Get started

EURUSD

EURUSD Will Go Down! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.125. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.114 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
Euro may exit from wedge and then drop to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. After a strong impulse to the upside and a retest of the 1.1265 resistance area, the Euro started to consolidate inside a downward wedge. Despite repeated attempts to hold above the 1.1265 - 1.1300 zone, price action gradually shifted lower, creating lower highs within the wedge formation. This pattern often signals continuation or deeper correction, especially when formed after a large bullish move. The recent breakout below both the support area and the lower wedge boundary confirms that bearish pressure is taking control. The rejection from the seller zone and the sharp decline reinforce this shift in sentiment. Now the price is trading near the support line of the wedge and showing weak attempts to recover, forming a potential retest of the broken structure. Given the break of support, I expect the Euro may continue its decline toward the 1.0925 level, which coincides with both the buyer zone and a well-defined support level, thereby exiting from wedge pattern. This zone serves as my current TP 1. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
6
EURO - Price can break support level and continue to fallHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 A few moments ago price traded near $1.0835 level and then it made strong upward impulse, breaking this level. Then it continued to move up inside an upward pennant, where it reached the next support level, which broke soon too. After this movement, it reached the resistance line of the pennant and then corrected the support line. Euro tried to grow more, but failed and started to decline inside falling channel, exiting from pennant pattern. In falling channel, price declined to $1.1200 support level and then turn around and start to move up. I think that Euro can grow a little and then fall to $1.1065 support line of channel, breaking support level. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Short
by WalterMoon
9
Gold - New All Time High in the making?market context and trend environment This 4-hour chart of Gold (XAU/USD) from OANDA illustrates a strong impulsive structure within a broader bullish trend. Following a sharp upward movement that broke through previous structure, gold formed a swing high before entering a corrective phase. The market has since pulled back and appears to be stabilizing near a zone of high confluence, suggesting potential for a renewed move to the upside. Price has respected key retracement levels, reinforcing the technical strength of this zone. fair value gap and fibonacci confluence A notable feature of this setup is the alignment between a visible fair value gap and the Fibonacci golden pocket zone, comprising the 0.618–0.65 retracement levels. This convergence of technical tools adds weight to the significance of the support zone around the 3,280–3,300 region. Fair value gaps represent inefficiencies in the market caused by strong institutional participation, while the golden pocket is historically known for acting as a magnet for reversals within trending markets. The presence of both in the same area increases the likelihood of price reacting positively here. liquidity sweep and structural reaction Before revisiting this key demand zone, price briefly swept below a local low, which may have served as a liquidity grab to fuel the next bullish leg. This liquidity sweep is followed by a sharp reaction, suggesting that downside pressure may have been absorbed by aggressive buyers positioned at the FVG and golden pocket. Price has since rebounded, and the subsequent price action shows a gradual formation of higher lows, hinting at a shift in short-term order flow back in favor of buyers. projection and bullish scenario The chart projects a potential bullish continuation move, with a series of higher lows anticipated to form en route to a break of structure above recent swing highs. Multiple buy-side liquidity levels (BSL) are marked, representing areas where buy stops are likely to be clustered. These zones offer clear targets for bullish expansion. The blue arrowed projection outlines a methodical stair-step advance, respecting interim levels before ultimately attempting to reach the prior high near 3,530. strategic framework and trader insight This chart offers a methodical roadmap for bullish continuation, rooted in the smart money framework of liquidity, inefficiency, and institutional order flow. The confluence between the fair value gap and Fibonacci retracement is particularly notable and serves as a key validation area for bullish traders. Rather than anticipating immediate breakout behavior, the projection emphasizes a progressive structure that aligns with how larger players tend to accumulate positions before moving the market. Patience and alignment with structure are emphasized as price prepares for a potential continuation move higher.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Louigi_24
99
BTC - Bulls vs Bears! Who will win?current market context the chart displays btcusdt on the 1-hour timeframe, currently in a consolidation phase following a strong impulsive move to the upside. this phase is characterized by a range-bound price action forming a horizontal channel, with clear resistance near the top of the range and support near the bottom. the price is fluctuating between these two levels, indicating temporary equilibrium in the market where neither buyers nor sellers have established dominance. consolidation structure this range is acting as a reaccumulation zone, typically formed after a significant move when the market pauses to either absorb liquidity or distribute orders before the next impulsive leg. within this range, traders are positioning themselves for a potential breakout, and institutional players may be accumulating or offloading large positions depending on market intent. the balance within the range suggests that market participants are awaiting a catalyst before committing in size to a direction. bullish breakout scenario if price breaks above the range high, it would signal bullish continuation. such a breakout would likely occur with increased volume and a strong momentum candle, confirming buyer interest and initiating an expansion move. this move could target new highs, potentially opening the path toward all-time highs as the breakout clears short-term liquidity and invalidates local bearish structures. the green projection on the chart visually outlines this potential path, where the breakout leads to higher prices with minimal resistance above. bearish breakout scenario alternatively, a breakdown below the range low would indicate a shift in short-term market sentiment and a break in bullish structure. this scenario would likely trigger sell-side liquidity and initiate a quick move toward lower fair value gaps. these gaps, left unmitigated during the previous bullish rally, now serve as potential targets for price to fill. the red arrow illustrates a scenario where price pierces below support, accelerates lower, and seeks inefficiencies and demand zones around the \$98,000–\$95,500 levels. this breakdown would likely be sharp, driven by stop-loss triggers and sell-side imbalances. range as a decision zone the current structure represents a critical decision zone. the upper and lower boundaries are pivotal breakout levels, and the outcome of this consolidation will determine the short- to medium-term market direction. traders should exercise caution while price remains within the range, as fakeouts or liquidity sweeps are common near such levels. confirmed structure breaks and volume surges should serve as validation tools before entering directional trades. liquidity and volume considerations liquidity resting above and below the range acts as fuel for the eventual move. the longer the range holds, the more liquidity builds on either side, increasing the probability of a strong expansion when price finally breaks out. volume analysis will be key in validating the breakout’s legitimacy—without accompanying volume, the breakout could fail and result in a false move or whipsaw. summary this setup provides a high-probability environment for breakout traders and those waiting to trade the trend continuation or reversal. the market is compressing within a well-defined range, and a decisive breakout is likely imminent. preparation, not prediction, is the priority—wait for confirmation of structure shift and volume expansion before committing to either side.
by Louigi_24
40
BTC - Accumulation, Manipulation & Distributioncurrent market structure this btcusdt 1-hour chart illustrates a classic three-phase market structure: accumulation, manipulation, and potential distribution. the price action follows a strong bullish impulse, after which the market enters a sideways range suggesting absorption of previous selling pressure. this kind of behavior is often observed before a continuation of the prevailing trend, but not without intermediate structural games, as seen in the projected manipulation phase. accumulation phase the blue highlighted zone marks a consolidation range that serves as an accumulation phase. during this stage, large market participants likely accumulate positions quietly while maintaining the price within a defined range. the tight price action within this zone and relatively small candles are consistent with market absorption, where supply is being matched or outpaced by demand. the repeated rejections of lower prices in this range imply growing buyer interest and strength building beneath the surface. unfilled fair value gap beneath the accumulation range lies an unfilled fair value gap (fvg), shown in grey. this price imbalance was left behind during the prior bullish leg and remains a magnet for price action. such gaps often attract price as the market seeks efficiency by mitigating unbalanced areas. the presence of this fvg makes it a likely candidate for a liquidity grab or retest before further bullish continuation. manipulation setup the red path outlines a possible short-term manipulation event. this move involves a quick sweep of liquidity beneath the accumulation zone, triggering stop-losses from late long entries and drawing price into the fvg. this is a classic “spring” or “shakeout” scenario designed to trap sellers and create panic, thereby enabling larger players to enter at discounted prices. the manipulation tag here signals a deliberate attempt to create false downside conviction before reversing upward. re-accumulation and breakout following the manipulation phase, the green projection shows a sharp reversal and aggressive push upward, initiating a new bullish leg. this move represents re-accumulation, where price quickly exits the range and enters an expansion phase. momentum will likely increase after price breaks back above the original range high, signaling confidence in the trend continuation and drawing in breakout traders. the large green area indicates the expected path toward a new distribution zone. distribution projection at the top of the chart, the green box represents a possible future distribution zone. after an extended bullish run, price often enters distribution, where buying interest begins to wane, and larger participants start offloading positions into retail strength. although speculative at this point, its placement reflects the natural progression of a market cycle if the projected bullish move plays out. market psychology this chart reflects a clear sequence in market psychology: stealth accumulation, a manufactured dip to create fear (manipulation), followed by a surge fueled by both institutional entries and retail breakout traders. understanding this dynamic helps traders anticipate rather than react, positioning themselves in alignment with likely intent rather than emotional impulses. summary the chart outlines a structured bullish scenario with a potential manipulation wick into an unfilled fvg, setting the stage for a continuation higher. if price reacts strongly off the fvg and regains the range, confirmation of bullish intent would be established. this setup emphasizes the importance of understanding liquidity dynamics and price inefficiencies, favoring patient and strategic entries over reactive ones.
