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EURUSD

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Consolidation, Demand Zones✅ Daily Timeframe Insights: The EUR/USD has been consolidating between the 25% and 75% levels of its range. A potential upside continuation is expected if the demand zone at the bottom of the range holds. We’re eyeing a breakout of key levels for a bullish push. ✅ Weekly Timeframe Overview: The EUR/USD is poised to target the previous week's high, supported by a weekly structural shift. This aligns with a broader retracement from liquidity lows, indicating strong momentum for further upside in the short term. ✅ Key Levels to Watch: Resistance at 1.04670 (December high) is critical for further bullish confirmation. Immediate downside risk arises if the current demand zone fails to hold. ✅ Economic Impact: Today’s inflation data release will likely drive significant volatility. Traders should prepare for rapid price action and adjust strategies accordingly. ⚙️ Technical Tools & Key Concepts Used: Liquidity zones Supply & demand analysis Fibonacci retracements (0.5 and 0.618 levels) Weekly and daily fractal structure shifts 🚀 Forecast Summary: While the bullish trend remains intact, news events like inflation figures could create temporary volatility or even reversals. For now, EUR/USD’s demand zones remain in control, favoring upside continuation. A break below key levels would signal short-term bearish opportunities. Tags: #EURUSD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #TradingStrategy
Long
by theunscriptedacademy
EUR/USD Steady as Markets Await Key US Inflation ReportEUR/USD trades near 1.0450, with the dollar index steady at 108 on Wednesday, as markets await a key inflation report. January CPI is expected to show core inflation rising to 0.3% from 0.2% MoM, while annual inflation may ease to 3.1% from 3.2%. Fed Chair Powell told Congress the Fed isn’t rushing to cut rates, citing economic strength and inflation risks. He warned that premature easing could stall inflation progress, while delays could harm growth. Markets also assess the impact of Trump’s latest tariff hike. From a technical perspective, the first resistance level is at 1.0400, with further resistance levels at 1.0460 and 1.0515 if the price breaks above. On the downside, the initial support is at 1.0275, followed by additional support levels at 1.0220 and 1.0180.
by ChartMage
EURUSD Is Going Up! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 1.032. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 1.034 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
EURUSD 12 Feb 2025 W7 - Intraday Analysis - CPI, Powell & TariffThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 12 Feb 2025 W7 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment In my Weekly Analysis, tariffs continue to dominate the narrative, yet market reactions have become the primary focus. The critical question is whether investors have grown accustomed to tariff-related news—leading to muted responses—or if the persistent tariff war rhetoric will trigger renewed market anxiety. Notably, Powell’s testimony yesterday failed to offer any fresh insights; however, there is hope that today’s session might shed some light on future policy directions. Additionally, the USD’s weakness observed at the close of trading yesterday appears to have been driven more by reports of a territorial swap in Ukraine’s peace deal—and possibly an initial leak of the CPI data—rather than by Powell’s remarks. Today’s CPI report is expected to be a significant driver of market volatility. Investors are eagerly anticipating softer CPI numbers, which could encourage the Fed to consider not only an earlier rate cut but potentially two cuts this year, contrasting with the current market consensus of just one. While tariffs are clearly contributing to upward inflationary pressures and prompting a cautious stance from the Fed, the immediate volatility is likely to stem from the CPI data. The market will be closely watching whether the tariffs are being employed as a negotiating tactic—or if they signal an intentional escalation towards a trade war. Markets face a tug-of-war between CPI-driven rate hopes and tariff-induced risks. While CPI may spark a tactical rally if soft, tariffs remain the swing factor – any escalation (e.g., new retaliatory measures) would overshadow short-term data. Position for choppy trading until Trump’s tariff strategy crystallizes. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Reached Swing Extreme Demand 🔹Swing Continuation 2️⃣ 🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH. 🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios: Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal) Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal) 🔹The reaction from the recent 4H Demand Zone formed a Bullish CHoCH and a fresh Demand zone where price can pullback to after tapping the recent 4H Supply Zone. 3️⃣ 🔹Expectations is set to Bearish to target the Weak INT Low as long LTFs turning Bearish. 15m Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bullish 🔹At Swing Premium 2️⃣ 🔹With yesterday PA, price failed to continue Bearish and created a Bullish i-BOS. 🔹Price reached the 4H supply as anticipated and mitigated the 15m Supply within the 4H to maybe initiate the Bullish INT Structure pullback phase and if the swing is going to continue Bearish there is a high probability to target the Strong INT Low. 🔹The current Bullish i-BOS aligns with the 4H Swing where we have also a high probability that we can target the 15m Strong Swing High. 🔹With the inconsistency of Time frames alignments, a clear direction is difficult to identify which requires a sit back and watch till we have a clear direction. 3️⃣ 🔹From an intraday perspective, expectations are set to Bearish to facilitate the Bullish INT Structure pullback. 🔹Today’s CPI, Powell and Tariffs talks will have high volatility that could direct me tomorrow or next week for a clearer direction move.
