EURUSD: Consolidation “flag”. Willingness to go belowBen, hello everyone!
CAPITALCOM:EURUSD is consolidating in the form of a "flag", the purpose is to accumulate before continuing the trend... The fundamental context remains negative.
On D1, when looking closely at the 4-hour chart, it is clear that the price is maintaining a decline below 1.0600. There is no reaction to push the price higher. Therefore, in the short term, the momentum and strength of buyers are not expected to be enough to reverse the local situation.
Looking ahead, as long as the dollar continues to consolidate, the euro will theoretically be hit hard...
In particular, the focus is on the consolidating "flag". Breaking this channel, the downtrend will continue.
Ben personally appreciates trading in the direction of the current trend, if there is a clear move, that is, expecting the price to break out and consolidate below the 1.052 area, aiming for a lower target in the short term. The focus is still on the 1.060 level and around the resistance at 1.065.
EURUSD
Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot which lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.0548
1st Support: 1.0496
1st Resistance: 1.0602
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0550
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0598
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 1.0496
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD: Long term bottom formation. Target 1.09250.EURUSD is almost oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 32.566, MACD = -0.011, ADX = 28.963) as despite the consolidation since last Thursday, it hasn't yet started to recover. This is however a common price action during bottom formation proccesses (like September and March 2023) and since the 1D RSI is on a bullish divergence (HL), we expect a rally to start soon. In the past rebounds that stopped initially on the HH trendline but for slightly lower risk we are targeting the November 5th High (TP = 1.09250), which started the recent selling.
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Euro slides after ECB financial stability reviewThe euro is down sharply on Wednesday. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0510, down 0.80% on the day at the time of writing.
Financial stability reviews seldom make the headlines, unless the message is a stark one. That was the case today as the ECB’s financial stability review warned that the eurozone could face a financial crisis due to a variety of issues. The euro has responded to the pessimistic news with sharp losses.
The report noted weak growth, rising public debt and political uncertainty in the eurozone could lead to an economic downturn that would squeeze banks and hurt financial stability. The ECB also warned of the possibility of a potential bubble in stocks connected to AI, which could result in a sharp market correction. The report urged fiscal prudence in order to preserve financial system resilience in the “current uncertain macro-financial environment”.
The European Central Bank meets on Dec. 12 and there are differing opinions among Governing Council members as to the timing of another rate cut. Inflation has been falling, but it the pace fast enough to warrant a rate cut at the December meeting? Some voices have been calling for a jumbo 50-basis point cut in December, while more dovish members want to wait until early next year.
ECB Vice-President Luis de Guindos, speaking after the release of the financial stability review, said it was “crystal clear” that the ECB would continue lowering rates but this had to be done in an “extremely prudent” manner.
EUR/USD has pushed below support at 1.0574 and 1.0545. Below, the support line of 1.0494 is under pressure
1.0625 and 1.0654 are the next resistance lines
EURUSD - Bearish ScenarioEURUSD was recovering well until we had a news that a UK made missile was launched by Ukraine.
Therefore considering wider conflicts and war situation, we may see bearish moves across various pairs.
For entries, please wait for at least two candle reversals at the specified level and apply appropriate risk management.
If you found this analysis helpful, please consider boosting and following for more updates.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
EURUSD Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.056.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.057 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EUR/USD BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
Hello, Friends!
EUR/USD pair is trading in a local downtrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 1D timeframe the pair is going down too. The pair is oversold because the price is close to the lower band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to buy the pair with the lower BB line acting as support. The next target is 1.095 area.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
XAU/USD : More Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we notice that today’s market opened with a positive price gap between $2563 and $2566 . These types of gaps often act as magnets for price action, as markets tend to fill such gaps over time. Based on the current bullish momentum, I expect a price correction in the near future to fill this gap.
Looking deeper into the structure, we can see that gold’s recent rally has managed to fill the Fair Value Gap (FVG) from the previous bearish move to a significant extent. However, it still has room to climb and fully fill the gap at $2606. This level could serve as a critical zone where we might observe a strong price reaction . Keep this level on your radar—it could either confirm a continuation of the bullish trend or trigger a reversal.
From a broader perspective, the ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the Ukraine-Russia conflict continue to provide a safe-haven bid for gold. These factors have been instrumental in driving demand, even as the US dollar shows signs of consolidation after its recent strength.
