USDCHF TOWARDS THE SKYThere's not a lot of indications for this one, since there's no accumulation to reach.
However the low and divergent RSI gives us an idea of where the price is globally going, which is up.
Will add more information asap, when a new interesting KL or AA (accumulation area) gets created.
EURUSD
Euro can start to move up to resistance level and break itHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see how the price some days ago entered to downward channel, where it at once rebounded from the support line to the resistance line and then started to decline. Long time, the price fell near the resistance line of the channel, until it reached 1.0455 points, after which it moved up to the resistance line and then dropped to the support line, breaking the 1.0410 resistance level. Then Euro exited from a downward channel and rose to the 1.0410 level, which coincided with the seller zone and some time traded between. Later it made a downward impulse to the current resistance level, which coincided with the resistance area and even fell a little lower than the 1.0250 level, after which started to trades inside a triangle. In this pattern, the Euro in a short time rose to the resistance line, which is located in the seller zone, and then fell to the support line back, breaking the 1.0250 level one more time. Also recently price exited from a triangle pattern and now it continues to decline. So, in my opinion, the Euro, after exiting from the triangle can decline a little more and then start to grow to the 1.0250 resistance level (1st TP). Then, the price will break this level and make a retest, after which continue to move up to 2nd TP - 1.0360 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD - Signalling a Bearish MoveEurusd is showing a rejection from above trendline and as far as above resistsance is expected we can expect a Bearish move. Please be mindful of the upcoming High Impact News. Below are the possible trades.
Bearish EUR/USD Scenario:
Entry Point: A confirmed break below the recent support level at 1.0280.
Stop Loss (SL): Above the resistance level at 1.0320.
Take Profit (TP): Initial target at 1.0200, with a secondary target at 1.0150 if bearish momentum continues.
Bullish EUR/USD Scenario:
Entry Point: A confirmed break above the resistance level at 1.0350.
Stop Loss (SL): Below the support level at 1.0310.
Take Profit (TP): Initial target at 1.0400, with a secondary target at 1.0450 if bullish momentum persists.
For entries, please wait for at least two candle reversals at the specified level and apply appropriate risk management.
If you found this analysis helpful, please consider boosting and following for more updates.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
GBPUSD BACK UPAfter a liquidation by going that low, GBPUSD is ready to go back up.
The two blue accumulation areas attract the price higher, first at the middle zone then at the higher zone.
The hard blue KL under the current price shows a break under this level is tough to imagine, so there's really only one way and it is up.
EURUSD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.028.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.020 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
8 Tips to Optimize Your Tradingview for Clarity & PerformanceIn this video I share 8 ways to optimize your Tradingview for improve your performance.
Most people focus on strategy, but that is only a piece of successful trading. What I would argue is even more important....is your ability to execute.
Better execution is a result of - repetition, clarity, understanding
The things in this video will help you with clarity.
People make the comparison to trading and gambling all the time, for good reason.
But let me ask you this...
Have you ever taken a moment to look at your tradingview workspace and see how it's like walking through a virtual casino?
Think about it...
You have thousands of assets to choose from (machines & tables)
You have people with their ideas and chatter (forums, ideas, chats)
You also have sounds and stimulation everywhere (notifications, alarms)
This is not bad! But it's something to be mindful of as you design your work environment for execution.
We want to improve clarity, and simplicity. We want to eliminate as much noise as possible to improve your ability to focus on the task at hand, which is to execute your strategy.
Here are 8 tips to improve your performance:
(yes some of these are generic but they make a huge difference)
Turn off the Gain%, Change, Vol, and Last on your asset sidebar
On the same side bar, drag the news section down to the bottom so it's not visible anymore
Change the color of your candles to soft more soothing colors ( google search calming colors )
Turn off notifications so you don't get hit with other trader's ideas while you're trading
Use anchor text notes to put your plan for each asset right on the chart so you don't deviate
Remove news event from the bottom of your charts, reduces clutter (personal preference)
Create templates for each step in your analysis process
I realize now that there were only 7 not 8, but I recorded the video so it's too late to go back now lol.
I hope this helps you on your journey!
I'd love to know what helps you with clarity, and getting in flow state while you trade.
👇 Share in the comments below
-Gio
EURUSD: First red day in a broken down marketHello everyone and welcome back to my channel, please do not forget to like and comment my work, it's very supporting for me!
Let's start saying that I'm not here to predict the market, my view is only about the setup I'm looking, predicting is 50/50, trading specific setups can be a 90/10 opportunity.
EURUSD is currently in a kind of template which I saw several times in the past, the is breaking down, sellers are controlling the market and potentially by Thursday and Friday we can see a weekly pump and dump completing.
But let's analyse the full week to have a better understanding of the logic behind this potential move.
The previous week the market has been breaking down every day, and Friday place the most recent high and burst into the low of week.
