Going to ReverseDepending on the number released later today from the US, it's going to either reverse on the previous low trend line, and become the rebound loft - or continue up. I believe in the former. Let it hit and reverse next week, when it passes the candlestick from the previous day, I'm going short.
Eurusdbreakout
EURUSD NFP POSITIVE TAKING CONTROL NEXT WEEK ?!THIS IS MY ANALYZE ON EURUSD SHORT TERM AND LONG ONE !
AFTER NFP RESULT AND UNEMPLOYMENT RATE THE PRICE DIDN'T MADE A BIG MOVE LIKE IT WAS SUPPOSED TO SO IN THE CHART WE SEE BREAK OUT AND RETEST AND ALSO HEAD AND SHOULDER FORMATION SO I AM GOING SHORT ON THIS ONE ... TRADE WITH CARE AND RISK MANAGEMENT
EURUSDlooking for a push up to the 1.079-1.08 zone for a short. If we see a push up to that level without momentum and MACD following it I would take it as a stop hunt and look to short it after a fail to close above the trend line at 1.08. At this point a short down to the 1.069-1.07 zone would be very possible
EURUSD rising wedge patternAlmost a month long rising wedge pattern is coming to an end. Bearish divergence signifies the imminent trend change. Possible test of the 1.08 and 1.085 levels.
As we know that rising wedge is a continuation pattern , we might be seeing a continuation of a massive downtrend that started mid 2016. for more conservative trading, wait for a break through the bottom of the wedge.
EURUSD longterm positionIt is in a steady upward channel on 4h, recently broke through a pretty strong resistance and key level at 1.07. I don't see the trend line stopping it from continuing bullish and I believe with a weakening DXY we could see the start of a steady and long term overall bullish move from EU
long EURUSD @ 1h @ trading capability for this 2nd week `17This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
more detailed stats (all 21 Major Cross-Rates) of 1st week 2017 @ my GOOGLE Drive
drive.google.com
Best regards :)
Aaron
short EURUSD @ 1h @ trading capability for this 52nd week `16Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decission ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Next week i`ll confirm or change my opinion about this SetUp :)
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
Best regards
Aaron
short EURUSD @ 60 min @ trading capability for this 51st week`16Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decission ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Next week i`ll confirm or change my opinion about this SetUp :)
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
Best regards
Aaron
at the right price i'll buy anything (except euros) 2/2daily chart of eurusd showing the descending channel mentioned in the previous monthly post (see attached). 1.0465/1.0510 will be an immediate hurdle while 1.0665 should cap near term upside.
Very short term the pair is likely to drift towards 1.03 projections. In the event of a break below 1.03 EURUSD will face an extended correction towards multiyear down slowing channel limit at 1.0180 and most importantly the psychological level we are all looking at 1.00
at the right price i'll buy anything (except euros)EURUSD has been consolidating within a broad range since March 2015,we are now breaching below the lower 1.0465 level indicating further downside is to be expected. I will be uploading another chart for the daily soon after this, you'll notice the pair has moved below a multi month descending channel.
Very short term the pair is likely to drift toward the 1.03 levels, in the event of a break below and extending the correction we can see 1.0180 and 1.00
Likes and comments are always appreciated
Trading the Italian Referendum, do we have a major crisis?Happy weekend traders, what an end to the year we have on our hands.. as most of you know already I have been screaming parity for some time!
I think that FX markets are not too complacent about the referendum. Italy's complicated politics mean a "No" vote (which is expected) doesn't necessarily follow through to the 5-star movement coming into power. The impact of a "No" would likely have a EUR moderate negative outcome. The Renzi government will likely come under pressure as fears of a fall grow rapidly.
I recommend fading EURUSD allies on a surprise "Yes" vote and selling nearer the 1.08 area. A "No" vote will cause moderate weakness but trading EUR short at these levels is not something I am a fan of.
If the public rejects the reform as expected the euro will come under increased downwar pressure, the cyclical low of 1.0458 from March '15 may will open the gates to a potential test of parity before the year end. Market participants will be concerned that snap elections could be held given the antiestablishment and Eurosceptic performance in national polls.
It would not surprise me if we briefly climb back toward the 1.088 level although upward momentum is unlikely to be sustained for long.
You can see my previous ideas to see my very own euro-scepticism, all european banks are in trouble.. the difference between the U.S and E.U is the reserves on centralised debt. Essentially as Greece goes down, Portugal Italy etc you are talking about undermining the reserves of the European central banking system as a whole. Banks that were not even into derivatives are getting smoked. Leaving everyone with their own debt has really been the achilles heel of the whole EZ.
I have linked my previous eurusd ideas to show that I have been advocating the collapse of the euro since my time here on tradingview.
All the best guys and GL.
** DISCLAIMER: THIS IS MY PERSONAL VIEW AND NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE **