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EURUSD

FORECAST UPDATES: How Are We Doing? Were We Accurate?Tuesday Dec. 10, 2024. Here are the updates to the Weekly Forex Forecast posted Saturday. We'll see if the forecasts were right on point and working out... or if we were just plain wrong. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
COMEX:HG1!
by RT_Money
EURUSD Trading Idea EUR/USD dipped 0.2% on Tuesday, marking its third straight decline as it approaches the key 1.0500 level. The Euro’s recent bullish momentum is fading, with traders shifting to a cautious stance ahead of two major events: US CPI Data (Wednesday): A pivotal release ahead of the Fed's final 2024 meeting. Inflation is expected to tick up to 2.7% YoY (from 2.6%), with core CPI holding steady at 3.3%. Any signs of stalled progress could dash hopes for a third consecutive rate cut on December 18, fueling USD volatility. ECB Rate Decision (Thursday): The ECB is widely anticipated to deliver another quarter-point rate cut. Forecasts suggest the Main Refinancing Operations Rate will be trimmed to 3.15% (from 3.4%), and the Deposit Facility Rate is expected to drop to 3.0% (from 3.25%). EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Entry Opportunity with SMC and Fibonacci Using Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and Fibonacci retracement, the key zone between the 0.71 and 0.79 Fibonacci levels is shaping up as a critical area of interest. Following the creation of a fair value gap at the last high, the price is now testing the 50% Fibonacci level, setting the stage for a potential trade setup. Trade Setup: Entry Point: 1.05520 (aligned with the 0.75 Fibonacci level) Stop Loss: 1.05697 (just above the 0.79 Fibonacci level for added risk protection) Take Profit: 1.04990 (targeting below the fair value gap for optimal risk-to-reward) Risk/Reward Insights: This setup offers a Risk/Reward Ratio of 2.98. By risking 17.7 pips to gain 53 pips, you're maximizing reward relative to risk. Disclaimer: Trading carries significant risks, and it’s essential to practice strict risk management. Always trade with a clear plan, use stop-loss orders, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. This analysis is not financial advice—ensure you understand the risks before making any decisions. Follow for more trading ideas, strategies, and insights to level up your trading game!
Short
by InwardTrader
Bearish drop?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.0543 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.0564 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 1.0502 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
#EURUSD - 11122024We caught the whole EURUSD move as per algo level path given yesterday; a move higher to re-test strong level at 1.0564 for a short down to 1.0500 level and a long to 1.0534, all played out to perfection. I said that 1.0500 is a potential low and market bounced from it. Is the lows in? To be honest, based on the current price action on daily, it is not so easy to decipher. It does not look like a bottoming candle. Thus IMO, EURUSD could make another move down to make a new low, but that get bought up to possibly form a reversal candle on daily to be called a bottom. Looking for a rejection off 1.0556 for a move down to 1.0476 for a long.
by FadeMeIfYouCan
EURUSD: Standard Channel Up targeting above the 4H MA200.EURUSD may have turned bearish today on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.238, MACD = -0.005, ADX = 33.591) but 4H remains neutral as the pullback is the technical bearish wave of the Channel Up you see on the chart. The two bullish waves we've had so far have been exactly the same at +1.65% with the 4H RSI S1 Zone providing the most accurate buy entries. Consequently, this is now the best level to go long and target a crossing over the 4H MA200 on another +1.65% bullish wave (TP = 1.06675). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
1
Euro can rebound up to 1.0700 level, exiting from pennantHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some days ago started to decline inside the downward pennant, where it at once rebounded from the resistance line and fell to the 1.0700 level, which coincided with the seller zone. Then EUR tried to grow, but failed and in a short time declined below the 1.0700 level, breaking it. Next, the price continued to decline and later almost reached the support level, after which turned around and some time traded a little higher at this level, but didn't fall to it. Later, the rice dropped below the 1.0485 level, which coincided with the buyer zone, breaking it and reaching the support line of the downward pennant, after which started to grow and made a gap. After this movement, the Euro broke the 1.0485 support level one more time and made a retest. Next, it little grew, after which made a correction to the support level and then rose to the resistance line of the pennant. But a not long time ago, the price fell to the support line and now it trying to grow. For this case, I think that the price can correct to the support line and then rebound up to 1.0700 resistance level, thereby exiting from the pennant pattern. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
4
EURUSD BUY - Rebound Blueprint Price is respecting the FVG zone (1.0528), signaling a bullish reversal. Watching closely for a surge toward 1.0620 and potentially 1.0645. The EUR/USD chart shows a potential reversal setup forming around a Fair Value Gap (FVG) at the 1.0528 level. Price has retraced into this FVG, aligning with a high-probability demand zone. The 1.0530 area, acting as a significant structural support, has shown strong rejections, indicating buying interest. The FVG aligns with previous inefficiencies in the price, providing a magnet for liquidity before the market resumes its upward trend. The initial target at 1.0620, where minor resistance could emerge. A decisive break below 1.0520 would invalidate this setup, suggesting further downside potential.
