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EURUSD

Market Analysis: EUR/USD Dips FurtherMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Dips Further EUR/USD extended losses and traded below the 1.0775 support. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro struggled to clear the 1.0935 resistance and declined against the US Dollar. - There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.0680 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair failed to clear the 1.0935 resistance. The Euro started a fresh decline below the 1.0825 support against the US Dollar, as mentioned in the previous analysis. The pair declined below the 1.0775 support and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested the 1.0630 level. A low was formed at 1.0628 and the pair is now consolidating losses. The pair is showing bearish signs, and the upsides might remain capped. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.0825 swing high to the 1.0628 low at 1.0680. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.0680 and the 50-hour simple moving average. The next major resistance is near the 1.0725 zone. The main resistance sits near the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.0825 swing high to the 1.0628 low at 1.0775. An upside break above the 1.0775 level might send the pair toward the 1.0825 resistance. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 1.0935 level. On the downside, immediate support on the EUR/USD chart is seen near 1.0630. The next major support is near the 1.0600 level. A downside break below the 1.0600 support could send the pair toward the 1.0565 level. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2
EUR/USD: Trump's Fiscal PoliciesThe EUR/USD exchange rate is on a three-day decline, trading around 1.0640. Expected fiscal policies under the Trump administration could negatively impact the European economy, adding downward pressure on the Euro. Continued movement in this direction could push the pair toward its November low of 1.0628, and eventually, the yearly low in April around 1.0601. Pressure on EUR/USD has intensified as the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) recently surpassed the 105 mark, supported by expectations of an expansionary U.S. fiscal policy under President Trump. Simultaneously, German 10-year yields have fallen to monthly lows near the 2.30% zone, reflecting a context of Euro weakness. On the monetary policy front, the Federal Reserve recently cut the Fed Funds rate by 25 basis points, bringing it to a range between 4.75% and 5.00%. Although inflation is approaching the 2% target and the labor market shows signs of slowing, Fed Chair Jerome Powell has taken a cautious stance on December's policy decision, noting that economic uncertainty makes it challenging to provide clear guidance. In Europe, the ECB recently cut the deposit rate to 3.25% but has adopted a cautious approach to future cuts, awaiting upcoming economic data. Meanwhile, the Trump administration may introduce new tariffs on European and Chinese goods and promote expansionary fiscal policies, indirectly supporting inflation and providing the Fed with additional reasons to keep rates steady or pause further cuts. In terms of market positioning, net short positions in the Euro have decreased to 21.6K contracts but remain significant.
Short
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
EURUSD H1 | Bullish Bounce off Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently at our buy entry at 1.0642, a swing low support. Our take profit will be at 1.0683, a pullback resistance The stop loss will be placed below the 127.2% Fibo extesnios High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
1
EUR/USD Under Pressure Amid USD Strength and Eurozone ConcernsToday, the EUR/USD currency pair is under downward pressure due to a strengthening U.S. dollar. This decline follows recent market uncertainty, particularly as the U.S. political landscape has experienced volatility, and strong U.S. economic data has fueled demand for the dollar. The euro has also been weakened by economic concerns in Europe, including ongoing challenges in Germany, which have reduced investor confidence in the eurozone's stability. Looking forward, the EUR/USD pair may face further downward movement if the U.S. economy continues to strengthen, driving expectations of higher interest rates. If the pair breaks below the 1.0650 support level, it could move towards lower levels in the short term. However, political events and economic data will remain key factors influencing the pair's direction.
Short
by VivianPalacios280824
EUR/USD Trend: Possible Deep Drop To 1.0650?EUR/USD remains under pressure and fell to 1.0750 after Thursday’s rally. The main reason for the decline is the recovery of the US dollar and the cautious sentiment weighing on the pair as traders digest Trump’s victory and the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy announcements. I am currently monitoring EUR/USD on the 1-hour time frame and I see clear bearish signs. In particular, after peaking at 1.08260, the price fell sharply, breaking the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci levels at 1.07545 and 1.07376. Additionally, the EMA 34 and EMA 89 are pointing to a bearish trend as the short-term moving average (EMA 34) is below the long-term moving average (EMA 89). This is a signal that sellers are in control of the market. If price continues to sustain below the 1.07100 - 1.06830 support zone, I expect the pair to drop to deeper support around 1.0600.
