EURUSD
ECB Signals More Action as Eurozone Outlook WaversECB Signals More Action as Eurozone Outlook Wavers
EUR/USD rebounded to near 1.1370 in Monday’s Asian session as the US Dollar weakened after legal shifts in tariff rulings. On Thursday, the US Court of Appeals backed Trump’s tariff policy, overturning Wednesday’s lower court decision that had declared his April 2 executive orders unlawful.
Trade tensions escalated as Trump announced plans to double tariffs on steel and aluminum imports to 50%. In response, the European Commission warned it would retaliate, despite both sides agreeing to accelerate talks after extending the EU tariff deadline to July 9.
Meanwhile, Eurozone economic concerns persist. ECB’s Klaas Knot cited inflation uncertainty, while François Villeroy de Galhau said policy normalization is likely not finished, suggesting more action ahead.
The key resistance is located at 1.1460 and the first support stands at 1.1300.
Skeptic | EUR/USD Update: New Triggers Unleashed!Hey everyone, Skeptic here!
EUR/USD is heating up after EURX consolidated above 1058.8 — a level I highlighted in Sunday’s watchlist — signaling potential longs across EUR pairs. 😎 Let’s break it down with a quick EUR/USD update.
After our trigger at 1.14183 fired, price climbed 33 pips, then pulled back to retest the breakout level. No fakeout this time — that zone is now acting as solid support.
👀 What’s the new trigger?
You've got a few playbook options here depending on your trading style:
Reaction traders: Watch for a strong bullish reaction candle at support.
Momentum traders: Patience pays — wait for an indecision candle to resolve.
Breakout traders: Keep an eye on a clean break above 1.14440.
Shorts? Not yet. Major and minor trends are still bullish, so fading the move isn’t ideal right now.
📝 Quick note: I’m already in a position after the 1.14183 breakout. Still watching EUR/USD closely, especially with DXY nearing a key support at 98.683 — a break there could spark sharp, sustained moves and juicy R/R setups.
As always: No FOMO. No hype. Just reason.
Stay sharp, manage your risk, and let’s grow together! 🤍
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this recap sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost — it helps a lot! Got a pair or setup you want me to break down next? Drop it in the comments. Thanks for sticking around — keep trading smart! ✌️
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 2, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is recovering its recent losses recorded during the previous session, trading around 1.13700 on Monday during Asian hours. The pair is strengthening amid a weakening US dollar (USD) after the US Court of Appeals ruled on Thursday to allow US President Donald Trump's tariffs to take effect.
On Wednesday, a panel of three judges at the International Trade Court in Manhattan said Trump had exceeded his authority by imposing broad import tariffs and ruled the orders issued on April 2 illegal.
On Friday, President Trump said at a rally in Pennsylvania that he plans to double import tariffs on steel and aluminum to increase pressure on global steel producers and escalate the trade war. “We are going to impose a 25 percent increase. We are going to raise tariffs on steel imported into the United States from 25 percent to 50 percent, which will further strengthen the steel industry in the United States,” he said, according to Reuters.
On Saturday, the European Commission (EC) warned that Europe is ready to respond to President Trump's plan to double tariffs on imported steel and aluminum, which would escalate the trade war between the world's two largest economic powers.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.13600, SL 1.13200, TP 1.14200
Week of 6/1/25: EU AnalysisEU 1h and 4h structure are bearish, but there was a large rejection of the daily CHoCH last week leading to large bullish price movement. Our 1h internal structure is bullish, so we will follow that trend for now.
Major news:
PMI - Monday
PMI/ADP NFP - Wed
Unemployment Claims - Thurs
NFP/Unemployment rate - Friday
EURUSD is in a Downside DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today EURUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
EURUSD is still trading below a key resistance zone, showing signs of weakness and lack of strong bullish momentum. At this stage, it seems unlikely that the pair will break above the resistance in the short term.
We expect a downward correction toward the specified support levels, before any potential resumption of the uptrend.
Despite short-term weakness, our long-term outlook remains bullish, and this pullback could offer a better entry opportunity in line with the broader trend.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
GBP/USD Daily Chart – Approaching Key Reversal
📉 GBP/USD Daily Chart – Approaching Key Reversal Zone
Price has tapped into the major selling zone (around 1.38000), aligned with long-term trendline resistance.
🔻 Bearish Outlook Active:
If this level holds, we may see a rejection and a drop toward the demand zone near 1.29000–1.30000.
