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EURUSD

EURUSD 24 Jan 2025 W4- Intraday Analysis - EU & US PMIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 24 Jan 2025 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment Nothing much changed in sentiment since Tramp inauguration, yesterday Trump ease the tone on tariffs which gave optimism in the market (Risk Off) and weakened the dollar across the board. Dovish ECB Policy Expectations: Traders are anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut at each of the next four ECB policy meetings. Economic Concerns: Subdued inflationary pressures and concerns over the Eurozone's economic outlook. US Dollar Strength: Dollar appreciates following news that President Trump intends to review tariff policies. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bullish 🔹Swing Continuation after BOS 2️⃣ 🔹As expected, price created a bullish BOS as per the Daily/Weekly requirement for a pullback. 🔹Price didn’t mitigate any supply after the BOS so there is a high probability that we will continue up till we reach the 4H or Daily supply to initiate a BOS pullback phase (Can’t be ruled, we always have the expectation that a pullback will start at any time after any break of structure). 🔹Price mitigated the 4H demand within the 4H bullish INT structure and currently targeting the 4H Weak INT high. 3️⃣ 🔹My expectations is set for price to continue bullish till we mitigate a 4H/Daily supply. 🔹Will be following the LTF to follow the expectation of bullish continuation while putting in consideration the probability of a bearish move for the bullish BOS pullback phase that can start anytime. 15m Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bullish / ii Structure Bullish 🔹Swing Continuation 2️⃣ 🔹After the Bullish BOS, price still holding bullish respecting the Bullish INT Structure. 🔹INT Structure Strong low liquidity swept and price mitigated the 4H demand zone to continue bullish. 🔹** 15m Swing is currently the 4H swing and I started mapping the ii Structure until I can reset my 15m Swing with a bigger price range. 3️⃣ 🔹Currently ii Structure is bullish and we are in continuation phase to target the Weak INT High. 🔹Expectations is that price to continue bullish and to mitigate the 4H/Daily Supply zone to maybe initiate a pullback phase.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD Possible Bearish Movement?Hello everyone, hope everyone is doing great! Any feedback on this is appreciated. Here I got what I believe to be a possible EURUSD bearish movement, here are my thoughts: 4H Candles: Here we can see a bearish trend that has been going on since a few months ago, however this was recently broken with some events such as Trump entering into office this January 20th. While Chart analysis alone suggests we could see a bull for the euro, I would like to challenge it with the new decisions being taken by Trump (tariffs, dollar-first policies) and other news such as the ECB Rate Cuts on December. At the time being things are looking like theres going to be a lot of movement, I expect one last bounce before seeing any strong bulls during the next few weeks, but I believe we are already at a great entry point. Let me know your thoughts on it! Edit: For some reason my TP1 text wasnt added to the chart shown here, but it was placed at 1.03196.
Short
by degitah
2
EUR/USD Looks to Build on Gains Amid Trump's Emergency Declara..EUR/USD Looks to Build on Gains Amid Trump's Emergency Declaration The EUR/USD currency pair concluded the previous week on a high note, defying the bearish trend that had been in full swing until the 1.0177 level. As the new trading week began, the market's momentum shifted in favor of the EUR, propelled by a strong bullish impulse that left the US Dollar (USD) reeling. The opening salvo of the week saw the Greenback come under intense pressure, as investors grappled with the prospect of President Trump declaring a national emergency soon after taking office. The uncertainty surrounding this development has weighed heavily on the USD, allowing the EUR to gain traction and hold its ground. From a technical perspective, market analysts are eyeing a potential correction of the trend, with a possible retracement target of 1.0500 on the horizon. This development could signal a significant shift in the market's dynamics, as investors reassess their positions and adjust to the changing landscape. As the situation unfolds, one thing is certain: the EUR/USD pair will be closely watched in the coming days as market participants navigate the complex web of economic and political factors at play. Will the bullish momentum continue, or will the USD find its footing and push back against the EUR's gains? Only time will tell. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
7
XAU/USD : Liquidity Grab at $2733, Next Trend Awaits NY Session!By analyzing the 4-hour gold chart, we see that the price finally broke out of the neutral range of $2702-$2714 today, reaching as high as $2733 and clearing liquidity above $2727. After this liquidity grab, gold experienced a slight correction, retracing to $2717. Currently, the price is trading around $2722. As the New York market opens, we’ll see if gold can establish its next trend. It’s still too early to declare a bearish shift, as the bullish trend remains intact until the price breaks and stabilizes below $2688. For now, consider these levels for positions: Supply Zones: $2727, $2742, $2753 Demand Zones: $2717, $2711, $2703 Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ArmanShabanTrading
38