On the macroeconomic front, recent data showed strong US retail sales for October , indicating resilience in the economy. However, there’s growing uncertainty around the Federal Reserve's policy direction. Markets currently price in a 65% probability of a 25bps rate cut in December, which could weigh on the dollar further and provide support for gold in the medium term.
From a technical standpoint:
1. Gold remains in a bullish structure, but short-term corrections are expected due to overbought conditions and the need to fill the gap at $2563-$2566.
2. The $2606 level acts as a magnet for price, as it marks the full closure of the previous FVG. Monitor this level closely for signs of rejection or continuation.
3. In case of a rejection at $2606, a retest of support levels near $2545-$2550 could be on the cards, aligning with the gap fill.
Key Levels to Watch :
- Support: $2563 (gap low), $2545
- Resistance: $2606 (FVG top), $2620
To summarize, while gold’s rally has been impressive, the presence of both the unfilled gap below and the remaining FVG above suggests that the market could be at a pivotal point. Watch these levels carefully, as they are likely to guide gold’s next move.
Previous Analysis :
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EURUSD - Potential Outlook for 20/11/2024
EURUSD has been ranging however there's a potential for a breakout to upside. As far as the support holds, we should see a move to upper levels.
For entries, please wait for at least two candle reversals at the specified level and apply appropriate risk management.
If you found this analysis helpful, please consider boosting and following for more updates.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
Will Most Stable Currency Pair Finally Break Its 20-Year PatternThe foreign exchange market stands at a pivotal crossroads as the seemingly unshakeable euro-dollar relationship faces its most significant test since the 2022 energy crisis. Traditional market dynamics are being challenged by an unprecedented confluence of factors: the return of Trump-era trade policies, escalating geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe, and diverging monetary paths between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank. This perfect storm has pushed the euro to levels not seen since October 2023, prompting leading financial institutions to reassess their long-held assumptions about currency stability.
What makes this moment particularly compelling is the broader economic context. While previous threats to euro-dollar parity emerged from singular crises, today's challenge stems from structural shifts in global trade architecture. Deutsche Bank's analysis suggests that proposed trade policies could fundamentally alter international capital flows, with the potential to drive the euro below parity to 0.95 or lower – a scenario that would rewrite modern forex history. This isn't merely about numbers; it's about a potential reshaping of global economic power dynamics.
The most intriguing aspect of this development lies in its timing. As we approach a period traditionally characterized by dollar weakness – December has seen the greenback decline in eight of the past ten years – markets face a fascinating contradiction. Will historical seasonal patterns prevail, or are we witnessing the emergence of a new paradigm in currency markets? The answer could reshape investment strategies across the globe and challenge long-held beliefs about currency market dynamics. For investors and market observers alike, the coming months promise to deliver one of the most compelling chapters in recent financial history.
+100/+150 pips GBPUSD H11 short/long trade plan🔸Hello traders, let's review the 1hour chart for GBPUSD today.
Solid bounce off the lows in progress, however overhead resistance
will cap any immediate upside.
🔸Key levels for GBPUSD traders: 2625 s/r bulls, 2735 s/r bears,
2775 mirror s/r bears level will get re-tested by the bulls for liquidity.
🔸Recommended strategy for GBPUSD traders: the sequence
is short / long so you want to short high off the s/r bears at 2735 SL 40
TP 2625 pips, this is the W reversal play / re-test of the mirror s/r bulls
at 2625 then flip lonjg at/near 2625+-10 pips SL 40 pips TP1 +75
TP2 +150 pips final exit bulls at mirror s/r at 2775. this is a swing
trade setup, patience required. good luck traders!
🎁Please hit the like button and
🎁Leave a comment to support our team!
RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
GBPCAD H4 300 pips dump incoming short it🔸Hello traders, let's review the 4hour chart for GBPCAD today. Weak
support breakdown in progress currently on H4 and I don't expect it
to hold the sell side pressure.
🔸There is no strong S/R zones until 7440 currently we are trading at 7730
so I expect the price to slide through the weak s/r zone. S/R zone
was tested multiple times recently and only produced a weak bounce
therefore expecting breakdown and new dump.
🔸Recommended strategy for GBPCAD traders: short sell at market or
short sell any weak bounces near market price, SL 60 pips TP1 +150 pips
TP2 +300 pips. good luck traders!
