HelenP. I Euro drops to $1.0650 points, breaking support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. After analyzing this chart, we can see that the price spent some time within a consolidation range. During this period, the price tested the lower support zone and made a strong reaction from this level, moving upwards. This move showed strong buying pressure as the price quickly reversed from the support zone, signaling that buyers were ready to push higher. The price then broke above the trend line, continuing to rise and establishing a bullish momentum. It reached the upper resistance zone before encountering resistance and starting to consolidate. This consolidation happened within a narrow range, confirming that the market was unsure about the next move but still held above the important support 1. Now, the price is trading near the trend line and is testing the support zone. A reaction from this support will be crucial for determining the next move. Given the current price action, I expect a potential continuation of the move towards my goal at 1.0650, where the price may encounter further support and the previous price action. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
EURUSD
EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish TargetChart Overview:
The provided EUR/USD daily chart displays a well-structured Rising Wedge pattern, which eventually led to a significant bearish breakdown. The analysis highlights key levels, including resistance, support, stop loss, and a downside target, all of which contribute to a well-planned trade setup. The market structure suggests a strong bearish continuation, targeting lower price levels based on technical projections.
1. Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge Formation & Breakdown
A Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that forms when price creates higher highs and higher lows, but the slope of the trendlines indicates weakening bullish momentum. This pattern is often a signal of upcoming bearish price action once a breakout occurs.
Pattern Breakdown Analysis:
The price moved inside the wedge, showing a gradual upward trend with declining momentum.
Upon reaching a key resistance level, price faced strong rejection (marked with a red circle).
The bearish breakdown below the wedge confirmed the pattern, leading to a sharp decline.
A retest of the broken wedge followed before continuing downward.
This confirms a classic bearish trend reversal, making it a strong technical setup.
2. Key Levels and Trade Setup:
🔹 Resistance Level (Major Supply Zone)
The resistance zone (highlighted in beige) acted as a strong supply area, where buyers lost control.
Price reached this resistance multiple times but failed to sustain above it.
A bearish reversal initiated from this level, marking the beginning of a downward trend.
🔹 Support Level (Key Demand Zone)
The support zone (also highlighted) represents a major demand area where price previously reversed.
This level aligns with historical price action, making it a critical area to monitor for potential reactions.
🔹 Stop Loss Placement
A stop loss is placed above the previous high within the resistance zone to protect against false breakouts.
If price invalidates the breakdown and moves above this level, the bearish setup would no longer be valid.
🔹 Price Target Projection
The breakdown suggests a potential drop towards 1.00874, as indicated by the 100% measured move.
This aligns with previous historical support, making it a realistic downside target.
3. Trade Execution Plan: How to Trade This Setup?
📌 Entry Strategy:
Traders can enter short after confirmation of the breakdown and a potential retest.
A sell position can be initiated around the resistance turned support after a pullback rejection.
📌 Stop Loss Strategy:
A stop loss should be set above the resistance zone (around 1.12208) to minimize risk.
This ensures protection against a bullish breakout invalidation.
📌 Take Profit Strategy:
The first take profit target is set at the support level near 1.04498.
The final take profit target is at 1.00874, which aligns with the full measured move projection.
4. Conclusion & Market Sentiment
🔸 Bearish Market Bias – The breakdown of the rising wedge confirms strong bearish momentum.
🔸 Key Resistance Held Strong – The price was unable to break above, confirming seller dominance.
🔸 Downside Target Aligns with Previous Support Levels – A confluence of technical signals supports further decline.
Final Thought:
This chart presents a high-probability bearish trade setup in EUR/USD. The combination of a rising wedge breakdown, clear resistance rejection, and a defined downside target makes it an ideal short-selling opportunity. Traders should watch for price action confirmations and risk management strategies before executing trades.
🚨 Risk Disclaimer: Always apply proper risk management and confirm signals before trading. Market conditions may change, so monitoring price behavior is crucial for trade adjustments.
Weekly Market Analysis - 29th March 2025 (DXY & EURUSD Only)Here is my DXY & EURUSD analysis for the upcoming week and month.
I share what I think will happen in terms of anticipating price using the concepts of liquidity and efficiency as mostly taught by ICT.
I hope you find it useful in your perspective of the market.
- R2F Trading
EURUSD - Key FVG Zones and Potential Market MovesThis EURUSD 4-hour chart highlights critical Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) that could serve as key decision points for price action. The chart illustrates a confluence of factors:
1. Upper FVG Zone:
Located near the 0.618-0.786 Fibonacci retracement levels, this area represents a potential supply zone. Price reaching this level could either result in a bearish rejection or continuation upwards, depending on momentum and market sentiment.
2. Lower FVG Zone:
A well-defined demand zone in the 1.07000-1.07500 range, serving as a key support area where buyers may step in if the price retraces.
3. Projected Scenarios:
- Bullish Scenario (Green Path): If the price holds above the lower FVG and gains momentum, a push toward the upper FVG with potential breakout above could ensue, aiming for levels around 1.09000 and higher.
- Bearish Scenario (Red Path): A rejection from the upper FVG could lead to a retest of the lower zone, and if broken, may lead to further downside below 1.07000.
This analysis underscores the importance of monitoring these zones and the price action dynamics around them. Traders should be prepared for both scenarios while aligning their strategies with broader market context and risk management principles.
EURUSD update 20.03After a successful swing long
that was taken
We've reached external liquidity
Now, I expect a correction to the green box; from it, we will go even higher—reaching liquidity from above.
The current correction will take some time to form. It may happen faster, but I have indicated the targets on the chart.
Best regards EXCAVO
EURUSD Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.0807
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.0781
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAU/USD: Possible Fall Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that, as expected, the price continued its bullish movement and climbed close to its all-time high of $3057, reaching $3056 today. Since this level acted as a Bearish Rejection Block, we’re now seeing a price correction from that area, with gold currently trading around $3049. If the price stabilizes below the $3050 mark, we may see further downside. Potential bearish targets are $3045, $3040, and $3035, respectively.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Euro can exit from pennant and rebound up from support areaHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The price was previously trading inside an upward channel, where it consistently rebounded from the support line and moved toward the resistance line. After a final bounce from the lower boundary, EUR made a strong breakout and exited the channel, triggering a powerful bullish impulse. This move brought the price directly to the current support level at 1.0745, which overlaps with the support area. After reaching the local high, the price turned around and entered a correction phase, forming an upward pennant pattern. Inside this structure, we can see how EUR respected both the resistance line and the rising support line of the pennant. Recently, the price rebounded from the support line again, showing signs of strength near the support area, and is now consolidating at the edge of the pennant. This setup often signals an upcoming breakout. I expect the price to break above the resistance line of the pennant and continue its bullish move toward TP1, which is set at 1.0950 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Why GBPJPY IS BULLISH ?? DETAILED TECHNICAL AND FUNDAMENTALS GBPJPY is currently trading at approximately 195.000, having achieved a substantial gain of over 300 pips. Technical analysis suggests that the pair is poised for further upward movement, with a target price of 199.000, indicating the potential for an additional 400 pips gain. This bullish momentum is supported by the pair's recent breakout from a consolidation phase, signaling strong buying interest.
Fundamentally, the British pound has demonstrated resilience, bolstered by stable economic indicators and a proactive monetary policy stance from the Bank of England. Conversely, the Japanese yen has experienced depreciation, influenced by the Bank of Japan's commitment to maintaining ultra-loose monetary policies. This divergence in central bank policies has widened the interest rate differential between the two currencies, favoring a stronger pound against the yen.
Technical indicators further reinforce the bullish outlook for GBP/JPY. The pair has been trading above key moving averages, with oscillators indicating strong upward momentum. The recent breakout above the 193.000 resistance level has opened the path toward the 199.000 target. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains in bullish territory, suggesting that the current uptrend has room to continue
Traders should monitor key resistance levels closely, as a sustained move above 195.000 could confirm the continuation of the bullish trend toward 199.000. Implementing robust risk management strategies, such as setting appropriate stop-loss orders, is essential to navigate potential market volatility. Staying informed about upcoming economic data releases and central bank communications will also be crucial in effectively capitalizing on this trading opportunity.
EurUsd- The "big" move is down, not upLast week, TRADENATION:EURUSD reached a high of around 1.09 and has been consolidating ever since, now for the fifth consecutive trading day. Despite some weak upward spikes, the pair remains in a range-bound phase.
From a technical perspective, multiple resistance levels lie ahead, with the psychological 1.10 mark acting as a key barrier. Given the current price action, I believe this consolidation is more likely to result in a downside breakout rather than a continuation of the uptrend.
There is a strong possibility that EUR/USD will correct the impressive rally that began in early March.
With this outlook in mind, I see more downside potential than upside and I am considering selling into rallies, targeting a move toward 1.07.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Strong GDP, Weak USD – How Will EURUSD React!?Today's U.S. data showed strong GDP growth (2.4%) , but lower inflation ( 2.3% Final GDP Price Index ) and a weaker trade balance ( -147.9B ) suggest the Fed may remain cautious on rate hikes. This limits USD's strength , supporting a potential EURUSD rebound .
EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is moving in the Support zone($1.08180-$1.0745) and has also managed to break the Downtrend line . 50_SMA(Weekly) plays a good role of support for EURUSD .
In terms of Classic Technical Analysis and Price Action , there is also a possibility that EURUSD will return to an uptrend with Inverse Head and Shoulders and Bullish Quasimodo Patterns .
Regarding Elliott Wave theory , it seems that EURUSD has managed to complete the main wave 4 . The main wave 4 structure is an Expanding Flat Correction(ABC/3-3-5) .
I expect EURUSD to trend higher in the coming hour s and rise to at least $1.0855 , and if the Resistance zone($1.0867-$1.0850) is broken, we should expect more pumping .
Note: If EURUSD breaks below the 50_SMA(Weekly), we expect further declines. The worst Stop Loss(SL) could be $1.072.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree .
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
EUR/USD analysis – two Key Scenarioshello guys.
