Eurusdanalysis
DeGRAM | EURUSD Reached the $1.131 Level📊 Technical Analysis
● Triple rejection at 1.1420 caps EUR/USD; price coils into a bearish pennant beneath the channel mid-line, echoing earlier false breakouts.
● Loss of 1.1310 exposes 1.1200; fading RSI and lower highs flag supply.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Euro inflation slid to 2.2 %; ECB signals another 25 bp cut on 4 Jun, denting EUR yield.
● US Q1 GDP dipped but consumption held; jobless claims ~215 k and 10-yr yields near 4.3 % keep USD bid.
✨ Summary
Bearish pennant plus softer EU data versus steady US demand steer short EUR/USD toward 1.1200; risk topside above 1.1420.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD Declining From the Supply Zone📊 Technical Analysis
● EUR/USD stays below the broken resistance line.
● While under $1.144, the chart favors a slide to 1.131 → 1.12.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● U.S. yields remain elevated, supporting the dollar.
✨ Summary
Stalling Euro-area growth and firm U.S. yields reinforce the technical breakdown. A daily close below 1.131 should accelerate the decline towards 1.12.
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EURUS possible bearish reversal correction for 1.1100 & 1.1000#eurusd weekly key reversal bar, made a new high closed towards the low which is early indication for bearish reversal. better to wait for 61.8, 70.0 and 79.0 fib level for correction to short to manage drawdown. stop loss above key reversal bar high. initial target might be 1.1100 and next one 1.1000 if breaks below the 1.1100. use low risk in reversal trade.
DeGRAM | EURUSD Under the Upper Limit of the Range📊 Technical Analysis
EURUSD formed a bearish takeover and returned under the trend line.
Trading below $1.1405 leaves the potential to reach $1.12.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
Germany cut its 2025 growth outlook to near-zero as tariff uncertainty bites.
✨ Summary
Weak eurozone data and Trump's tariffs imposition provide a technical basis for a fall towards $1.12.
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EUR/USD W Closure Very Bearish , Best 2 Places For Sell Cleared Here is my opinion on EUR/USD , If we checked weekly time frame , we will see that we have a great bearish price action , and on lower time frames we have avery good bearish price action also , so i think we can sell this pair from the places i mentioned with small sl , and target will be from 100 to 250 pips .
DeGRAM | EURUSD Holding in the Demand Zone📊 Technical Analysis
EUR/USD is still capped by $1.16 and has slipped back under its trend-line, keeping bearish divergence alive; sub-1.145 trade leaves $1.134 then $1.12 exposed.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
Euro-area confidence and PMI hover near stagnation amid fresh U.S. tariff threats.
U.S. payrolls jumped 228 k in Mar, and Fed officials favour steady rates, keeping yields and USD firm.
✨ Summary
Eurozone softness versus robust U.S. data widens policy divergence, aligning with the technical rejection at $1.16. A daily close below $1.134 should quicken a slide toward $1.12.
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EUR/USD Consolidates: What's Next? FenzoFx—EUR/USD declined from $1.1571, as anticipated, due to overbought signals from the Stochastic and RSI 14 indicators. The pair now trades below the 50-period simple moving average, near $1.1350.
The Stochastic Oscillator has dropped below 20, suggesting the U.S. dollar is overvalued short-term. As long as the price remains above the $1.1259 support, the bullish outlook holds. Potential upside targets include $1.147 and $1.1571.
Bearish Scenario: If the price falls below $1.1259, bearish momentum may drive EUR/USD toward the next support at $1.1146.
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EURUSD Short Term Buy Idea Update!!!Hi Traders, on April 15th I shared this idea "EURUSD Short Term Buy Idea"
Expected retraces and further continuation higher until the strong support zone holds. You can read the full post using the link above.
Price moved as per the plan!!!
Retraces happened as expected and then the price moved higher further.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Dips From HighsMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Dips From Highs
EUR/USD declined from the 1.1570 resistance and traded below 1.1470.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro started a fresh decline after a strong surge above the 1.1500 zone.
- There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at 1.1440 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair rallied above the 1.1500 resistance zone before the bears appeared. The Euro started a fresh decline and traded below the 1.1500 support zone against the US Dollar.
There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at 1.1440. The pair declined below 1.1410 and tested the 1.1310 zone. A low was formed near 1.1308 and the pair started a consolidation phase. There was a minor recovery wave above the 1.1370 level.
The pair climbed above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1573 swing high to the 1.1308 low. EUR/USD is now trading below 1.1440 and the 50-hour simple moving average.
On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near the 1.1410 level. The next key resistance is at 1.1440 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1573 swing high to the 1.1308 low.
