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Eurusdanalysis

DeGRAM | EURUSD held the accumulation zone📊 Technical Analysis ● Two-year rising channel is intact; price just rebounded from the lower rail (RB) and punched back above the 2020-2024 red resistance trend-line, repeating the 2022 “break-retest-fixation” pattern. ● An 18-month accumulation rectangle (1.06-1.13) has resolved higher, printing a bullish weekly engulfing; the measured move points to the channel mid-band / horizontal cluster at 1.1600, then the upper rail near 1.1950. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Eurozone core CPI is stuck at 2.7 % y/y while US ISM and housing prints cooled, dragging real U.S. yields lower and narrowing the policy-rate gap priced for 2025. ✨ Summary Long above 1.1214; breakout projects 1.16 ➜ 1.195. Risk flips only on a weekly close back below 1.108. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
DeGRAM | EURUSD reached the upper boundary of the channel📊 Technical Analysis ● Price is capped by the H4 supply at 1.130-1.135 and the roof of a year-long downward channel; the latest test printed a bearish pin (red arrow). ● Inside, a smaller blue rising channel has just broken south—turning 1.128 into fresh resistance—and leaves room to the mid-channel support at 1.121, then the lower rail / 1.113. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● ECB’s Villeroy repeated that a June cut is “very likely” while Fed minutes stressed rates may stay restrictive; widening yield gap revives USD demand. ✨ Summary Fade 1.128-1.131; targets 1.121 ➜ 1.113, extension 1.106. Short view void on a close above 1.135. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
1
EUR/USD – Fair Value Gap Filled, Market Eyes Higher HighsThe EUR/USD chart on the 4-hour timeframe is showing a well-formed Elliott Wave pattern. We've seen a clear 5-wave move to the upside, followed by a corrective ABC pattern. This correction seems to have completed, with wave C ending right at a strong support area. It's the lower trendline of the rising channel formed during the 5-wave impulse. It's also where a Fair Value Gap (FVG) has just been filled — an area where price previously moved too quickly and is now finding balance. T1: 1.12355 T2: 1.13072 SL: 1.10468
by Money_Dictators
EURUSD | Bullish Pennant Breakout – Retest Before the Target📊 EUR/USD (1H Timeframe) The EUR/USD pair has shown a textbook example of a bullish pennant formation, which typically occurs during strong uptrends and signals a continuation of the bullish momentum. The price had an impulsive rally prior to the formation of the pennant, indicating a strong underlying bullish sentiment. Following the rally, the market entered a period of consolidation where price action began to coil between two converging trendlines – this is the pennant structure, marked by lower highs and higher lows. This tightening price action typically suggests that market participants are pausing to digest the previous move, often leading to another breakout in the same direction – in this case, bullish. 📐 Key Technical Elements Highlighted: Bullish Pennant Formation: Characterized by a sharp move up (flagpole) followed by a tight consolidation range (the pennant). Volume generally contracts during consolidation and expands on breakout, confirming momentum. Breakout and Retest: Price has broken above the upper resistance line of the pennant. Now pulling back for a retest, a healthy technical behavior often seen in strong setups. This pullback offers a second chance for entry for traders who missed the initial breakout. Support & Resistance Zones: SR Interchange Zone (previous resistance turned into potential support). Minor Resistance Zone above, now likely invalidated by breakout. These zones are critical in evaluating potential price reaction and risk control. Projected Target: Based on the measured move from the pole height of the pennant added to the breakout point, the projected target stands near 1.14315, a level of prior structural interest. 🎯 Trade Plan – Technical Strategy ⚠️ This is a hypothetical scenario for educational purposes. Always manage your risk. Entry Zone: On confirmation of a successful retest (bullish price action at trendline support) Stop Loss: Below the pennant’s lower trendline or the SR interchange zone (1.1245 – 1.1260 region) Target: 1.14315 (based on breakout projection) Risk-Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:2 to 1:3 depending on entry precision 🔍 Psychological & Market Structure Notes: A bullish pennant is a sign of accumulation after a strong rally – it tells us that buyers are resting, not gone. The retest shows institutional behavior: smart money often allows price to come back to a breakout level before driving it higher again, to shake out weak hands and trap late sellers. Momentum traders and breakout traders often wait for confirmation on the retest to pile in with higher confidence. 📚 Educational Takeaway: This setup serves as a great case study in: Continuation patterns (Bullish Pennants) Breakout-retest behavior Measured move target projections Trend confirmation techniques Market psychology and structure If you're learning technical analysis, this is a high-probability pattern that occurs across many asset classes including forex, crypto, and stocks.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
