EURUSD reached a 20-month Resistance. Potential for heavy sell.The EURUSD pair has almost hit the Lower Highs trend-line that started on the July 18 2023 High and immediately got rejected. The Resistance Zone that connects the last 3 major Highs within a 20-month span, follows the same pattern, especially with the 1D RSI Lower Highs peak formation.
Right now we are on the Lower High rejection, which on the previous three peaks hit initially the Support 1 level and then at least the Higher Lows trend-line (if not lower). As a result, we expect heavy selling to start on EURUSD, targeting 1.0730 and 1.0500 in succession.
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
EURUSD
AUDCAD…When is enough, enough?!Good day traders, we back with another beautiful idea on AUDCAD but here we not focusing on buying and selling but rather to test a study I’m currently busy with, well in a nutshell I’m studying inside day candle stick pattern, currently on the 4hour TF we have a big bearish candle followed by a lot of small bullish candle sticks but all that trading is happening inside that one big 4 hour candle.
How I like to interpret this pattern in my years of back testing this pattern(still am)😂 inside day candles can be used as both a continuation or a reversal pattern but but depending on the market structure!! What price is doing currently on the 1hr TF I like to explain it to my friends as a beautiful lady who only wants your money 😂😂 because price is making traders believe that the reversal has started but truth is price is still gonna move lower the the liquidity resting below before moving higher to reverse the big move we saw last week and beginning of this current week.
We can expect price to take to low of Monday than shift structure higher to confirm our bias that price will reverse. Remember we study price and time not technical analysis.
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 8, 2025 EURUSDAfter a tense week in which the US fully adopted a protectionist trade policy - despite lacking the necessary industrial infrastructure - tariffs on imports were imposed. The US now applies a general 10 per cent import tax on all goods from each country, as well as various ‘reciprocal’ tariffs calculated by dividing US imports by exports. After imposing a 34 per cent tariff on Chinese products, China responded with its own 34 per cent tariff on all goods imported from the US. Unable to find alternative solutions, the Trump administration threatened to impose an additional 50 per cent tariff on all Chinese goods, which is set to take effect on April 8.
US data takes centre stage again this week, with the release of Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Thursday. On Friday, producer price index (PPI) data and the University of Michigan (UoM) consumer sentiment survey are expected.
Investors are raising bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin cutting interest rates to reduce recession risks. Markets are factoring in nearly 200 basis points of rate cuts through the end of 2025, despite the Fed issuing cautious policy statements indicating that trade uncertainty complicates any potential rate cut.
Trade recommendation: SELL 1.0950, SL 1.1030, TP 1.0830
EURUSD TO BUY (Wednesday-FOMC Meeting Minutes and Thursday-CPI)As EURUSD as been dropping the past couple of days, it has been on the support levels of 1.0900 lately. On Wednesday and Thursday, there are news about FOMC Meeting Minutes and CPI of the US Dollar. Therefore, we could possibly see price of the EURUSD going up based on news, support pattern of the triangle.
TP: 1.1050-1.110
+300 pips EURUSD swing trade setup SELL HIGH🏆 EURUSD Market Update
📊 Technical Outlook
🔸Short-term: BULLS 1150
🔸Mid-term: BEARS 0670
🔸Status: REVERSAL from S/R
🔸0660/0680 normal pullback
🔸BULLS will max out at 1150
🔸Price Target Bears: 0660/0680
🔸Price Target BULLS: 1140/1160
📊 Forex Market Update – April 7, 2025
🇪🇺 EUR/USD
🔹 Reclaims the 1.1000 level amid fresh USD weakness
🔹 Driven by EU-U.S. trade tensions & global recession fears
🔹 📈 Almost Completed a cup & handle formation
🇬🇧 GBP/USD
🔹 Holding gains above 1.2900 after rebounding from 1.2830
🔹 Supported by USD sell-off & BoE-Fed policy divergence
🔹 🛑 Risk-off sentiment & dip-buying helped push the pair higher
Crude Oil: Volatility and Key Levels in FocusThe Crude Oil (CL1!) chart shows a recent phase of high volatility, with a sharp decline followed by a recovery attempt. After reaching the recent high around 80.77, the price underwent a significant correction, returning to the key support zone between 60.97 and 62.43. This price range represents an important accumulation level, previously tested multiple times in recent months and defended by buyers.
From a technical perspective, the area between 65.27 and 69.00 represents a dynamic resistance zone, whose breakout could pave the way for a recovery towards the critical 73.00 area. However, the recent bearish impulse has pressured lower levels, and a weekly close below 60.97 could indicate a structural trend change, with potential bearish targets around 57.00.
The RSI is currently in an oversold zone, suggesting a potential consolidation phase or a technical rebound attempt. However, selling pressure remains high, and sentiment is negative, partly driven by global economic uncertainties and concerns about oil demand.
From an operational perspective, a move back above 65.27 could indicate a recovery phase, with targets at 69.00 and subsequently 73.00. Conversely, a break below 60.97 would open negative scenarios with a possible extension towards the lower support at 57.00. Investors remain focused on macroeconomic data and OPEC+ decisions, as potential production cuts could trigger a new rally, while an unfavorable macro environment could increase selling pressure.
EURUSD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.0917
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.0838
My Stop Loss - 1.0966
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
DeGRAM | EURUSD will continue to decline in the channelEURUSD is in an ascending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving from the upper boundary of the channel and has already successfully consolidated under the 62% retracement level.
We expect the chart to continue the decline towards $1.084
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Skeptic | EUR/USD: Long and Short Triggers Ahead – Key LevelsWelcome back, guys! 👋 I'm Skeptic.
Today, we're diving deep into EUR/USD , breaking down the current structure and upcoming trade opportunities. 🔍
Recap & Current Structure:
As mentioned in our previous analysis , after breaking the descending trendline and pulling back, we had created a higher high, indicating a potential move toward the top of the box at 1.09453. Our long trigger at 1.08454 played out well, reaching a 2.77 % upward move! If you followed the idea, you saw the results!
Currently, after breaking resistance at 1.09418 , we saw a pullback , and it's now acting as support. We also have a new resistance at 1.10892 , along with a higher high that confirms the uptrend. I’m still looking for long triggers as long as the trend remains intact.
However, as we always say, it's crucial to be skeptical and analyze the market from both sides. So, in the coming days, I’ll keep an eye out for both long and short triggers, depending on how the price moves.
📈 Bullish Scenario (Long Setup):
Trigger: Break & close above 1.10892
Confirmation: 7 SMA below the candle during the breakout + RSI entering overbought
Invalidation: Rejection + close back below 1.09418
📉 Bearish Scenario (Short Setup):
Trigger: Rejection at 1.10213 + drop below 1.09418
Confirmation: RSI entering below 42.22
⚠️ Key Notes:
Risk Management : Avoid overleveraging—wait for confirmed breaks before entering.
Stay sharp, and I’ll see you in the next analysis!
EURUSD Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.0959 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 1.1012
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.0874
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD Likely to Trend LowerPotential head and shoulders build up for EURUSD with the latest sentiment from Trump and is continuation pattern with the tariffs. This Friday earning season kicks off which may soften EURUSD from dropping off a cliff. Also talks of 1.25% cuts from the Fed by year end may add some additional cushion for this pair. For this reason, my downside target remains on the ascending trendline.
Trade Safe - Trade Well
EURUSD - UniverseMetta - Analysis#EURUSD - UniverseMetta - Analysis
W1 (Weekly Timeframe)
🔹 Price has reached the 261 Fibonacci level, marking the completion of the 5th wave.
🔹 This level also aligns with a major structure established back in 2023.
🔹 To confirm potential short opportunities, it's recommended to:
• Wait for a confirmed fractal on W1
• Look for reversal patterns on lower timeframes (D1 / H4)
D1 (Daily Timeframe)
🔹 Possible development of a 1st wave within an expanding triangle structure.
🔹 All recent movements appear corrective until a valid 2nd wave begins to form.
🔹 Nearest downside targets:
• 1.08264
• 1.07184
H4 / H1 (4H / 1H Timeframes)
🔹 Potential start of wave C on H4
🔹 Triggered by the formation of the 3rd wave + breakout from the descending channel on H1
🔹 Trade setup details:
Entry: 1.09501
Take Profits (TP):
1. 1.08264
2. 1.07184
3. 1.06163
4. 1.04493
Stop Loss: 1.10620
📌Conclusion:
EURUSD has hit a major resistance zone (261% Fibo), which may mark the end of the bullish 5-wave structure. A correction or reversal could follow.
Lower timeframes offer early opportunities to enter wave C, with confirmation via fractals and breakouts.
Use tight stops and respect your risk management.
EURUSD: Struggling to maintain the 1.115 peak amid USD pressureHello dear friends!
Recently, EURUSD has faced difficulties in maintaining the peak of 1.115. The bullish momentum of EURUSD has been hindered by the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, which again shows that the strength of the U.S. economy has recovered, leading to an increase in the USD, putting significant pressure on EUR/USD.
As mentioned on the 4-hour chart, although the bullish trend on the fundamental basis is still technically supported, there are signs indicating a potential peak forming at 1.115. The current support level is around 1.095. If this level is broken, EURUSD may continue to decline, potentially reaching the 1.083 mark, coinciding with the EMA test of EURUSD.
If you find this information useful, please leave a like and follow Toro for the latest updates!
EUR/USD short on weekly chart
Stop Loss = 1.14925
Entry Order = 1.10425
TP1 = 1.05925
Two positions with the same stop loss and x1 target for the first position
The stop loss of the second position to breakeven when the first position hits the target1.