Long
by Louigi_24
149
Why Gold Is Pulling Back Now – May 2025 Update⚡️After surging above $3,500/oz in late April, gold has since declined over 8%, recently breaking below key levels and now trading near $3,210. The retracement reflects fading panic buying and growing attention to fundamental drivers: U.S. monetary policy, the strong dollar, easing geopolitical risks, and completed trade agreements. Here’s a breakdown of the leading catalysts and their current impact (ranked 0–10). 1. Fed “Higher for Longer” Bias Strength: 9/10 The Fed kept interest rates at 4.25–4.50% at its June policy meeting and reiterated its cautious stance. The absence of cuts combined with persistent inflation pressure is lifting real yields and undercutting gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset. 2. U.S. Dollar Resurgence Strength: 8/10The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has climbed above 101 as investors digest the Fed’s hawkish tone. A stronger dollar reduces global gold demand, especially from non-USD buyers. 3. U.S.–China Trade Agreement Reached in Switzerland Strength: 7.5/10 A formal trade deal was announced in Geneva in May, easing longstanding tariff tensions. While specific tariff rollback details are pending, markets welcomed the de-escalation, pushing investors away from gold and into risk assets. 4. U.S.–U.K. Trade Deal Signed Strength: 7/10 The U.S. and U.K. finalized a bilateral trade agreement in early May, boosting global sentiment and further reducing the geopolitical premium priced into gold. 5. India–Pakistan Border De-escalation Strength: 6.5/10 After brief clashes in Kashmir in mid-May, both sides have since released statements of restraint. The calm has helped cap gold’s safe-haven bids. 6. Iran–U.S. Nuclear Talks Update Strength: 6/10 Talks resumed in Vienna in May with cautious optimism. While no concrete deal has been signed, progress and diplomatic language from both sides have eased fears of escalation. 7. Russia–Ukraine Ceasefire Developments Strength: 5.5/10 Localized ceasefires in eastern Ukraine, brokered by Turkey and the UN, have lowered near-term geopolitical risk. However, skepticism remains around long-term stability. 8. ETF Inflows & Institutional Demand Strength: 5/10 ETF inflows slowed in May (up just 48.2 tonnes), reflecting waning retail momentum. Still, central bank buying—especially from China—offers a medium-term cushion. Catalyst Strength Rankings (May 2025) 🔸Fed “higher for longer” bias 9 🔸U.S. dollar rebound 8 🔸U.S.–China trade agreement 5.5 🔸U.S.–U.K. trade deal signed 5 🔸India–Pakistan border easing 6.5 🔸Iran–U.S. nuclear diplomacy 6 🔸Russia–Ukraine ceasefire 5.5 🔸Global gold ETF & central-bank inflows 5 Where Next for Gold? ⚡️Current price: ~$3,210/oz 📉Recent support levels broken: $3,300 and $3,250 🎯Next technical floor: $3,150/oz ✨Upside triggers: Renewed dollar weakness, inflation surprise, or geopolitical flare-up Gold’s recent drop reflects the market's rotation out of fear-driven trades into yield-bearing and risk assets. While the Fed and the dollar remain dominant forces, any shock—whether geopolitical or inflationary—could quickly reignite interest in gold as a hedge.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by ProjectSyndicate
45
EURUSD Selloff Hits Key Support — Hold or Fail?Following Bessent’s announcement on China, EURUSD extended its decline into this week. Now, the long-term trendline that began in 2008 is being retested. Downward pressure remains high, and the retreat may continue today. However, the former supply zone at 1.1050–1.11 could provide significant support, especially with the help of the long-term trendline. Bessent stated that for 90 days, U.S. tariffs on China will be reduced from 145% to 30%, and China will lower tariffs on U.S. goods from 125% to 10%. While the market had expected some positive developments, this move went far beyond those expectations. As a result, momentum currently favors EURUSD bears. If the support zone fails, bearish momentum could accelerate, targeting the 1.07 area in the coming weeks. However, as long as the support holds, bears should proceed with caution.
