Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.0835
1st Support: 1.0722
1st Resistance: 1.0911
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EURUSD
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 26, 2025 EURUSDThe EUR/USD exchange rate has been declining for the fifth consecutive trading day, as the price continues to test below 1.08000. The Euro is finding it difficult to regain its strength, as the absence of significant economic data from the EU leaves traders vulnerable to geopolitical headlines and market fluctuations resulting from US data releases.
On Tuesday, the US Conference Board (CB) reported a rise in one-year consumer inflation expectations, which rose to 6.2% in March from 5.8% in February. Consumers are understandably concerned about the ongoing high prices of necessities, particularly eggs, and the potential inflationary impact of tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. The Central Bank's survey of consumer confidence also revealed a decline in future economic expectations, reaching a 12-year low of 65.2 in March, well below the 80.0 mark that typically signals a potential recession.
These concerns have been further compounded by a warning from Moody's, a leading ratings agency, which has expressed concerns over the U.S. fiscal sustainability, particularly in light of mounting debt service challenges. Moody's has also forecast that the country's fiscal sustainability is likely to face a prolonged decline, a statement that could displease Donald Trump and his administration, who are currently in favour of a significant debt ceiling increase by Congress.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.07700, SL 1.08400, TP 1.06750
EURUSD Approaching Key Demand Zone – Potential Rebound?OANDA:EURUSD is approaching a key demand zone marked by previous price reactions. This area has historically acted as strong support, leading to bullish moves in the past. The current structure suggests that buyers may step in if the price confirms a rejection from this zone.
If we see bullish confirmation, such as a strong rejection or a bullish engulfing candle, the market could push higher toward the 1.04020 level. However, a break below this demand zone would invalidate the bullish bias and could lead to further declines.
This setup reflects the potential for a rebound after an impulsive move, supported by past price behavior and market structure.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
EURUSD - Sell Trade SetupTaking a look at the daily chart, EURUSD is resting at a minor pivot point. However, I suspect further weakness based off comments from the Fed last week and with all eyes on this Friday's PCE report.
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EUR/USD 4H | Bearish Retest Before Drop? The EUR/USD pair has broken below an ascending channel, signaling a potential bearish trend. After the breakdown, price is now retesting the previous support as new resistance, creating a sell opportunity.
🔎 Key Observations:
✅ Resistance Zone: The 1.08392 - 1.08411 level is acting as a strong resistance after the breakdown.
✅ Sell Confirmation: A rejection from this resistance level will confirm the bearish move, with 1.06773 as the next target.
✅ Bearish Expectation: If price fails to reclaim the broken trendline, further downside momentum is expected.
📌 Trading Plan:
🔻 Look for bearish price action signals (e.g., rejections, bearish engulfing candles) at the retest area.
🔻 A confirmed sell setup can target 1.06773 as the next support zone.
🚨 Risk Management Tip: Use stop-loss above 1.08500 to protect against invalidation.
💬 What are your thoughts on this setup? Are you looking for shorts or waiting for more confirmation?
EURUSD: Channel Down on 1H targeting 1.07640EURUSD is neutral on its 1H technical outlook (RSI = 48.104, MACD = 0.000, ADX = 18.254) as it is at the top of the 5 day Channel Down and around the 1H MA50. This is the new bearish wave. Short and aim for a -0.62% decline (TP = 1.07640).
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EURUSD Short IdeaTrade entered. Entry rules met.
Confluences:
✅ Bearish overall bias
✅ Bearish demand zone
✅ Bearish impulse crab pattern
✅ Bearish divergence
✅ Bearish break of structure
✅ Entering London close zone
✅ Price is in entry zone
✅ Required risk:reward met
⭐ I shared this watch zone in my weekly forex outlook this week, you can subscribe by clicking the link in my bio.