Long
by TopGBanks
EURUSD Bulls Will Take Charge?EUR/USD bounces off a strong demand zone around 1.0530. With bullish structure building, we could see a rally towards 1.0650. A key support zone at 1.0499–1.0530 has provided a strong foundation for a bullish reversal. The rejection candle and subsequent bullish candles suggest that buyers are stepping in aggressively at this level. Price is likely to target 1.0649 in the coming sessions, aligning with previous highs and liquidity areas. Stay patient and follow the structure.
Long
by TopGBanks
+180/+360 pips GBPCAD Swing trade setup🔸Hello traders, let's review the H4 chart for GBPCAD today. Trading near premium prices of the multiweek range, closing in on heavy S/R Currently risk/reward is shifting in bears favor, so it's recommended to look for sell side setups in this market. 🔸Bearish OB / fresh liquidity set at 8095/8125. Price structure indicates potential incoming reversal once we trigger the OB. 🔸Recommended strategy for GBPCAD traders: focus on short selling any rips/rallies near OB 8095/8125 price is currently trading near premium levels and is maxed out already, limited upside. TP1 bears +180 TP2 bears +360 pips final exit 7750 keep in mind this is a swing trade setup so naturally will take more time to complete / hit both targets. good luck traders! 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Short
by ProjectSyndicate
25
+140 pips The Best Level to BUY/HOLD EURUSD swing trade🔸Hello traders, let's review the 1hour chart for EURUSD today. Overall, strong price chart with sequence of higher lows in progress. 🔸Clearly defined set of overhead resistances and supports below market price with liquidity distributed equally among buy side and sell side order blocks. 🔸Primary pattern / structure is 3 drives in progress, expecting a final pullback to trigger OB liquidity at/near 0510/0520 before bullish reaction and final push (3rd drive). 🔸Recommended strategy for EURUSD traders:no trade recommended at current price, however bulls should enter BUY/HOLD at/near 0510/0520 SL 30 pips TP1 +70 TP2 +140 final exit at 0640. Bears should wait for further updates and get ready to short from sell side order blocks near 0640/0660 S/R zone. good luck traders! 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Long
by ProjectSyndicate
9
#EURUSD - 10122024I called for a move lower for EURUSD yesterday off the PZ. EURUSD came down, rallied higher, nicely to PZ and sold back down to close near the lows for a good 45pips or so. I will not say that yesterday's price action is bearish. IMO, the thesis which I gave yesterday is still valid, that is, EURUSD is coming down into support. But I am expecting buyers to come in and that could move EURUSD higher. That is a possibility thus while near term price action is bearish, it could find support at one of the levels and move higher. But for now, I am looking at the PZ to hold for a move lower, with 1.05/512 as the price target, but look out for a possible strong pullback/reversal from this zone.
