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Eurusd4h

EUR/USD Potential long trade setup (4H)I am looking a long opportunity on EUR/USD. There is a clear bullish RSI divergence found and suggesting me potential upside, My entry is placed at 1.10218, Targeting 1.11631 (TP-1) and 1.13100 (TP-2) Stop loss set at 1.08778. The risk to reward ratio is favorable and i am expecting a bounce from current levels. i will wait for price action confirmation before entering following the trend reversal signs from divergence. Best of Luck
Long
by kashifone1
9
Euro Slumps on Populist Surge: A Trader's Guide to Uncertainty The European political landscape has just thrown a curveball at the financial markets. A recent poll indicating a rise in populist and eurosceptic parties has sent shockwaves through the system, triggering a significant drop in the euro. This newfound uncertainty presents both risks and opportunities for traders, demanding a strategic shift in approach. The poll results paint a picture of a fractured Europe, with anxieties swirling about the future unity and stability of the European Union. Investors, understandably jittery, have reacted swiftly by pulling back on euro-denominated assets. This has resulted in a sharp decline in the euro's value against other major currencies. The coming days and weeks are likely to be marked by continued volatility in the eurozone, creating a complex environment for traders to navigate. Adaptability is paramount in this climate. With the potential for further political escalation, the euro's depreciation could accelerate. In such a scenario, shorting the euro – essentially betting on its decline – could be a viable strategy. However, this is a tactic that requires meticulous planning and precise timing. Traders must carefully weigh the risks involved against the profit potential. To make informed decisions, staying abreast of developments is crucial. Closely monitoring the political climate and key economic indicators that could influence the euro is essential. Real-time news updates, expert analysis, and access to reliable data sources are your weapons of choice in these turbulent waters. Additionally, implementing robust risk management techniques will be your safety net, protecting your investments from unforeseen market swings. The current situation presents a unique opportunity for astute traders. By evaluating existing positions, considering the potential benefits of shorting the euro, and formulating a well-defined strategy, you can transform these challenges into opportunities. While the path ahead may be unclear, adopting the right approach can empower you to thrive in this volatile market. By following these steps and leveraging our resources, you can transform uncertainty into an advantage and emerge from this market turbulence a winner.
Short
by bryandowningqln
EURUSD price is moving sidewaysEURUSD: The EUR nowadays did now no longer decline however as a substitute is shifting up close to the 1.0740 resistance region. This is because of the weakening of the USD. Currently, due to the fact DXY is damaged and is possibly to maintain to weaken, nowadays`s model ace can pay interest to NONFARM. It is anticipated that EURUSD will possibly retest across the 1.0683 region and rebound. Consider in short promoting across the cutting-edge fee region and shopping for again across the 1.0680 guide region
Short
by TheLeader_WOLF
EURUSD Bearish Butterfly Pattern Formation @ 4-Hour TimeframeEURUSD is currently forming a Butterfly Harmonic Pattern (XABCD) on the 4-hour timeframe. This pattern is characterized by specific Fibonacci ratios between the price swings. The pattern consists of four legs: XA, AB, BC, and CD. The completion point, known as Point D, is expected to coincide with a key Resistance level. Trendline Analysis: Additionally, there is a trendline that intersects with the completion point of the Butterfly pattern. This trendline further reinforces the potential resistance at Point D and suggests a strong level of selling pressure. Bearish Momentum Expected: Based on the formation of the Butterfly Harmonic Pattern and the confluence with the trendline resistance, we anticipate a shift in momentum towards the downside. This suggests a bearish outlook for EURUSD. Entry, Stop Loss, and Take Profit Levels: Entry: We recommend taking a short position at 1.06800, which aligns with the anticipated reversal point (Point D) of the Butterfly pattern and the resistance level. Stop Loss: To manage risk, a stop loss should be placed at 1.07180, just above the recent swing high. This level provides a buffer against potential market volatility while allowing room for the trade to develop. Take Profit Targets: We have identified two take profit levels: TP-1: Set the first take profit target at 1.06400. This level corresponds to a significant support area and offers a reasonable profit target based on the expected bearish momentum. TP-2: The second take profit target is set at 1.06025, aiming for a deeper retracement. This level aligns with a previous swing low and provides a more ambitious target for profit-taking. Conclusion: In conclusion, the EURUSD pair is exhibiting signs of a potential bearish reversal as it forms a Butterfly Harmonic Pattern along with a trendline resistance on the 4-hour timeframe. Traders may consider short positions with an entry at 1.06800, a stop loss at 1.07180, and take profit targets at 1.06400 and 1.06025. It's essential to monitor price action closely and adjust positions accordingly as the trade develops.