Monday was pretty much consolidating into the LOW, not really something that can be interesting.
Tuesday the market triggered breakout long traders and pumped back up into Friday HOD, stopping their short breakout.
Wednesday, until CPI release, the market consolidated at the high of the week, eventually trapping volume up high. CPI stopped hunt trade who were shorting, closing the day back inside the initial balance (high low range of the week), and especially as first red day!
What's my thesis?
My main scenario is a short one, trying to complete the dump phase in a weekly pump and dump scenario. Obviously, not necessary we can see a strong move back into the low of week, but it can also stop and consolidate above the opening range high (HOD of Monday).
How would I enter this market?
USD news are scheduled on calendar at 8:30am NYT, I will be watching for a buy low setup after news release, specifically I will be looking for reversal pattern into the HOD.
What about the long view?
Of course, as I said, predicting a move is just silly, predicting is just like gambling, a long move obviously can happen and I can be willing to take it a session scalp if the market drop vertically down into the yesterday LOD, consolidating into the level till I will get any reversal configuration (Buy low opportunity).
During the upcoming hours I will be updating this post!
Trade safe!
Gianni
GOLD MICRO ANALYSISAnd this is what the micro view looks like. If you've not seen our precedent post on the macro view, you should check it out so you get the global scheme of the move.
The red line has to be reached at some point over the next few weeks, maybe even days, because Gold has a "desert area" to cross : this is the area where there's no blue lines, which are basic KL.
What we believe is that when there 's no or not enought KL, the price moves way faster, hence the green drawing.
GOLD GLOBAL VIEWThis is what it looks like for us : a huge rally where the price is to reach at least 2780 pretty soon.
Look at our next post to get the micro view and the daily signal.
The idea is to compensate the green top area, which acts like a super KL, making the price come back to such high levels.
On the other hand, since the economy in the US seems to get more and more stable, the Gold Index should not grow that much on the next few years, only in case of a major event.
Which is why you can observe the red dotted line going back to the ground, to another super KL.
NASDAQ GOING UPAfter a some fake rallies, some fails and some real good forecasts, we're back with more energy and more confidence to try and offer you all the best signals.
The red dotted line that you see at the top is the price we're aiming for. As you can see yesterday's forecast (green drawing) was a little late but eventually pretty good.
We believe that US100 has to climb back to 22K asap to compensate for the US firms on a national level, and to compensate with the blue areas on the chart on a technical levels, which are super key levels supposed to hit again.
Anything is possible at and after 2:30 PM (London time), but keep in mind that there are more prices to reach above than below
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 16, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is holding near 1.0295 in the early Asian session on Thursday. Lower than expected US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for December raises the possibility that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may cut interest rates twice this year, putting pressure on the US Dollar. However, growing concerns over Eurozone economic growth could limit the major pair's gains.
The US Dollar (USD) declined after weaker than expected US core CPI data, fuelling expectations that the Fed's easing cycle is not yet over. Markets now expect the US central bank to cut rates by 40 basis points (bps) before the end of the year, compared to around 31 bps before the inflation data was released.
Across the ocean, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut rates four times last year and traders expect three or four changes this year due to concerns about the Eurozone's weak economic outlook. Rising bets on further ECB interest rate cuts could undermine the euro (EUR) against the U.S. dollar in the near term.
Later on Thursday, investors will be watching Germany's Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) for December and the ECB monetary policy meeting report. In the US, the main events will be retail sales data for December and weekly initial jobless claims.
Trade recommendation: Watch the level of 1.0260, when fixing below consider Sell positions, when rebounding consider Buy positions.
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Short to the 1.00784 support area.Colleagues, I think the downward movement is over. Wave “3” is just developing and it may be shorter or longer than we think, but we can be sure of one thing - the end of the five-wave movement will be lower than the minimum of 1.01753.
I believe that a correction to the 1.03442 area is possible, then I expect a continuation of the decline to the 1.00784 support area.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
EURUSD (Liquidity Pools: A short Explainer)Liquidity Pools: A Short Explainer
A liquidity pool is an area where retail traders have pending buy/sell orders.
MM always needs to pair their buys with someone's sells, and vice versa - they 'engineer' liquidity.
If they want to go long, they create conditions whereby retail traders think the price is going lower.
If they want to go short, they create conditions whereby retail traders think the price is going higher
Price dips into liquidity pool (see the wick)
Reverses
Driving price below the swing low floods the market with liquidity for longs
How?
1. People who are long and have stops --> stops triggered --> stops become market orders to buy
2. Retail traders see 'support breaking' -> open shorts > MM sell their longs to them
Liquidity pool below the swing low
Swing lows & equal lows are high probability long liquidity pools
Market makers will target these price levels knowing
1. Retail traders already long have their stop-losses at/around swing lows
2. Swing lows seen as 'support' by retail traders
EUR/USD Trade Plan Summary - Reversal
Entry: Place a Buy Stop at 1.04355, confirming a breakout from the falling wedge.