The EUR/USD pair has witnessed a strong bullish surge, breaking through key resistance levels. However, two possible scenarios emerge from this critical point:
🔴 First Scenario (Bullish Continuation):
Price could retrace to the 1.07-1.072 demand zone before resuming its upward trajectory.
If support holds, the pair may climb towards the 1.10-1.105 resistance zone, aligning with the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
🔵 Second Scenario (Bearish Reversal):
If bullish momentum fades, a deeper correction may follow, breaking below the key support zone.
This could lead the price toward the 1.04-1.043 area, marking a retest of previous lows and reinforcing bearish sentiment.
-------------------
Conclusion:
The current level serves as a critical decision point. If price sustains above support ($1.072-$1.068), bullish momentum may continue. However, a break below could signal a bearish correction, shifting market sentiment. Traders should watch key levels for confirmation of either scenario.
EUR/USD 200-DMA BounceEUR/USD is looking to break a streak of six consecutive down days after running into Fibonacci resistance at 1.0943.
That pullback spanned more than 200 pips at its peak, with support finally showing up yesterday in the 1.0730-1.0750 zone previously highlighted.
The question now is which trend will take over - as the prior bullish trend had quickly went overbought with RSI divergence showing into last Wednesday's FOMC meeting.
For today, the 1.0800 level has capped bulls' advance and the next levels up are prior price swings at 1.0823 and 1.0861, followed by a Fibonacci extension at 1.0909 and then the longer-term Fibonacci level at 1.0943. - js
Bearish drop off 38.2% Fibonacci resistance?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that line sup with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0833
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0884
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.0706
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURO - Price can correct to support area and rise to $1.0955Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price started to grow inside a rising channel, where it broke the $1.0345 level and then it reached the resistance line.
Next, price made correction to support line of channel and then it quickly reached $1.0345 level and broke it again.
After this, price continued to grow in the channel, and later, it exited from it and rose to $1.0765 level.
Soon, price broke this level and started to trades inside flat, where it reached top part of flat and some time traded near.
Then it started to decline, so, now I expect that Euro can bounce up from support area and rise to $1.0955 points.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
EURUSD: Weak Market & Bearish Forecast
The recent price action on the EURUSD pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bearish one and I think we will see the price go down.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
GOLD H1 Market Update: Bear Trap / liquidity sweep BUY DIPS📊 Technical Outlook update
🔸Bullish OUTLOOK
🔸3050 USD Resistance Heavy
🔸3000/3040 Trading Range
🔸2990 potential Bear Trap
🔸Price Target BULLS: 3100 USD - 3150 USD
🔸Recommended Strategy: BUY DIPS 2990
📊 Gold Market Summary – This Week
💰Gold Price Surge: Gold prices soared above $3,000, prompting Bank of America to raise its price target.
💸Profit-Taking Pressure: After the surge, mild profit-taking caused a slight price correction.
🛡️Safe-Haven Demand: Gold continues to show strength, supported by safe-haven flows amid economic uncertainty.
📅 Economic Data Impact: U.S. economic data (e.g., 0.9% rise in durable goods orders) is influencing gold prices, pushing them to session highs.
🔄Consolidation with Bullish Outlook: Gold is consolidating but remains bullish due to favorable U.S. dollar performance and Federal Reserve policies.
🌍Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and U.S.-Russia tensions continue to support gold’s status as a safe-haven asset.
💎 Summary:
Gold remains resilient with strong demand, positive economic indicators, and geopolitical tensions supporting its value, despite minor price corrections.
Skeptic | EUR/USD Breakdown: Key Levels & Trade SetupsWelcome back, guys! I’m Skeptic, and today we’re diving into a multi-timeframe breakdown of EUR/USD. We’ll analyze EURX (Euro Index) and wrap it up with some high-probability trade setups. Let’s get started! 🚀
EURX Analysis
Looking at the EURX chart, after a secondary uptrend, we’ve formed an upward channel. When price enters a channel after a sharp uptrend, it typically signals a loss of momentum, increasing the chances of a continuation of the major downtrend—which is exactly what’s happening now.
Currently, price is testing a key support at 1037.8 . This is a critical level, and if broken, we can expect further downside for EUR pairs.
EUR/USD Technical Breakdown
In the 4-hour timeframe, after the previous uptrend, EUR/USD has entered a consolidation phase. However, bearish momentum is more visible:
✔ SMA 7 is sloping downward and positioned above candles, reinforcing selling pressure.
✔ Given the EUR/USD and EURX analysis, we can afford to be more aggressive with short positions while remaining cautious with longs.
Trade Setups & Key Levels
📉 Short Setup:
Trigger: Break below 1.07124
Confirmation: RSI breaking support at 34.40 & increasing bearish momentum
Target: Next support at 1.07154
📈 Long Setup:
Trigger: Break above 1.09453
Confirmation: Strong bullish momentum & breakout of consolidation range
⚠ Important: These levels mark the highs and lows of the 4H consolidation zone, meaning whichever way price breaks, it’s likely to continue in that direction.
Thanks for sticking around until the end—drop your thoughts in the comments & let me know your setups! See you in the next analysis <3