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EURUSD

EURUSD – Bearish Outlook After Inducement and RejectionEURUSD recently delivered a sharp rejection from the 1.13700 resistance zone, a level that previously acted as a strong barrier for price. This area had already shown signs of supply in the past, and the latest reaction only strengthens the case for continued bearish interest at that level. The rejection candle was large, clean, and decisive, showing that sellers aggressively stepped in after price entered the premium zone. This shift now places focus on how price navigates lower timeframes in the short term, especially as we approach key liquidity levels and structural points of interest. Sweep Setup and Liquidity Outlook Despite the rejection, one notable feature left behind is a 1H swing high just under 1.13400. This high remains untapped and likely holds buy-side liquidity from breakout traders. It’s common to see price sweep such local highs before turning lower, especially after a clear rejection from a major zone like the one above. This potential inducement move, where price runs the high to gather liquidity and trap late buyers, is what I’ll be watching closely next. The scenario I’m anticipating is a relatively short-lived push higher, just enough to clear the swing high liquidity before price shifts bearish again. This behavior fits within the broader bearish structure and could serve as the final fuel needed before a deeper move to the downside unfolds. Key Levels and Technical Context The first point of interest comes in at the 1.12182 level, which is marked on the chart. This level is not rando, it aligns with previous structure, sits near a micro-breaker, and is positioned just above a fair value gap. If we do get the anticipated sweep of the 1H high, this 1.12182 area becomes a highly sensitive zone where the next key reaction could occur. What makes this POI important is that it serves as a decision point for the market. If the sweep occurs and price aggressively sells off into this level, we can start watching for continuation setups. But if price stalls or consolidates here, we’ll need to evaluate whether the bearish momentum is still intact or if a shift is occurring. If bearish pressure continues, the next downside target is the POI around 1.11300. This level is nested cleanly inside a higher-timeframe fair value gap, and it also overlaps with a prior demand zone. From a liquidity standpoint, it’s the logical draw, resting sell-side liquidity is likely building beneath those May lows, and the market could easily target that zone once 1.12182 is breached. Momentum, Structure, and Execution Plan The current structure is bearish, but short-term strength is still on the table until the sweep of the 1H high plays out. I’m not interested in selling into strength just yet, I’d prefer to see the inducement leg complete, followed by signs of weakness such as bearish engulfing structures, lower timeframe market structure breaks, or clean fair value gap entries forming after the sweep. Once price breaks below 1.12182 decisively, it opens the path toward the next liquidity pocket at 1.11300. Any signs of continuation post-rejection from that first POI would be used to look for scalable short entries with tight risk and larger reward-to-risk ratios. Conclusion EURUSD is setting up for a clean liquidity run above the 1H high, following a strong rejection from higher timeframe resistance. The plan is to let price run that liquidity, then look for bearish signs to engage short down toward 1.12182. If that level fails to hold and bearish pressure continues, the 1.11300 POI becomes the next logical target. The structure is lining up well for this sequence, but execution will depend on how price behaves around the key inducement and reaction zones. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Short
by TehThomas
29
Euro will start to grow from support and then leave pennantHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Previously, price was moving confidently inside an upward channel, forming steady higher highs and higher lows. After a clear breakout from that structure, the price started consolidating inside a new pattern, an upward pennant. This formation usually appears as a continuation structure, where the market builds pressure before a new impulse. Currently, the price is trading near the middle of the pennant, after rolling down from the resistance line and rebounding up from the support area. The structure is compressing, and a retest of the support line near 1.1155 may occur before a breakout happens. Given the confluence of the pennant structure, the strong support area, and the previous bullish momentum, I expect the Euro to rebound again from the lower trend line and initiate an upward breakout. That’s why I set my TP 1 at the 1.1500 level, a logical target aligned with the upper boundary of the pattern and next key resistance. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Long
