EUR/USD heading up - Europes time to shine!Looks like it's the Euro time to rally. With an unstable presidency and erratic party with America, it seems like Europe is finding it's feet and there is upside to come for it's currency.
Here are five reasons why and then we'll get into the technicals.
🇩🇪 German Stimulus Boosts Euro
Germany’s €500B spending plan lifts euro confidence.
📉 Weak U.S. Data Hurts Dollar
Poor U.S. data and uncertainty weigh on the greenback.
📈 Euro's Rally Momentum
EUR/USD sees strongest rally since 2015.
🏦 ECB Signals Fewer Cuts
ECB hints at fewer rate cuts, supporting euro strength.
🌍 Trade Tensions Easing
Tariff delays reduce USD demand, favoring the euro.
Let's look at the technicals
Inv Head and SHoulders
Price 20 and 200 MA
Target 1.1610
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EURUSD
EURUSD Forming the new long-term Top.The EURUSD pair continues to trade within a Bullish Megaphone pattern and is about to complete today the 4th straight red 1D candle.
This is technically a top formation as the 1D RSI went from overbought (above 70.00) to below 60.00. Technically a downtrend gets confirmed when the price breaks below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) so until it does, the probability for another short-term bounce there isn't small. This is what took place in September 2024.
Once the 1D MA50 breaks though, we expect a test of Support 1 at 1.03650, as it happened on October 23 2024.
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EURUSD: Bulls Will Push Higher
The analysis of the EURUSD chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to go up due to the rising pressure from the buyers.
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EURO - Price can break support level and continue to move downHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price reach and broke $1.0800 level and started to grow inside a rising channel pattern.
It reached the resistance level, bounced down, made correction to support and then rose up once again.
Euro touched $1.0920 level second time and turned around, after which exited from this rising channel.
Then price dropped fast and formed falling channel, breaking through $1.0920 level and reaching $1.0800 level.
After that it bounced up a little, but stayed inside the bearish channel without breaking resistance line.
Now price moves between support and resistance, but in my mind it can decline to $1.0715 support line.
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EURUSD BUYWe have a specific type of divergence on the 1-hour timeframe ⏳, indicating a potential drop 📉 in the higher timeframe. On the other hand, the lower 15-minute timeframe 🕒 gives us a buying perspective 📈. So, the analysis will be as shown in the image.
#eurusd #ForexTrading #PriceAction #ForexSignals #TradingAnalysis 💹
EURJPY NEXT MOVE, DEEP FUNDAMENTALS ANALYSIS EUR/JPY is currently trading around 162.300, having recently completed a breakout and subsequent retest, indicating a potential bullish continuation toward the target price of 168.300. This anticipated move suggests a gain of over 300 pips, aligning with the pair's prevailing uptrend.
Fundamentally, the Eurozone's economic indicators have shown resilience, with stable growth and inflation metrics supporting the euro. In contrast, the Bank of Japan's commitment to ultra-loose monetary policies has led to a depreciation of the yen, widening the interest rate differential between the two currencies and favoring a stronger euro
Technical analysis reinforces this bullish outlook. The pair edged higher to 164.16 last week before a slight retreat, suggesting consolidation ahead of a possible upward surge. As long as the 160.02 support level holds, further rally remains in favor, with potential targets at 164.89 and 166.67. A sustained break above these levels could pave the way toward the 168.300 target
Traders should monitor key resistance levels closely, as a confirmed breakout could present a lucrative opportunity to capitalize on the anticipated 300-pip movement. Implementing robust risk management strategies, such as setting appropriate stop-loss orders, is essential to mitigate potential market volatility. Staying informed about upcoming economic data releases and central bank communications will also be crucial in navigating this trading opportunity effectively.
EUR/USD: Sideways Movement Persists Below Key LevelThe EUR/USD market remains in a consolidation phase just below the November 2024 low. Recently, the price experienced false breakouts beneath both a key support level and last week's low, followed by a strong bullish rebound. This pattern suggests a likelihood of continued sideways movement in the near term.