by Amr-Sadek
2
EURUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce OffBased on the H4 chart, price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.03623, which aligns with a pullback support level. A strong bullish reaction from this level could drive price toward our take profit at 1.04609, aligning with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and overlap resistance. The stop loss is placed at 1.02627, below a key support zone, ensuring room for market fluctuations High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
EUR/USD Bullish Outlook Following Bat Pattern CompletionThe EUR/USD 1-hour chart displays a completed Bat harmonic pattern, with price reversing near the 0.886 Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting a potential bullish move. Key trade levels include a support zone at 1.02911 and targets at 1.03394 (T1) and 1.03784 (T2). Current consolidation above the pattern's completion point indicates potential continuation to the upside, with confirmation needed via a breakout above the highlighted zone. A stop-loss below 1.02911 is advised to manage risk. A break below this level would invalidate the bullish setup.
Long
by BeaucoupPips
Bearish Flag & Quasimodo Patterns—Is EURUSD Set to Drop?First, let's have a Fundamental Analysis of EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ). The EURUSD rate is influenced by several key fundamental factors : 1. Divergent Economic Indicators : United States : Recent data indicates a robust labor market, with job growth maintaining momentum. This strength supports the U.S. dollar, as investors anticipate potential monetary policy tightening by the Federal Reserve to manage inflationary pressures. Eurozone : Conversely, the Eurozone faces economic challenges, including unexpected inflation acceleration and declining industrial production, particularly in Germany. These factors may constrain the European Central Bank's (ECB) ability to adjust interest rates, potentially weakening the euro. 2. Central Bank Policies : Federal Reserve (Fed) : The Fed's recent communications suggest a cautious approach to interest rate adjustments, balancing economic growth with inflation control. The prospect of maintaining or increasing rates could further bolster the U.S. dollar. European Central Bank (ECB) : The ECB is grappling with rising inflation amidst a struggling economy. This scenario complicates policy decisions, as increasing rates to combat inflation might hinder economic recovery, thereby exerting downward pressure on the euro. 3. Geopolitical Developments : The U.S. administration's recent tariff threats have introduced uncertainties in global trade. Such actions typically lead investors to seek safe-haven assets, benefiting the U.S. dollar due to its perceived stability. In summary, the EURUSD is currently experiencing downward pressure , driven by stronger U.S. economic performance, proactive Federal Reserve policies, and geopolitical factors favoring the U.S. dollar. Conversely, the Eurozone's economic difficulties and the ECB's constrained policy options contribute to a weaker euro. These dynamics suggest a potential continuation of the EURUSD's bearish trend in the near term . -------------------------------------- Now, let's analyze the EURUSD chart in terms of Technical Analysis . EURUSD is moving near the Resistance zone($1.039-$1.033) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , 100_SMA(4-hour) , Monthly Pivot Point , and Resistance lines . Each of these items is considered a good resistance for EURUSD . In terms of Price Action , if we look at the EURUSD chart in the 1-hour time frame , we can see the Bearish Quasimodo Pattern , which is one of the reasons for EURUSD's fall . Educational Note : The Bearish Quasimodo Pattern is a price action reversal pattern that signals a potential downtrend. It forms when the price creates a higher high (HH) followed by a lower low (LL) and a lower high (LH), breaking the market structure. From the point of view of Classical Technical Analysis , it seems that EURUSD has managed to form a Bearish Flag Continuation Pattern . It is a good sign for the continuation of the downward trend of EURUSD . Educational Note : The Bearish Flag Pattern is a continuation pattern that signals the continuation of a downtrend. It consists of a sharp downward move (flagpole) followed by a consolidation phase in a small upward-sloping channel (flag). A breakdown from the flag confirms the pattern, indicating further price decline. According to the theory of Elliott waves , according to the volume of the previous movement, it seems that EURUSD is completing wave 4 , and it is possible that we are still in the main wave 3 even with a further fall. I expect EURUS D to fall to at least the Support zone($1.0285-$1.0255) after entering the PRZ or after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel of the bearish flag pattern, and if this zone is broken , we should expect to fall to the next Support zone($1.0222-$1.0175) and Monthly Support(1) . Note: If EURUSD touches $1.03700, we can expect more dumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
9
Could the Fiber reverse from here?The price is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.0354 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.0420 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 778.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 1.0263 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that line sup with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