Elliott Wave Pattern Suggests Higher EURUSD and Lower US YieldsSome nice retracement on 10-year US notes in the last three weeks looks corrective because of a clear three-wave drop with a triangle in wave (B). This suggests US yields could be trading at resistance, and if we consider the somewhat dovish stance from Powell and the FOMC last week, the market might be positioned for a lower USD. In this scenario, EURUSD could perform well—likely better than some commodity currencies, which remain trapped in sideways ranges due to weaker stock markets recently.
GH
XAU/USD: First Long, Then SHORT! (PLEASE READ THE CAPTION)Gold's 2-hour chart shows that the price successfully reached a new high of $3057 today before retracing to $3025. Currently, gold is trading around $3037, and I expect a short-term push towards $3049 before looking for a trigger to potentially ride a correction down to targets below $3022. Stay tuned—this analysis will be updated soon!
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EUR/USD Technical Analysis – Potential Reversal SetupThe EUR/USD 1-hour chart displays a recent downtrend with a series of lower highs and lower lows, forming a bearish market structure. The Harmonic patterns such as the Bat suggest potential areas of reversal, aligning with Fibonacci retracement levels.
A Change of Character (ChoCh) at the latest low (XA 0.7872) signals a possible shift in trend. The presence of bullish reaction points, marked by green triangles and yellow circles, suggests buying pressure is increasing. Additionally, the projected upward trendlines indicate possible price targets at 1.08476 (T1) and 1.08885 (T2) .
The oscillators at the bottom indicate oversold conditions, reinforcing the likelihood of a bullish correction. However, confirmation via price action and volume is necessary before entering long positions. A break above key resistance levels would further validate the upside potential.
EURUSD consolidation ahead of US & EU tariff discussion Trend Overview:The EUR/USD currency pair remains in a bullish trend, supported by a prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action suggests a corrective pullback towards a newly formed support zone, previously a resistance level.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Levels:
1.0755 – Previous resistance turned support, key level for potential bounce.
1.0700 – Secondary support level if 1.0755 fails.
1.0600 – Stronger support in case of extended retracement.
Resistance Levels:
1.0914 – Initial resistance level on the upside.
1.1013 – Next target if bullish momentum continues.
1.1070 – Long-term resistance and key breakout point.
Market Sentiment & Price Action:The recent corrective pullback aligns with normal market fluctuations within an uptrend. A bullish bounce from the 1.0755 support level could trigger an upside move, targeting the 1.0914 resistance level and potentially extending towards 1.1013 and 1.1070 over a longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 1.0755 support, accompanied by a daily close below this level, would weaken the bullish outlook. This could lead to further downside pressure, potentially testing the 1.0700 level, with an extended decline towards 1.0600 if selling pressure intensifies.
Conclusion:The EUR/USD pair remains in a bullish structure as long as the 1.0755 support holds. A successful bounce from this level would reinforce the uptrend, targeting higher resistance zones. However, a decisive break below 1.0755 and a daily close under this level could shift sentiment bearish, leading to further downside retracement.
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US PMI Strength Drives Dollar HigherEUR/USD is trading at $1.08 as the U.S. dollar strengthens on solid U.S. services PMI data, which signaled economic resilience and pushed yields higher. Confidence in the dollar was further enabled by Trump’s remarks suggesting not all April 2 tariffs will be implemented, with possible exemptions for some countries. Meanwhile, the euro is under pressure as its recent rally fades and Eurozone economic signals weaken, keeping EUR/USD on a downward path driven by dollar strength.
Key resistance is at 1.0860, followed by 1.0950 and 1.1000. Support stands at 1.0730, with further levels at 1.0660 and 1.0600.
+250 pips EURUSD XABCD Short From Resistance ADVANCED🔸Hello traders, let's review the 12 hour chart for EURUSD. Strong gains off the lows recently, however price getting overextended and expecting reversal later at/near PRZ/B.
🔸Speculative XABCD structure defined by point X 1140 point A 0240 point B 0935 point C 0425 point D/PRZ 1390 still pending. C also pending.