Short
by trading_jupiter
2
SasanSeifi 💁‍♂ Two Possible Scenarios for the 4-Hour TimeframeIn the 4-hour timeframe, as you can see, after correcting from the 1.11 range, the price is in a range of 1.095. Based on the behavior of the candles, the possibility of correcting the price to the range of 1.084 / 1.080 can be considered. A scenario that we can consider in the 4-hour timeframe is that the price will be accompanied by a correction to the price range of 1.090 after ranging and confirmation. Then, if there is a pullback, it will again face more correction to the FAIR VALUE GAP and the order block range. Also, another scenario that can be considered is as follows: After ranging and partial positive fluctuations from the price ranges of 1.10 / 1.10400, after collecting liquidity and confirmation, we will see the price rejected and corrected. In case of positive fluctuations, to better understand the continuation of the movement trend, we must see how the price reacts to the resistance ranges. Potential trends and support and resistance ranges are also shown in the image above, respectively. 🔵Remember, always conduct your analysis and consider other factors before making any trading decisions. Good luck!"✌️ ❎ (DYOR)...⚠️⚜️ Sure, if you have any more questions or need further clarification, feel free to ask. I'm here to help! if you found my analysis helpful, I would appreciate it if you could show your support by liking and commenting. Thank you!🙌✌
by SasanSeifi
EURUSD - 2024 - Week 3I am waiting for the sell pressure to take hold after the weekly shift in market structure to the downside to line up with the major trend. Liquidity has been created on both sides but I'm confident that supply has got the upper hand. I will be looking for buys up to the H4 supply zones before moving into sell mode, being careful of the fact there is more than one place for price to reverse so we could get a fake move to liquidate the early swing traders into the institutional positions
Short
by Kram_Capital
EUR's Unlocked Bullish Potential Plus Bearish Scenario[EURUSD]Dear Esteemed Investors, I'm sharing the results of my news trading method with you. By now, all of you know I'm using AI natural language processing to weight world news and cross-check against popular sentiment indicators like DSI and DSIE. Standard DSI/DSIE signals an optimistic outlook for the EURUSD market. It means that the possibly influential investors believe in the EUR. I've extended these analytics with machine-learning deep neural nets that implement the mentioned natural language processing. Here are some of the crucial results. The US dollar index has been trending lower in recent weeks, which has provided support for the EURUSD. This weakness results from the expectations of further interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. The central bank tackles slowing economic growth. Positive economic indicators from the eurozone, such as powerful industrial production and retail sales, have boosted investor confidence in the region's economic outlook. It has contributed to increased demand for the euro and a firmer EURUSD. Geopolitical tensions reduced, particularly regarding the Ukraine crisis, has created a more conducive environment for risk-on assets like the EURUSD. It has led to increased investor appetite for euro-denominated assets. However, rising inflation in the eurozone has raised concerns about the European Central Bank's ability to maintain its loose monetary policy. It has put downward pressure on the euro and weighed on EURUSD. Persistently high energy prices are putting a strain on eurozone economies, potentially leading to slower economic growth. It could dampen demand for the euro and weaken the EURUSD. If the Federal Reserve raises interest rates faster than you expected, it could widen the interest rate differential between the US and Europe, making the dollar more attractive and weakening the euro. Ongoing geopolitical tensions and possible global recession could negatively impact investor sentiment and dampen demand for the euro and the dollar. It could create volatility and uncertainty in the EURUSD market. The EURUSD outlook remains mixed, with bullish and bearish factors at play. While the weaker US dollar and positive European economic data have supported the euro, rising inflation, energy price concerns, and the possibility of faster US interest rate hikes pose potential headwinds. Ultimately, the direction of the EURUSD will depend on the relative strength of these factors and the evolving global economic landscape. In objective numerical, MACD and RSI positively move on the bullish side under the chart. The indicators align with an ongoing bullish signal on them. The previous forecast started on 12 Dec 23 when I took a profit from my 30 Nov 23 short and wrote a bullish outlook. You can find these forecasts on the chart with the related ideas. I traded according to the same logic. So, I had and still have a long since sharing the latest forecast. I believe that the price can continue the bullish rally until $1.111. It's on the resistance line from historical tops under the short ideas on the left side of the chart. I marked the target zone with a green rectangle. If the price retraces, the $1.098 and $1.089 levels could act as support. While the bearish scenario is possible, probabilities point towards a bullish continuation. Disclaimer: The success of my historic forecasts doesn't guarantee your future results. It's not an investment advice. Do your research. I wrote the analytics for entertainment purposes. Kind regards, Ely
Long
by Elysian_Mind
2
"EUR/USD Dips Below 1.1100 Amid Year-End Volatility"EUR/USD faced challenging retracements on Thursday as thin holiday trading stirred volatility around the final trading day of 2023. The Euro (EUR) swiftly climbed to a 21-week high of 1.1140 early on Thursday as broader markets continued to shed the US Dollar (USD) on expectations of a rate cut from the Federal Reserve. However, market over-expectations regarding the Fed's structural pivot played out well before today, and the uptick in the 7-year US Treasury yields triggered a retreat to the safe-haven USD, pushing riskier assets like the Euro back into the red on the last trading day of 2023. Initial US unemployment claims for the week ending December 22 also rose, indicating 218 thousand new claims compared to the previous week's adjusted 206 thousand. Additionally, pending home sales in the US for November fell short of market expectations, holding at 0.0% and missing the market forecast of a 1.0% recovery from October's adjusted -1.5% decline. As the year concludes, the EUR/USD forex pair grapples with market dynamics influenced by shifting expectations, economic data, and ongoing global uncertainties. Traders are closely monitoring these factors as they navigate the currency markets in anticipation of the new year.
by Larissa-Trader
A Volatile Bearish Trend: AI-Assisted 4-Hour Analysis of EUR-USDDear Esteemed TradingView Members, I n the world of financial trading, precision and insight are invaluable assets. In today's dynamic market environment, it's imperative to embrace the right tools that provide clarity amid the ever-shifting tides of economic forces. I n this piece, I delve into the intricate currency trading, focusing on the EUR-USD market. To capture the essence of this dynamic market, I've chosen to examine it through the lens of 4-hour candles. The rationale behind this choice is rooted in the recent uptick in EUR volatility. While lower timeframes may drown you in noise, the 4-hour candles offer an equilibrium, making it easier to discern patterns and identify emerging trends. W hy 4-hour candles, you ask? Well, because they're versatile. Whether you're a swing trader, day trader, or even planning longer-term positions, these candles are a reliable tool in your arsenal. They filter out the commotion and provide a steady view of the market's ebbs and flows. I looked at recent developments, and I saw a bearish trend that persisted until November 1, 2023. However, it's essential to note that the trend didn't seamlessly transition to a bullish one; instead, it appears to be exploring potential support levels. What's intriguing is the gradual deceleration of the decline, as evidenced by the volume indicator. V olume plays a pivotal role in assessing market health, and traders frequently employ indicators like On-Balance-Volume (OBV) to confirm their analyses. Our chart showcases a possible demand zone, spanning from $1.044 to $1.052, accentuated by a prominent blue rectangle. This range is more than just a potential support zone; it's an indicator of market sentiment and a battleground of supply and demand. O BV, the blue indicator at the bottom of the chart, corroborates the significance of this zone. It started a noticeable ascent on October 3, 2023, coinciding with the EUR price's descent into this area. This rise indicates a considerable demand that might be a precursor to multiple bullish surges, emerging from this very platform. Yet, each of these attempted upswings met the resolute barrier of the ascending resistance line, denoted by the striking purple trendline, nudging the price back toward the aforementioned demand zone. T his oscillation serves to intensify the latent buying potential within the zone. However, it also reveals that the demand isn't robust enough yet to trigger a full-scale shift from a bearish to a bullish trend. The latest encounter with the resistance line on November 6, 2023, adds another layer to the analysis. A t this juncture, our Random Forests machine-learning technique enters the fray. It paints a picture of a potential retreat in price towards the historical support zone. Remarkably, OBV barely budged in response to this rejection, suggesting that there's a substantial interest sandwiched between the resistance and support levels. This interest might lead to the execution of limit orders, propelling the EUR price downwards to the demand zone. T o further enrich our analysis, the Gradient Boosting Machines (GBMs) algorithm highlights a crucial point. It indicates that the EUR price has begun to veer away from Exponential Moving Average (EMA) graphs in a manner that typically hints at weakness in the local bullish trend. This divergence could signify a probable return to the overarching bearish trend or, at the very least, a period of consolidation—a characteristic often observed on-demand platforms. I n the ever-evolving landscape of financial markets, precision is the compass and insight of the North Star. As the EUR-USD market continues to unveil its secrets, your mission is to decode them with sophistication, warmth, and genuine expertise. S tay tuned for more insights, and remember, in the world of trading, adaptability is the key to success. It is not a financial advice. You are responsible for your funds. Take care of retaining volume more than fast gains. Do your research. The idea proposes only possibilities, and the market might act in a different way. Historic results don't guarantee future results. AI isn't omniscient. Warm Regards, Ely
Short
by Elysian_Mind
#EURUSD COUNTER TREND BUY# EURO BULLS REDYEuro bulls, opportunity for a euro long has arisen! Recently euro is being battered by its counterpart dollar for several reasons: - Regional interest rate differentials, hawkish fed and dovish ecb - Macroeconomical disparity between the to regions - Worsening growth outlook for euro bulls - Technical downtrend for many, many weeks This counter-trend trade is a outlier, supported by a global technical price level and some fundamentals - euro area decent is stabilizing. I am looking forward to buy euro at around 1.600 area and sell it around 1.650. Thread carefully since higher timeframe trends are downwards, use proper risk management!
Long
by eediiz
EURUSD: bullish or bearish? Check today's analysisThe updated data showed that in August, annual inflation increased by 5.2%, down from the previous measurement of 5.3%. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased by 0.3% monthly and 5.3% annually. This downward trend was taken positively by market participants, particularly following the European Central Bank's (ECB) decision to raise the key interest rate to 4.50%. On the other hand, recent US macroeconomic data has been mixed. Housing Starts in August adjusted from 1.452 million to 1.283 million, less than expected, but Building Permits increased from 1.443 million to 1.543 million, outperforming estimates. Later today, investors will be watching the outcome of the US Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting, where the interest rate is expected to remain at 5+%. Comments about potential monetary policy tightening in November and December could significantly influence the markets. Resistance levels: 1.0700, 1.0730, 1.0770 Support levels: 1.0600, 1.0630, 1.0600
Short
by MsProTrading
1
ECB's Next Move in Inflation Fight: Managing Excess Liquidity Frankfurt, Reuters - In the ongoing fight against inflation, European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers are gearing up for a significant shift in strategy. They are set to deliberate on ways to address the vast pool of excess liquidity inundating banks, with the possibility of raising reserve requirements emerging as the initial tactic. This pivotal discussion is expected to kick off at the ECB's forthcoming meeting in Athens on October 26 or during an autumn retreat for policymakers. Despite the ECB having already raised interest rates ten times to record levels, inflation still stubbornly hovers above its 2% target. With interest rates likely to remain unchanged until December, policymakers are pivoting their attention to the massive infusion of funds into the banking system through a decade of bond purchases. This surplus liquidity undermines the effectiveness of rate hikes, reduces competition for deposits, and leads to substantial interest payments and potential losses for some central banks. Sources indicate that the debate on curbing excess liquidity will focus on three key areas: revising the mandatory reserves banks maintain at the ECB, unwinding the bond-buying programs, and establishing a new framework for influencing short-term interest rates. While an ECB spokesperson declined to comment, insiders suggest that several policymakers favor increasing the reserve requirement from the current 1% of customer deposits to potentially as high as 3% or 4%. This move would serve the dual purpose of absorbing excess cash from the banking system and reducing interest payouts by the ECB and the eurozone's national central banks. However, some policymakers advocate bundling the decision on reserves with discussions regarding the ECB's asset purchase schemes and interest-rate framework, which could lengthen the decision-making process. Shrinking the 4.8 trillion euro debt pile acquired by the ECB since 2015, mainly to counter deflation risks, poses even greater challenges and market sensitivities. While phasing out the ECB's Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme (PEPP) by not replacing maturing bonds is an option, policymakers are cautious about upsetting financial markets, particularly Italian government bond investors. ECB President Christine Lagarde recently indicated that bond-buying schemes were not on the table at the latest policy meeting, emphasizing the importance of PEPP for policy transmission. While there have been suggestions to sell bonds acquired under the older Asset Purchase Programme, some argue this would result in even larger losses for the ECB. Sources suggest that a decision on bond-buying schemes might not materialize this year and, if it does, may not take effect until early 2024 or later in the spring. Furthermore, debates surrounding the policy framework—whether the ECB should continue to set an interbank rate floor or revert to a corridor system—are expected to extend into 2024, as the volume of excess reserves in banks keeps the ECB effectively locked into a floor system. A study presented at the ECB's summer symposium in Sintra suggested that, now that monetary stimulus is no longer necessary, the ECB could reduce bank liquidity to a range of 521 billion euros to 1.4 trillion euros while still meeting banks' reserve needs." This revised text provides a more engaging and concise summary of the original content, making it more attractive to readers.
by Ayame_Hana
53
"EURUSD Set to Rise: Support Holds Strong"#EURUSD expected to rise in the coming days the price is clearly reached the support which was around 1.06330, afterwards we can see that the market found a momentum and pushed up and considering the weak ascending broadening wedge pattern in 30M TF it looks week to push it back down. The price is expected to rise towards the trending line (@1.07614-1.08260) 🔥EURUSD BUY ( 1.06900 - 1.06500) 🟢TP1- 1.07200 🟢TP2- 1.07500 🟢TP3- 1.08000 🔴SL- 1.06180
Long
by FKW-Millions
Fundamental & Technical Outlook of the GOLD:Gold had a turbulent intraday rally, but the US market unexpectedly ramped up its losses and fell instantly below the support level at the 1960 mark below. A new low was fetched around 1939. Although there was a large extent of a rebound in the short term, the high resisted briefly with the 1955–1958 mark. Although the market sentiment is primarily responsible for today's market volatility, which is similar to Monday's decline, this sort of direct market penetration is also temporarily consistent with the bearish expectation of the general trend of gold. However, we also must be careful because market sentiment may change again.
TVC:GOLD
by mt5fotum
1