Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?EUR/USD is reacting off the resistance which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0788
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 1.0954
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.0616
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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EURUSD
EURUSD Rejection expected that will take it to parity.EURUSD crossed above its MA200 (1d) and is headed for the top of the long term Channel Down.
A rejection similar to September 2024 is highly likely (which pulled the price to the 1.382 Fib), especially since this week's rise has been huge and based solely on geopolitics.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 1.000 (the 1.382 Fibonacci extension).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is overbought. The last time it was this high was on August 23rd 2024. Exactly on the last Lower High of the Channel Down.
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EUR/USD Analysis – Invitri Strategy Masterclass Date of Analysis[/b
Status: COMPLETED as predicted!
On 24th Feb, we shared this clear Elliott Wave setup using our exclusive Invitri Strategy under Green Fire Forex. Here’s how the move played out step by step:
Wave 1-2: Formed the base structure.
Wave 3: Strong breakout, as expected – the most powerful wave.
Wave 4: Beautiful correction holding between 50%-78% Fibonacci, creating a bullish flag pattern.
Wave 5: Final push completing the impulse, exactly as predicted.
Entry: After Wave 4 breakout confirmation (red zone).
Target: Wave 5 completion (achieved successfully).
Result: Full 0–5 wave structure completed with precision.
What’s next?
Now watching for an ABC correction to unfold from here.
Why Invitri Strategy works:
Combines Elliott Wave + Fibonacci + Chart Patterns.
Focuses on breakout confirmations.
Gives high-confidence trades with perfect risk-reward setups.
Stay tuned for the next move!
—
EURUSD - FOMC Prep - These 2 scenarios to anticipateMarket is overall uptrend after previous low showed the reversal point to head higher.
Bias is for the Buy
However, FOMC can produce volatility so we can have spikes in both direction.
There's a Sell scenario off an H4 gap.
But the preferred idea is to head lower, getting a better price on the HTF, then continue to the Equal Highs / Double top, taking out the liquidity target eventually.
Be aware, if it's not clear this week, we may have a clearer picture on next week's news and the move could also happen then if there's a delay/ranging market.
The D1 timeframe usually provides the smoother outlook. I mostly base my ideas on that.
Leave your comments below if you have any questions. Thanks
EUR/USD Falling Wedge The falling wedge pattern on the EUR/USD 12-hour chart has been confirmed, signaling a potential bullish breakout. This classic technical setup indicates a reversal from the prior downtrend, with buyers stepping in as price breaks above the upper resistance line of the wedge.
Key Details:
Pattern Confirmation: The breakout above the wedge resistance line confirms the pattern, with a retest further validating the upward move.
Targets:
Target 1: 1.0600 – Based on previous support-turned-resistance levels.
Target 2: 1.0900 – The measured move from the height of the wedge added to the breakout point.
This setup reflects the strength of technical analysis, with the falling wedge showing the market's tendency to reverse after sustained selling pressure. A strong support level provides the foundation for this bullish move.
EUR/USD Long Setup – Institutional & Retail Flows Align This EUR/USD long trade was executed based on a confluence of technical levels, institutional positioning, and macroeconomic factors. Here’s the breakdown of the trade execution, market influences, and the Prime Market Terminal insights that supported the decision.
📊 Trade Execution & Technicals
Entry: The trade setup was based on price retracing into a key Fibonacci retracement zone, aligning with a demand area before a bullish continuation.
Confluence: A combination of trendline support, 50%–79% Fibonacci levels, and liquidity sweeps confirmed the setup.
Target Zones: Price moved towards key Fibonacci extensions (-0.27 & -0.62 levels), which aligned with previous liquidity zones.
Market Structure: Higher timeframes indicated a bullish trend, reinforcing the long bias.
🎯 Trade Outcome
The trade executed as planned, with price bouncing off the retracement levels and moving towards the projected take-profit zones. Bullish continuation confirmed the validity of the setup, as institutional order flow aligned with the technicals.
⚡ High-Impact News That Influenced EUR/USD
📌 Economic data from the Prime Market Terminal showed major USD events:
ISM Manufacturing PMI (53.5) exceeded expectations (52.8) – initially strengthening USD.
Durable Goods Orders rose by 3.2%, reinforcing economic resilience.
EIA Weekly Crude Stocks & Fed's Beige Book impacted liquidity and volatility in the market.