At present, the price is testing the previous day’s high. If upcoming news does not negatively affect sentiment, the market may attempt a move higher, especially after multiple failed breakdowns of support. However, until a decisive break occurs beyond last week’s range, price action is expected to remain range-bound. The next target lies at the resistance zone around 1.08820
EUR/USD Falling Wedge Breakout – Professional Chart AnalysisOverview of the Chart
The EUR/USD 1-hour chart presents a bullish trading setup, featuring a well-defined falling wedge pattern, a trendline breakout, and a retest phase, signaling a potential upward move. The chart is marked with key technical elements such as support and resistance zones, breakout confirmation, and risk management parameters.
This analysis will break down each component of the chart, explaining the logic behind the setup and how traders can approach this opportunity.
1. Identified Chart Patterns
Falling Wedge Formation (Bullish Reversal Signal)
The price action formed a falling wedge, characterized by lower highs and lower lows, creating a narrowing price channel.
This pattern is typically a bullish reversal structure, as it indicates weakening selling pressure before an expected breakout.
The wedge’s downward movement ended with a strong breakout to the upside, signaling buyers regaining control.
2. Key Technical Levels
Support & Resistance Zones
Support Level (Buyers’ Stronghold)
The horizontal support level is a price area where buyers have previously stepped in, preventing further declines.
This level has been tested multiple times, reinforcing its strength as a key demand zone.
Resistance Zone (Profit Target Area)
The highlighted resistance zone represents a supply area where the price has struggled to move past in previous sessions.
The target price level aligns with this resistance, making it a realistic profit target for the long position.
3. Trendline Breakout Confirmation
Before forming the wedge, the chart shows an uptrend with a breakout above a trendline.
This trendline breakout was an early signal of bullish strength, aligning with the later wedge breakout.
After the breakout, the price came back for a retest, which is a key confirmation before further upward movement.
4. Retesting Phase Before the Upward Move
After breaking out of the wedge, the price returned to the breakout level to confirm support.
Retesting is a crucial validation step—if the price holds above this level, it increases the probability of a continued bullish move.
This retesting action provides a potential entry point for traders looking to go long.
5. Trade Setup & Risk Management Strategy
Trade Entry:
A buy entry is considered after the retest is confirmed (price holding above the breakout level).
Stop Loss Placement (Risk Control):
The stop loss is placed below the previous low at 1.07790, ensuring protection against fake breakouts or unexpected reversals.
Take Profit Target (Projected Price Move):
The target price is set at 1.09698, which aligns with previous resistance levels and the measured move from the wedge breakout.
This provides a strong risk-to-reward ratio, making the setup favorable for bullish traders.
6. Risk-Reward Ratio & Trade Viability
Risk: The distance between the entry point and the stop loss is relatively small, making it a low-risk trade.
Reward: The potential upside move is significantly higher than the risk, creating a high reward-to-risk ratio trade.
This type of technical confluence increases the probability of a successful trade, making it an attractive opportunity.
7. Conclusion & Trading Strategy
📌 Key Takeaways:
✅ The falling wedge breakout signals a bullish reversal.
✅ The trendline breakout and retest add further confirmation to the trade setup.
✅ The support and resistance zones provide a clear risk management strategy.
✅ The risk-reward ratio makes this an attractive long trade setup.
💡 Trading Plan:
🔹 Enter Long after retest confirmation above the breakout level.
🔹 Stop Loss: 1.07790 (below previous low).
🔹 Take Profit: 1.09698 (previous resistance zone).
Final Thoughts
This EUR/USD setup is a textbook example of a bullish reversal following a falling wedge breakout. Traders who patiently wait for a confirmed retest can capitalize on this high-probability trade setup, aiming for a strong bullish continuation.
🔹 Tags: #EURUSD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #Breakout #PriceAction #TradingSetup #SupportResistance
Yields Weigh on EUR/USD: Euro at 1.0820EUR/USD is trading around 1.0820 on Monday, rebounding slightly from last week’s low of 1.0795. The euro has pulled back from its recent high of 1.0955 with uncertainty over Germany’s fiscal policy and rising global trade tensions.
Caution persists before the April 2 announcement of new U.S. tariffs, which could weigh on the eurozone. Despite the modest recovery, the euro remains under pressure from stronger U.S. Treasury yields and demand for the dollar.
Key resistance is at 1.0860, followed by 1.0950 and 1.1000. Support stands at 1.0800, with further levels at 1.0730 and 1.0670.
