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EURUSD

EURUSD → Consolidation before Fed Interest Rate DecisionFX:EURUSD is in a consolidation phase, as is the dollar index. The outcome could be decided this week. Traders are waiting for the FED meeting on US interest rates Globally the trend is neutral, but the price is consolidating near the key support that has been holding the market for two years. Aggressive interest rate cuts in Europe are putting overall negative pressure on the currency pair. The dollar may go into a downward correction if the decision to cut interest rates is made on December 17-18. But any hint of hawkish policy on the part of the Fed may strengthen the dollar, which will intensify the decline in EURUSD Resistance levels: 1.0607, 1.065 Support levels: 1.045, 1.033 Based on interest, amid the downtrend, the price has not yet reached the key liquidity zone. Before important news, the market may reach 1.0607. But based on the technical and fundamental background, the fall may continue, and a breakdown of 1.0448 will strengthen this fall. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
#EURUSD 1HEURUSD 1-Hour Analysis The EURUSD pair has broken out of a downtrend channel resistance on the 1-hour chart, signaling a potential shift in momentum to the upside. This breakout indicates bullish strength and presents an opportunity for buying as the price may continue to rise toward higher resistance levels. Technical Outlook: Pattern: Downtrend Channel Resistance Breakout Forecast: Bullish (Buy Opportunity) Entry Strategy: Enter a buy position after confirming the breakout with bullish price action signals, such as a retest of the broken resistance line acting as support or the formation of higher highs and higher lows. Traders should monitor indicators like RSI for overbought conditions or MACD for confirmation of bullish momentum. Employ proper risk management with stop-loss orders placed below the breakout or retest level, and set profit targets at key resistance zones above.
Long
by PIPSFIGHTER
Euro H4 | Overlap resistance at 50% Fiboancci retracementThe Euro (EUR/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 1.0537 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 1.0604 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level and a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 1.0401 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 16, 2024 EURUSDThe Euro-dollar pair starts the week with continued gains, trading around 1.05200 during the Asian session on Monday. This rise can be attributed to the decline in the US Dollar (USD) amid lower US Treasury bond yields ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate decision scheduled for Wednesday. The Fed is widely expected to announce a 25 basis point rate cut at its final monetary policy meeting in 2024. Market analysts predict the U.S. central bank will cut rates but prepare the market for a pause given the strong U.S. economy and inflation stalled above 2%. According to CME's FedWatch tool, markets have already all but priced in the possibility of a quarter basis point rate cut at the Fed's December meeting. In addition, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference and dot plots will be closely watched. Earlier this month, Powell struck a cautious tone, saying, “We can afford to be a little more cautious in trying to find a neutral stance.” He indicated he was in no rush to cut rates. The euro gained support after President Emmanuel Macron appointed centrist ally Francois Bayrou as France's prime minister, raising hopes for political stability. Macron promised to quickly select a new candidate for the job after Michel Barnier was forced to resign following a confidence vote in parliament. Trading Recommendation: Watch the level of 1.05000, if consolidated below consider Sell positions, if rebounded consider Buy positions.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EUR/USD: Awaiting the Fed for the Christmas Rally!EUR/USD continues to show weakness, hovering near weekly lows at 1.0453, reflecting an unfavorable macroeconomic outlook for the euro. The ECB's decision to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, combined with the removal of the term "restrictive" in its monetary policy stance and the projection of inflation nearing 2% on a sustainable basis, indicates a less aggressive approach by the central bank, with negative implications for the euro. Christine Lagarde also highlighted downside risks to economic growth, amplifying concerns about the Eurozone. On the U.S. front, a higher-than-expected PPI and an increase in initial jobless claims suggest a mix of inflationary pressures and potential signs of labor market softening. The dollar benefits from strong demand driven by these economic dynamics and the perception of U.S. resilience compared to the Eurozone. Technically, the pair remains in a clear downtrend. In the short term, focus shifts to Federal Reserve statements and U.S. inflation data, which could further strengthen the dollar if they confirm a more robust economic context in the U.S. compared to Europe.
Short
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
WHERE WILL THE EUR GO NEXT?Trading Plan Baseline Short-Term Sentiment Bias: - Euro under pressure, trading below $1.05 due to ECB rate cuts and political uncertainty in France and Germany. - Markets expect an additional 50 basis points cut by February. Upcoming Risk Events : - German Manufacturing PMI (Dec): Previous: 43.0, Consensus: 43.1. - German Services PMI (Dec): Previous: 49.3, Consensus: 49.5. - Eurozone Flash Manufacturing PMI: Previous: 45.2, Consensus: 45.3. - Eurozone Flash Services PMI: Previous: 49.5, Consensus: 49.5. Surprise: Positive Surprise: - Outcome: PMI beats expectations. - Trade: Long EUR/CHF (bond yield spreads suggest upside). Negative Surprise: - Outcome: PMI misses expectations. - Trade: Quick scalp on EUR/NZD (slight downside based on bond yield spreads). Bigger Picture Macro-Fundamental Bias - ECB's Stance: Data-dependent approach, removed restrictive rate stance. - Inflation Outlook: Headline inflation projected to average 2.4% in 2024, decreasing to 1.9% by 2026. - GDP Revisions: Lowered to 0.7% in 2024 and 1.1% in 2025. - Market Expectations: Continued rate cuts expected due to weak growth and low inflation.