by LegionQ8
6
XAU/USD: It's time for Fall? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that after our last analysis, the price continued to rise as expected and reached $3344. As I anticipated last week, the gap between $3311 and $3322 has finally been filled! This analysis has delivered a return of over 1090 pips so far. After hitting the $3340 zone, the price faced strong selling pressure and is currently trading around $3294. If gold manages to hold below $3284, we could expect further downside. This analysis will be updated! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
4
EURUSD Under Pressure After Weak Eurozone PMIsEurozone PMIs disappointed, and EURUSD is feeling the negative pressure as a result. After breaking above 1.1275, EURUSD is now trading within the 1.1275–1.1375 range. Despite the weak PMI, shaky U.S. bond markets and a stronger Japanese yen are contributing to a weaker dollar, which is offering some support to EURUSD. The Eurozone composite PMI fell to 49.5 from 50.4, missing expectations of a rise to 50.6. After just four months above 50, the drop back into contraction territory highlights that the Eurozone remains far from recovery. On a positive note, the manufacturing component is starting to show signs of improvement. Following the data and the news that the "big, beautiful bill" passed in the U.S. House, EURUSD is trying to hold the former resistance at 1.1275, which is now acting as support. If this level fails, the next downside target would be 1.1215. On the upside, 1.1375 and 1.1425 remain key resistance levels. While 1.1425 holds greater long-term significance, 1.1375 may cap gains for the remainder of the week.
by ftdsystem
EURUSD Technical Analysis! SELL! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.1348 Bias - Bearish Safe Stop Loss - 1.1396 Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 1.1273 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
4
EUR/USD Rebounds, Eurozone Data EyedEUR/USD climbed to around 1.1310 during Friday’s Asian session, rebounding as U.S. Treasury yields declined, the 30-year yield slipped from its 19-month high of 5.15%, weighing on the dollar. The recovery follows the House passing Trump’s fiscal bill, which revived deficit worries. Earlier, strong U.S. PMI figures (Composite: 52.1, Manufacturing & Services: 52.3) had briefly strengthened the dollar. Fed Governor Waller hinted at possible rate cuts if tariffs stabilize, while Trump renewed threats of higher tariffs on the EU. On the European front, ECB officials expect inflation to return to near 2% by end-2025, though growth remains subdued. Eurozone PMIs showed services at 48.9 and manufacturing at 49.4. Focus now shifts to Germany’s GDP release. Resistance is at 1.1390, with higher levels at 1.1460 and 1.1580. First support lies at 1.1260, followed by 1.1100 and 1.1050.
by ChartMage
EURUSD – 1H Update on Our Previous EURUSD Post +60 PipsAs expected from our last idea, price reacted well to our 1H Order Block zones. 🔹 Upon receiving bullish confirmation on the 3-minute timeframe, we entered a long position, which has now moved 60 pips in our favor. 📍 Current Setup: Price is now at a decision point – around yesterday’s high (PDH) and the 1H supply (OB). ✅ If price breaks above PDH (dashed yellow line), it could lead to a clean break of the 1H resistance and continuation to the upside. 🚫 However, if bullish momentum weakens, there’s a real chance price may pull back to collect buy-side liquidity in the blue and green demand boxes below. ⚠️ It’s Friday – trade with caution! Late-week volatility and false spikes are common before weekly close. 🔍 Insight by ProfitaminFX If this outlook aligns with your bias, or if you see it differently, feel free to share your perspective in the comments. Let’s grow together 📈
by ProfitaminFX
Bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 1.1263 1st Support: 1.1166 1st Resistance: 1.1423 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
1
Big Picture Shift: EURUSD Bulls Eye 1.23–1.25 Zone📊 EURUSD – Has the Long-Term Trend Finally Reversed? Since the 2008 all-time high at 1.60, EURUSD has been in a persistent downtrend, dropping all the way below parity in September 2022. Following the recovery back above parity, the pair has been range-bound in a 700-pip channel for nearly two years. And while early 2025 brought a sharp decline toward the 1.02 zone, this move was quickly reversed, forming what now looks like a higher low relative to the sub-parity bottom. ❓ The big question: Is the long-term trend now bullish? There are several signs supporting this idea: ✅ From 2008 to 2014, the pair formed a massive descending triangle, which eventually broke to the downside. ✅ The area around 1.05 held as a long-term support, and price began trading in a broader range with 1.22–1.23 resistance. ✅ The break below parity could now be interpreted as a false breakdown, with the strong reversal from 1.02 this year confirming the historical support zones from 2015 and 2017. ✅ Most importantly, the recent push to 1.1550 could be the first higher high on the long-term chart — a potential signal that the downtrend of nearly two decades is ending. 🎯 Conclusion and Long-Term Target In my view, the long-term trend has shifted. The structure now favors bullish continuation, and my primary target on the long term is the 1.23–1.25 zone. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