EURUSD bearish below 1.0400 levelThe EURUSD currency pair price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. The key trading level is at 1.0400, which is 25th Feb swing high. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 1.0400 level could target the downside support at 1.0260 followed by the 1.0210 and 1.0180 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above the 1.0400 resistance and a daily close above that level could trigger further rallies higher and a retest of the 1.0440 resistance level followed by 1.0500 and 1.0560. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EUR/CAD Bullish Momentum Rising Channel Points to 1.5000 Target EUR/CAD is trading at approximately 1.4800. Your target price of 1.5000 indicates an anticipated upward movement of 200 pips, aligning with a bullish outlook within the context of a rising channel pattern. Technical analysis on the daily chart suggests a bullish bias, as EUR/CAD continues to trade within an ascending channel pattern. This pattern is characterized by higher highs and higher lows, indicating sustained upward momentum. The pair is approaching the upper boundary of this channel, suggesting potential for further gains toward your target price. On the 4-hour timeframe, EUR/CAD is trading within a rising channel as it approaches a confluence area. This consolidation pattern increases the likelihood of a bearish outcome, as traders can wait for the break and retest of the trendline support of the channel pattern to confirm a bearish entry. In summary, the EUR/CAD pair is exhibiting bullish momentum within a rising channel pattern, with technical indicators supporting a potential move toward the 1.5000 target. Traders should monitor key support and resistance levels, as well as fundamental factors influencing the Euro and Canadian Dollar, to make informed trading decisions.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
USD/JPY Bullish Outlook Can the Pair Hit 160.00? Key Levels USD/JPY is trading at approximately 152.50. Your target price of 160.00 suggests an anticipated upward movement of 750 pips. This projection aligns with a bullish outlook, potentially driven by support and resistance dynamics. Recent technical analyses indicate that USD/JPY has tested the 152.55 resistance level and experienced a bearish pullback, maintaining a negative outlook in the near term. Analysts anticipate a retest of the 151.05 support level, with a potential decline toward 149.80 if this support is breached. The pair is currently trading near its 200-day EMA, a critical indicator for trend direction. A decisive move above this level could signal a continuation of the upward trend toward your target. However, failure to break above may result in consolidation or a potential downturn. Key support levels to monitor include 151.12 and 148.42, while resistance levels are identified at 152.77, 154.39, and 155.52. A sustained break above these resistance levels would bolster the bullish case toward the 160.00 target. Conversely, a decline below the support levels could invalidate the bullish scenario In summary, while the USD/JPY pair exhibits potential for an upward move toward 160.00, traders should closely monitor key support and resistance levels, as well as the 200-day EMA, to confirm the bullish trend. Staying informed about fundamental factors influencing the USD/JPY pair will also be crucial in making informed trading decisions.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
EUR/USD Trading AnalysisEuro: Market Focus on Europe The euro remains under pressure against the dollar as the announcement of steel tariffs over the weekend dealt an initial blow to the European Union. Europe is bracing for possible new tariffs on industries such as autos. As the EU's tariff levels are relatively low, the overall impact of "reciprocal" tariffs may be limited. But more worrying is that the U.S. Commerce Department plans to release a report on the causes of the U.S. trade deficit in April, which is expected to pave the way for broader tariff measures. Regardless of today's tariff news, the current interest rate differential still supports EUR/USD hovering around 1.03, while weakening the momentum of a rebound. As discussed by our interest rate strategy team, the eurozone's interest rate differential with the United States is likely to remain high, if not widen, in the coming months. In addition, rising natural gas prices may also continue to put pressure on the euro. Before the new tariffs are introduced, the euro may fall further to the 1.0250-1.0260 range, or even lower.
by niwmniwm
+350 pips Advanced BUY/HOLD GBPCAD XABCD swing trade setup BULLS🔸Hello traders, let's review the 4 hour chart for GBPCAD. Speculative XABCD in progress, with PRZ/D set at 8360, so expecting more losses in GBPCAD before reversal from point C. 🔸XABCD structure is defined by point X at 8200, point A at 7510, point B at 8080, point C at 7630, point D/PRZ at 8360, currently most points validated, point C/PRZ still pending, so traders should wait until we hit C before buying. 🔸Recommended strategy for GBPCAD traders: wait for pullback/correction to complete at point C near 7630, buy/hold, SL 75 pips, TP1 +350 pips TP2 +700 pips. BUY/HOLD at point C/PRZ at 7630. swing trade setup. good luck! 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Long
by ProjectSyndicate
27
GBP/NZD: Bearish Outlook Confirmed by Head and ShouldersThe GBP/NZD exchange rate at NZ$2.1922 reflects a persistent downtrend, confirming recent weakness in the British Pound against major counterparts. The formation of a head and shoulders pattern on the daily chart suggests further downside risk, with the pair testing key support levels. Market fluctuations between NZ$2.1754 and NZ$2.22 highlight ongoing volatility driven by external economic factors, including U.S. tariffs and mixed macroeconomic data from both the UK and New Zealand. The Pound remains under pressure due to inflation concerns and lackluster GDP growth, while the NZD struggles to capitalize on the Pound’s weakness amid subdued domestic data. The technical setup and broader macroeconomic landscape signal a potential continuation of bearish momentum for GBP/NZD.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
1