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EURUSD

EURUSD - Futher Downside ExpectedEURUSD is heading towards lower level to complete it's Wave 3. EMA 50 is currently holding as a resistance and unless the news comes against Dollar, we should expect the above move to complete. For entries, please wait for at least two candle reversals on 5/15M at the specified level and apply appropriate risk management. If you found this analysis helpful, please consider boosting and following for more updates. Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
Short
by MarketsPOV
1
EURUSD - 4hrs ( Buy Trade Target Range 250 PIP ) 🟢 Pair Name :EUR/USD Time Frame : 4hrs Chart / Close Scale Type : Large Scale ------ 🟢 Key Technical / Direction ( Long ) ——————————— Bullish Reversal 1.06100 Reasons - Major Turn level / D - Visible range lvn - Reversal Zone - Inner Choch - Quarter low Area - Fibo Golden - Counter Trend line Bullish Reversal 1.08600 Area Reasons - Major Turn level - Visible Range Hvn - Fixed Range Hvn - Pattern upper Band - Choch Zone
Long
by GentleGoldenEngine
2
EUR/USD Outlook: Positive Start Amid Market Anticipation of CPI As I write this article, the EUR/USD pair is kicking off the London session on a positive note, currently trading at 1.0623. However, caution prevails as traders await the release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for October, scheduled for publication at 13:30 GMT. The forthcoming CPI report is anticipated to reveal an uptick in annual headline inflation, expected to rise to 2.6% from September’s 2.4%. Meanwhile, the core CPI, which excludes the more volatile prices of food and energy, is projected to experience a steady increase of 3.3%. This inflation data is set to sway market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's (Fed) potential monetary policy actions in December. The market currently expects a 25 basis point cut in interest rates, bringing the target range down to 4.25%-4.50%, as indicated by the CME FedWatch tool. Nevertheless, the probability of this cut has decreased slightly, falling from 70% to 62% over the past week. Investors appear to be recalibrating their expectations, anticipating a more positive economic outlook for the US and heightened price pressures under the upcoming administration of President-elect Donald Trump. From a technical perspective, the market has entered a weekly demand zone (link provided below), which might facilitate a price rebound. The Commitment of Traders (COT) report indicates that while retail investors remain bearish, institutional investors—referred to as 'smart money'—are adopting a bullish stance, albeit with a degree of caution. Our forecasts suggest a possible bullish trend extending into mid-January. For now, we will await today’s news before considering any long positions. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
by FOREXN1
1
EURUSD - markets are waiting for the CPI!The EURUSD currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its medium-term descending channel. In case of an upward correction to the release of the CPI index today, we can see the supply zone and sell within those zones with the appropriate risk reward. The placement of this currency pair in the specified demand zone will provide us with the opportunity to buy it. According to sources, the United Kingdom and the European Union have decided to intensify their efforts to draft and implement a joint defense treaty in response to Donald Trump’s victory in the U.S. elections. Meanwhile, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz emphasized the importance of close relations with the United States and insisted on deepening EU-U.S. cooperation, particularly in trade. He stated, “If the Trump administration decides to impose tariffs on the EU, we have both the authority and the capacity to respond accordingly.” Robert Holzmann, Governor of the Austrian Central Bank and a member of the European Central Bank’s Governing Council, recently spoke with the newspaper Kleine Zeitung about the possibility of a rate cut in the December meeting. He noted that currently, there is no reason to avoid a rate cut, but this does not mean it will definitely happen. Holzmann stressed that the final decision will be made after receiving the latest forecasts and economic data in December, adding, “There is currently nothing opposing a rate cut, but that does not mean it will automatically take place.” In other developments, Japanese investors in September recorded their highest purchase of German government bonds since 2018, while continuing to avoid French bonds due to concerns over France’s financial situation. According to Japan’s balance of payments data, released on Monday, Japanese investors acquired a net 859.6 billion yen ($5.6 billion) of German bonds in September. Japanese funds also sold French government bonds for the fifth consecutive month, marking the longest selling streak since 2022. Today’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, the first key U.S. economic data post-election, has garnered market attention. While inflation data has been of lesser significance in recent months, this report may impact trading sentiment, especially if the downward inflation trend faces setbacks. The monthly core inflation rate is expected to come in at around 0.30 percent, while the overall monthly inflation is expected at approximately 0.21 percent. Additionally, core annual inflation is likely to hold steady at 3.3 percent, while the overall annual rate could rise to about 2.6 percent. In the absence of surprises, today’s report is not expected to trigger significant market reactions; however, any upward surprises may have a larger impact. Currently, there is about a 63 percent probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut in December. Barclays Bank now forecasts only one 25-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve next year, a shift from its previous forecast of three such cuts in 2025. This adjustment follows recent developments, including Donald Trump’s election as U.S. president and the latest meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs has updated its own projections for the Fed’s monetary policies next year, expecting the U.S. central bank to initiate quarterly rate cuts starting in March 2025.