⚠️ Short-term buyers beware — this could be the last push before reversal.
💡 Watch for confirmation candles or a break of the minor support (yellow zone) to validate the move.
🗣️ Do you see a sell setup here, or are bulls still in control? Drop your view below 👇
#GBPUSD #ForexAnalysis #GreenFireForex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #ForexTrading
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What's your view ( scenerio 1 or 2 )
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📈 EUR/USD Weekly Chart – Wave 4 in Progress?
Wave 3 looks complete and price is now hovering in a key correction zone, hinting at the start of Wave 4.
Two possible paths are unfolding:
🔴 Scenario 1: Shallow Wave 4 correction → breakout to Wave 5, targeting 1.16667 and beyond.
🔵 Scenario 2: Deeper Wave 4 correction → retest of demand zone near 1.08, followed by a strong Wave 5 rally.
🧠 Elliott Wave traders, it’s time to stay sharp!
The reaction near the mid-box and support zone could define the next major move for the Euro.
💬 What’s your bias here — is this the start of Wave 5 or a fakeout before a deeper drop?
Comment your view 👇
#EURUSD #ElliottWave #ForexWeekly #GreenFireForex #WaveAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand
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How to Secure Prop Firm Funding: Proven Strategies to Pass1️⃣ How to Secure Prop Firm Funding: Proven Strategies to Pass Challenges 📈
Introduction ✨
Securing prop firm funding opens the door to trading substantial capital and achieving financial freedom. However, passing these evaluations requires meticulous strategy, disciplined execution, and smart risk management. This article provides actionable strategies, optimized trading setups, and insights on leveraging AI to ensure you successfully navigate and pass your prop firm challenges.
Understanding Prop Firm Evaluations 📊🔍
Prop firm challenges typically include specific trading objectives:
💰 Profit targets (8–10% within 30 days)
⛔ Daily loss limits (usually 5%)
📉 Maximum drawdown limits (typically 10%)
💡 Tip: Print the rules and display them at your workspace to avoid rule breaches.
Focus on One High-Probability Strategy 📌🎯
Consistently profitable traders use one rigorously tested strategy. For example, a popular setup:
🔄 Liquidity Sweep: Wait for price to clear stops above recent highs or lows.
⚡ Market Structure Break (BOS): Enter after price breaks and confirms a new trend.
📥 Entry: Order block (OB) or Fair Value Gap (FVG).
Example Trade:
🔗 Pair: EUR/USD
🔽 Entry: OB after sweep at 1.0800
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): 1.0820
🎯 Take Profit (TP): 1.0740
📊 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): 3:1
Start Small, Think Big 🧠🌱
Initially, risk only 0.5% per trade to maintain psychological comfort and buffer against drawdowns. Increase risk gradually once you have a profit cushion.
Leverage AI Insights 🤖📊
Modern traders enhance decision-making using AI-driven tools:
🟢 AI indicators for real-time liquidity detection
🔵 Predictive analytics for entry confirmations
Efficient Risk Management 🛡️⚖️
Set daily and weekly risk limits. For instance:
⏳ Maximum daily risk: 1%
📅 Weekly drawdown cap: 3%
Practical Example:
💵 If trading a $100,000 account, never risk more than $1,000 in a single day.
Journaling for Improvement 📒📝
Record every trade’s rationale, execution details, and outcome. This fosters accountability and improvement.
Conclusion ✅
Securing prop funding isn't about luck but disciplined, strategic execution. Optimize your trading, leverage technology, and strictly manage risk to ensure long-term success. 🏆
Final BTCUSD update..Good day traders, here is my final update on BTCUSD and I like how price has been respecting our PD arrays. Keep in mind traders price moving in waves and what again😂😂🏃🏾♂️, point is today is the last trading day for the week and my thoughts is that we can expect BTCUSD to start going higher today and tomorrow maybe till Tuesday …sorry I’m being too sure but if you focus on time and price you start to KNOW(ledge) things or maybe I should say secrets?!🤨🤔
I always expect price to manipulate higher if my bias is shorts, ICT’s power of 3 works wonders when it come to this thought process.
Watch how price reacts to the FVG where price is trading now, it’s not a signal just watch out price moves always from it for the rest of today.
We only going high to shoot lower…keep that in mind!!🤯
EURUSD Weekly Analysis (MMC) – Bearish Path to Target Zone📈 Market Narrative – Understanding EURUSD's Path with MMC
The EURUSD pair is currently navigating a critical phase in its macro price structure, aligning closely with the Mind Market Concept (MMC) methodology — a trading framework rooted in institutional price behavior, psychological arcs, and structured market mapping.