GOLD H1 Update: Pullback in Progress BUY DIPS TP 3 100 USD🏆 Gold Market Update (March 24th 2025)
📊 Technical Outlook update
🔸Bullish OUTLOOK
🔸Broke out and set new ATH
🔸Strong UPTREND: Sequence of Higher Lows
🔸Recommend to BUY DIPS 2950 USD
🔸Price Target BULLS: 3075 USD - 3100 USD
📈 Market Performance & Price Action
🚀 Gold Hits All-Time High – Reached $3,057.21/oz this week
📊 Driven by: Geopolitical tensions + economic uncertainty
🏦 Federal Reserve Impact
🛑 Fed Keeps Interest Rates Steady at 4.25%–4.50%
🔮 Signals 2 rate cuts likely in 2025 due to slowing growth
📉 Lower rate outlook supports bullish gold sentiment
💹 Gold Investment Trends
📈 Gold ETFs Outperform Physical Gold
GDX (Gold Miners ETF) ↑ 32%
GLD (SPDR Gold Shares) ↑ 15.5%
📊 Investors leaning toward mining stocks & ETF exposure for higher returns
EURUSD: PCE data aheadThe Fed left rates unchanged on their FOMC meeting during the previous week, which was the major weekly event, closely watched by market participants. As for economic projections, Fed officials are now seen to have corrected GDP growth to 1.7% this year, while the inflation pressures are corrected toward the upside. Despite expectations of elevated inflation, Fed officials still see two rate cuts this year, totaling 0,5%. As for other macro news posted during the previous week, the US Retail Sales increased by 0,2% in February, which was a bit below 0,6% market consensus. Business inventories were higher by 0,3% in January on a monthly basis, in line with market expectations. The US Building Permits preliminary for February dropped by -1,2% for the month, and were not in line with expected -0,2%. At the same time, the Existing Home Sales were increased by 4,2% in February on a monthly basis, highly above market estimate. The Industrial Production in February picked up with 0,7% for the month, above forecasted 0,2%. At the same time the IP on a yearly basis reached 1,4%, below expected 2,3%.
The ZEW Economic Sentiment Index in the Euro Zone reached the level of 39,8 in March in line with market expectations. The same indicator for Germany was standing at 51,6 and was above forecasted 48,1. Final inflation rate in the Euro Zone in February was standing at 0,4% for the month and 2,3% on a yearly basis, without a significant change from the previous estimate. The core inflation remained elevated at 2,6% y/y. The Producers Price Index in Germany in February dropped by -0,2% for the month, bringing this indicator to the level of 0,7% on a yearly basis.
The eurusd currency pair was traded in a relatively shorter range during the previous week. The highest weekly level was 1,095, however, the 1,10 resistance line has not been tested on this occasion. The second half of the trading week was more oriented toward the downside, where the support line at 1,08 has been shortly tested. Two weeks ago the RSI reached the clear overbought market side, from where it started a modest reversal. The lowest level of the indicator was 58, reached on Friday. The MA50 continues with this stronger convergence toward the MA200, but still with a distance between two lines. With this trend, a potential cross might come within a few weeks.
The currency pair will start the week ahead by testing the 1,08 support line. In case that this level is clearly breached, the next stop might be around the 1,07. This level is not a significant one for a eurusd pair, in which sense, this could be only a short stop. On the opposite side, there is some probability for a 1,10 resistance level, considering that it has not been clearly tested during the previous week. Certainly, one day to watch closely in a week ahead is Friday, March 28th, when PCE data is scheduled for a release. Some higher volatility is expected during the release of the PCE data.
Important news to watch during the week ahead are:
EUR: HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash for March in Germany, Ifo Business Climate for Germany in March, GfK Consumer Confidence in Germany in April, Unemployment rate in Germany in March,
USD: S&P Global composite PMI Flash for March, CB Consumer Confidence in March, the New Home Sales in February, Durable Goods Orders in February, GDP Growth Rate final for Q4, PCE Price Index for February is scheduled for a release on Friday, March 28th., as well as Michigan Consumer Sentiment final for March.
EUR/USD: Bearish Reversal Potential at Fibonacci LevelEUR/USD daily chart provides a nice short opportunity. The pair recently experienced a retracement as part of an extended downtrend, reaching the 70.00% Fibonacci retracement level and facing resistance at the 1.09957/1.09947 level. A confluence of technical variables in this way can serve as a potential reversal point and resumption of the underlying bearish trend.