Short
by Bentradegold
3
EUR/USD: Bears Dominate!The EUR/USD pair remained under bearish pressure for the second consecutive session, hovering around 1.0720 during Monday’s Asian trading hours. The pair was weighed down by a stronger US dollar and political uncertainty in Germany. As seen on the 1-hour chart, the technical outlook favors continued downside momentum, with a potential target towards support around 1.0688. A rejection of the 1.0742 resistance could confirm this bearish move, creating an opportunity for short positions.
Short
by Bentradegold
Weekly FOREX Forecast: BUY USD vs EUR GBP AUD NZD CAD CHf JPYThis is an outlook for the week of Nov 4 - 8th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets: EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD, CAD, CHF and JPY. The USD is strong and showing no signs of weakness. This video analyses which of the major pairs are the best markets to look for the best setups for the week ahead. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME:6J1!
by RT_Money
10
Euro struggling to catch a bid | FX ResearchThe euro has been getting slammed of late and is once again standing out as a clear underperformer on this Monday. There are two drivers behind the weakness worth highlighting. The first is the uncertain political climate in Germany. The German Chancellor has said he'd be open to moving up a parliamentary confidence vote by several weeks to before Christmas, potentially speeding up an early federal election. The second driver is the fear around the Trump presidency and the impact tariffs will have on the single currency. The FT reported that Robert Lighthizer could once again be appointed as the U.S. Trade Representative. Lighthizer is viewed as a staunch protectionist, which could translate to aggressive tariffs on imports into the U.S. As for the rest of the currency market, the dollar has been mostly bid, though some of the risk-correlated FX markets have been finding some offsetting demand as U.S. equities continue to push record highs. For the remainder of the day, all will be quiet on the calendar front with the U.S. bond market closed in observance of Veterans Day. Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
by BlackBull_Markets
EUR/USD Analysis Update: Impact of Election OutcomesIn light of recent developments, particularly the election victory of Republican candidate Donald Trump, market sentiment has shifted significantly. As anticipated in my previous analysis, this outcome has fueled optimism, contributing to a further decline of the EUR/USD pair by over 130 pips. The so-called "Trump trade" continues to support the strength of the USD, as the Republican sweep of both the House and Senate clears the way for the implementation of Trump's policy agenda. From a foreign exchange perspective, this is likely to result in increased fiscal spending, tariffs, and tighter immigration rules. These factors are expected to sustain the DXY (Dollar Index), along with upward inflation pressures that could keep interest rates higher than previously projected. From a technical standpoint, the bearish trend remains firmly in place across all timeframes: Daily (D1) Chart: The price action recently broke below the lower boundary of a two-year-old neutral rectangle at approximately 1.0670. This breakout signals further downside potential, with the next key support level at 1.0500, which I expect to be tested by the end of the year. Weekly (W1) Chart: The price action failed to break below the important support level 1.0640. If this level is breached, the next support at 1.0450 comes into play, indicating the potential for further declines. Monthly (1M) Chart: Notably, an interesting pattern emerges from historical performance in the last three months of election years. In years when a Democratic candidate won (2012, 2020), the EUR/USD recorded an approximate rise of 4.8%. Conversely, during Donald Trump’s first presidency in 2016, the EUR/USD fell by 4.6% during the same period. If this pattern holds for the October-December timeframe of 2024, we could see the EUR/USD reach levels as low as 1.0425 before a potential correction at the beginning of 2025. As you've likely heard many times recently - the next few weeks will be critical - in determining whether these levels hold or if we see a more significant breakdown.
Short
by XAUBanker
1
EUR/USD Shorts from 1.07800 back downThis week, my analysis for EU is showing slow movement, as it isn't close to any key Points of Interest (POI). However, after the CPI release, I expect a surge in liquidity, which could lead to a retracement in EU. From there, I’ll be looking to enter sell positions at a supply zone I've marked, which previously caused a break of structure to the downside. There are two potential supply zones to watch: the 9-hour supply zone or the 2-hour supply zone above it. If price begins to slow down and distributes upward, I’ll be cautious. However, if the price continues to drop, I’ll wait for a new supply zone to form or look to enter buy positions from the 3-hour supply zone, as outlined in Scenario B. Confluences supporting EU sell positions are: - Price action has been strongly bearish, aligning with a pro-trend idea. - The DXY has been bullish, which suggests EU could continue to move down. - Liquidity remains focused to the downside. - A potential supply zone is identified, providing a possible selling POI. P.S. If price breaks structure to the downside, I’ll wait for a retest and then follow the downtrend. Look out for CPI and remain diligent!