by FadeMeIfYouCan
Gold Analysis - December 2024Gold maintains its bullish momentum, trading above $2,660 per ounce due to optimism surrounding new economic stimulus from China and a weakening US Dollar, which enhance the appeal of the precious metal. During American trading hours, spot gold reached an intraday high of $2,667.31, reflecting sustained demand after the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) resumed gold purchases following a six-month hiatus. This aligns with a macroeconomic context that favors safe-haven assets. News of Chinese stimulus has improved sentiment for gold, with China, being a significant consumer and investor, showing clear support for prices through central bank purchases. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is weakening ahead of key central bank announcements and economic data releases, making gold more attractive to investors holding other currencies. Attention is focused on the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data due on Wednesday, which could influence expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. A higher-than-expected CPI could pressure gold, while weaker data may further support its bullish trend. Decisions from various central banks, including the Federal Reserve, ECB, and BoE, may shape market sentiment, with dovish signals potentially further boosting gold. Wall Street opened lower, with major indices in the red, while government bond yields ticked slightly higher, creating a mixed environment that supports safe-haven flows into gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
EURUSD Set To Fall! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.0579 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 1.0536 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
EURUSD: the ECB week aheadThe Non-farm Payrolls for November were the main macro indicator that the market was waiting for during the previous week. The NFP of 227K in November was slightly above the market expectations of 200K. At the same time, the unemployment rate in November increased a bit to 4,2%, from the previous 4,1%. Average hourly earnings were higher by 0,4% for the month, which brings the indicator up by 4% for the year. As for other US macro data published during the week, the ISM Manufacturing reached the level of 48,4 in November, modestly above market estimate of 47,5. The ISM Services PMI in November reached the level of 52,1 which was lower from market estimate of 55,5. Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary for December is standing at 74,0 a bit higher from the market expectation of 72,5. Inflation expectation for the next five years has a bit decreased to the level of 3,1%, from 3,2% posted during the previous month. The Manufacturing industry in Germany continues to slow down. As per posted HCOB Manufacturing PMI final for November, the index in Germany reached the level of 43, which was below market estimate of 43,2. The same index reached 46 in the Euro Zone a bit better from forecasted 45,2. At the same time, the services sector in Germany is doing better from manufacturing, as HCOB Services PMI final for November reached 51,6 a bit better from estimated 49,4. The same index for the Euro Zone was also standing at the level of 51,6. The Producers Price Index in the Euro Zone dropped by -0,6% in October, bringing the total drop to -3,4% for the year. The Retail Sales in the Euro Zone were higher by 0,5% in October, bringing the indicator up by 2,9% for the year. The Industrial Production in Germany dropped by -2,5% in October for the month, which was significantly below market expectations of +2,5%. Despite the relatively solid jobs data, the market is increasing odds that the Fed will further cut interest rates at their December meeting. The USD weakened a bit during the previous week, from the level of 1,048 up to the level of 1,062. The currency pair ended the week at the level of 1,056. The RSI started its path toward the upside, however at the level of 45, there is no clear sign that the market is currently eyeing the overbought market side. The moving average of 50 days continued its divergence from the MA200, confirming the cross occurred two weeks ago. The week ahead will be the ECB week. The Europeans will decide on the future course of reference interest rates. Considering decreasing inflation, but also weakening of the EuroZone economy, the market is expecting to see a further 25 bps cut. On the other hand, the US market will digest the latest NFP and inflation data and position accordingly for the FOMC meeting, scheduled for December 17-18th. As per current charts, there is some probability for resistance line at 1,07 to be tested, but first the 1,06 level should be clearly breached. At the same time, charts are also showing some probability that 1,05 support could be tested for one more time. Important news to watch during the week ahead are: EUR: Inflation rate in Germany final for November, ECB Interest Rate Decision (expectations: 3%), ECB Press conference after the ECB meeting, ECB Economic Projections, Balance of Trade in Germany for October, Industrial Production in the EuroZone, HCOB Manufacturing PMI flash for December in Germany and the Euro Zone USD: Inflation rate in November, Producers Price Index in November
by XBTFX
