Weekly FOREX Forecast Jan 27 - 31stThis is an outlook for the week of Jan 27-31th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
USD Index
EURUSD
GBPUSD
AUDUSD
NZDUSD
CAD, USDCAD
CHF, USDCHF
JPY, USDJPY
The USD is retracing from the M+W TF Supply Zone. The sellers are in control... for now. The macro view is that the bullish up trend is not broken. Be mindful of this. For now, selling the USD is in order, and buying the EUR, GBP, NZD, AUD, CAD, CHF, are the best moves. Keep and eye on an indecisive JPY, and wait for a break of the consolidation.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
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EURUSD
HelenP. I After correction movement, Euro will continue growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. In this chart, we can see how the price rebounded from the resistance level and then tried to grow, but failed and soon fell back. Next, the price some time traded near this level and then broke it and dropped below. After this, the price almost rose back, but then turned around and dropped more to the trend line, breaking the support level, which coincided with the support zone. Later Euro rebounded from the trend line and rose to almost a resistance level, after which turned around and dropped back, breaking the trend line with the support level again. After this movement, Euro rebounded up, breaking the support level one more time, and then made a retest and continued to move up until it reached the trend line. Then price continued to move up near the trend line and soon broke the resistance level, but recently fell below. At the moment, I expect that EURUSD, after correction movement, can continue to move up, breaking the resistance level with the trend line. So, for this case, I set my goal at 1.0550 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Euro can enter to seller zone and then drop to support lineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see how the price a few moments ago price entered to wedge and started to decline, but firstly it entered to seller zone and then bounced down. In a short time, the Euro declined to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, and soon broke this level and fell to the support line of the wedge. Then the price turned around and started to grow. Euro quickly rose to the support level, broke this level one more time, and made a retest, after which rose a little more. After this movement, the EUR some time traded near the support level until it reached the support line of the wedge and then bounced up from this line to the resistance level. When Euro reached this level, it corrected and then continued to move up to the seller zone. When the price entered to this area, the Euro some time traded inside and later reached the resistance line of a wedge, after which rebounded down. Price broke the 1.0420 level and continued to fall. At the moment, the price is traded below this level and I think that the price can fall to rise to the seller zone and then drop to the support line of the wedge. After this, the Euro can exit from this pattern, make a retest, and continue to decline to the support level. So, that's why I set 1st TP at 1.0350 points and 2nd at the 1.0260 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD: Short Trade Explained
EURUSD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short EURUSD
Entry Point - 1.0491
Stop Loss - 1.0534
Take Profit - 1.0395
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Trend Reversal in Progress Potential Pullback Before Further Up!Hello Everybody!
After experiencing a sharp decline, this currency pair has shifted momentum, breaking through its downward trendline and climbing higher. It is now expected that the price will retreat slightly, testing the broken trendline, before continuing its upward trajectory toward the designated resistance level.
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EURUSD Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.0473
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.0393
Safe Stop Loss - 1.0518
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Euro Rises to 1-Month High as ECB Decision NearsEuro Appreciates as ECB Decision Looms
The Euro has climbed to $1.05, its highest level in over a month, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar after President Trump softened his stance on universal tariffs and called for an immediate interest rate cut.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
The pair is showing strong bullish momentum, having broken above the pivot level at 1.0470. Despite this, there is a chance of a short-term retest of the pivot level before the price pushes higher toward 1.0530 and 1.0605.
For a bearish reversal, the price must break and sustain below 1.0437 with a 4-hour candle close. If this occurs, the next downside targets will be 1.0367 and potentially 1.0288.
Trend Outlook
Bullish Trend: Above 1.0469
EURO - Price can exit from triangle and rise to $1.0520 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price started to decline in falling channel, where it declined from $1.0420 level to support line.
Then EUR rose a little and then fell lower than $1.0260 level to support line of channel, but soon bounced up.
After this, Euro broke $1.0260 level again and exited from channel, after which started to trades inside flat.
In flat, price some time traded and later made an upward impulse to $1.0420 level, exiting from flat and entering to triangle.
In triangle pattern, Euro made a correction to support line, but soon backed up and now trades near support area.
So, in my opinion, Euro can decline to support area, exit from triangle, and then start to move up to $1.0520
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EURUSD Roadmap==>>Short-term!!!EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is moving near the Support zone($1.039-$1.033) and inside the Ascending Channel .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that EURUSD has succeeded in completing the main wave 3 above the ascending channel and is currently completing the main wave 4 .
I expect EURUSD to attack the Resistance zone($1.052-$1.044) again soon, and the main wave 5 could end in this zone.
What do you think? Will EURUSD break the support zone or bounce back to test the resistance zone?
Note: If EURUSD can break the Support zone($1.039-$1.033), the lower line of the ascending channel, and 100_SMA(4-hour) , we should expect a further decline of this pair.
Note: Donald Trump's speech and the announcement of the Unemployment Claims index can affect the EURUSD trend(Tomorrow).
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Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame.
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Be careful with EURUSD !!!As you can see, the price has broken the head and shoulders pattern, and now, with a slight correction, the price can grow by the amount equal to AB = CD.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
DXY Weakens, EUR/USD Breaks Out BullishThe DXY has broken its bullish trendline and a key support area. It is now approaching the next support level on the daily timeframe. Similarly, EUR/USD has broken out above its falling wedge pattern, signaling a bullish move for the euro. Consider buying EUR/USD and riding the trend until it reaches the resistance level.
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
The EUR/USD pair has successfully broken its downward trendline and completed a pullback to the broken level. It is now expected to continue its upward movement, potentially reaching the specified resistance level.
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Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area of 1.05862.Dear Colleagues, after the last upward movement it became clear that the wave “5” of the senior order is already completed and it means that we should expect the continuation of the correction “abc”.
At the moment I expect a corrective movement in wave “b” to the 50% Fibonacci area (1.03180), then an upward movement to the resistance area of 1.05862.
It is possible that the price will continue the upward movement, renewing the wave “a”.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Eurusd analysis move down read the caption This chart represents an analysis of the EUR/USD currency pair on the 1-hour timeframe. Below is a detailed breakdown of the key elements in the analysis:
1. CHoCH (Change of Character):
Multiple "CHoCH" labels are marked to signify reversals or shifts in market structure. These highlight areas where the price changes from a bullish to bearish trend (or vice versa).
2. BOS (Break of Structure):
BOS is labeled, showing significant points where price breaks through key structural levels, confirming continuation or reversal trends.
3. EQH (Equal Highs):
Equal highs indicate potential liquidity zones where stop-loss orders may be positioned. These zones are likely to be targeted by the market.
4. Weak Highs and Trendline:
A weak high is identified within the red zone, suggesting a lack of strength to continue upward. This creates a bias for potential downward movement.
The yellow and blue trendlines illustrate a descending wedge pattern, highlighting bearish pressure.
5. Target Zone (1.03411):
A blue box around 1.03411 represents the target price area for potential bearish moves, aligning with the downward arrow projections.
6. Bearish Plan:
The analysis expects a downward trajectory after a liquidity grab (red arrows) and weak highs. The market is forecasted to form lower highs and lower lows, eventually reaching the target zone.
This is a structural and liquidity-based analysis indicating bearish expectations while leveraging trendlines, BOS, CHoCH, and liquidity zones.
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 24, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is attracting buyers towards 1.04500 in the early Asian session on Friday, fuelled by a weaker US Dollar (USD). Later on Friday, preliminary Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data for January in the Eurozone and Germany will be released. In the US, the flash S&P PMI for January will take centre stage.
U.S. President Donald Trump's remarks at the World Economic Forum in Davos led to a decline in the U.S. dollar against a basket of major currencies. Late on Thursday, Trump said he wants to see interest rates cut immediately and accordingly they should fall across the board.
‘The markets seem to be more concerned about lower rates and any indication that they're going to be cut’, said David Eng, an investment adviser at Sonora Wealth Group in Vancouver.
Meanwhile, ECB President Christine Lagarde emphasised on Wednesday that the central bank is ‘not too concerned’ about the risk of inflation from abroad and will continue to cut interest rates at a gradual pace. Markets have priced in a nearly 96% probability that the ECB will cut rates at its upcoming meeting.
Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Buy orders from the current price level.
EURUSD 24 Jan 2025 W4- Intraday Analysis - EU & US PMIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 24 Jan 2025 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
Nothing much changed in sentiment since Tramp inauguration, yesterday Trump ease the tone on tariffs which gave optimism in the market (Risk Off) and weakened the dollar across the board.
Dovish ECB Policy Expectations: Traders are anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut at each of the next four ECB policy meetings.
Economic Concerns: Subdued inflationary pressures and concerns over the Eurozone's economic outlook.
US Dollar Strength: Dollar appreciates following news that President Trump intends to review tariff policies.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹Swing Continuation after BOS
2️⃣
🔹As expected, price created a bullish BOS as per the Daily/Weekly requirement for a pullback.
🔹Price didn’t mitigate any supply after the BOS so there is a high probability that we will continue up till we reach the 4H or Daily supply to initiate a BOS pullback phase (Can’t be ruled, we always have the expectation that a pullback will start at any time after any break of structure).
🔹Price mitigated the 4H demand within the 4H bullish INT structure and currently targeting the 4H Weak INT high.
3️⃣
🔹My expectations is set for price to continue bullish till we mitigate a 4H/Daily supply.
🔹Will be following the LTF to follow the expectation of bullish continuation while putting in consideration the probability of a bearish move for the bullish BOS pullback phase that can start anytime.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bullish / ii Structure Bullish
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹After the Bullish BOS, price still holding bullish respecting the Bullish INT Structure.
🔹INT Structure Strong low liquidity swept and price mitigated the 4H demand zone to continue bullish.
🔹** 15m Swing is currently the 4H swing and I started mapping the ii Structure until I can reset my 15m Swing with a bigger price range.
3️⃣
🔹Currently ii Structure is bullish and we are in continuation phase to target the Weak INT High.
🔹Expectations is that price to continue bullish and to mitigate the 4H/Daily Supply zone to maybe initiate a pullback phase.
EURUSD Possible Bearish Movement?Hello everyone, hope everyone is doing great! Any feedback on this is appreciated.
Here I got what I believe to be a possible EURUSD bearish movement, here are my thoughts:
4H Candles: Here we can see a bearish trend that has been going on since a few months ago, however this was recently broken with some events such as Trump entering into office this January 20th.
While Chart analysis alone suggests we could see a bull for the euro, I would like to challenge it with the new decisions being taken by Trump (tariffs, dollar-first policies) and other news such as the ECB Rate Cuts on December.
At the time being things are looking like theres going to be a lot of movement, I expect one last bounce before seeing any strong bulls during the next few weeks, but I believe we are already at a great entry point.
Let me know your thoughts on it!
Edit: For some reason my TP1 text wasnt added to the chart shown here, but it was placed at 1.03196.
EURUSD: Short Trade with Entry/SL/TP
EURUSD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short EURUSD
Entry Point - 1.0408
Stop Loss - 1.0449
Take Profit - 1.0329
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️