🔸Advanced short from point B targeting point C of the sequence.
Higher risk trade setup, use protective SL and adjust to PE at +50 pips.
🔸Recommended strategy for EUR traders: short sell rips / short sell
at market now, target is +250 pips or point C of the XABCD structure.
Later will update the setup for the BULLS for a potential ride to 1390.
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EURUSD Is Going Down! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.078.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.067 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Bears give the USD a break, EUR/USD pullback may not be overThe retracement higher for the US dollar is finally underway, which also shows further upside potential. And this is why I am wary of being long EUR/USD over the foreseeable future, even if I suspect it is poised to break to new highs in the coming weeks.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
EUR/USD 4H Analysis – Bearish Reversal Toward Key Demand Zone📊 EUR/USD 4H Analysis – Bearish Reversal Setup
🔸 Market Structure:
The chart indicates a Change of Character (CHOCH) at the recent high, signaling a possible shift in trend from bullish to bearish. The buy stop liquidity appears to have been grabbed before the price reversed, suggesting smart money may be positioning for a sell-off.
🔸 Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: Near 1.0900, where liquidity was swept.
Support Zone: Marked in purple between 1.0450 - 1.0500, acting as a potential demand area.
🔸 Price Action Expectation:
A minor pullback or retest of the CHOCH zone before further downside.
A bearish continuation towards the 1.0500 demand zone, aligning with liquidity objectives.
🔸 Trading Plan:
Bearish Bias: Potential short opportunities if price confirms lower highs.
Invalidation: A sustained break above 1.0900 would negate the bearish thesis.
Target: 1.0500 zone for potential long-term buy interest.
📉 Conclusion: If the price respects the CHOCH level and fails to reclaim liquidity above, sellers could dominate, driving EUR/USD lower toward the 1.0500 liquidity pool.
EUR/USD heading up - Europes time to shine!Looks like it's the Euro time to rally. With an unstable presidency and erratic party with America, it seems like Europe is finding it's feet and there is upside to come for it's currency.
Here are five reasons why and then we'll get into the technicals.
🇩🇪 German Stimulus Boosts Euro
Germany’s €500B spending plan lifts euro confidence.
📉 Weak U.S. Data Hurts Dollar
Poor U.S. data and uncertainty weigh on the greenback.
📈 Euro's Rally Momentum
EUR/USD sees strongest rally since 2015.
🏦 ECB Signals Fewer Cuts
ECB hints at fewer rate cuts, supporting euro strength.
🌍 Trade Tensions Easing
Tariff delays reduce USD demand, favoring the euro.
Let's look at the technicals
Inv Head and SHoulders
Price 20 and 200 MA
Target 1.1610
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EURUSD Forming the new long-term Top.The EURUSD pair continues to trade within a Bullish Megaphone pattern and is about to complete today the 4th straight red 1D candle.
This is technically a top formation as the 1D RSI went from overbought (above 70.00) to below 60.00. Technically a downtrend gets confirmed when the price breaks below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) so until it does, the probability for another short-term bounce there isn't small. This is what took place in September 2024.
Once the 1D MA50 breaks though, we expect a test of Support 1 at 1.03650, as it happened on October 23 2024.
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EURUSD: Bulls Will Push Higher
The analysis of the EURUSD chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to go up due to the rising pressure from the buyers.
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EURO - Price can break support level and continue to move downHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price reach and broke $1.0800 level and started to grow inside a rising channel pattern.
It reached the resistance level, bounced down, made correction to support and then rose up once again.
Euro touched $1.0920 level second time and turned around, after which exited from this rising channel.
Then price dropped fast and formed falling channel, breaking through $1.0920 level and reaching $1.0800 level.
After that it bounced up a little, but stayed inside the bearish channel without breaking resistance line.
Now price moves between support and resistance, but in my mind it can decline to $1.0715 support line.
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