The main resistance is near the 1.1470 level. A clear move above the 1.1470 level could send the pair toward the 1.1570 resistance. An upside break above 1.1570 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.1650.
If not, the pair might resume its decline. The first major support on the EUR/USD chart is near 1.1335. The next key support is at 1.1310. If there is a downside break below 1.1310, the pair could drop toward 1.1265. The next support is near 1.1220, below which the pair could start a major decline.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
DeGRAM | EURUSD Reached Triangle Target📊 Technical Analysis
EUR/USD remains in a rising channel but is struggling at resistance near 1.1600, forming a bearish divergence. The pair is again testing support around 1.1390.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
The ECB's April rate cut, amid weak growth and easing inflation, highlights Eurozone fragility, while the Fed holds steady as US data remains solid. This policy divergence and ongoing trade tensions support short-term USD strength.
✨ Summary
Both technical and fundamental signals align, suggesting a short-term bearish bias for EUR/USD.
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EUR/USD Maintains Bullish Structure 5th Wave Extension UnderwayThe overall trend of EUR/USD appears upward when observed from a higher time frame, indicating that the 4th wave has completed and the 5th wave is in formation. Within the main 5th wave, sub-waves are developing, and it seems we are currently in the sub-wave of the 5th sub-wave. Once this sub-wave completes, the main 5th wave is also expected to complete.
The invalidation level for this structure is at 1.10920 . If the upward move continues as expected, potential targets could be seen around 1.14683 and 1.15894
EURUSD - Expecting Short Term RetracesH4 - Strong bullish move ended with a bearish divergence.
While measuring this strong bullish move using the Fibonacci retracement tool we have two key support zones that has formed (marked in green).
So based on this I expect short term bearish moves now towards the Fibonacci support zones.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD Breaks the Downward Wedge📊 Technical Analysis
EUR/USD trades in a rising channel, holding support.
- Price broke out of a falling wedge and retested 1.1350, confirming bullish momentum.
- Resistance lies at 1.1500–1.1550.
✨ Summary
Confirmed wedge breakout support EUR/USD growth. Above 1.1350, targets: 1.1500–1.1550 and 1.1650–1.1840 medium term.
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How Smart Money is Positioning in EUR/USD – 5 Scenarios UnfoldedLiquidity Maps & Trap Zones: EUR/USD 1H Breakdown
EUR/USD SMC Analysis – Scenarios Overview
1. Case 1 – Immediate Pump:
The market may pump directly from the current market price (CMP) and take out the external range liquidity resting above the current highs.
2. Case 2 – 15-Min Demand Reaction:
The market could react to the 15-minute demand zone , showing a bullish response and pushing higher toward the 1H supply zone .
3. Case 3 – Inducement & Distribution:
Combined with Case 2, the market may first mitigate the 15-minute demand , then take out the inducement (IdM ) near the 1H supply zone . From there, distribution may begin within that supply range, leading to a drop toward the discount zone .
This would likely involve a fake breakout to the upside (liquidity sweep), trapping buyers and hitting the stop-losses of early sellers before reversing sharply.
4. Case 4 – 1H CHoCH and Triangle Breakdown:
A Change of Character (CHoCH) may occur on the 1H timeframe directly from the current price, leading to a downside move. This scenario would also break the rising triangle pattern , triggering entries from price action traders and increasing market volatility as liquidity accelerates the move downward.
5. Case 5 – 1H Supply Rejection & Free Fall:
The market may react from the 1H supply zone and reject aggressively, resulting in a free fall all the way down to the previous CHoCH level , confirming strong bearish intent from premium to discount.
Thanks for your time..
EURUSD Short Term Buy Idea Update!!!Hi Traders, on April 15th I shared this idea "EURUSD Short Term Buy Idea"
Expected retraces and further continuation higher until the strong support zone holds. You can read the full post using the link above.
Price is moving as per the plan!!!
Retraces happening as expected, my bullish view still remains the same here.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR/USD Bullish Setup – Targeting 1.16950Entry Zone (Buy Area): Between 1.12729 and 1.13101
Stop Loss: 1.12100
Target (TP1): 1.16950
Risk-Reward Ratio (R:R):
Risk: 1.13101 - 1.12100 = 101 pips
Reward: 1.16950 - 1.13101 = ~385 pips
R:R ≈ 1:3.8 — excellent risk-to-reward
📈 Technical Observations
Bullish Momentum: Strong bullish candles leading into the setup suggest buyers are currently in control.
Support Zone (Entry Area):
The purple zone has acted as a previous resistance, now turned support.
Price may retest this zone before moving higher (as indicated by the blue path on the chart).
Moving Averages:
Red (likely 50 EMA) and blue (possibly 200 EMA) are showing a bullish crossover.
Price is above both MAs, reinforcing a bullish trend.