Trading Strategy:
Entry: Sell short EUR/USD at or near the prevailing price (1.08361) on confirmation of bearish price action such as a rejection candle off the resistance point.
Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss order above the new high (1.12142) or at a judiciously chosen resistance level to manage risk.
Take Profit: Look for the following support levels as probable take-profit points:
1.07323
1.07286
1.06794
Week of 3/23/25: EU AnalysisWeekly analysis of EU, my analysis shows bearish signals and where I am looking to trade from.
The chart looks very healthy for a daily retracement with the medium time frames aligning to it.
Only volatile news this week for me to watch out for is:
Unemployment Claims - Thursday
Let me know your thoughts, analysis, or what you'd like to see!
Thanks for watching, good luck this week, let's kill it.
EURUSD Maintains Bearish Momentum - Is 1.07500 the Next Target?OANDA:EURUSD is trading within a well-defined descending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. Recently, the price rejected a key resistance zone, reinforcing bearish momentum and signaling a potential continuation toward lower levels.
The current price action suggests that if price continues to respect this resistance, we could see further downside toward 1.07500, aligning with the lower boundary of the channel. However, if price breaks above the channel and sustains above it, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, potentially signaling a shift in momentum. Monitoring price action and volume at this level will be essential for confirmation.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
Deep dive into EUR/USD analysis along with GBP & JPYIn this video I go into what I'm currently looking at on the EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY.
Leaning towards the bearish side for EUR/USD, I want to see us take out 1.0800 before I have more conviction. I will continue to cautiously hold short positions for a possible run down towards 1.0600 area or the yearly pivot zone.
Hope you enjoy this analysis.
Good Luck and Trade Safe.
EURUSD - Anticipated Pullback to Key Reaction ZoneThe EUR/USD 4-hour chart shows a recent downward movement after reaching peaks around 1.0950. Price action indicates a bearish momentum developing, with the pair currently trading at approximately 1.0815. We are expecting a pullback to occur first to the reaction zone marked on the chart (approximately 1.0730-1.0750 area, highlighted in blue), which represents a significant fair value gap. Traders should wait for the price to reach this zone and then look for signs of a bullish reversal, such as candlestick patterns (like hammers or engulfing patterns), divergences on oscillator indicators, or increased buying volume. This reaction zone could provide an attractive entry opportunity for long positions if bullish confirmation signals appear, potentially initiating a new upward movement from this established support area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.0815
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.0880
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
WHY EURNZD IS BULLISH AGAING ?? DETAILED ANALYSISEUR/NZD is currently trading at approximately 1.886, having completed a retesting phase following a bullish breakout. This technical development suggests the potential for a renewed upward movement toward the target price of 1.9300. With strong bullish momentum building, traders are closely watching for confirmation signals to enter long positions.
Fundamentally, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) recently implemented a 50 basis point rate cut, reducing the benchmark rate to 3.75%, with indications of further easing to stimulate the economy. This dovish monetary policy stance tends to exert downward pressure on the New Zealand dollar, thereby supporting the EUR/NZD pair. Meanwhile, the Eurozone has maintained a more stable monetary policy, contributing to euro strength relative to the New Zealand dollar. This divergence in central bank policies enhances the bullish outlook for EUR/NZD.
Technical indicators further reinforce this perspective. The pair has been in a downward channel since mid-February; however, recent bullish candles indicate a potential short-term reversal or correction. The price has swiftly moved from the lower Bollinger Band to the upper band, breaking through the middle band in a strong bullish move. Additionally, EUR/NZD is currently testing the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, a key decision point for traders.
Considering these technical and fundamental factors, the EUR/NZD pair appears poised for a bullish wave toward the 1.9300 target. Traders should monitor key resistance levels and employ appropriate risk management strategies to capitalize on this potential upward movement. If momentum continues, this setup could present a profitable long trade opportunity in the coming sessions.
EURUSD: Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis for EURUSD;
Resistance 1: 1.0944 - 1.0955 area
Support 1: 1.0804 - 1.0834 area
Support 2: 1.0598 - 1.0630 area
Support 3: 1.0515 - 1.0533 area
Support 4: 1.0359 - 1.0377 area
Support 5: 1.0727 - 1.0290 area
Support 6: 1.0717 - 1.0240 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.