Long
by Ali_PSND
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 13, 2024 EURUSDThe Euro-dollar pair remains under pressure on Wednesday, holding just above the 1.06000 level during Asian trading hours. This will mark the fourth consecutive day of losses for the Euro as the pair continues to experience downward momentum. The main factor contributing to the recent EUR/USD weakness is the strength of the US Dollar (USD). The implementation of US President-elect Donald Trump's proposed fiscal policy could stimulate investment, increase government spending and boost labor demand. However, such a surge in economic activity could also increase inflation risks. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari reiterated Tuesday that the central bank remains confident in its fight against transitory inflation, but cautioned that it is too early to declare complete victory. Kashkari also noted that the Fed will refrain from modeling the economic impact of Trump's policies until there is more clarity on the specifics of those policies. Traders are now focused on the upcoming release of U.S. inflation data on Wednesday for further guidance on future U.S. policy. The core consumer price index (CPI) for October is expected to rise 2.6% year-over-year and core CPI is expected to rise 3.3%. According to a recent study by the London School of Economics and Political Science, imposing 10 percent tariffs on all imported goods, as advocated by Trump, could have a 0.1 percent negative impact on European Union (EU) gross domestic product (GDP). This potential slowdown in economic growth in Europe could further reduce the Euro's momentum against the US Dollar. Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EURUSD M15 | Bullish Bounce off Based on the M15 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 1.0606, which is an overlap support close to 61.8% Fibo retracement. Our take profit will be at 1.0648, an overlap resistance. The stop loss will be at 1.0592 below the swing low support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
GOLD: Waiting for the CPI release!After the recent breakdown of the critical $2,600 threshold, Gold (XAU/USD) has regained ground, reclaiming this level despite the persistent strengthening of the US Dollar and rising US Treasury yields. However, technically, XAU/USD shows bearish potential: on the daily chart, the price has dropped further below the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), which is trending downward. Technical indicators, while slowing their descent, remain deep in negative territory, with no clear signs of reversal or interim support. Fundamentally, Gold is hovering near $2,600, awaiting significant US economic data and pressured by the strong demand for the Dollar, bolstered by political tensions in the US and Europe, including the escalating political crisis in Germany and weakness in Asian and European markets. Investors are closely watching for the October Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, due Wednesday, which could fuel further speculation on the future of US economic policy.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
EURUSD: Showing no signs of stopping before 1.04000.EURUSD is almost oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 32.891, MACD = -0.007, ADX = 29.222), which is a sign of a potential slowdown on the October sell-off but not of stopping. We believe that as the price is approaching the bottom LL of the Channel Down, it will slow down in an attempt to form sideways a bottom as during the weeks of September 25th - October 16th 2023. The ideal entry will be with the 1W RSI as close to being oversold (30.000) as possible and symmetric 1W MACD shows it can happen by December 9th. That means that we can continue shorting the pair, targeting the 1.1 Fibonacci extension (TP = 1.04000), which is where the bottom was priced on October 2nd 2023. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
2
EURUSD The Target Is UP! BUY! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on EURUSD and concluded the following: The market is trading on 1.0621 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 1.0722 Safe Stop Loss - 1.0566 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
2
EURUSD Will Grow! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD. Time Frame: 6h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.061. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.068 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
2
EURO - Price can bounce down from triangle to $1.0640 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Recently price entered to rising channel, where some time grew near resistance line and then fell below. After this, price in a short time rose to $1.0830 level, made correction, and then bounced up, breaking this level. Next, price continued to grow in channel, and even made a gap, after which rose to $1.0935 points and turned around. Price made downward impulse, breaking $1.0830 level and exiting from rising channel too, and started to trades in triangle. In triangle, price fell to support area, after which bounced up to resistance line, but soon fell back. Now, I expect that price can reach resistance line of triangle and then bounce down to $1.0640, breaking support level. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Short
by WalterMoon
14
XAU/USD : More Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)We can observe that after reaching $2699 again, gold faced selling pressure and has corrected down to $2659 so far. Considering that both the New York and Canadian markets are closed today, we are likely to see the next significant move tomorrow. Considering the current price trajectory, we need to see how gold reacts if it declines further to the $2649 level. If this level does not hold as support, there is a high likelihood that gold will first hit the $2643 target and then continue dropping to $2630 and $2616. THE MAIN IDEA : Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
18
gold 5 waves complete now abc correction in progress🔸Hello guys, today let's review 6hour price chart for gold. The 5 wave bullish impulse is complete now we are entering ABC correction. 🔸Wave1 was 2335/2472, Wave2 2472/2372, Wave3 2371/2653, Wave4 2653/2605, Wave5 2605/2770, now ABC correction, currently A in progress 2770/2525. 🔸Recommended strategy for gold traders: higher risk bounce play once A completes and transitions into B bounce, BUY/HOLD 2525 exit at 2678. Lower risk sell side setup: B completes near 2678 short sell into bounce exit at 2383 once C completes into liquidity order block zone. good luck traders! 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ProjectSyndicate
14