by ftdsystem
4
EURUSD Analysis – Waiting for Reaction at Key Demand Zone OANDA:EURUSD Technical Outlook: EURUSD is forming a potential bullish continuation pattern. I'm watching for a retracement to the demand zone around 1.1196, where a long opportunity may present itself if bullish confirmation appears. Buy Scenario: Wait for price to dip into 1.1196 zone Look for bullish price action signals Target: 1.1395 Stop loss: Below 1.1160 Sell Scenario (if broken): Clean break of 1.1196, followed by retest (pullback) Target: 1.0953 Note: This setup is based on key market structure levels and potential reaction zones. I update my levels weekly and track how price respects them. For detailed entry points, trade management, and high-probability setups, follow the channel: @ForexCSP
Long
by ForexCSP
EURUSD Bearish Structure Forming Amid Dollar UncertaintyEURUSD appears to be carving out a series of lower highs, showing potential signs of distribution. With price compressing inside a symmetrical triangle following multiple failed breakout attempts, the stage could be set for a bearish breakdown. This comes as U.S. inflation and Fed policy hold the spotlight and the euro faces political and structural crosswinds. 📉 Technical Breakdown (4H Chart) Triple Top / Head & Shoulders Variant Forming: Price action has traced a rounded top sequence, forming a triple top or complex head and shoulders structure. Each rally attempt has been followed by steeper declines and faster recoveries—typical of a topping process. Triangle Contraction Zone: Current price is consolidating into a symmetrical triangle, which is often a continuation pattern. Bearish breakout is expected if support around 1.1330–1.1320 fails. Key Bearish Targets: TP1: 1.1090 – former resistance turned support. TP2: 1.0890 – April breakout base and key structure low. Trade Setup (as per chart): Sell Entry Zone: Break and retest of 1.1320–1.1300. Stop Loss: Above 1.1527 (supply zone high). Targets: TP1: 1.1090 TP2: 1.0890 🌐 Macro Context USD Side: Fed is holding rates steady amid rising inflation fears triggered by tariffs Tariff shocks are already pushing prices up, while growth slows—a tough environment for the Fed. Dollar could strengthen if market sentiment shifts risk-off. Euro Side: Former EU Commissioner Gentiloni calls for unified borrowing to boost the euro’s global role, as U.S. stability is questioned Political uncertainty around German leadership transitions may also weigh on the euro short term. ✅ Conclusion EURUSD is trading at the apex of a tightening triangle pattern following a distribution structure. With a clean break of 1.1320 support, expect increased volatility and bearish momentum toward 1.1090 and 1.0890.
Short
by ultreosforex
50
EURUSD - double scenario So I develop a strategy on 6E1! that I post to you. I identified a H&S that seems to have broken the neck with a bearish retest in the area of ​​1.14. Theoretically the daily left shoulder volumes are "decreasing" confirming a potential bearish H&S structure, furthermore we are under the POC bullish leg that was touched with the retest, the short scenario should be confirmed with the break of the micro support (under the retest candle) going to confirm a hypothesis of an ABC retracement of Elliott after an impulse with a target around 1.10, the POC area of ​​the previous accumulation phase. The long scenario instead is more attributable to a triangle pattern with volume compression, any overcoming of the POC and the first resistance area around 1.14 with the break of the descending line should confirm this scenario with a potential target in the upper POC area around 1.20... Thank you in advance for any contribution to this analysis.
