are among the most liquid products in Europe and worldwide.
Technical challenge
The main 6-month graph for EURO STOXX 50 futures indicates the epic all time high (1st time over past 25 years), with a potential further upside price action.
EUR/USD ahead of ECB’s rate decision on ThursdayCurrent Market Sentiment: The EUR/USD currency pair is trading in a neutral range, with recent price action moving sideways. The key level to watch is 1.0530, which could dictate the next directional move.
Bullish Scenario:
A confirmed breakout above 1.0530 could trigger a bullish move, leading to further upside momentum. If buyers sustain control, the next resistance levels to watch are:
1.0590 – Initial resistance, where profit-taking or consolidation may occur.
1.0650 – A stronger resistance level, potentially capping further gains unless a sustained bullish trend develops.
A break above 1.0650 could signal a broader trend shift toward higher levels.
Bearish Scenario:
If EUR/USD fails to hold above 1.0530 and faces selling pressure, a downside retracement could follow. In that case, the key support levels are:
1.0480 – Initial downside target, where buyers may attempt to stabilize the pair.
1.0425 – A deeper support zone, where renewed demand could emerge.
1.0357 – A major support level, a break below which could confirm further bearish momentum.
Conclusion:
The 1.0530 level remains a critical pivot for the next directional move. A breakout above it could fuel bullish momentum, while rejection and selling pressure could lead to a deeper pullback. Traders should monitor price action around this level to determine the next trend direction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURUSD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.050.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.045 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Eurusd sell zoneThis is a EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar) 1-hour timeframe technical analysis from FXCM, showing a sell trade setup with the following key details:
1. Entry Point: Around 1.05112, marked in yellow.
2. Stop Loss: Placed at 1.05690 (red zone), indicating the level where the trade will be exited if the price moves against the setup.
3. Target Level: 1.03978, shown in blue, representing the expected price drop and profit target.
4. Market Outlook: The analysis suggests a potential bearish move, with price expected to decline from the entry point, retrace slightly, and then drop further to hit the target.
5. Risk-Reward Ratio: The trade setup has a favorable risk-reward structure, with the potential reward being larger than the risk.
This setup is based on the expectation that EUR/USD will reverse from resistance and move downward, making it a short (sell) trade opportunity.
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
The EUR/USD pair has reached the bottom of the ascending channel after a correction, increasing the probability of a new bullish wave.
A significant resistance zone is still ahead, which the price must break through to confirm further upside movement.
If the resistance is broken, the next target will be the top of the channel.
What do you think? Will EUR/USD break the resistance?
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
EURUSD MARKET INTRADAY: FURTHER ADVANCEEURUSD currently on 1.04774 according to time frame H4 also my analysis the eurusd is go on up side but
>THE break above 1.0450 is a positive signal that has opened a path to 1.0515
> Below 1.0450 look for further downside with 1.0420 & 1.0390 as targets.
MY preference
> Long position above 1.0450 with targets at 1.0515 & 1.0540 in extension .
NEW WEEK TARGET XAUUSD MARKETXAUUSD MARKET CURRENTLY on 2856 according to time frame H4 and my analysis on new week market is bullish trend support level 2836 resistance level 2959 MY TARGET IS 2865 KEEP SUPORT MY CHART
SUPPORT LEVEL .. 2836 If market break the support level then market go on 2800
MY TARGET ... 2865 if market keep go on my target then its go on in 2900 zone
GBP/CAD Analysis – Key Levels & Trade Scenarios📊 Timeframe: Weekly (1W) | Current Price: ~1.8391
📈 Bullish Context:
Resistance at 1.8391:
Price is testing a strong supply zone (dark red area).
A breakout above this level could open the door to further upside.
Support at 1.8233 & 1.7677:
1.8233: Short-term support where buyers have stepped in.
1.7677: Major support level, previously tested multiple times.
📉 Current Outlook:
Price has aggressively moved up, breaking through previous resistances.
Approaching a critical resistance area, where rejection is possible.
If a rejection occurs, a retracement toward 1.8233 or 1.7677 could be seen.
📈 Trade Setups:
🔼 Long (Breakout Play):
Entry: Above 1.8400 with confirmation.
Target 1: 1.8600
Target 2: 1.8800
Stop Loss: Below 1.8230 to avoid fakeouts.
🔻 Short (Rejection Scenario):
Entry: Bearish rejection from 1.8391 with confirmation.
Target 1: 1.8233
Target 2: 1.7677
Stop Loss: Above 1.8450.
📌 Final Thoughts:
GBP/CAD is at a critical resistance; a breakout could lead to new highs.
A rejection would confirm a pullback toward support levels.
Key macroeconomic data may impact momentum and direction.
EURUSD M15 I Bearish BreakoutBased on the M15 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling toward our sell entry at 1.0477
A bearish breakout from this level could drop toward our take profit at 1.0423, a pullback support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.05277, a swing-high resistance.
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GBP/JPY Analysis – Key Levels & Trade Scenarios📊 Timeframe: Weekly (1W) | Current Price: ~189.90
📉 Bearish Context:
Resistance at 192.04:
Strong supply zone (red rectangle) where price previously reversed.
Aligned with moving averages (likely 50 & 100 periods), acting as dynamic resistance.
Support at 184.63:
Marked in blue as a significant demand zone.
Historical reaction area, where buyers may step in again.
📉 Current Outlook:
Price rejected 192.04, forming a bearish structure.
Price currently consolidating below resistance, indicating weakness.
If selling pressure continues, a move toward 184.63 is likely.
📈 Trade Setups:
🔻 Short (Bearish Bias):
Entry: Below 189.50 with a bearish confirmation.
Target 1: 186.00
Target 2: 184.63
Stop Loss: Above 192.00 to avoid fakeouts.
🔼 Long (Reversal Play):
Entry: Strong bullish reaction from 184.63.
Target: Retest of 192.04, with SL below 184.00.
📌 Final Thoughts:
The bearish trend remains dominant unless 192.04 is broken.
A clean break below 189.50 strengthens the bearish outlook.
Macro factors and volatility could influence upcoming price action.
EURUSD Approaching Key Resistance – Will Sellers Step In?OANDA:EURUSD is approaching a significant resistance zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong selling interest. This area has historically acted as a supply zone, where sellers have stepped in, leading to notable price reversals. The current price action suggests a potential bearish reaction if the resistance holds.
If sellers maintain control, we could see a decline toward the 1.03940 level, which represents a logical target based on the current market structure. Confirmation signals—such as a bearish engulfing candle, rejection wick, or increased selling volume—would strengthen the bearish outlook.
However, if the price breaks above this resistance zone and sustains momentum, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, signaling a potential shift in favor of buyers.
Monitoring how price reacts to this zone is crucial for identifying entry opportunities. As always, applying proper risk management is essential given the potential for volatility.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
EUR/USD 1H Analysis: EMA 200 Retest & Fibonacci Pullback – Key LKey Observations:
Ascending Wedge Breakout & Price Surge
The price broke out of a wedge pattern (green shaded area) with strong bullish momentum.
A strong rally led to a new local high (~1.0489).
Fibonacci Retracement Levels
The price is pulling back from the high, and Fibonacci retracement levels are marked.
Key levels to watch:
0.618 (1.04385) – Strong support
0.5 (1.04238) – Moderate support
0.382 (1.04091) – First level of reaction
EMA 200 Retest (~1.04467)
The 200 EMA (blue line) is acting as dynamic support.
The expectation (noted on the chart) is that price may touch or react at the EMA 200.
If it holds, it could trigger another bullish push.
If it breaks below EMA 200, further downside toward Fib 0.618 or 0.786 retracement is possible.
Potential Bearish Rejection (Red Arrows)
The red arrows suggest a possible lower high formation, meaning the price could reject from EMA 200 and start a deeper drop.
Volume Analysis
Increasing volume suggests strong participation.
If volume remains high near EMA 200, we might see a breakout or a strong bounce.
Potential Trade Scenarios:
Bullish Case (Buy Trade)
If price holds above EMA 200 (~1.04467) and forms a bullish reaction, a long trade could target:
First target: 1.0489 (previous high).
Second target: 1.0500+ (psychological level).
Stop Loss: Below 1.0435 (below Fib 0.618).
Bearish Case (Sell Trade)
If price fails at EMA 200 and forms a lower high, it could drop toward:
First target: 1.0430 (Fib 0.5).
Second target: 1.0409 (Fib 0.382).
Third target: 1.0390 (Fib 0.236).
Stop Loss: Above 1.0460 (above EMA 200).
Conclusion:
EMA 200 is the key level to watch.
Bullish bias above EMA 200; Bearish bias below.
If EMA 200 holds, buying could be a good strategy.
If it fails, further downside is expected.
Would you like a precise trade setup based on this? 🚀
Euro / U.S. DollarEuro Chart Update
Hello dear traders,
According to the DXY analysis, I have identified the suitable entry point for the Euro. Friends, please use the 15-minute timeframe for optimal entry, and be sure to pay attention to the reversal zones. You can even take advantage of these zones for minor fluctuations.
Important Points:
Support (4H): 1.03547
Imbalance: 1.03144
IFC 4H Candle: 1.03060
And finally, our main target is 1.01776.
Thank you for your support. A very simple and clear chart has been drawn for your use.
Wishing you all success!
Fereydoon Bahrami
A retail trader in the Wall Street Trading Center (Forex)
Risk Disclosure:
Trading in the Forex market is risky due to high price volatility. This analysis is solely my personal opinion and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own research. You are responsible for any profits or losses resulting from this analysis.
MY analysis on Gold in 1H chart its again downwords gold xauusd is in downword we can take sell positions for some time as it almost touches the EMA200 and again going downwords .
Key Observations:
Downtrend Channel Breakout:
The price was previously in a descending channel (marked in blue).
A breakout to the upside occurred, signaling a potential reversal or retracement.
200 EMA Resistance (Blue Line at ~2897):
The price approached the 200 EMA, which is a strong dynamic resistance.
The rejection at this level (highlighted by the red arrow) suggests selling pressure.
Bearish Rejection (Yellow Circle & Red Arrow):
A wick at the 200 EMA shows that buyers attempted to push higher but faced resistance.
This could be a sign of a potential trend continuation to the downside.
Potential Downside Target (Blue & Red Zones):
A short-term support zone is marked in blue, where price might retest.
A larger support block (red zone) indicates a deeper pullback if bearish momentum continues.
Volume Increasing:
Volume is rising, which could indicate stronger price action, whether continuation or reversal.
Possible Trading Scenarios:
Bearish Case (Most Likely):
If price continues to reject the 200 EMA, it could drop toward the red support zone (~2,860-2,870).
A break below this level could lead to further downside.
Bullish Case (Less Likely):
If price reclaims the 200 EMA and holds above it, it could target the next resistance zone (~2,920).
Conclusion:
Bias: Bearish below 200 EMA unless price breaks above.
Potential Trade: Watch for a retest of the blue zone for a possible short entry targeting the red support block.
Would you like an entry/exit plan based on this setup?