by Midas_Macro
EUR/USD Chart and Future Price target analysis 1. Highest open interest (OI) for Call option with high volume indicates higher probability of price. 2. Movement in that direction in the near future. 3. CME Vol & OI data as of 12.15.2024, 5 PM. 4. 10,600 strike price has the highest Put option OI. 5. Both high Put and Call OI at the 10,600 strike price with high volume. 6. 10,600 considered a strong price level. 7. Option expiry for January 2025. Total of 3 Resistance along ( OB, OP, FIB and Bottom Strong 3rd Deviation )
Long
by rcsaints
Weekly Forex Forecast: EURUSD Is Bearish. Wait For SELLS!This forecast is for the week of Dec. 16 - 20th. EURUSD has formed a bearish breakout of the consolidation. Clearly the momentum is to the downside. WIll we see this continue into next week? Yessir! Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME:6E1!Short
by RT_Money
XAUUSD 15/12/24Coming into this week, we are observing a clear shift in market bias that occurred at the end of last week, transitioning from bearish to bullish. After running the highs and selling off, we are now looking to run the lows and then buy back into the same highs. This setup could shape up to be a strong week for longs in gold, potentially leading to a clean bull run as Christmas approaches and the market slows down. Based on the content shown on our charts, we can see there was "money out" within our supply zone, which triggered the previous downward shift. Now, we are looking for "money in" within our entry timeframe, which is the 15-minute chart. Watch for a clear entry around the lows. Additionally, there is liquidity above the current highs, which could fuel the next upside move. Trade safely and stick to your plan.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PipSurfingSociety
Bearish drop?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.0543 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.0589 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 1.0470 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
HelenP. I Euro can reach trend line, break it, and continue riseHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Some time ago price traded between resistance 2, which coincided with the resistance zone, and then rose until to trend line, making a first gap. After this, EUR turned around and dropped below resistance 2, breaking it and then made a retest, after which dropped to resistance 1, which coincided with one more resistance zone. Next, the price broke this level and started to trades inside consolidation, where it soon fell to the support level, which coincided with the support zone and even made a movement down to 1.0330 points. Then in a short time, the EUR backed up to consolidation, making a second gap, and then rose to the trend line inside the range. After this movement, the price turned around and declined to the support level, where trades are near now. In my mind, EURUSD will rise to the trend line, and then make little correction movement. Then price can break this line and continue to move up to the 1.0630 resistance level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Long
by FirstNameHelen
3
#EURUSD 1DAYEURUSD Daily Analysis The EURUSD pair is forming a falling wedge pattern on the daily chart, which typically signals a potential bullish reversal. The price is currently consolidating within the wedge, and a breakout above the resistance line would indicate a shift in momentum to the upside, offering a strong buy opportunity. Technical Outlook: Pattern: Falling Wedge Forecast: Buy ( More Buy Opportunity upon Resistance Breakout) Entry Strategy: Enter a buy position after the price breaks above the wedge's resistance line and confirms the breakout with bullish price action, such as a strong close above the resistance or a retest of the breakout level. Traders should monitor supporting indicators like RSI for oversold conditions or MACD for a bullish crossover. Risk management is essential, with stop-loss orders placed below recent lows and profit targets set at key resistance levels above the wedge.
Long
by PIPSFIGHTER
EURUSD Will Go Lower! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.049. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.032. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on EURUSD? In recent weeks, the EUR/USD pair has been in a downward trend and is currently trading below a significant resistance zone. As long as the price remains below this resistance, the bearish movement is expected to continue. However, if the price breaks above the identified resistance zone, this analysis will be invalidated, and a potential trend reversal may occur. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Short
by HAMED_AZ
13
GBPUSD - Nothing Can Stop It, It's All The Way Up!Here we have the monthly chart for GBPUSD. GBPUSD 'recently' completed a major ending diagonal. We know this as it was a 5 wave pattern in the form of a wedge. Now that the bottom is in, we're expecting multiyear bullish price action. Wave 1 can be an impulse or a leading diagonal. For GBPUSD, we are seeing a clear leading diagonal pattern = 5 waves. We are anticipating one final move up to complete wave 1 and then we'll be seeing a wave 2 correction (as shown in the chart) Trade Idea: Trading the 5th wave of the Leading Diagonal - Watch for bullish price action to appear - Confirmations such as trendline break or BOS can be used to gain an entry - Once entered, put stops below wave 4 - Target: 1.36 (1,100pips) Once wave 1 leading diagonal is complete, we'll be back with an update! If this post gets enough engagement, we'll post lower timeframe charts. Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
by WicktatorFX
3
EURUSD Sellers In Panic! BUY! My dear friends, EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 1.0499 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 1.0519 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
2