🎁Please hit the like button and
🎁Leave a comment to support our team!
RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
EURUSD Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.06200 zone, EURUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.06200 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD today The EURUSD pair remains under significant bearish control, consolidating just above the critical support level near 1.0527. Despite a slight recovery, the overall trend continues to favor sellers, with the recent pullback likely to face resistance around the 1.0775–1.0868 zone.
Key Technical Insights:
Downward Momentum: The pair has been unable to sustain any significant upward movement, with each rally being met by selling pressure, maintaining the dominant bearish structure.
Resistance Levels: The 1.0775 and 1.0868 zones represent formidable barriers, with a rejection at these levels expected to reinforce the downward trend.
Target Levels: A breakdown below 1.0527 could open the path toward the psychological level of 1.0500 and further extend losses toward 1.0300.
Outlook:
Traders should monitor any attempts to retest the resistance zones for potential sell opportunities. As long as EURUSD remains below 1.0775, the pair is likely to stay on its bearish trajectory.
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 20, 2024 EURUSDEvent to pay attention to today:
15:00 EET. EUR - ECB President Christine Lagarde Speaks
EURUSD:
On Tuesday, the EUR/USD was trading between the 1.0550 and 1.06000 levels. It tested the lower boundary but then recovered, adding just 0.14% for the day. The final data on EU Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) inflation had little impact on market movements, and the greenback will have to settle for a limited release schedule this week.
The European core HICP inflation rate remained at 2.0% y/y in October, in line with preliminary data. The data did not generate interest in the euro markets and was not a focus on either side of the bid-ask spread. US data remains inactive until the second half of the trading week, when jobless claims and retail sales data will be released.
On Wednesday, ECB President Lagarde will deliver the opening remarks at the ECB's Financial Stability and Macroprudential Policy Conference. The ECB finds itself in a challenging position, with European inflation holding firm against initial expectations and the broader European economy displaying a lopsided tilt.
The first half of the US trading week will see few economic data releases. On Thursday, average initial jobless claims will be published, which are expected to show a slight increase in the number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the week ending 15 November. US Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data will be released this week, but will not impact investors until Friday.
Trading recommendation: We follow the level of 1.06000, when fixing above it we consider Buy positions, when rebounding we consider Sell positions.
#EURUSD - 20112024I was bullish EURUSD yesterday, looking for a dip to go long off. It was a huge dip TBH, but the double level support worked perfectly as EURUSD closed near the highs.
Daily price action is a candle with a long lower wick which IMO should see another re-visit of the lows. Overall, I am still looking at 1.0546 to hold for a move higher for today.
EURUSD strong buy signal if the 4hour MA50 breaks.EURUSD has started trading inside a Channel Up pattern, approaching the 4hour MA50 with its 4hour RSI on the rise.
This is identical to the pattern of late October both on price and RSI terms.
When that pattern finally closed a candle over the 4hour MA50, the price was catapulted to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (but remained under the 4hour MA200).
As a result, go long if the 4hour MA50 gets crossed and target 1.07550 (Fib 1.618).
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
EUR/USD Outlook: Key Levels and Potential Bearish ContinuationThe EUR/USD chart indicates a bearish outlook, with price currently trading below the pivot line at 1.07719.
Bearish Scenario: If the price remains below 1.07719, further declines are likely toward the support levels at 1.06164 and potentially down to 1.05444. A break below 1.05444 could see the price reaching the next support level at 1.03906.
Bullish Scenario: If the price manages to rise above the pivot line at 1.07719, it may aim for the resistance at 1.09156. A close above this level would suggest a shift toward bullish momentum, with the next target at 1.10050.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 1.07719
Resistance Levels: 1.09156, 1.10050
Support Levels: 1.06164, 1.05444, 1.03906
previous idea:
Filling the gap and returning to the main path.After the rapid movement of the price from 2708 and going down and breaking the level of 2605, the price made a correction in the direction of filling the gap of the market towards the level of 2653 by reaching the range of 2545 and it is expected that after the gap is filled and the distance between the market and the collision With the trend line and reaching the range of 2676-2655, the expectation is to return to its downward path.
EURUSD: Strong Bearish Bias! Sell!
Welcome to our daily EURUSD prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 1.05523
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!