6
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 23, 2025 EURUSDEvent to pay attention today: 17:00 EET. USD- Volume of home sales on the primary market EURUSD: EUR/USD is recovering its recent losses from the previous session and is trading around 1.1310 during Asian hours on Friday. The pair is rising on the back of lower US Treasury yields, which continue to decline after the US 30-year bond yield retreated from 5.15 per cent, the highest in 19 months. US President Donald Trump's ‘One Big Beautiful Bill’ has passed the House of Representatives and is on its way to the Senate, sparking fears of a widening budget deficit in the United States (US). However, EUR/USD lost around 0.50 per cent on Thursday as the US dollar gained as the S&P Global Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for May came in at 52.1, up from April's 50.6. Meanwhile, the manufacturing PMI rose to 52.3 from 50.2 previously, while the services PMI rose to 52.3 from 50.8. Fed Chairman Christopher Waller noted on Thursday that markets are watching fiscal policy. Waller also said that if rates are close to 10%, the economy will be in good shape for H2 and the Fed may be in a position to cut rates later this year. The Financial Times reported that President Trump is pushing the European Union (EU) to cut tariffs or impose more duties. US Trade Representative Greer is set to tell fellow EU Commissioner for Trade and Economic Security, Maroš Šefčovič, that the recent ‘explanatory memorandum’ does not meet US expectations. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.13200, SL 1.13000, TP 1.14200
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EURUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 1.1426, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibo extension. Our take profit is set at 1.1275, an overlap support. The stop loss is set at 1.1549, a swing high resistance. Disclaimer High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
EURUSD – Consolidation below trendline hints at breakout aheadHello traders! EURUSD is currently forming a rather interesting consolidation pattern right below the descending trendline – a level that has rejected price twice in the past. After a mild pullback from the 1.1382 zone, price has quickly recovered and is now hovering around the EMA34 and EMA89. This is an important confluence area and is acting as short-term support around 1.1263. If EURUSD continues to hold above this support and forms sideways accumulation, the probability of a trendline breakout will increase. In that case, the next target will likely be the previous high at 1.1382. U.S. bond yields are fluctuating sharply, and geopolitical tensions – such as trade uncertainty or regional instability – may serve as catalysts that support the euro. Keep an eye on the breakout zone – if price breaks out decisively, it could be a strong confirmation of a new bullish trend!
Long
by Rocky_trade_
EURUSD – Buy to Mega Resistance 1.2455 (then SELL BIG)💹📊 EURUSD – Buy to Mega Resistance 1.2455 (then SELL BIG) 🧨🔮 The EURUSD is marching toward history once again—right into the jaws of the 1.2455 Mega Resistance (descending level-approximate target). As always, the structure tells the story. 📈 What we’re seeing now is the third peak of a massive, decade-long descending formation. Every previous touch has ended in a violent rejection—2014, 2018... and now 2025? 👁 But here’s where it gets spicy: See that small “👁” near 2017 on the chart? That wasn’t just a market pivot—it was a geopolitical tremor that reshaped the EURUSD landscape. Want to dive into what really happened behind closed doors in 2017 that’s still quietly echoing through the price action today? Drop a comment below for the conspiracy version of this chart. 🕵️‍♂️📉 🔍 Strategy Overview: ✅ BUY setups targeting 1.2455 ❗ Then get ready to SELL BIG — the third touch historically marks the turn. 📉 Bear targets: 1.03860 and 1.04772 (classic collapse zones) The chart confirms the momentum is still alive—just like the 2020 setup that nailed the top at 1.232 ( ) History doesn’t repeat… but it sure does rhyme 🎭 One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first!
Long
by FX_Professor
7
EURUSD Set To Fall! SELL! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for EURUSD is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.1332 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 1.1242 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
EUR/USD Forming Double Top –Bearish Reversal Toward Key Support?📉 EUR/USD Technical Outlook – Bearish Bias Developing 🔍 🟪 Key Resistance Zone: 📍 1.1350 – 1.1450 Price has tested this resistance zone multiple times, forming a double-top pattern (🔄) within the highlighted circle. This signals buying exhaustion and potential reversal pressure. The recent failure to break above confirms the zone’s strength. 🔴 EMA Confluence: 🧭 50 EMA (red): ~1.1242 🧭 200 EMA (blue): ~1.0961 The price is currently hovering just above the 50 EMA but well above the 200 EMA, which is acting as a dynamic support. The crossover has already occurred, so if price breaks below the 50 EMA decisively, momentum could shift bearish. 🔻 Support Breakdown Risk: A breakdown from the 1.1200 neckline area (highlighted in red oval) would confirm the double-top pattern 🎯. That opens downside potential toward the strong demand zone below. 🟪 Strong Support Zone: 📍 1.0700 – 1.0800 This area aligns with prior consolidation (March lows) and the 200 EMA, making it a high-probability reversal zone 📈 if the bearish scenario plays out. 📌 Trade Setup Insight: ✅ Bearish confirmation below 1.1200 neckline 📉 🎯 Target: 1.0800 zone ❌ Invalidation: Break above 1.1350 resistance 🔵 Summary: The chart is hinting at a classic double-top reversal below a key resistance zone. If price breaks the neckline, sellers are likely to gain control, targeting the strong support near the 200 EMA. 📊 Bias: Bearish 👇 📅 Timeframe: Daily 🛑 Risk Management: Watch for fake-outs near neckline; volume confirmation preferred.
Short
by MrStellanSight
25
EURUSD – Testing 1H Supply Zone, Awaiting Confirmation | ProfitaAfter a strong bullish rally breaking previous highs, EURUSD is now reacting to the 1H supply zone (OB 1H) marked in red. We’re seeing an initial bearish rejection from this zone. If sellers maintain control, price may retrace toward the lower demand areas: Blue OB 1H zone (1.12200 – 1.12450) Green FVG 1H further below However, if buyers manage to push price above the red OB and close a candle above it, continuation to the upside remains a valid scenario. 📌 Key Levels 🟢 Support Zones: 1.12200 – 1.12450 1.11780 – 1.12000 🔴 Resistance: 1.13500 – 1.13800 ⚠️ Note: Watch for lower-timeframe (M5/M3) confirmations for entry. Only act on clear setups inside the zones. 🔍 Insight by ProfitaminFX
Long
by ProfitaminFX
Can EUR/USD hold above the 1.13 threshold?The EUR/USD exchange rate faced selling pressure during the European trading session, falling to around 1.13. The price movement was dragged down by the significantly lower-than-expected Eurozone preliminary PMI data for May, with the composite PMI dropping from 49.5 in April to 50.4, indicating signs of contraction in overall business activity. From a technical perspective on the daily chart, EUR/USD is currently near the 1.13 level, showing signs of technical adjustment pressure. After forming a high at 1.1572, the price pulled back. The upper band of the Bollinger Bands is at 1.1494, the middle band at 1.13, and the lower band at 1.1110. The current exchange rate is trading precisely near the middle Bollinger Band, a level that typically carries significant support or resistance significance. In the market, there are no absolutes, and neither upward nor downward trends are set in stone. Therefore, the ability to judge the balance between market gains and losses is your key to success. Let money become our loyal servant.
by Ashbur