Short
by Hassan_fx
EURUSD A Fall Expected! SELL! My dear friends, EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 1.0904 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 1.0862 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
2
Euro can little grow more and then continue to decline nextHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some time ago started to trades inside the wedge, where it at once broke the 1.0790 level, which coincided with the seller zone but soon backed up to this area. Then the price continued to move up and later rose to 1.0840 points, but then EUR made a correction to support line of wedge. Then price turned around and started to grow to a resistance line of a wedge pattern and even made a gap, after which it exited from the wedge and turned around. Then prices made a downward impulse inside the triangle to the resistance area, breaking the 1.0790 level. After this movement, the EUR turned around and in a short time rose to the seller zone, after which turned around and dropped back. Also recently, the price broke the 1.0680 level and now it trades very close to the support line of the triangle pattern. In my opinion, the price can make move up to the resistance area and then continue to decline, even exiting from the triangle pattern. Therefore I set my TP at 1.0600 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
2
EurUsd Analysis | Rebound in short term?The euro hit a 4-1/2-month low against the U.S. dollar as investors worried about possible U.S. tariffs which would hurt the euro area's economy. The greenback was within striking distance of the levels seen right after the U.S. presidential election against major currencies as markets focused on data and Federal Reserve speakers and waited for clarity about future U.S. policy. Analysts expect measures from President-elect Donald Trump to put upward pressure on inflation and bond yields while limiting the Fed's scope to ease policy. However, they see investors trading on economic data and clues about the rate outlook before seeing what Trump's policies would actually be in practice. Market participants flagged that the sensitivity of the euro to the threat of higher U.S. import tariffs was evident late Friday, when media reported that Trump was lining up Robert Lighthizer, seen as a hawk on trade, to run his trade policy. However, two sources familiar with the matter said Lighthizer has not been asked by Trump to return to the agency overseeing trade policy. That said, from a technical point of view, the pair is very interesting to follow in the short term, if we look at the 4H chart, we have reached a very important support area, so we do not exclude some bullish movement. If the pair will trigger a technical bounce it should do so with at least 3 legs, and in this case it could still form a bullish Head and Shoulders Pattern (not shown on the chart, but quite simple to imagine). The most speculative bulls are trying to take long positions on the resistance, the more cautious Traders could wait for the formation of the right shoulder taking a position with a stop loss under the Head. Thanks for watching.
Long
by TheAnonymousBanker
1
EURUSD The sell-off isn't over yet.The EURUSD pair is extending the sharp sell-off after the most recent bearish signal upon the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) rejection. This is practically the same sideways Zones we talked about almost a month ago (October 14, see chart below): The price broke below the 1-year Higher Lows trend-line that was the last 'hope' for a bullish reversal and should now extend the bearish trend even lower. The 1D MA100 rejection was also a rejection on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level and as you can see this is identical to the August 31 2023 rejection. That was half-way through a Channel Down (also starting from the Resistance Zone) that eventually targeted the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we remain bearish on this pair, targeting 1.05300 (Fib 1.236 extension), unless the 1D RSI hits 25.00 (oversold), in which case take profit regardless, as this RSI reading preceded the October 03 2023 bottom. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
EURUSD: Intraday Trend Reversal PatternFollowing the low established on Wednesday, 6th November 2024, we have observed a completed bullish wave structure. Subsequently, the price traded the low at 1.0682, forming a bearish completed wave pattern. Based on this price information, a bullish phase is anticipated in the next movement. We are entering a buy position, anticipating increased buying momentum at 1.0682, which could propel the price past the nearest internal momentum high of 1.0727. If this trade materializes, 1.0824 will serve as our momentum high target. Stop Loss: 1.0676 Happy Trading!