This chart reveals a story of accumulation, expansion, manipulation, and rebalancing — classic smart money behavior playing out on the higher timeframe. The current move is not just price action — it's a strategic delivery of price toward imbalance, guided by volume vacuums, liquidity zones, and engineered traps.
🧩 Phase-by-Phase Technical Analysis
🔷 1. Arc Accumulation Zone – The Beginning of Institutional Positioning
In the latter half of 2024, EURUSD entered a rounded arc formation, which marks a textbook accumulation phase.
This "bowl-like" curve represents gradual absorption of sell-side liquidity by institutions.
The lows became progressively higher, indicating demand stepping in while supply weakened.
Volume during this time was suppressed — another smart money tactic to accumulate without causing price spikes.
📌 Why This Matters: Arcs often precede explosive breakouts, particularly when aligned with time-based liquidity cycles (quarterly/yearly rebalancing). This zone gave birth to the breakout that followed.
🔷 2. The Central Zone – Consolidation Before Expansion
Once the arc base was complete, price broke out impulsively, then pulled back into what is labeled the Central Zone.
This zone acts as a mid-range liquidity pocket — where orders are stacked and reaccumulation occurs.
It also became the launchpad for the final markup wave that tapped the previous target around 1.1250.
🔍 This move was the realignment phase, where smart money took price above key highs to:
Hit their internal targets.
Trap breakout traders.
Induce euphoria before distribution.
🔷 3. Major BOS – Break of Macro Structure
The breakout through 1.1150–1.1200 confirmed a Major Break of Structure (BOS).
This BOS acted as a signal for:
Trend reversal confirmation for many retail traders.
A "green light" to buy — which was anticipated and exploited by institutions.
But here’s the twist:
Price rejected the SR Interchange Zone (support turned resistance), signaling that the breakout was engineered to trap liquidity.
🔷 4. Distribution & Manipulation – The Trap Layer
The chart clearly shows two critical supply areas:
Minor Resistance (around 1.1400s)
Major Resistance (around 1.1550–1.1600s)
Price briefly approached these zones but failed to hold, forming a complex distribution range.
This is where:
Smart money distributed their long positions.
Retail buyers got trapped.
Volume increased during sell-side preparation.
📌 The rejection from these zones sent price into a clean markdown, forming lower highs and confirming the bearish structure mapping.
🔷 5. Structural Mapping – Downtrend Control
Price action is now clearly in a bearish delivery phase, as shown by:
Lower highs & lower lows
Repeated rejections from minor resistance
Large red candles with little retracement (showing momentum)
This phase is often misunderstood by retail traders. But within MMC, it’s identified as the delivery to imbalance — a controlled descent into unmitigated demand.
🔷 6. Target + Reversal Zone – Where the Real Opportunity Begins
We are approaching the most important area on the chart:
🟡 Target + Reversal Zone (around 1.0950–1.1000)
This zone is not randomly drawn:
It's the origin of the arc breakout, a high-volume node.
It's a discounted price level where institutions may re-engage.
It’s untapped demand from the earlier accumulation — meaning no major reaction has occurred here yet.
If price slows down here, forms a liquidity sweep, or gives a bullish engulfing on the lower timeframe — this could be the reversal point.
But:
If price slices through with strong momentum, it may signal macro weakness, opening room to test the 1.0800 region.
🧭 Trade Plan & Execution Guide
Setup Type Actionable Guidance
📉 Bearish Pullback Entry Short entries near 1.1300–1.1350 with stop above minor resistance
🟡 Demand Reversal Watch Wait for reaction in 1.0950–1.1000, assess volume & candle response
📊 Structure Confirmation Use lower timeframe BOS for entry alignment
🛡️ Risk Management Keep risk below 1% per trade, avoid chasing mid-zone prices
💬 Key Takeaways
EURUSD has completed its accumulation → expansion → manipulation cycle.
We are now entering the rebalancing phase, where the market returns to fair value (demand).
Smart money flow is visible — from engineered highs to controlled selloffs.
The Target + Reversal Zone will likely dictate the next macro direction.
Bitcoin at a Crossroads: 110k RejectionAfter the powerful rally that began in the last quarter of 2024, Bitcoin is now at a critical market juncture. The price has once again reached the 106,000–110,000 USD zone, an area that already showed strong signs of distribution back in February and March 2025. This isn’t just a typical resistance level—it’s a psychologically loaded zone, marked by previous highs and repeated selling pressure.