Projected Move:
The setup anticipates a pullback before a continuation to the upside toward 1.16950.
🧠 Trade Idea Summary
This is a buy-the-dip strategy within a bullish trend.
Entering on the pullback allows for:
Tighter stop loss
Better entry price
Higher R:R ratio
⚠️ Risk Considerations
A break below 1.12100 would invalidate the setup.
Monitor for bearish reversal patterns or news around the EUR/USD that might shift sentiment.
DeGRAM | EURUSD Bullish Breakthrough📊 Technical Analysis
- Uptrending channel
The chart shows stable price movement inside the ascending channel, where the price is bouncing off the lower support line and aiming for the upper one.
- Key resistance
The main barrier is fixed around $1.135. A breakdown of this level promises further growth.
- Predictive scenario
A solid breakdown of the resistance confirms the bullish bias, which may lead to further upside.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
The publication of key macroeconomic indicators (inflation, labor market data, PMI) may push the price to confirm the technical scenario. Stability in the Eurozone with positive data will contribute to growth, and favorable for the US - on the contrary, strengthening the bearish momentum.
✨ Summary
The technical picture in the form of an ascending channel with the key resistance at $1.135 is combined with positive fundamental factors. A breakdown of the resistance is a signal for the continuation of growth. Watch the news and macro data to confirm the scenario!
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EURUSD Short Term Buy IdeaH4 - Strong bullish momentum
Higher highs on the moving averages of the MACD
No opposite signs
Expecting retraces and further continuation higher until the strong support zone holds.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR/USD Closing the Symmetrical Triangle PatternEURUSD is trading bullishly but has eased after hitting a high of $1.1470. Currently, it trades sideways near $1.1342. Despite the bullish trend, the pair is overbought and may dip below $1.1296 toward $1.1296 support.
If bulls close above $1.1470, a further rally could target $1.1710.
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EURUSD TECHNICALS & FUNDAMENTALS🧱 Wave Structure & Pattern
Wave (1)–(5) structure is complete with strong impulse.
Wave (5) looks extended with a steep angle — could mean temporary exhaustion before a pullback or sideways correction.
Volume surged heavily during Wave (5), suggesting high participation and buying climax potential.
✏️ Key Levels:
Current Price: ~1.1394
Support Zone: Around 1.1300–1.1250 (previous resistance = now support)
Next Resistance Levels:
Minor: 1.1450
Major: 1.1600 (psychological and historical)
📈 Trendlines:
Clear rising trendline support from late January — keep an eye on any break below for early reversal signs.
A healthy retest of the 1.1300 zone could offer a long re-entry if bullish structure holds.
⚠️ Risk Watch:
After a 5-wave move, expect either an ABC corrective phase or a consolidation range.
Don’t get faked out by small pullbacks — corrections are normal after strong impulses.
🧠 Fundamental Analysis
📰 Key Drivers Today:
🇺🇸 U.S. Data / Sentiment:
Retail Sales (March) — stronger data could push the USD higher, putting pressure on EUR/USD.
Fed’s rate outlook: any hawkish hints from FOMC speakers or stronger data can boost USD.
🇪🇺 Eurozone Factors:
ECB’s recent dovish pivot is in focus.
German ZEW Economic Sentiment release is coming — a major sentiment mover.
Slower EU inflation data may keep ECB from tightening further, limiting euro upside unless the dollar weakens.
💸 Bond Yields & Dollar Index (DXY):
Rising U.S. yields or a DXY bounce could be a headwind.
DXY is hovering at key support — a rebound could stall EUR/USD's rally.
📊 Sentiment Overview:
Short-term: Bullish, but approaching overbought.
Medium-term: Cautious bullish — possible retest of support before continuation.
Macro: Dependent on U.S. data surprises and ECB tone.
🔍 Summary & Strategy Thoughts:
Bias Levels to Watch Trigger Idea
⚡ Bullish Break above 1.1450 Target 1.1600 if dollar weakens further
⚠️ Neutral / Pullback Retest of 1.1300–1.1250 support Buy-the-dip zone if trendline holds
🐻 Bearish (Short-Term) Break below 1.1250 Possible deeper correction toward 1.1100–1.1050
EUR/JPY Eyes Breakout — Can Bulls Push Through Resistance?EUR/JPY Weekly Chart Analysis
EUR/JPY is holding strong above a rising trendline that’s acted as support since 2022. The pair recently bounced from a key support zone and is now testing a major resistance area.
A breakout above this zone could trigger a bullish continuation, while rejection may lead to another pullback toward the trendline.
Key Levels:
Support: 153.5–155.0
Resistance: 163.5–165.0
Watch for: Weekly close above resistance for bullish confirmation.
Structure remains bullish as long as the trendline holds.