EURUSD: First red day up high into the high of the weekHello everyone and welcome back to my profile. I don't typically share templates every day, because I'm trying to select best opportunities that can move fast during the further 1/2/3 days. Please do not forget to support my work with a like, and comment if you have similar or contrary opinions to understand as well your point of view. EURUSD is actually up high into the high of week, high of month, high of year, it's January and is the first month of the year, is the opening range of the year. There is a great chance to see a reversal market from the current level, if it's going to setup correctly. However, as I always say, I'm not here to predict any directional move, because I'm a professional trader and I don't do entertainment with trading, trying to gamble my money in useless predictions. What I'm always looking for, are setups, which they repeat over and over again. To understand better the logic behind my thesis, let's have a deeply look into the week.. The previous week, overall, the market has been trading long, higher high on Wednesday for a 3 days dump and pump into the week, I wouldn't counter trending such a strong market. Monday, opening range of the week, the market broke the previous weekly high and stayed in breakout. Other times frame traders and big players are involved. Tuesday the market pullback on the previous weekly high, eventually stopping out breakout traders long from that level, closing kinda as an inside day, which I consider part of the consolidation process up high. Wednesday, the market broke higher, breaking out the HOW, HOM, HOY, closing back inside the range and closing as a first red day, which typically it can be a short signal if setups correctly during the further days. Today, the market triggered short in, and overall is consolidating into the yesterday LOD. Thesis: My main view, currently, is pretty short, the lower low of today can a be a sign of weakness for this market, Trump speaking on schedule, market it may be very volatile today, that's why I decided to don't be involved in any market position. The news release can obviously dump the market quickly straight into the LOW, or we can have a retest of the HOW for a consolidation and dumping during the next week (last week of the month). If the market today breaks lower, tomorrow I will be looking for a sell high opportunity targeting the current LOW. What about a bullish thesis? Once again, I think that predicting is pretty silly and gives you 50/50 of chances to be right. What I'm describing is the possibility to identify a short setup in a market condition that can offer it. A long thesis, would be absolutely still valid.. why? Yesterday after the higher high in the daily, weekly and monthly level, the market dumped down into the low, and went in consolidation. I cannot exclude a 2/3 days dump and pump for a range expansion to the upside. That means that I would be willing to take a long setup if the long thesis builds up. I will be updating this post until I think the template will be valid. Gianni
Short
by GianniPichichero
2
EUR/USD : Possible Fall Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #EURUSD chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price finally hit the 1.044 target, delivering a 250-pip return. Currently, EUR/USD is trading around the 1.041 level. If a strong rejection occurs at this zone, we can anticipate a potential drop toward 1.035 as the first target and 1.025 as the second target. This analysis will be updated accordingly! The Main Analysis : Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
32
EUR/USD: Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern AppearsDear friends, On the D1 timeframe, EUR/USD is showing promising signs with the formation of an inverse head and shoulders pattern, signaling a potential reversal of the downward trend. At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 1.039, down by 0.12% for the day. However, this could simply be a minor pullback before a significant breakout. The focus is now on the 1.034 support area, which is seen as a crucial foundation for the market to stage a strong rally. If this level holds, EUR/USD has a high chance of advancing toward the 1.045 resistance level, where we could anticipate a potential breakout. Notably, a solid consolidation above 1.045 would pave the way for EUR/USD to climb further, with no significant barriers in sight to prevent the pair from reaching the 1.060 target. What are your thoughts on the upcoming trend? Can EUR/USD break through the 1.045 level and surge toward 1.060? Share your opinions and predictions in the comments below – let’s discuss and exchange insights!
Long
by Joegoldwave
EURUSD 23 Jan 2025 W4- Intraday Analysis - US Jobless ClaimsThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 23 Jan 2025 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment Nothing much changed in sentiment since Tramp inauguration Dovish ECB Policy Expectations: Traders are anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut at each of the next four ECB policy meetings. Economic Concerns: Subdued inflationary pressures and concerns over the Eurozone's economic outlook. US Dollar Strength: Dollar appreciates following news that President Trump intends to review tariff policies. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bullish 🔹Swing Continuation after BOS 2️⃣ 🔹As expected, price created a bullish BOS as per the Daily/Weekly requirement for a pullback. 🔹Price didn’t mitigate any supply after the BOS so there is a high probability that we will continue up till we reach the 4H or Daily supply to initiate a BOS pullback phase (Can’t be ruled, we always have the expectation that a pullback will start at any time after any break of structure). 🔹Currently price is within a 4H FLIP zone that caused the BOS. Which could keep price bullish to target the weak INT high. 3️⃣ 🔹My expectations is set for price to continue bullish till we mitigate a 4H/Daily supply. 🔹Will be following the LTF to follow the expectation of bullish continuation while putting in consideration the probability of a bearish move for the bullish BOS pullback phase that can start anytime. 15m Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bullish 🔹Swing Continuation 2️⃣ 🔹Price created a bullish BOS. After a BOS we expect a pullback phase. 🔹We didn’t mitigate any supply zone to initiate the Swing Pullback Phase yet so we could continue bullish. 🔹Price is currently within the 4H FLIP zone and at the INT Structure extreme. 🔹The last defined demand zone within the INT structure failed and there is a probability that the INT structure could turn bearish to fulfill the BOS requirement for a Pullback Phase. 3️⃣ 🔹Expectations is still bullish until we have a confirmed bearish iBOS to initiate the Pullback Phase. 🔹Longs: As the demand failed, I’ll be waiting for a shift in the OF to bullish and demand to start holding to target the Weak INT High. 🔹Shorts: Will be waiting for bearish iBOS for pullback phase.