Long
by Charts247TradingAcademy
1
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Short to support area at 1.06749.Colleagues, the US presidential election has made some adjustments to the wave markup and I now believe price is in a contested position. I think that the downward movement will continue and the price will update the lows, but for now I expect the price to reach the support area at 1.06749. If the price updates this level - I will consider that the price is in a complex correction and I will look for a long position entry, but for now I prefer short positions. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Short
by Hellena_Trade
8
Is Further Downward Movement Expected in EUR/USD?The EUR/USD pair has recently broken a significant uptrend line and fallen below a crucial horizontal support level on the daily chart. This initial downward movement was triggered by Donald Trump's victory in the US presidential election. His consistent emphasis on prioritising the local economy has led the market to anticipate protective policies aimed at reducing imports, thereby strengthening the Dollar against the Euro. From a technical perspective, current price action suggests increasing selling pressure, with the pair now approaching a critical support level at 1.0678. Below, we explore two potential scenarios for EUR/USD. Scenario 1: Retracement to the 1.0780 Region Followed by a Subsequent Decline Following the break of the uptrend line, the price may experience a pullback to retest the 1.0780 region, which is likely to act as resistance. This 1.0780 level coincides with a confluence zone formed by the prior trendline and the previously broken horizontal support level, making it a significant area of interest for sellers. Possible Sell Entry: If the price exhibits signs of rejection upon reaching 1.0780, this could present an attractive selling opportunity, with initial targets set at the 1.0678 support level and subsequently at the 1.0470 region, as indicated on the chart. Stop Loss : A protective stop loss could be placed slightly above 1.0830 to safeguard against a false breakout. Scenario 2: Break Below the 1.0678 Support Level The 1.0678 support level has been tested multiple times in recent sessions, rendering it a crucial point. A breach below this level would signify a potential continuation of the downward movement over the next few days. A daily close below 1.0678 could amplify the likelihood of a steeper decline, setting the stage for the next support level around 1.0470. Possible Short Entry: If the price breaks below 1.0678, a short entry could be initiated with initial targets at 1.0610, and a final target positioned at the strong support level of 1.0470, which has been significant since October 2023. Stop Loss : For this scenario, a stop loss could be positioned slightly above 1.0700 to avoid being affected by a false retest of the broken support. Donald Trump's victory has instigated a downward shift in the Euro's value against the Dollar, and this trend is likely to continue in the coming days. Given that EUR/USD is currently at a critical juncture, both outlined scenarios present viable trading opportunities, contingent upon price action in the forthcoming sessions. Careful monitoring of the 1.0678 and 1.0780 levels will be essential for determining the pair’s future direction and validating potential entry points. Disclaimer: 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
Short
by Marketscom
EURUSD: markets favour USD, againThe US Presidential elections were the major event during the week for financial markets. Investors were satisfied with the elected candidate as almost all markets ended the week in green. The US Dollar also gained in strength. The FOMC meeting was somehow left in a shadow of the previous event. The Fed cut interest rates by another 25 bps, which was widely expected by markets. As for other macro news posted during the previous week, the ISM Services PMI in October reached the level of 56, which was higher from market expectation of 53,8. Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary for November was standing at 73,0, higher from market estimate of 73. Factory orders in Germany jumped to the level of 4,2% in October, which was significantly higher from market consensus of 1,5% and also from previous month of -5,4%. The HCOB Services PMI for October reached the level of 51,5 in Germany and 51,6 in the EuroZone, where both figures were modestly above market estimates. The Balance of Trade in Germany slowed down in September to the level of 17B Euro, from 21,4B posted for the previous month. The US Presidential elections in combination with the Fed's another rate cut, pushed USD to the higher grounds, reaching 1,068 against euro at Wednesday trading session. After that, the currency pair reverted to test 1,08 resistance line, however, it ended the week at the level of 1,0718. The RSI is quite close to the oversold market side, however, at the level of 37, there is some space further for the downside, until the clear oversold side is reached. The moving average of 50 days is strongly converging toward the MA200 counterpart, suggesting that the cross might come in the near term. Markets are currently favouring USD in expectation of the positive future results of the new US administration. Despite the current hype, some risks exist, which are mostly related to the fiscal side of the US economy and eventual inflationary pressures from introduction of tariffs on foreign goods, economists warn. As for the week ahead, the eurusd will spend time testing 1,07, a short term support line, with some probability that the currency pair might head toward the 1,06 support line, where it will end the current cycle. On the opposite side, a potential for a short term reversal holds. There is some probability that the resistance line at 1,08 might be tested for one more time. Important news to watch during the week ahead are: EUR: Inflation rate in Germany final for October, ZEW Economic Sentiment Index in November for both Germany and the Euro Zone, GDP Growth rate in the Euro Zone in Q3, second estimate, USD: Inflation rate in October, Producers Price Index in October, Fed Chair Powell speech, Retail Sales in October, Industrial Production in October
by XBTFX