In May, the monthly candle revealed a clear rejection from this zone: a prominent upper wick and a bearish body, signaling the bulls' struggle to sustain new highs. This behavior suggests the beginning of a profit-taking phase or, more likely, a medium-term consolidation.
The picture becomes even more complex when we look at the COT Report dated May 27, 2025. Non-commercial institutional traders—speculative funds, hedge funds, and portfolio managers—have significantly increased their short positions, now exceeding 26,800 contracts. Meanwhile, long positions are hovering around 24,500, resulting in a net bearish exposure. The message is clear: smart money isn’t buying the breakout—it's selling into it.
Seasonality analysis reinforces this narrative. Historically, June tends to be a weak month for Bitcoin, often followed by renewed strength in the next quarter. The 2025 seasonal curve has mirrored the bullish pattern of 2021 up to May, but now—consistent with historical patterns—is showing signs of slowing. This supports the idea that the market might need a breather before potentially rallying again in Q3.
From a technical standpoint, the key levels are well defined. The 95,000–97,000 USD area is the first dynamic support zone, where the price might find short-term relief. However, the more significant support lies between 82,000 and 85,000 USD—this is the origin of the current rally and aligns with the old breakout structure. A return to this level would represent a healthy and natural correction within a still structurally bullish long-term context.
In summary, the current outlook calls for caution. Momentum is fading, seasonality is unfavorable, and institutional players are trimming long exposure while adding to shorts. Until the price can consolidate above 110,500 USD, the dominant scenario remains a corrective pullback, with interim targets at 95k and potential drops toward the 85k zone.
However, if the market surprises with a strong weekly close above the highs, it could pave the way for a new leg up toward the 125,000–135,000 USD range—potentially fueled by macro catalysts such as ETF inflows, Fed narratives, or broader adoption.
EURUSD: weekly focus on jobs dataThe previous week started with US macro data related to Durable Goods Orders. This indicator surprisingly dropped by -6,3% in April compared to the previous month. Although negative, the indicator was better from the market estimate of -6,8%. The second estimate of US GDP Growth rate for Q1 was -0,2%, and was a bit better from the market estimate of -0,3%. Fed's favorite inflation gauge, PCE data, was posted during the previous week. The PCE in April increased by 0,1%, which was in line with market anticipation. Core PCE was also standing at the level of 0,1% for the month. At the same time, Personal Income was higher by 0,8% in April, highly above forecasted 0,4%, while Personal Spending was higher by 0,2% for the month, and in line with market estimate. The week was closed with University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment. Final indicator level for May was 52,2, modestly above market expectation of 51. The five years inflation expectations were also modestly decreased to the level of 4,2%, which was below market estimate of 4,6%.
The GfK Consumer Confidence in Germany continues to move in a negative territory in June with the level of -19,9, a bit higher from market consensus at -19. The Unemployment rate in Germany in May remained unchanged from the previous month, at the level of 6,3%, and in line with market expectations. The Retail Sales in Germany in April dropped by -1,1% on a monthly basis, bringing the indicator to 2,3% when compared with the previous year. Preliminary Inflation estimate for Germany in May stands at 0,1% for the month and 2,1% on a yearly basis.
The currency pair moved in a mixed manner during the previous week. The highest weekly level at 1,1414 marked the start of the week, however, eurusd is ending the week lower, at the level of 1,1348. Still the lowest weekly level was shortly touched at Thursday's trading session at the level of 1,1213. The RSI moved between levels of 53 and 59, without a clear indication that the market is heading toward either side. The MA50 continues to diverge from MA200, without an indication of a potential change of course in the coming period.
The week ahead brings some important news, which the market is currently following with high anticipation. The US jobs data will be in focus in the week ahead, including the Non-farm payrolls for May. This might bring some higher volatility in case that the official data are not in line with market anticipation. On the other hand, the ECB meeting is scheduled for the week ahead, where ECB members will make a decision whether to cut interest rates for another time during this year. As per Reuters pool, there is a high probability that the ECB will make another cut at the June 5th meeting, by 25bps, bringing the facility rate to the level of 2%. This day might be another volatile day on the market. As per current charts, there is probability for eurusd to test 1,1250 short term support level in the week ahead, and this would be the level to watch. If it holds, then the eurusd will revert back with high probability to reach levels above the previous week's highs at 1,14. In this case, the currency pair will head to test 1,15 levels for one more time, but it might occur in more than one week. For the week ahead, the 1,14 resistance would be the level to watch. Current charts are showing low probability that the short term support at 1,1250 will be breached to the downside. Just in case that this move occurs, then the next level to watch will be 1,11. However, such a move currently has a low probability of occurrence.