EUR/USD: Are We Crashing Through Parity?Well, well, well, EUR/USD, you sly dog. Just when we thought the pair might catch a break, it doubles down on its favorite hobby—going DOWN. 📉 Since late September, this thing has been in a nosedive so steep it makes roller coasters look tame. 🎢 And now? It’s giving us not one but TWO glorious bearish flags. That’s the market’s way of saying, “Hold my beer, I’ve got more downside to cover.” 🍺 So, buckle up as we break down what’s happening with EUR/USD, why it’s acting like a currency in free fall, and just how low it might go. Spoiler alert: Parity might not be far enough. 😏 The Downtrend Diaries: EUR/USD’s Love Affair with Lows Okay, let’s rewind to late September. What happened? Oh, just EUR/USD deciding it was time to swap its bull costume for a full-blown bear suit. 🐻 We’re talking lower highs, lower lows, and every technical analyst’s favorite phrase: "the trend is your friend" (until it’s not, of course). This week? The pair is snuggled nicely inside its second bearish flag, like a bear hibernating before its next big move. For those of you wondering, a bearish flag is when the market pauses, catches its breath, and says, “Alright, time to drop some more.” And let me tell you, these flags aren’t subtle. They’re practically screaming, “Hey, the trend’s still bearish—don’t get any ideas!” Why So Bearish? Let’s Blame the Usual Suspects The Almighty Dollar Flexing Again 💪 The USD is out here reminding everyone why it’s called the safe-haven king. Interest rates? Still high. Risk-off sentiment? Very much alive. Meanwhile, the euro’s like that one kid who forgot to study for the test—it’s just not prepared to fight back. 🤷‍♂️ Eurozone: Where’s the Mojo? Between slowing growth, sticky inflation, and the French government imploding (because why not?), the euro is struggling to convince anyone it’s worth a rally. Even the promise of €500 billion in defense spending couldn’t lift its spirits for long. If fiscal spending can’t save the day, what can? Bearish Flags Don’t Lie 🚩 These flags are the cherry on top of the downtrend sundae. First, we had one around 1.0650, which broke lower like clockwork. Now we’re staring down another flag that’s coiled tighter than my jeans after Thanksgiving dinner. Once this breaks, well... let’s just say the floor is looking mighty inviting. How Low Can It Go? Let’s Talk Targets 🔭 Now, if this flag plays out like the textbook says, EUR/USD could easily revisit 1.0450. And if that level doesn’t hold? Get ready to dust off those parity memes. Yes, I’m talking 1.0000, the big, scary, psychological level where everyone suddenly remembers how to panic. 😱 But hey, let’s not stop there. The lower boundary of the larger downtrend is lurking below 0.9900, and if the bears get really hungry, that’s where they’ll feast. 🍴 The Sarcastic Silver Lining: What Would It Take to Flip Bullish? Oh, you want bullish scenarios? That’s cute. 😏 Here’s what would need to happen: The euro suddenly gets a personality transplant and decides it’s worth something. The USD forgets it’s the global reserve currency and takes a nap. A miracle. Like, divine intervention-level miracle. But seriously, unless EUR/USD breaks above 1.0600 with conviction (and by conviction, I mean a rally that doesn’t immediately fall apart), the bears are still in charge. Final Thoughts: Trade Smart or Get Wrecked 💀 Look, the writing’s on the wall. EUR/USD is in a downtrend, the flags are flapping, and the bears are sharpening their claws. This isn’t the time to play hero and try to catch a bottom. Instead, let the trend do its thing, wait for the flag to break, and ride the wave lower. 🌊 And hey, if it does hit parity, at least we’ll have something to talk about at the next market meltdown party. 🎉 Until then, keep those stop-losses tight, and don’t forget: the trend might be your friend, but it’s also got a dark sense of humor. Catch you next time, traders. George out. 🎤
Short
by RoadToAMillionClub
#EURUSD 4HEURUSD 4-Hour Analysis The EURUSD pair is forming a head and shoulders pattern on the 4-hour chart, which is typically a bearish reversal signal. However, in this case, the price action suggests a potential invalidation of the pattern, favoring a bullish breakout scenario. If the neckline resistance is broken, it could provide a buy opportunity. Technical Outlook: Pattern: Head and Shoulders (Potential Breakout) Forecast: Bullish (Buy Opportunity) Entry Strategy: Enter a buy position upon a confirmed breakout above the neckline resistance with strong bullish momentum. Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation such as a breakout candlestick with increased volume or indicators like MACD signaling upward momentum. Proper risk management is crucial, with stop-loss orders placed below the neckline and profit targets set at the next resistance levels.
Long
by PIPSFIGHTER
EURUSD Crucial test on the 4H MA200. Bullish if broken.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Bearish Megaphone since the September 30 High, which is technically the Bearish Leg of the long-term Channel Down pattern, which we saw on our previous analysis. Having found support on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), the pair appears to be attempting another test on the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), which rejected the last Lower High (November 05) and has been intact since October 01, making it practically the basic long-term Resistance. As a result, if the 4H MA200 breaks, the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Bearish Megaphone should follow too, which will cause a technical medium-term break-out. Our Target is the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at 1.08765. You may use the Higher Lows trend-line as an additional tool to determine if the break-out will be successful as last time (November 05) the failed to hold and caused the new Bearish Low of the Megaphone. Similar analogy with the 4H RSI Higher Lows trend-line. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot