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EURUSD

Potential bullish rise?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could rise from this level to the overlap resistance. Pivot: 1.0469 1st Support: 1.0391 1st Resistance: 1.0595 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
GBPUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce off?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 1.2613, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibo retracement. Our take profit will be at 1.2836, a pullback resistance that aligns with 61.8% Fibo retracement and 78.6% Fibo projection The stop loss will be placed at 1.2488, which is a swing low support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
EURUSD A Fall Expected! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.0523 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.0496 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
2
EURUSD-TIME FOR REVERSAL- SWING TRADEReversal Opportunity Amid a Bearish Bias FX:EURUSD The EUR/USD is showing potential for a reversal, although the overall probabilities remain bearish. This setup offers an opportunity with a possible 3RR. Trade Management: Today's FED meeting could cause sharp and unexpected market movements. It’s crucial to keep a tight SL to protect against liquidity hunts, especially near the November PML wick. The TP is set at the bearish FVA, but if the price reaches this area, it could signal a higher probability of continued upside. Stay cautious and adapt to market conditions. Manage your risk and remember: capital preservation comes first.
Long
by Jaytradermb
"EUR/USD: Rebound Before Deeper Decline"The EUR/USD currency pair finds itself in a delicate phase of local correction, driven primarily by the temporary softening of the US dollar. This correction comes amidst a backdrop of complex global dynamics and heightened market sensitivity to news-driven events. The currency pair appears poised to retest local highs in the short term, yet traders should approach this opportunity with a heightened sense of vigilance. Today’s economic calendar is packed with high-impact events, and the fundamental backdrop remains skewed heavily toward negativity for the euro. These factors could amplify volatility and result in sharp, unpredictable price movements. ### **Macro and Fundamental Overview** From a macroeconomic perspective, the euro faces a host of challenges that continue to undermine its strength. Persistent global headwinds, such as the lingering effects of Trump-era policies, including tariffs targeting European exports, have placed sustained pressure on the region’s trade dynamics. Meanwhile, Europe’s monetary policy stance remains dovish, with the European Central Bank leaning toward maintaining or even reducing already historically low interest rates. Such a backdrop has solidified the downtrend in EUR/USD, both on a broader and local scale. The US dollar, despite its temporary pullback, remains supported by its role as a safe haven in times of uncertainty. Factors such as a resilient US labor market, better-than-expected GDP figures, and the Fed’s measured approach to monetary policy keep the dollar attractive relative to the euro. The interplay of these forces suggests that the euro’s upward momentum during corrections is likely to remain limited and short-lived. ### **Technical Analysis: False Breakouts and Resistance Retests** On the technical front, the EUR/USD pair is exhibiting signs of a potential false breakout below key support levels. Such patterns often serve as a precursor to temporary price recoveries, as market participants test resistance levels before resuming the dominant trend. In this context, the price action suggests that a retest of nearby resistance levels, coupled with bearish reversal patterns, could pave the way for renewed selling opportunities. The most immediate resistance levels to monitor are 1.0606, 1.0650, and 1.0760. These zones are likely to attract selling pressure, especially if bearish sentiment is reinforced by today’s news events. Conversely, support levels at 1.0517, 1.0440, and 1.0330 remain critical. A decisive break below these levels could accelerate the pair’s descent, signaling the continuation of the broader downtrend. ### **News Sensitivity and Bearish Triggers** Given the heavily saturated news cycle, traders should remain particularly attentive to market reactions to economic releases and geopolitical developments. Key announcements, such as US labor market data, European inflation figures, or updates on trade negotiations, could act as catalysts for sharp price swings. If bearish triggers dominate, such as unexpectedly hawkish commentary from the Fed or further downgrades to Europe’s growth outlook, the pair is likely to face renewed selling pressure, particularly at resistance zones. ### **Trading Strategy and Outlook** In this environment, a prudent trading approach involves waiting for confirmation of bearish reversal signals at resistance levels before considering short positions. Patience is key, as the market may temporarily attempt to test or even breach resistance before resuming its downward trajectory. Traders should also consider using tight stop-loss levels to mitigate risk, given the potential for heightened volatility. To summarize, while the local correction in EUR/USD presents a short-term opportunity to test resistance levels, the overarching bearish narrative remains intact. The interplay of weak euro fundamentals, dovish monetary policy, and a generally strong US dollar points to further downside potential. Monitoring key technical levels, understanding news-driven volatility, and adopting a disciplined approach to risk management will be crucial for navigating the next phase of this downtrend.
Short
by lonelyPlayer0
1
EURO - Price can bounce down from resistance area to $1.0385Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 A few days ago price bounced from $1.1000 level and rose to $1.1205 points, after which turned around. Then price started to decline inside falling channel, where it at once reached and broke $1.1000 level. After this, EUR fell to support line of falling channel, and then bounced and rose to resisatnce line, making a first gap. Price made downward impulse, thereby exiting from channel and starting to trades inside flat, breaking $1.0585 level too. In flat, Euro fell to bottom part but then turned around, made a second gap, and now trades close to $1.0585 level. In my mind, Euro can enter to resistance area and then start to decline to $1.0385, which coincides with bottom part of flat. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Short
by WalterMoon
10
EURUSD - Near a Bearish BreakWe were expecting a bullish continuation on EURUSD however as the Dollar continues to go up, EURUSD is edging a breakout which could open lower levels. If the support holds, we should see a Bullish reversal otherwise it is destined for a bearish move. For entries, please wait for at least two candle reversals at the specified level and apply appropriate risk management. If you found this analysis helpful, please consider boosting and following for more updates. Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
Short
by MarketsPOV
Technical Analysis for EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar)Chart Structure: Head and Shoulders Pattern: A reverse Head and Shoulders pattern is visible on the 1-hour chart, indicating a potential reversal to an upward trend. The Neckline is located at 1.0578, and its breakout could confirm the start of an upward move. Fibonacci Levels: The 0.5 Fibonacci level at 1.0578 acts as a key support. The 0.786 Fibonacci level at 1.0719 and the 1.0 level at 1.0824 are identified as potential targets if the Neckline is broken. Indicators Used: Ichimoku: The price is near the Kumos (cloud), and a breakout above the cloud could signal further upward movement. Alligator: The Alligator lines are opening up, indicating an increase in volatility and the potential continuation of the trend. Price Action Forecast: If the price breaks the Neckline at 1.0578, an upward move toward the 1.0719 and then 1.0824 levels is expected. If the price fails to break the Neckline, there could be a reversal back toward lower support levels, such as 1.0498. Conclusion: Bullish Scenario: A breakout and hold above 1.0578 would support further upward movement toward Fibonacci targets. Bearish Scenario: A failure to break the Neckline could lead to a decline and continuation of the current downward trend. This analysis is based on technical tools and should ideally be combined with fundamental analysis for a more comprehensive outlook.
Long
by arongroups
EURUSD - Outlook for 04/12/2024EURUSD has been ranging and completed a lower move to support. As far as the support holds, we should see above levels tapped in coming sessions. A sustained break of support will result in bearish move to lower levels. For entries, please wait for at least two candle reversals at the specified level and apply appropriate risk management. If you found this analysis helpful, please consider boosting and following for more updates. Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
Long
by MarketsPOV
EURUSD - The Bigger PictureEURUSD seems to have completed the Correction Waves ABC and now looks to start a Bullish move. Stochastic is in extreme lows so we can expect a move to above level as far as support is respected. A break of support level will result in a lower move to below support. For entries, please wait for at least two candle reversals at the specified level and apply appropriate risk management. If you found this analysis helpful, please consider boosting and following for more updates. Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
Long
by MarketsPOV
EURUSD Will Go Down! Short! Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 1.052. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 1.049 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
EURUSD → Consolidating before the news.... FX:EURUSD is in a current downtrend, but there is news ahead and traders are waiting for hints about the US monetary policy. The currency pair has not yet reached the local target... On D1, the struggle for space continues after the false breakdown of support. Also, the market is still yet to test 1.061 - 1.065 - the key liquidity zone. Ahead of ADP Nonfarm, PMI and Powell's speech, where, according to analysts, the issue of rates, US monetary policy may come up. Any hints of an aggressive rate cut could reinforce buying in the Euro and selling in the Dollar. However, we can't know this ahead of time, so the market may remain in consolidation until the news. Resistance levels: 1.0606, 1.0654, 1.076. Support levels: 1.0448, 1.033 Technically, the currency pair can form an upward momentum to key resistance areas, from which the decline can resume. But, if the price breaks the support and consolidates below 1.044, the decline may start earlier. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1
Sell EUR/USD Bearish FlagThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.0500, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.0442 2nd Support – 1.040 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
14
EURUSD Inverse Head and Shoulders to 1.08500EURUSD has formed an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, confirming the bottom of the long term bearish sequence. The right shoulders is about to be completed and there is no better time to buy than now. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 1.08500 (marginally under the 2.0 Fibonacci extension) Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) crossed above its MA on Nov 25th, confirming the transition from long term bearish to a bullish trend. This supports our 2.0 Fib target. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
Long
by TradingBrokersView
4
EUR/USD – Weak Start to the WeekEUR/USD – Weak Start to the Week The EUR/USD pair began the week with declines, driven by macroeconomic data releases and political tensions within the eurozone. --- Macroeconomic Data Impact On Monday, the final reading of the **HCOB Manufacturing PMI** for the eurozone in November was released, showing a figure of **45.2**, in line with expectations. This continues to signal weakness in the industrial sector, contributing to euro depreciation. --- Political Issues in France Political turbulence in France further weighed on the euro. Key developments included: - Budget Dispute: Prime Minister Michel Barnier faced potential no-confidence votes as the far-right National Rally (RN) party, led by Marine Le Pen, threatened to oppose the government’s budget proposal. - Concessions: The French government dropped plans to reduce medication reimbursements to secure RN support. - Market Reaction: French bond yields rose, with the 10-year yield briefly surpassing Greece’s. The CAC 40 stock index fell 1.1% in early trading. --- ECB Comments Statements from European Central Bank members also hinted at potential monetary easing: - Olli Rehn** and **Yannis Stournaras suggested further rate cuts are likely in December due to persistent inflation concerns. - Martin Kazaks mentioned the possibility of discussing larger rate cuts, though he acknowledged significant uncertainty. --- Seasonality and EUR/USD Historically, December has been a favorable month for the euro against the dollar, driven by reduced market liquidity and year-end position adjustments. However, under the current market conditions, with weak eurozone data and robust U.S. performance, seasonality may not be sufficient to reverse the prevailing bearish trend for EUR/USD. --- USD Stability The U.S. dollar remains relatively stable, supported by strong macroeconomic fundamentals and comments from Federal Reserve officials. - Fed Officials’ Remarks : - John Williams: The NY Fed President noted that monetary policy remains restrictive and emphasized data dependence. He expects inflation to gradually decline to 2% and forecasts U.S. GDP growth of around 2.5% in 2024. - Christopher Waller: The Fed Governor expressed support for a December rate cut, citing a balanced labor market and concerns about inflation stagnating above 2%. - Raphael Bostic: The Atlanta Fed President stated that inflation is on track to reach the 2% target and emphasized the strong footing of the U.S. economy while remaining open to future policy adjustments. - U.S. Economic Data : - ISM Manufacturing PMI (November): Increased to 48.4, above expectations but still indicating contraction. - Construction Spending (October): Rose by 0.4%. --- Outlook for EUR/USD Despite last week’s gains, the long-term trend for EUR/USD remains bearish. The eurozone's economic data continues to underperform, adding pressure on the ECB to accelerate rate cuts. Meanwhile, the U.S. economy is on a stable path toward a "soft landing," supported by strong labor markets and steady growth. While seasonal factors might provide temporary support for the euro, the current market dynamics suggest limited potential for sustained EUR/USD appreciation.
Short
by InvestMate
2
BTC sell around 95. target 91.500 If you're considering a **sell around 95,000 USD** for BTC with a **target of 91,500 USD**, this strategy implies you expect the price to decline further. Here's how you can refine your trade plan: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD --- ### **1. Entry Zone Analysis** - **Sell Trigger**: Selling at **95,000 USD** suggests it's significant, likely near a minor resistance or after a pullback. - Confirm with: - **Candle Patterns**: Look for bearish patterns like shooting stars or bearish engulfing around 95,000. - **Volume**: A spike in selling volume near this level supports a bearish case. --- ### **2. Downside Target: 91,500 USD** - **Support Zone**: Ensure that 91,500 corresponds to a prior support level, such as: - A key Fibonacci level (e.g., 61.8% or 78.6% retracement). - Previous consolidation or bounce area. - Check for overlapping support from moving averages (e.g., 50 MA or 200 MA on lower timeframes). -- **3. Indicators for Confirmation** - **RSI**: If it's trending downward or approaching oversold territory (below 50 but above 30), it confirms bearish momentum. - **MACD**: A bearish crossover and divergence with price action would reinforce the move. - **Volume Analysis**: Increasing sell volume during breakdowns confirms strength in the move. -4. Risk Management** - **Stop-Loss**: Place a stop-loss above the recent swing high or resistance zone (e.g., 95,500 or 96,000) to cap losses. - **Risk-to-Reward**: With a target of 91,500 and an entry around 95,000, you're aiming for a 3.5% move. Ensure your stop-loss level offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio (e.g., 1:2 or better). --- 5. Monitor Key Levels** - If BTC breaks below 93,000 or 92,500, these could act as interim support. Be prepared for a bounce or adjust your stop-loss to lock in profits. --- Would you like a deeper analysis or assistance in charting these levels visually?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
EURUSD - Potential Outlook for 03/12/2024EURUSD has completed bullish move and rejected on resistance level. EMA50 is nearing a cross of MA200 and this could potentially open lower levels. Break of resistance will open above levels. For entries, please wait for at least two candle reversals at the specified level and apply appropriate risk management. If you found this analysis helpful, please consider boosting and following for more updates. Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
Short
by MarketsPOV
GBPUSD towards 1.28!The GBP/USD pair shows signs of recovery toward the 1.2700 level during European trading, supported by a moderate weakening of the US Dollar due to improved market sentiment and profit-taking ahead of the release of the US JOLTS data. Fundamentally, the pair is consolidating losses after a decline of more than 0.5% recorded on Monday, limiting the damage thanks to the drop in the EUR/GBP pair, indicating capital flows from the Eurozone to the United Kingdom. Investors are closely monitoring the US JOLTS Job Openings data: a figure equal to or above 8 million could strengthen the Dollar, generating additional bearish pressure on GBP/USD. Moreover, attention is focused on the speeches by Federal Reserve members, with recent statements highlighting uncertainties about a potential rate cut in December. The current probability of a 25 basis points rate cut stands at 72%, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, but more cautious signals from officials could keep the Dollar in a strong position. Therefore, the direction of the pair remains tied to the evolution of macroeconomic data and monetary policy, with a consolidation dynamic reflecting the balance between technical and fundamental factors.
Long
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 03, 2024 EURUSDThe EUR/USD pair is stuck at 1.0500 after the bullish recovery fizzled out. The pair was only able to squeeze out one green weekly candle after hitting multi-year lows around 1.0330. Euro\Dollar failed to push back from the 1.0600 mark as the short-term rebound fades. EUR/USD began another trading week by falling back to familiar short-term lows, failing an attempt to retrace to 1.0600 and pulling back to 1.0500, losing nearly eight-tenths of a percent on Monday. U.S. purchasing managers' index (PMI) data beat expectations but still came in below the 50.0 decline level, lending support to the safe-haven U.S. dollar. European economic data remains sparse in the first half of the trading week, although several European Central Bank (ECB) speeches will be on the agenda. Another week of Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) looms over the markets, with US net job growth data due out on Friday, and plenty of preliminary labor and wage data to come during the week. ISM's US manufacturing PMI index rose in November, rising to a five-month high of 48.4 against a previous reading of 46.5, beating the forecast of 47.5. Despite the rise in the business expectations survey, the indicator is still in contraction territory below 50.0, meaning that most business operators still see a decline in overall activity in the coming months. Trade recommendation: Watching the level of 1.0600, trading mainly with Sell orders
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004