EUR/USD Bearish Setup Short Opportunity at Key Resistance ZoneThis chart suggests a potential short setup for EUR/USD
The price has been in a downward trend, making lower highs and lower lows. The current price action indicates a potential retracement towards the marked resistance zone near 1.02820 - 1.03117, which aligns with a possible supply zone. This zone could act as a strong resistance due to previous selling pressure.
The price is likely to reject this resistance and resume the downward movement, following the overall bearish trend. A breakdown from the resistance zone could lead to a short opportunity targeting 1.01764 as the first support level. If bearish momentum continues, the price might further decline toward lower levels.
Key levels to watch
Resistance: 1.02820 - 1.03117 (entry zone for shorts if rejection occurs)
First Target: 1.01764 (potential take-profit level)
Stop Loss: Above 1.03117 (to protect against a breakout)
Confirmation of rejection through candlestick patterns or bearish momentum near the resistance zone is crucial before entering the trade.
EURUSD
EURUSD H1 I Bearish ContinuationBased on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 1.0351, which is a pullback resistance near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. This level is expected to act as a potential reversal point in the bearish setup.
Our take profit is set at 1.0221, just above the recent swing low, marking a significant support level.
The stop loss is set at 1.0455, an overlap resistance zone, providing room for price fluctuations while protecting against invalidation of the bearish setup.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Heading into pullback resistance?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.0251
1st Support: 1.0194
1st Resistance: 1.0289
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD: Pullback before the crash!The EUR/USD continues its downward trend, recently touching a new cycle low around 1.0176 as the US Dollar maintains its relentless rally, fueled by rising expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates elevated for an extended period. The Greenback’s strength has been amplified by a fifth consecutive bullish session, with the DXY surpassing the critical 110.00 level. Investors have sharply revised their outlook on Fed policy, reducing the probability of significant rate cuts in the near term. This shift in sentiment follows a robust Nonfarm Payrolls report and hawkish remarks from Fed officials, emphasizing the priority of taming inflation before contemplating further easing.
On the policy front, while the Fed recently trimmed its benchmark rate to 4.25%-4.50%, Chair Powell’s cautious tone during the final press conference of 2024 left markets in little doubt that any future rate cuts will be gradual. Powell underscored the need to anchor inflation closer to the 2% target and pointed out that despite some softening, the labor market remains resilient. This narrative has bolstered USD demand and widened the divergence with the European Central Bank’s stance.
In contrast, the ECB faces mounting pressure to sustain its easing cycle amid a deteriorating economic outlook across the eurozone, particularly in Germany, where industrial performance has been lackluster. Despite a marginal rise in inflation figures for December, ECB policymakers seem committed to prioritizing growth over inflation control in the short term. This divergence in central bank policies has created a headwind for the euro, further weakening EUR/USD and increasing the likelihood of a test of parity.
Adding to the complexity, potential trade policy shifts under the incoming US administration could inject additional volatility. Proposals for renewed tariffs could stoke inflationary pressures in the US, compelling the Fed to adopt a more aggressive tightening stance. Such a scenario would exacerbate the euro’s struggles, as a stronger USD and continued ECB easing would widen the interest rate differential between the two economies.
Looking ahead, the focus will remain on key data releases, including US CPI and Retail Sales, alongside eurozone Industrial Production and German inflation data. These reports will offer crucial insights into the respective economic trajectories and may set the tone for future price action. However, in the current context, the EUR/USD appears poised to remain under pressure as the fundamental backdrop heavily favors the Greenback. Until there is a significant shift in economic or policy expectations, the pair may continue its march towards parity.
Sticky Inflation, Falling Pound, Pure Chaos in USD pairs!Last week was pure chaos. The dollar flexed like it’s been hitting the gym, while the pound? Let’s just say it’s practicing free-fall techniques. Sterling slipped so hard it might need a parachute soon. 🪂💸
Meanwhile, inflation is still that uninvited party guest who refuses to leave. UK CPI? Sticky. US CPI? Stubborn. And central banks? They’re in the corner pretending it’s not happening. 🙈📉
Here’s what we’re unpacking this week:
👉 Monday : ECB speeches. Expect fancy words, minimal action. 🙄
👉 Tuesday : US PPI drops. Prices rising faster than your blood pressure? Find out! 📈
👉 Wednesday : The big show. UK & US CPI—will inflation finally chill, or are we doomed to more rate drama? 🥶🔥
👉 Thursday : Aussie employment data hops in. Will it jumpstart the AUD? 🦘💵
👉 Friday : China’s GDP report. Rebound or flop? Either way, it’s gonna ripple through the markets. 🌏💣
George’s Hot Take:
Dollar: Still the king. 👑💪
Sterling: In the doghouse. 🐶🚪
Inflation: Like gum on your shoe—it’s not going anywhere. 😤🥿
🎧 Tune in for all the market madness, trading insights, and just the right amount of sarcasm. Because hey, the markets don’t care about your feelings—but we’ll at least laugh about it with you. 😏
🎙️ Listen now and stay ahead of the curve! 🎧
EURUSD at long term 61.8% retracementIntraday Update: The EURUSD as noted earlier, is trading at 1.0200 and slightly below now, but this is a long term 61.8% Fibonacci level of the Sept 2022 lows to July 2023 highs. Intraday, only back above the 1.0230 would take the downside pressure off. Also, over 3bn options are expiring today at the 1.0200 level.
EURUSD Channel Down bottoming on oversold 4H RSI.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the December 06 2024 High. The 4H RSI is oversold (<30.00) and every time it has been so on this pattern, it was a buy opportunity.
The target of those buy signals has been the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). We expect the price to be at least 1.02850 when it hits it.
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Fundamental Market Analysis for January 13, 2025 EURUSDData from the US Bureau of Labour Statistics (BLS) released on Friday reported that non-farm payroll employment (NFP) rose by 256k in December, exceeding market expectations of 160k and beating the revised November figure of 212k (previously reported at 227k).
The unemployment rate fell to 4.1% in December from 4.2% in November. Annual wage inflation, as measured by the change in average hourly earnings, fell slightly to 3.9% from 4%.
US labour market data for December is likely to reinforce the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) stance on keeping interest rates unchanged in January, which will support the dollar against other currencies. Markets expect the Fed to keep the benchmark overnight interest rate in the range of 4.25%-4.50% at its 28-29 January meeting.
In addition, traders expect four interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank (ECB), which are expected to occur at each meeting through the summer. ECB policymakers seem to be comfortable with these expectations as inflationary pressures in the Eurozone remain largely under control.
The head of the ECB and the Bank of France said that interest rates will continue to move towards a neutral rate ‘without slowing down by the summer’ if upcoming data confirm that ‘the pullback in price pressures does not remain in place’.
Trade recommendation: Trading mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
EUR/USD Analysis: A Deep Dive into Key Triggers🧵 EUR/USD has been in a prolonged downtrend, recently gaining even more bearish momentum due to the strength of the DXY. I’m Skeptic , and in today’s analysis, we’ll break down potential long and short triggers for this pair. Let’s explore opportunities across multiple timeframes.
📉 Daily Timeframe: Identifying Key Levels
On the daily chart, the primary trend remains bearish within a descending channel.
Key Support Zone: 1.01270 to 1.00423
This zone aligns with the midline of the channel, Fibonacci retracements, and horizontal support levels.
If you’re holding short positions, this area is ideal for profit-taking.
📍 4-Hour Timeframe: Triggers and Precision
Moving to the 4-hour chart, we pinpoint actionable setups:
After breaking below the 1.02527 support level and consolidating, EUR/USD has reached the 1.02084 support zone.
For Breakout Traders:
A break and close below 1.02084 could signal further bearish momentum.
I personally lean toward this approach and will monitor the break closely.
For Reaction Traders:
Waiting for a pullback or bounce near the daily support zone (1.01270-1.00423) might
offer better long opportunities with tighter stop-loss levels.
📈 DXY Analysis: Driving Market Sentiment
The DXY (US Dollar Index) continues its strong bullish trend, and its performance heavily influences EUR/USD:
A sustained break above 109.449 could pave the way for further upside toward 113.219.
With its current bullish momentum, this move could pressure assets like Bitcoin, which may
test critical support levels at 85 or even 80-82.
Key Takeaways:
EUR/USD:
Watch for a break below 1.02084 for short entries.
React near 1.01270-1.00423 for potential long setups.
DXY:
A continuation above 109.449 strengthens bearish pressure on EUR/USD.
Conclusion & Final Thoughts
Navigating the EUR/USD market requires a blend of technical precision and patience. While short-term triggers offer immediate opportunities, always align your trades with the broader market context, such as DXY trends.
💬 What’s your take on EUR/USD? Are you a breakout or reaction trader? Share your insights in the comments!
I’m Skeptic , dedicated to simplifying trading and helping you achieve mastery step by step. Let’s keep growing and learning together! 😊
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Short to low of the wave “1” 1.02213.Colleagues, after last reaching the 1.02213 target, I believe the downward five-wave move is not over yet. Wave “5” is not yet complete, but now the price is in the correction of the lower wave “2”.
This means that the price is likely to continue the downward movement and update the low of the wave “1” 1.02213.
Therefore, I believe that the price will reach the 1.02213 area again.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
EURUSD: a higher for longerThe major data posted during the previous week were related to the US jobs data. The surprisingly better than expected Non-farm Payrolls figures of 256K hit the market on Friday. The expectations were standing at the side of 200K. At the same time, the unemployment rate dropped to the level of 4,1%, from 4,2% posted during previous months. Average hourly earnings were increased by 0,3% in December, bringing the figure to 3,9% for the year. Another surprise came from the Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary for January. The Michigan 5 years inflation expectations were increased to the level of 3,3%, from 3% posted during the previous months. From other macro data posted during the week, the ISM Services PMI in December reached 54,1 a bit higher from 53,3 market consensus.
Inflation rate preliminary for December in Germany reached 2,6% on a yearly basis, which was higher from market consensus of 2,4%. Inflation rate on a monthly basis was standing at 0,4%. Inflation rate in the Euro Zone flash for December was standing at 2,4% y/y and was in line with market expectations. The unemployment rate in the EuroZone in November was 6,3%, unchanged from the previous month. Factory orders in Germany continue to be under pressure with -5,4% m/m change in November. This was strongly below forecasted 0,3%. Retail sales in Germany in November were also surprising with a drop of -0,6% m/m while the market again expected to see a positive figure of 0,5%. The balance of trade in Germany in November managed to stay in a positive territory with 19,7B euros, which was much higher from market consensus of 14,8B euros.
During the previous week, the strong strengthening of the US Dollar continued. The eurusd took the course further toward the downside, reaching the lowest weekly level at 1,0220. The historical support line at 1,04 has been easily breached. This represents a continuation of the move toward the parity, after the last defense line at 1,04 has been clearly broken. The euro Zone continues to struggle to sustain its modest economic growth, while the latest jobs data in the US showed clear resilience of the US economy toward the inflation and high interest rates. The RSI continues to move around the oversold market side for the last three weeks. There is no clear indication on the potential for a short reversal. The MA50 continues to diverge from MA200, without an indication that the convergence might start anytime soon.
The markets set the clear course for eurusd in September last year. Now the main question is with which speed the markets will head toward parity? Current charts are pointing to some probability that the level 1,02 could be tested in the week ahead. However, it should be taken into account that December Inflation data for the US will be posted in the week ahead, which might bring back some volatility. The move toward the upside is possible, but it should be taken with a precaution. After posted jobs data, the market is currently in the sentiment that the interest rates will be “higher for longer”, in which sense, a demand for US Dollar might continue.
Important news to watch during the week ahead are:
EUR: Full year GDP growth in Germany, Inflation rate in Germany, final for December,
USD: Producers Price Index for December, Inflation rate in December, Retail Sales in December, Building Permits preliminary for December, Housing starts in December
Euro Back to Parity?The possibility of EUR/USD reaching parity remains a realistic scenario under current macroeconomic and geopolitical conditions.
1. Diverging Monetary Policies
In light of Tump 2.0 and the potential impact of increasing inflation due to the introduction of tariffs, the Federal Reserve is seen to be backing down on its path to keep cutting rates.
On the current plans for only 2 rate cuts in 2025, elevated U.S. interest rates could continue to bolster the U.S. dollar, as higher yields attract foreign investment, increasing demand for USD.
On the other hand, the European Central Bank (ECB) faces mounting pressure to ease its policy stance.
The Eurozone economy has shown signs of stagnation, with Germany, the region's economic engine, teetering on the brink of recession.
A dovish ECB weakens the euro relative to the dollar, contributing to downside pressure on EUR/USD.
2. Weakening Eurozone Economy
The U.S. economy has remained relatively resilient, supported by robust labor markets and consumer spending.
Conversely, the Eurozone has struggled with sluggish growth and energy dependence, leaving it more vulnerable to external shocks.
3. Geopolitical Risks
The ongoing effects of the Russia-Ukraine war continue to strain Europe’s energy sector.
While the region has reduced its reliance on Russian natural gas, high energy prices remain a structural challenge, eroding business competitiveness and consumer purchasing power.
Heightened geopolitical tensions globally have fueled risk-off sentiment, benefiting the safe-haven U.S. dollar.
4. Technical Analysis
EUR/USD has been trading in a downward trend since October 2024, after reaching a peak of 1.12.
Should the pair break below the round number level of 1.02 (and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level from the longer term) the path to parity becomes increasingly plausible, with 1.00 serving as the next major psychological support.
The 50-day moving average remains below the 200-day moving average, forming a " death cross " pattern, which indicates bearish momentum. Additionally, the TSRI MACD crossover indicates continued selling pressure but room for further downside.
Conclusion
The conditions are aligned for EUR/USD to reach parity.
While short-term volatility and market sentiment may delay this move, the structural drivers of dollar strength and euro weakness remain firmly in place.
Could the Fiber reverse from here?The price is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.0185
1st Support: 1.0092
1st Resistance: 1.0340
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD D1 I Potential Bullish Rise?Based on the daily chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 1.0123, which is a significant overlap support that aligns close to the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. This level presents a potential reversal point for the current downtrend.
Our take profit is set at 1.03318, near a strong pullback resistance level.
The stop loss is placed at 1.0067, below the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, to provide a buffer against potential market volatility while maintaining a favorable risk-reward ratio.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Levels discussed during livestream 10th Jan 202510th January 2025 (Pre NFP)
DXY: Consolidating below 109.40
strong nfp: break 109.40 trade up to 110
weak nfp; needs to break 108.80, to trade down to bottom of channel at 108.40
NZDUSD: Sell 0.5570 SL 30 TP 60 (DXY strength)
AUDUSD: Look for reaction at 0.62 support area, Sell 0.6255 SL 20 TP 50 (rejection of trendline)
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2250 SL 30 TP 60 (DXY strength)
EURUSD: Sell 1.0270 SL 25 TP 60 (DXY strength)
USDJPY: Sell 157.80 SL 30 TP 120 (DXY weakness MASSIVE Counter Trend)
EURJPY: Do Nothing
GBPJPY: Buy 195.50 SL 60 TP 250
USDCHF: Buy 0.91430 SL 30 TP 60
USDCAD: Buy 1.4390 SL 20 TP 70
XAUUSD: Continuation higher, break above 2678 to trade up to 2690
EUR/USD (EU) Analysis (Daily Timeframe)Recently, we’ve observed a distribution phase in EUR/USD, followed by a markdown , confirming the overall bearish trend visible on both the daily and weekly timeframes.
Key Observations:
Bearish Structure:
On the daily timeframe, price is consistently creating supply zones and showing strong reactions to them.
The market structure confirms the downtrend with the formation of lower lows and breaks to the downside.
EMA Interaction:
The price is currently surfing downward along the EMAs , which are acting as dynamic resistance and reinforcing the bearish momentum.
Scenarios to Watch:
Continuation: Price could continue its markdown, heading toward the short-term target and potentially testing the psychological level of 1.0000.
Re-distribution: There’s also a possibility of a move upward, creating a re-distribution phase to accumulate enough liquidity for a stronger push below 1.0000 .
Fundamental Insights:
Strength of the US Economy:
The US dollar remains strong due to:
Higher interest rates maintained by the Federal Reserve to combat inflation, which increases the demand for USD-denominated assets.
Strong labor market data , with low unemployment and rising wages supporting consumer spending.
Positive GDP growth , reflecting resilience in the US economy despite global economic challenges.
Weakness in the Eurozone:
European economies are facing multiple headwinds, including:
Energy concerns driven by geopolitical tensions, leading to higher costs for businesses and consumers.
Slow economic growth as inflation continues to weigh on consumer spending.
Divergence in monetary policy , with the European Central Bank (ECB) appearing more cautious about aggressive rate hikes compared to the Fed.
The combination of these factors makes the USD fundamentally stronger, while the EUR struggles under the weight of economic and geopolitical challenges.
My Perspective:
Given the strong bearish structure, EMA surfing, and fundamental backdrop, I expect further downside momentum. However, the possibility of a re-distribution phase cannot be ruled out, especially if liquidity is needed to push below the 1.0000 level. Staying cautious and reactive to price action around key levels will be crucial.
Weekly FOREX Forecast Jan 13, 2025This is an outlook for the week of Jan 13-17th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
USD Index
EURUSD
GBPUSD
AUDUSD
NZDUSD
CAD, USDCAD
CHF, USDCHF
JPY, USDJPY
The USD is still strong, so no reason to sell in the near term. With price at Monthly and Weekly
Supply levels, we have to proceed with caution in the near term. The bias is still bullish until the market gives us a HTF bearish break of structure.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
EURUSD 12/1/24Starting the week with our clear bias and understanding of what we aim to trade on EUR/USD. This bias and understanding are, as always, brought to us by Orion, providing precise bias, points of interest, and entry areas.
This week, we observe institutions once again driving the market downward, and we plan to follow this flow. Based on the current market conditions, we are presented with a target low and a major collection of highs, creating a strong area to watch for bearish momentum to return. The game plan is simple: look for a new low to form, giving us targets to aim for. If this happens, watch for the highs to be taken out, which will align us with our short bias. Alternatively, if our current target is reached first, we’ll shift our focus to the highs, providing opportunities to target new lows as the market retraces back to these areas, keeping us in line with the short bias.
Follow what price action shows you and, as always, trust Orion.
Stick to your plan, follow your rules.