Important news to watch during the week ahead are:
EUR: Inflation rate in EuroZone, flash for May, ECB rate decision, ECB Press conference, Trade Balance for Germany in April,
USD: ISM Manufacturing PMI for May, JOLTs Jobs Openings in April, ISM Services PMI for May, Non-farm Payrolls in May, Unemployment rate in May.
EUR/USD4H Bearish Trade Setup Supply Zone Rejection with 3:1 RRR🔷 Trend Overview
📈 Price was in a rising channel (trend line + support line).
❌ Channel broken on downside → potential trend reversal.
🟧 🔼 Supply Zone (Sell Area)
📍 Zone: 1.13707 – 1.14432
🟠 Price faced rejection here.
💡 Institutional selling likely in this zone.
🔥 This is the ideal short-entry area.
🟦 🔽 Entry Point
🎯 Entry: Around 1.13694
🧩 Sits just below supply zone = safer trigger.
✅ Wait for a bearish confirmation candle before entering.
🟨 Support Level
📉 Support Zone: ~1.13100 – 1.13400
📊 Recently broken with a strong bearish candle.
🧱 Used to act as a floor, now may act as resistance.
🟩 🎯 Target Point
✅ Take Profit: 1.10970
📎 Matches previous structure support.
💰 Lock in profits before the psychological level at 1.1100.
🟥 ⛔ Stop Loss
❌ Stop: 1.14419
📏 Placed above the supply zone for protection.
🛡️ Shields from false breakouts or spikes.
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR)
💡 Approx. 3:1 ✅
📉 Risk: ~70 pips
📈 Reward: ~270 pips
🔥 High-probability setup
📌 EMA (Exponential Moving Average – 70)
📍 EMA 70 at 1.13102
🔻 Price is below the EMA → favors bearish momentum
🧠 Pro Tips:
🔍 Watch for bearish engulfing or rejection candles at the entry zone.
🗓️ Be aware of major news events (ECB, Fed).
🧮 Adjust lot size for risk management (based on SL size).
✅ Summary:
🧩 Element 📊 Value
Trade Type 🔻 Short (Sell)
Entry Point 📌 1.13694
Stop Loss ⛔ 1.14419
Take Profit 🎯 1.10970
RRR ⚖️ ~3:1
Sentiment 📉 Bearish
EURUSD: Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis
and important supports and resistances for EURUSD
for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD 4H ELLIOTT WAVE COUNT – DOWNSIDE TARGET CONFIRMED!Good Morning, Traders,
I’m sharing my wave analysis for EURUSD with you. After completing its first five waves, it formed the A-B wave and is now expected to move into the C wave.
The target level for the C wave is currently 1.11838.
I meticulously prepare these analyses for you, and I sincerely appreciate your support through likes. Every like from you is my biggest motivation to continue sharing my analyses.
I’m truly grateful for each of you—love to all my followers
EUR-USD Bearish Bias! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD will soon hit a
Strong horizontal resistance
Level around 1.1420 so as
It is a strong level a local
Bearish pullback and a move
Down are to be expected
On Monday
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR_USD WILL FALL|SHORT|
✅EUR_USD is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 1.1425
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target
Below at 1.1310on Monday!
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPJPY update!!Good day traders, I’m back with yet another beautiful setup on GJ and I really wish we can all monitor how price plays out and learn more about price signature.
For this setup I’ll explain more about it after the fact because it’ll help me make my point clearer and easily understandable.
Yet another gift..🎁🧧
EURUSD Possible AnalysisEURUSD has been overall bullish with retracemets here and there. It has recently made a deep retracement that could be mistaken for a shift in market structure, while in reality it's just liquidity accumulation. Price recently shifted structure back to bullish on 4h timeframe where it preceded to break more structure before retracing to sweep liquidity below a low and tap a fvg in the process. It preceded to shift structure on the 1h time frame, breaking with a huge bullish candle symbolizing increase in bullish momentum. It is currently retracing towards an orderblock that was responsible for the break and could possibly retest it and fill the imbalance above it before it continues its bullish move up to take out the latest weak high.