🛑 Impact on the Trade:
Positive USD data initially caused short-term retracements, offering a discounted entry for longs.
Market reaction confirmed a USD exhaustion, leading to EUR/USD bullish momentum.
📈 Volatility & Liquidity Insights
📌 Volatility data from the Prime Market Terminal indicated:
EUR/USD ATR increased, signaling higher liquidity grabs and expansion.
Liquidity Pools: Visible range analysis showed high-volume nodes near the Fibonacci retracement area, acting as liquidity traps before the bullish push.
Institutional Order Flow: Increased volume and liquidity injection around key price levels confirmed smart money accumulation.
🏦 Institutional Positioning & Market Flow
📌 COT (Commitment of Traders) Report Insights:
Institutional Traders: Increased long positions on EUR/USD, signaling confidence in the bullish move.
Retail Sentiment: Majority of retail traders were short, fueling a short squeeze that propelled price higher.
Market Depth Data: Prime Market Terminal showed institutional buy orders stacking near the key demand zone, reinforcing the long setup’s strength.
🔥 Conclusion
✅ The confluence of technicals, fundamental news, volatility data, and institutional flows provided a high-probability long setup on EUR/USD.
✅ Key Takeaway: Combining macro analysis with technicals and liquidity insights can increase the accuracy of trade setups.
📌 Did you catch this move? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 🚀💬
EURUSD: Short Signal Explained
EURUSD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell EURUSD
Entry - 1.0841
Stop - 1.0946
Take - 1.0626
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
EURUSD Approaching Key Resistance - Will Sellers Step In?OANDA:EURUSD is approaching a key resistance zone, marked by strong selling pressure. This area has consistently acted as a turning point, suggesting the potential for another bearish reaction if sellers step in.
If the price shows clear signs of rejection from this resistance zone, I anticipate a move downward toward the 1.06900 level, which serves as a logical target for this setup. Conversely, a clean breakout above the resistance zone could signal a potential bullish continuation.
Traders should monitor for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles, long upper wicks rejecting the resistance, or increased selling volume before considering short positions. Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
EURUSD has finally broken through the resistance level that had been holding it back for several weeks and is now trading above it.
At this stage, we anticipate a pullback to the broken level, followed by a continuation of the upward move toward the next target.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
SHORT ON EUR/USDEUR/USD has Reached a Major Resistance Area/Zone and is highly over brought.
The Dollar (DXY) is inverted with the Eur/usd negatively. The dollar is highly oversold and should rise from its major Demand zone.
This should cause the Euro to Fall from its resistance zone.
Dollar has news at 8:30 for Unemployment claims. If the news is somehow good for the dollar and causes it to rise, the Euro will have the potential of reaching about 400 pips over the next few days.
I will be selling EUR/USD to the demand level shown.
EURUSD INTRADAY ECB decision and statement in focusBullish Scenario:
The EURUSD currency pair maintains a bullish outlook, supported by the prevailing longer-term uptrend. The recent intraday price action indicates a period of sideways consolidation near the rising support trendline. The key level to watch is 1.0765, which aligns with both the previous consolidation range and the trendline support. A corrective pullback that finds support at 1.0765, followed by a bullish rebound, could drive the pair higher toward 1.0825, with extended upside targets at 1.0855 and 1.0920 over the longer timeframe.
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed breakdown below 1.0765, particularly with a daily close beneath this level, would invalidate the bullish outlook. This could lead to a deeper retracement, exposing support at 1.0730, with further downside potential toward 1.0660, signaling a shift in momentum.
Conclusion:
The overall trend remains bullish, but 1.0765 is a critical level for confirmation. Holding above this level strengthens upside potential, while a decisive break below it could open the door for further downside correction. Traders should closely monitor price action around this key support zone to determine the next directional move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DeGRAM | EURUSD reached a resistanceEURUSD is in a descending channel between trend lines.
Price is aiming for the upper boundary of the channel and dynamic resistance.
The chart maintains the descending structure and has already approached the dynamic resistance, which was previously a pullback point.
On 1D Timeframe indicators are in overbought zone, and on 1H a bearish divergence is forming.
We expect a pullback.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
ECB Rate Cut Expected as EU Unveils €800B Defense PlanThe euro neared $1.08, a four-month high, as increased defense spending and borrowing strengthened Eurozone optimism. Germany’s CDU/CSU and SPD agreed to exceed 1% of GDP in defense spending and create a €500 billion off-budget fund. EU plans to mobilize €800 billion for defense, with €150 billion in loans and more fiscal flexibility. The ECB is expected to cut rates for the fifth time this week.
Key resistance is at 1.0840, followed by 1.0900 and 1.0950. Support stands at 1.0760, with further levels at 1.0700 and 1.0650.
EURUSD: Buy or Sell?Dear traders!
Breaking out of the bullish channel has fueled an impressive rally in EUR/USD, with the pair currently trading around 1.0806 and showing no signs of slowing down from the bulls.
In the short term, to maintain its upward momentum, EUR/USD must break through the key resistance level at 1.093. A successful breakout could extend its bullish journey. Conversely, if this resistance holds firm, selling pressure may increase, causing the price to reverse and trigger a corrective move against the current trend.
EUR/USD Surges, but Is a Reversal Coming?After retesting the 1.0360 support during Monday’s Asian session open, EUR/USD reversed to the upside, reaching the 1.05 resistance zone.
The pair then broke above this level, surging higher and reaching the 1.08 zone, surpassing the 1.0780 resistance.
Currently, the pair is consolidating above this level. However, since the DXY is sitting on strong support with a high chance of reversal, this breakout could turn out to be a false one.
If the price drops back below the 1.0780 zone, it would confirm a false breakout, potentially leading to a decline toward the 1.06 support level.
In conclusion, I’m waiting for confirmation to enter short positions.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
USD Index Drops Sharply – Watching for Reversal SignalsSo far, it has been a rough week for the USD, with the index dropping from the 107 zone to 104 and breaking below the key 106 support level.
However, the DXY is currently seated on strong support, and a relief rally could be imminent.
I’m closely watching for signs of a reversal for confirmation while keeping an eye for short trades on EUR/USD and GBP/USD.
EUR/USD Long Utilizing 1H FVGSince Sunday March 2nd 2025 EU has been on an uptrend. A FVG formed on the 1 hour timeframe at 4am eastern time. It was then triggered/retested between the hours of 6 and 7am eastern time. The profit targets were determined by past buy side liquidity that hadn't been touched yet.
"Gold (XAU/USD) Forming Inverse Head & Shoulders – Bullish BreakThis chart represents the technical analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe. Here are the key insights:
### **1. Head and Shoulders Pattern:**
- The chart suggests a possible **inverse head and shoulders** formation.
- **Left Shoulder:** Marked at a recent price dip.
- **Head:** A lower dip indicating a strong support level.
- **Right Shoulder:** Expected to form at a slightly higher level than the left shoulder.
- This pattern is **bullish**, indicating a potential price reversal to the upside if the neckline (resistance level) is broken.
### **2. Bearish Flag & Downtrend Resistance:**
- A **bearish flag** is drawn on the chart, showing a downward sloping channel.
- The price is currently trying to break out of this downtrend.
- A successful breakout above this resistance could lead to bullish momentum.
### **3. Key Levels:**
- **Major Resistance:** **$2,952.784** (Highlighted in red).
- **EMA 200 Support:** **$2,899.278** (The blue moving average line).
- **Current Price:** **$2,908.690**
- **Main Support Area:** The green trendline supports the potential right shoulder.
### **4. Possible Market Movement:**
- The red arrows suggest a **bullish breakout** scenario.
- The price may test support around the green trendline before pushing higher.
- If the inverse head and shoulders pattern plays out, the price could move toward the **$2,950+** resistance.
### **5. Conclusion:**
- **Bullish Scenario:** If price breaks above the neckline, it could continue towards **$2,950 - $2,960**.
- **Bearish Scenario:** If price fails to hold the right shoulder support, it may drop back toward **$2,880 - $2,860**.
By KingProTrader
Euro/Usd (Mar/06) for rest of the weekHello eveyone.
as you can see price at golden pocket (high to low).alos near cpr Monthly R3 .
I know it's scary to sell at thi moment but this is what i see in chart.
......................................
( This is an idea and entry-tp-sl placed for my own trade , you can change entry-tp-sl depends on your risk management )
EURUSD H4 | Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently testing our sell entry at 1.0808 that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit will be at 1.0651, a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.0933, which is a swing high resistance level.
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