The second position has no target, only exit
Risk= 2% of account capital (1% each position)
EURUSD: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 1.09620 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 1.10369 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EUR/USD — Decision Point | Breakout or Breakdown Ahead?Analysis for EUR/USD — Key Levels to Watch 📊
Currently, EUR/USD is trading inside a descending channel on the 1H timeframe, showing signs of consolidation after a recent bullish push.
Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Outlook:
If price manages to break above the descending channel and holds above 1.1000 —
it could open the door for a move towards the next resistance levels at 1.1050 and 1.1150.
Watch for bullish confirmation near the channel breakout along with Stochastic momentum crossing upwards.
Bearish Outlook:
If the price fails to break the channel and loses support around 1.0900 —
we could see further downside towards the trendline support zone near 1.0850 - 1.0800.
A break below 1.0800 would expose lower supports around 1.0750 - 1.0700.
Conclusion:
Price action is currently in a decision zone —
Break above the channel = Bullish continuation towards resistance.
Break below the channel = Bearish move towards major support zones.
Patience is key — Wait for a confirmed breakout or rejection before taking any position.
If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates.
Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
DeGRAM | EURUSD preparing for the pullbackEURUSD is in an ascending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving from the lower boundary of the channel and dynamic support.
We expect a pullback after a retest of the upper channel boundary.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
DXY Bearish trend continues on SSL and Bearish ORDER BLOCKDXY is known for extreme liquidity grabs especially after Trump's tariff announcements. Until we see countries remove tariffs and companies changing factory locations DXY will still be week. A decent pullback this week?? Probably not, Next? Maybe STAY SHARP!!
EURUSD SHORT POTENTIAL Q2 W15 Y25 MON 7TH APRIL 2025EURUSD SHORT POTENTIAL Q2 W15 Y25 MON 7TH APRIL 2025
An almost picture perfect setup. Let's take a look into why and what we forecast.
Take a look at the weekly chart. We have had a previous bearish close from the weekly order block. That's a tick in our book. The even better news is that weekly wick of rejection has also mitigated the daily order block up at the highs!
Another serious level of confluence that will in turn support out short forecast. Now what can we expect to happen next for price action. We shall not guess, we will wait to see how the market plays but I'll inform you of what FRGNT X would love to see.
-Price action fill the previous weekly closed wick area.
- In doing so, can we reach the 15' Order block that was left behind.
- Can we grab a lower time from break of structure from that point of interest.
- Once the above occurs. We short the market doing to clear points of interest.
The plan for EURUSD is very very simple this Monday morning. Let's see how it plays out.
FRGNT X
EUR/USD – Clean Breakout After Fakeout! What's Next?Pair: EUR/USD
Timeframe: 30-Minute
The EUR/USD pair has just completed a classic technical move that started with a fake trendline breakdown followed by a strong bullish breakout This setup offers important insights for both bulls and bears.
Technical Overview:
Trendline Structure:
Price had been respecting a rising trendline for several sessions until a brief breakdown occurred — a move that turned out to be a fakeout This false signal likely trapped early sellers only for the price to recover and launch higher
Breakout Confirmation:
After invalidating the breakdown EUR/USD rallied and broke above the descending triangle resistance signaling strong bullish momentum.
Now Testing Resistance:
Price is currently trading around 1.1035–1.1050 entering a known resistance zone This level has previously acted as a reversal area so caution is warranted.
Potential Scenarios:
1. Bullish Continuation
If price holds above 1.1018 and builds support a sustained push toward 1.1100–1.1150 could follow.
2. Bearish Rejection
Alternatively a rejection from the resistance zone may trigger a move back down toward 1.1018 followed by deeper support levels at 1.0906 and 1.0879 If bearish pressure intensifies price may revisit the broader support zone near 1.0800.
Key Zones to Watch:
Resistance Zone: 1.1050 – 1.1150
Immediate Support: 1.1018
Lower Support Levels: 1.0906 and 1.0879
Major Support Area: 1.0800
Conclusion
EUR/USD gave us a textbook example of a fakeout before breakout — a reminder of how deceptive the market can be With price now approaching a significant resistance zone the next few candles will be crucial Wait for confirmation before jumping in and always stick to your risk plan.
Stay sharp and trade Smart
Eur/Usd sell setup update!!Good day traders, we back again we another beauty of a setup well Atleast I like to believe that😂.
Eur/Usd a set was posted here by me on TradingView before market opened on Monday and if you go look at that set up today’s move was seen before hand and now that price went higher, we can now expect to see price move lower for the rest of the week to our liquidity resting below(equal lows). On the 4 hour price just broke structure higher solidifying a low that we want to see get broken during today trading day.
As soon as price breaks structure lower on the LTF’s than we have a alert to enter our shorts, good luck and have a wonderful day✌️
My name is Teboho Matla but you don’t know me yet…