by Amr-Sadek
Will Trump's tariff threat be an obstacle to an ECB rate cut? Both short-term dollar weakness and the ECB’s increased inflation concerns have clearly propelled EURUSD upward. Finland's central bank governor, Oli Rehn, asserts that eurozone inflation will stabilize as anticipated and that monetary policy will continue to be constrained in the near future. Meanwhile, ECB President Lagarde has issued a stark warning that the threat of tariffs is set to rise with Trump’s return to power, which could lead to significant inflation risks. EURUSD breached above the descending channel’s upper bound and approached the resistance at 1.0470. EMA21 widens the gap after golden-crossing EMA78, indicating a possible shift to bullish momentum. If EURUSD breaches above 1.0470, the price could gain upward momentum toward 1.0560. Conversely, if EURUSD breaks below EMA21 and the support at 1.0360, the price may reenter the descending channel.
by inkicho_exness
FOREX Forecast UPDATES! Jan 22, WednesdayIn this video, we will update the forecasts for the following FX markets: USD Index EURUSD GBPUSD AUDUSD NZDUSD CAD, USDCAD CHF, USDCHF JPY, USDJPY The USD Index is now reacting to the Weekly Supply Zone, turning over. There was a bearish MSS, so sells are valid. A BOS would confirm the bearish trend starting, but we need to see how the price action plays out over the next two days. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME:6J1!
by RT_Money
Bearish drop off overlap resistance?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as ab overlap support. Pivot: 1.0450 1st Support: 1.0344 1st Resistance: 1.0538 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
EUR/USD Gains Amid EU Trump Tariff FearsThe EUR/USD pair has risen to 1.0457, its highest in five weeks, as markets react positively to President Trump's decision to delay implementing strict tariffs. Initially, investors were concerned about the potential impact of protectionist policies on global growth and US inflation. However, Trump's pivot towards pro-business measures has bolstered market sentiment. Despite these developments, Trump has criticized the EU and suggested possible future tariffs, prompting ECB President Christine Lagarde to advise Europe to brace for potential trade actions. Lagarde has praised the decision to hold off on blanket tariffs. Concurrently, the ECB is expected to maintain its easing stance with a 25 basis points rate cut anticipated next week. As European leaders Macron and Scholz emphasize unity against US trade threats, the dollar index remains steady at 108.1 amid ongoing tariff uncertainty. Looking ahead, traders are closely monitoring US-EU trade tensions and the potential for Federal Reserve rate cuts, which could influence the EUR/USD pair's trajectory.
by tastyfx
EURUSD: Major breakout over the 1D MA50. Trend reversal.EURUSD turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.937, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 23.376) after a long time as it crossed today over the 1D MA50 for the first time in almost 4 months (last time on October 3rd 2024). In the meantime, it also crossed above the top of the Falling Wedge. The initial bullish signal was the 1D RSI Bullish Divergence on HL but now it is a confirmed buy, pointing to a long term trend reversal. Our target will be the 1D MA200, just under the 0.618 Fib (TP = 1.07600). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
1
EURUSD The Target Is DOWN! SELL! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.0429 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.0364 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
EUR/USD Falling Wedge The falling wedge pattern on the EUR/USD 12-hour chart has been confirmed, signaling a potential bullish breakout. This classic technical setup indicates a reversal from the prior downtrend, with buyers stepping in as price breaks above the upper resistance line of the wedge. Key Details: Pattern Confirmation: The breakout above the wedge resistance line confirms the pattern, with a retest further validating the upward move. Targets: Target 1: 1.0600 – Based on previous support-turned-resistance levels. Target 2: 1.0900 – The measured move from the height of the wedge added to the breakout point. This setup reflects the strength of technical analysis, with the falling wedge showing the market's tendency to reverse after sustained selling pressure. A strong support level provides the foundation for this bullish move.
Long
by Charts_M7M