Stop Loss: Set at 1.01702, below the recent lower low to limit risk.
Take Profit: Target TP1 at 1.06993 and optionally TP2 at 1.09253 for extended gains.
Confirmation: Wait for a daily candle close above the wedge before activating the trade.
Risk Management: Risk 1-2% of capital and adjust position size based on the entry-to-SL distance.
GOLD can jump down more .. Gold is showing signs of potential downside movement, suggesting that bearish pressure could dominate in the near term. Traders should remain vigilant and closely monitor key support levels to confirm the next direction. While the current trend hints at a possible drop, unexpected volatility could still influence the market, making it essential to adopt a cautious approach. Proper risk management and careful analysis are crucial to navigating this environment effectively.
EURUSD H1 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 1.0309, which is a pullback resistance near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. This level is expected to act as a potential reversal point in the bearish setup.
Our take profit is set at 1.0263, targeting a significant overelap support level, marking a logical exit point for the trade.
The stop loss is set at 1.0364, above a swing high reisitance, providing room for price fluctuations while protecting against invalidation of the bearish bias.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has reacted off the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.0260
1st Support: 1.0194
1st Resistance: 1.0341
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EUR/GBP: Ready to reach the level 0.83!The EUR/GBP exchange rate is currently in a bearish phase, trading near 0.8440 as of January 15, 2025. The key resistance level at 0.8445, which has been a significant barrier since September, has once again hindered upward attempts. The recent downward pressure has been influenced by the halt in the rally of UK gilt yields, following weaker-than-expected inflation data. This factor, combined with growing concerns about stagflation in the UK, creates an unfavorable environment for the Pound, increasing the likelihood of a dovish stance from the Bank of England. On the European side, the stabilization of inflation in the Eurozone provides relative support for the Euro, further reinforcing the bearish sentiment on the EUR/GBP pair. Key upcoming events in the short term include the BoE rate decision on January 25, 2025, which could significantly impact the Pound: a more accommodative stance would further weaken the British currency, favoring an upward movement in the pair. This will be followed by the Eurozone GDP data release on February 2, 2025, and the PMI results for both the UK and the Eurozone in early February, with the potential to influence market dynamics depending on the relative strength of their economies. Market sentiment remains oriented toward short-term stability, with limited movements expected until new significant signals emerge from economic data or central bank decisions.
EURUSD: short term buy on the 1H MA50 in order.EURUSD is neutral on its 1H technical outlook (RSI = 48.015, MACD = 0.001, ADX = 25.709) as it pulled back to its 1H MA50 today but managed to find enough support to bounce even though it crossed it. The pattern is a Channel Down, so the overall trend is bearish but this is its bullish wave and as long as the 1H MA50 holds, we can technically make one last High. Every rebound since the Channel Down bottomed on January 13th, has been of +1.00%. We are expecting another one, so place your targets accordingly (TP = 1.03500).
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
EURUSD Is Trading At Strong Support While Finishing A CorrectionEURUSD came lower as expected, broke into the fifth wave we talked about last few weeks, and it finally moved into important support levels at 1.02 area. Notice that we are actually tracking the final leg within this downtrend from 2024 high, so ideally its wave C of a higher degree A-B-C correction, meaning that pair can stabilize still some time this month, ideally after the completion of an ending diagonal around important and golden 61,8% Fibonacci retracement. Even RSI is showing a divergence. A bounce in impulse back above 1.0435 will suggest that low is forming.
EURO - Price can continue move up to $1.0420, exiting of pennantHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price started to decline inside falling channel, where it bounced from support line and rose to resistance line first.
Then Euro turned around and dropped to $1.0380 level, some time traded near and later broke it.
Next, Euro exied from channel and fell to support level, after which bounced from this level to $1.0380 level.
Price broke this level, but soon it turned around, broke this level again, and started to decline inside pennant.
In pennant, EUR fell to support line, after which rose to resistance line of this pattern, breaking $1.0245 level.
Now, I think that Euro exit from pennant, reach resistance level, and break it, after which continue to grow to $1.0420
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
DXY - 4H Bearish SignsTVC:DXY has shown an impressive rally from the 100 zone, forming three major bullish legs, each contributing approximately 4% gains. These bullish phases have now brought the index close to the critical 110 level.
However, in the third major leg, we observe the formation of three minor legs, signaling some hesitation as it nears the resistance zone. While many expect the index to break through 110 easily, I anticipate price swings around the 109-110 range, and even the possibility of a deeper pullback before resuming its upward trend.
With the NFP data release today, we might see increased volatility, offering opportunities for a potential DXY decline before any further rise. Stay alert for sharp market moves! 📉