DeGRAM | EURUSD testing the resistance line📊 Technical Analysis ● Euro rebounded from the channel mid-line and reclaimed the purple corrective trend-line; that switch from resistance to support confirms a bull-flag breakout. ● Fresh upside is opening above 1.1280 (prior swing cap). Clearing it exposes the channel top / horizontal hurdle at 1.1380; measured move of the flag aligns with 1.1550. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● FXStreet notes US April leading-index fell for a 25th month, pulling 2-yr yields off highs, while Yahoo Finance reports German PPI turned positive m/m, limiting ECB-cut bets and lending bid to the euro. ✨ Summary Buy 1.122-1.128 ; objectives 1.138 → 1.155, invalidate below 1.108. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
EUR/USD Short Opportunity – Rising Wedge + Retest + TargetThis technical setup on EUR/USD (1H timeframe) highlights a potential high-probability short opportunity based on a combination of price action, chart patterns, and key structural levels. The pair is showing signs of weakening bullish momentum and preparing for a bearish continuation. 🔎 1. Pattern Analysis: Rising Wedge Formation The primary pattern visible is a Rising Wedge, which is traditionally a bearish reversal formation. It’s defined by: Higher highs and higher lows, but both trendlines are converging, suggesting weakening bullish control. Volume (not shown here) typically decreases within a rising wedge, further confirming a potential breakout. This wedge formed after a previous sharp bullish recovery, acting as a continuation structure that often reverses. In this case, the price formed multiple touches on both wedge boundaries, enhancing the reliability of the pattern. 🧱 2. Key Structural Zones: Minor Resistance Zone (~1.1270–1.1285): Clearly marked on the chart with a blue shaded zone. Price has reacted from this level multiple times, validating it as a supply area. The most recent attempt to break above this level failed, further confirming seller dominance. Consolidation Zone (highlighted in yellow): Prior to the wedge’s formation, price entered a consolidation phase. Consolidation often precedes a breakout or a trend reversal. In this case, it provided a base for the rally that formed the wedge. 🔁 3. Breakout and Retest: Price has broken below the lower support line of the rising wedge. This breakout is a bearish signal and suggests the pair may now be ready for a stronger downside move. The price appears to be retesting the broken wedge support, which is a classic confirmation move before continuation. Retests of broken structures often offer low-risk, high-reward entry opportunities. 🎯 4. Trade Plan and Setup: Entry Zone: Watch for bearish rejection or candle confirmation on the retest of the wedge support turned resistance. Stop Loss (SL): Positioned just above the resistance zone, at 1.12887, protecting the trade against false breakouts or reversals. Take Profit Levels: TP1 – 1.10649: This level is a strong support zone based on previous price action and structural significance. TP2 – 1.09670: The full measured move from the height of the wedge. This also aligns with historical support and psychological round number proximity (1.10). 🧠 5. Confluence Factors: Technical Pattern: Rising wedge = bearish. Support/Resistance: Multiple reactions to both the resistance zone and wedge trendlines confirm market memory. Price Action: Break + retest = ideal entry confirmation. Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable, especially with conservative TP1 and aggressive TP2 levels. Macro Context (optional): If posted during news week – potential USD strength based on rate expectations, NFP, or inflation. ⚠️ 6. Risk Management Tips: Use a position size that aligns with your account risk tolerance (1–2% rule). Wait for confirmation (bearish engulfing candle or rejection wick) before entering. Always be prepared for invalidation. If price closes above the resistance zone, this idea is voided.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
DeGRAM | EURUSD holding the 1.12 level📊 Technical Analysis ● Price defended the rising-channel median (1.1200) and formed a bullish pennant against the blue corrective trend-line; pattern completion projects to the next horizontal/diagonal confluence at 1.1380. ● Momentum is flipping positive as the pair climbs back above the short-term descending channel roof, turning it into support and aligning with repeat bounces off 1.1100. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● May euro-area flash PMIs surprised on the upside while US industrial output slipped, narrowing growth differentials and cooling USD demand. ✨ Summary Pennant + channel support and firmer EU data vs. softer US output back a push toward 1.1300 → 1.1380; bias void if 1.1100 breaks. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
4
EUR/USD – Symmetrical Triangle Breakout & Bullish Continuation🔍 Overview The EUR/USD pair has presented a classic and high-probability trading setup based on a symmetrical triangle formation, which recently experienced a bullish breakout. This pattern has formed after a period of compression and consolidation, creating a coiled spring scenario. Technical traders often watch for such breakouts as they signal the resumption of momentum with clear entry, stop-loss, and target zones. This chart combines pattern recognition, key price action levels, psychological curve mapping, and structured trade planning. Let’s dive deeper into each component. 🧱 1. Chart Structure and Pattern Analysis 🔷 Symmetrical Triangle Formation A symmetrical triangle is a continuation pattern formed when price action contracts between two converging trendlines. This represents market indecision — both buyers and sellers are cautious, gradually narrowing the price range. In this setup, the triangle has been forming since May 11, 2025, with a visible tightening of price action. The chart shows well-respected upper and lower trendlines, confirmed with multiple touches on both sides. 🔼 Breakout Confirmation A breakout occurred from the triangle's upper boundary around May 19, with a strong bullish candle closing above the structure. Breakouts from symmetrical triangles often lead to sharp movements due to built-up pressure during the consolidation phase. The volume typically expands at breakout zones (although volume is not displayed, price behavior implies it). 🔁 Retesting Area Price may revisit the broken trendline (previous resistance → now support) for a retest before continuing higher. This "retesting area" provides an ideal entry for those who missed the initial breakout. Retests validate the breakout and confirm buyer strength. 🧱 2. Key Levels and Market Dynamics 🔻 Minor Resistance Zone (~1.13700–1.14100) This zone has previously acted as a supply area where sellers pushed price down multiple times. Price may hesitate or range within this area before breaking higher. If bulls maintain control, breaking through this resistance zone will add confirmation to the bullish momentum. 📈 Target Projection: 1.14662 The target is derived by measuring the height of the triangle and projecting it from the breakout point. It also aligns with a previous horizontal resistance level and psychological round number area. This zone could act as a medium-term profit-taking level for swing traders. 🧠 3. Black Mind Curve – Market Psychology in Play The "Black Mind Curve" is a representation of anticipated market sentiment and price flow. It reflects a wave-like journey post-breakout — early breakout, pullback, bullish continuation, minor consolidation, and final push toward the target. Such curves are used to forecast crowd behavior patterns, capturing how traders typically react post-breakout: 📌 Initial breakout ➜ Profit taking ➜ Retest ➜ Re-entry ➜ Final impulsive move. 🧮 4. Trading Strategy & Execution Plan ✅ Trade Setup Entry: Breakout Entry (already active) OR Retest Entry near the triangle’s upper boundary for conservative traders. Stop-Loss (SL) : Placed just below the triangle’s lower boundary at 1.11726. This level invalidates the breakout and prevents deeper drawdowns. Take-Profit (TP): Final target at 1.14662, offering excellent risk-to-reward potential. 📊 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Depending on the entry (breakout or retest), the RR can range from 1:2.5 to 1:3.5, which is ideal for swing or short-term position traders. 📚 5. Educational Insight This pattern illustrates the importance of: Price compression zones (triangles and wedges) as precursors to momentum trades. Confirmation via breakout candles before entering high-conviction setups. Patience during retests, which allow re-entries with defined risk and improved pricing. Blending technical structure with psychological forecasting to stay aligned with market sentiment. 🔚 Conclusion EUR/USD is showing a technically sound and psychologically supportive setup for bullish continuation. The symmetrical triangle has broken with strength, and price is heading toward key resistance with momentum. If you're already long — consider holding until the target is hit or trailing stops to protect profits. If you're not in yet — watch for a retest to join the move with precision. 🔔 Always remember to manage risk effectively. No setup is guaranteed, but trading based on structure, confluence, and price behavior improves your edge
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
DeGRAM | EURUSD rebound in the channel📊 Technical Analysis ● Strong rebound from 1.1070/channel base produced a V‑shape and broke a minor falling wedge; price is now carving higher lows above 1.1200 support. ● Room remains to the upper wedge rail / supply 1.1380, which aligns with the channel’s mid‑line; invalidation if 1.1200 fails. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● US April CPI printed 0.3 % m/m (vs 0.4 % cons) while retail‑sales missed, knocking 2‑yr yields beneath 4.70 % and weakening the USD. ● ECB hawks (Vujčić, Nagel) said cuts after June hinge on data, tempering dovish bets and underpinning euro rates. FXStreet flags fresh demand above 1.12. ✨ Summary Channel‑floor bounce + softer US data versus guarded ECB tone favour a grind to 1.1300 → 1.1380; long bias void under 1.1200. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
4
DeGRAM | EURUSD retest of the support level📊 Technical Analysis ● Price is testing the confluence of the blue corrective channel floor, the long‑term rising‑channel base and the 1.11 support, replicating April’s launch point. ● A close above the blue channel roof (~1.127) would confirm a break and target the mid‑channel 1.134 resistance, then the supply zone / upper rail near 1.140; bias is invalidated on a sustained close below 1.11. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● US initial claims jumped to 252 k (5‑week high) while two FOMC voters signalled readiness to cut if labour softens, pressuring yields and the USD. ● ECB’s Lane said inflation is “on track” but emphasised data‑dependence beyond June, tempering easing expectations and underpinning euro rates. ✨ Summary Channel‑base retest + weaker US data versus cautious ECB keep the short‑term long in play: objectives 1.134 → 1.140, cut if < 1.11. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
EURUSD - Expecting Bearish Continuation In The Short TermH1 - Clean bearish trend with the price creating series of lower highs, lower lows. Lower lows on the moving averages of the MACD indicator. Expecting further continuation lower until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by VladimirRibakov
DeGRAM | EURUSD is holding the accumulation zone📊 Technical Analysis ● CAPITALCOM:EURUSD is pressing the purple resistance line (~1.1335); a close above it should carry the pair to the mid‑channel support level at 1.1450, then to the upper resistance level near 1.1560. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● US initial claims rose to 241 k and continuing claims to 1.916 m, pushing yields lower and softening the USD. ● ECB officials signal caution on additional rate cuts after June, helping anchor euro yields and sentiment. ✨ Summary Accumulation‑zone strength, weakening USD data, and a cautious ECB support a short‑term long view: objectives 1.1450 → 1.1560; the daily candlestick closes under the channel. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
DeGRAM | EURUSD bulls held the channel📊 Technical Analysis ● EUR/USD broke a falling‑wedge top right on rising‑channel support at 1.1270, flipping the pattern bullish. ● Holding above 1.1300 targets 1.1380; a clean break opens the 1.147‑1.155 supply, while downside is contained by 1.1270. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● USD softened on renewed tariff‑related uncertainty, giving the euro room to rebound. ● FXStreet flags fresh EUR/USD demand above 1.1300 as traders fade the greenback ahead of the Fed decision. ✨ Summary Wedge breakout plus a weaker USD underpin a short‑term long bias: objectives 1.1380 → 1.1470‑1.1550; invalidate on a close below 1.1270. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
3
DeGRAM | EURUSD Decline in the Channel📊 Technical Analysis ● Relief rally stalled at 1.1350 where the descending resistance meets the rectangle’s upper boundary; a string of lower highs confirms supply. ● Failure to reclaim the resistance line and a break below 1.13 exposes 1.12. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● U.S. factory orders jumped 4.3 % in March on commercial aircraft demand, underpinning dollar strength and pressuring EUR/USD. ● Eurozone HCOB manufacturing PMI eased to 49.0 in April—still in contraction—underscoring weak euro fundamentals. ✨ Summary Confluence resistance at 1.1350 caps the pair; short bias targets 1.1270 → 1.1200, invalidated on a close above 1.1380. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
1
DeGRAM | EURUSD Reached the $1.131 Level📊 Technical Analysis ● Triple rejection at 1.1420 caps EUR/USD; price coils into a bearish pennant beneath the channel mid-line, echoing earlier false breakouts. ● Loss of 1.1310 exposes 1.1200; fading RSI and lower highs flag supply. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Euro inflation slid to 2.2 %; ECB signals another 25 bp cut on 4 Jun, denting EUR yield​. ● US Q1 GDP dipped but consumption held; jobless claims ~215 k and 10-yr yields near 4.3 % keep USD bid​. ✨ Summary Bearish pennant plus softer EU data versus steady US demand steer short EUR/USD toward 1.1200; risk topside above 1.1420. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
1
DeGRAM | EURUSD Declining From the Supply Zone📊 Technical Analysis ● EUR/USD stays below the broken resistance line. ● While under $1.144, the chart favors a slide to 1.131 → 1.12. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● U.S. yields remain elevated, supporting the dollar. ✨ Summary Stalling Euro-area growth and firm U.S. yields reinforce the technical breakdown. A daily close below 1.131 should accelerate the decline towards 1.12. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
1
DeGRAM | EURUSD Under the Upper Limit of the Range📊 Technical Analysis EURUSD formed a bearish takeover and returned under the trend line. Trading below $1.1405 leaves the potential to reach $1.12. 💡 Fundamental Analysis Germany cut its 2025 growth outlook to near-zero as tariff uncertainty bites. ✨ Summary Weak eurozone data and Trump's tariffs imposition provide a technical basis for a fall towards $1.12. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
1