CME:6E1!Short
by flyhorse
EUR/USD Bearish Setup: Supply Zone Rejection Toward1.0900 Target(Swing Trade Setup) 📉 Trendline + CHoCH Confirmation 🔻 Downtrend marked by a falling blue trendline. 🔄 CHoCH (Change of Character) shows a bearish market structure shift, confirmed by a lower low. 🟦 Supply Zone (Sell Zone) 💥 Strong seller reaction previously occurred between: 1.12956 – 1.13896 🔹 Wait for price to retrace into this zone. 🎯 Ideal for short entries. 🎯 Entry & Stop-Loss 🔵 Entry Point: Around 1.12956 – 1.13005 (below supply zone and EMA) 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.13896 – 1.13929 (above the last high + supply zone) 🟦 EMA 70 (Purple Line) 📈 Currently at 1.13051 Acts as dynamic resistance — strengthening the short setup. 🏁 Target Zone 🎯 Main Target: 1.09000 Marked as TARGET POINT 1.0900 🟦 Support Levels Inside Target Zone: 1.09229 1.09150 1.08814 ✅ Summary of Trade Idea 📍 Short Position ⬆️ Entry: ~1.13000 🛑 Stop Loss: ~1.13900 ⬇️ Take Profit: ~1.09000 ⚖️ Risk-to-Reward: ~1:3+ potential
Short
by Jameshead007
8
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 12, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is retreating from the gains made in the previous session, trading near 1.12400 in Monday's Asian session. The Euro (EUR) has been under pressure since European Central Bank (ECB) official Olli Rehn said last week that the ECB may consider cutting interest rates at its next meeting, provided that upcoming forecasts confirm a continued trend of disinflation and slowing economic growth. Despite this, EUR/USD found some support thanks to optimism surrounding the trade talks between the US and China that took place in Geneva. Both sides reported “substantial progress” after two days of talks aimed at de-escalating the ongoing trade dispute. Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng called the talks an “important first step” in stabilizing bilateral relations, while U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent echoed his sentiment, noting significant progress. Markets are now awaiting Washington's response to the European Commission's proposed countermeasures against U.S. tariffs. On Thursday, the Commission launched a public consultation that outlined potential tariffs on up to 95 billion euros worth of imports from the U.S. if trade talks break down. Meanwhile, the U.S. economic outlook remains uncertain. Federal Reserve (Fed) officials have noted the risk of stagflation, and Fed Chairman Michael Barr has warned that higher tariffs could disrupt supply chains, leading to higher inflation, lower growth and higher unemployment. Investors remain cautious as further escalation of trade tensions could pose serious problems for the US economy. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.12300, SL 1.11900, TP 1.13000
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on EURUSD? On the 4-hour chart, EUR/USD is forming a downward corrective structure following a strong bullish move. Price is approaching a support area, which aligns with a 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level We anticipate the correction to complete near this confluence zone, followed by a resumption of the bullish trend toward higher targets. Will this support hold and trigger the next bullish leg? Share your thoughts below! Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Long
by HAMED_AZ
2
EURUSD TechnicalsFalling wedge pattern on the EUR/USD 4-hour timeframe. # Typically a bullish reversal or continuation pattern. # Both support and resistance lines are sloping downward and converging. # Often declines during the formation, which aligns with what’s visible here. 📈 Implications: Bullish Bias: A breakout above the upper resistance trendline usually signals a reversal to the upside. Confirmation: Wait for a breakout with volume to confirm the pattern. False breakouts can happen. Target: The initial target after a breakout is often the height of the wedge projected upward from the breakout point. RSI: Currently near oversold levels (~36), suggesting potential upward momentum. ✅ What to Watch For: Breakout above the upper trendline with a bullish candle and increased volume. A retest of the broken trendline (now support) for a more conservative entry.
Long
by xxChartWhizxx
Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Pivot: 1.1145 1st Support: 1.0938 1st Resistance: 1.1523 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets