EUR-USD - Keylevels - DailyThe buyers finally managed to have possession of the price for 2 days in a row.
A spectacular comeback, with a Dxy that seems to have more and more problems, the FED pause, and bad data for the dollar +investors who can't wait to sell their dollar to buy everything on the market at a discount.
Eurusdbreakout
EURUSD | Strong US Dollar, But Why?The value of the US dollar continues to rise
Today on September 30, one Euro cost only $1.0573 and markets have finally come to the realization that the Federal Reserve is going to continue to fight inflation till it achieves its target goals, and, to do so, it will even raise its policy rate of interest one..or, possibly two...more times! even Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan, is now saying that interest rates could hit 7.0 percent.
"Are you prepared?" Dimon asks
It seems as if market participants have doubted Fed Chairman Jay Powell ever since the Federal Reserve began to raise its policy rate of interest in the middle of March 2022.The underlying belief was that Mr. Powell and the Fed would "back off," not wanting to overdue a tight monetary policy and cause financial distress.
So, the value of the U.S. dollar remained softer than many expected and the US stock market stayed stronger than many expected.But, seemingly, that time has changed.
When did market attitudes change?
Let's say toward the end of July 2023. That is, market participants only became "believers" after 16 months of the Federal Reserve raising its policy rate of interest and maintaining its effort at quantitative tightening.
Why have I determined that market attitudes changed around the end of March?
On July 14, 20232, one Euro cost $1.1230. The price of one Euro has declined almost steadily since that time.The dollar price of the British pound took a similar path.The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note on July 14, 2023, was 3.820 percent. Currently, the yield is 4.620 percent.
On July 31, the S&P 500 stock index closed at 4,589. The price has been downhill for most of the following period.The story that the markets seem to be telling us is that sometime in the middle of July 2023, market participants started taking the Federal Reserve at its word.
Since then, the value of the U.S. dollar became stronger and stronger, as investors bought into the dollar.Bond prices fell and stock prices declined as investors sold these items.
All of this is consistent with the fact that investors really started to believe that Mr. Powell and the Federal Reserve were going to do what it said it had set out to do.The Fed, market participants believed, going to continue to fight inflation and were going to bring the rate of price increases down to the level the Fed wanted...2.0 percent.
In this past week, the Federal Reserve published its latest round of forecasts for the future. This release was followed by a new set of forecasts by the U.S Commerce Department.
inflation and unemployment would approach the Fed's goals within the next year or so. The feeling expressed in both forecasts was that the Fed is succeeding in its efforts to get the economy back to a "more normal" rate of operation.
Mr. Powell and other Federal Reserve leaders continued to caution the investment community to "be patient." But, the underlying message seemed to be, we are approaching what we set out to achieve.
Bottom line, Mr. Powell and others were saying...be patient...after 18 months of quantitative tightening..we are getting there.It seems as if the markets have been right on the side of the Federal Reserve at this time.
What the Fed has done supports a strong dollar relative to other currencies throughout the world.The US dollar deserves to be strong.But, there is still a way to go.
The Fed may be getting the car in the garage, but the car is not fully in the garage yet...and the garage door has not been shut.Let's hope the job can be completed.
Unfortunately, there may be some fiscal discomfort taking place before the final chapters are written. The potential government shutdown is not good news.
EURUSD 4H : show more bearish EURUSD
OUTLOOK
The price perfectly fulfills my last idea and price in the way to reach our target .
The EUR/USD pair shows more bearish tendency to gradually approach our expected target at 1.0535, and we expect negative trading to continue to achieve additional negative targets extending to the 1.0501 areas.
Therefore, the downward trend scenario will remain valid and effective for the coming period, organized within the downward channel that appears on the chart, supported by the downward channel and the strength of the dollar, which continues to put negative pressure on the price, keeping in mind that stability below the 1.0631 level represents a basic condition for achieving the expected goals.
The expect range trading for today it will be between the resistance line 1.0580 and support line 1.0535.
Additionally ,Today News will affect the market .
support line : 1.0535 , 1.0501
resistance line : 1.0580 , 1.0631
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EURUSD 1H : Downtrend under 1.0631EURUSD
OUTLOOK
The EUR/USD pair continue to offering negative trades , waiting to stimulate the price to resume the expected downward trend for the coming period, the goals of which begin with breaking and stabilized under the 1.0632 level to open the way for the rush towards 1.0580 and 1.0535.
Therefore, we are awaiting further expected decline in the immediate and short term, supported by the negative pressure formed by the bearish channel, keeping in mind that breaching 1.0690 will stop the negative scenario and lead the price to begin recovery attempts targeting testing the 1.0720 areas before any new attempt to decline.
support line : 1.0631 , 1.0580
resistance line : 1.0661 , 1.0690
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📈EURO analysis, Weekly insight into price behavior📉FX:EURUSD
OANDA:EURUSD
Hello Traders, please check out my previous ideas.
Continuing from the previous analytical scenario, if the euro stabilizes above the red zone (crossing the weekly Bollinger midline), the price can climb up to the right shoulder.
In the opposite scenario, if the price does not follow the conditions of the previous scenario, the price can fall to around 1.07676.
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EurUsd -> Faking Everybody OutHello Traders and Investors ,
my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of EurUsd 💪
The monthly timeframe on EurUsd is pretty clear with EurUsd currently retesting massive previous support which is now turned resistance at the psychological $1.1 level.
With weekly market structure being bullish though, threre is no overall confluence at the moment so following the overall longer term picture I do expect a move lower now.
And it seems like EurUsd is finally breaking daily support towards the downside - I am then just waiting for a clean retest and bearish confirmation before I then do expect a daily move lower.
Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint 📈
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
My previous analysis of this asset:
EURUSD SELL LIMITEURUSD SELL LIMITE at 1.09486
TP in the chart
SL in the chart
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EurUsd -> Perfectly Playing OutHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis.
On the weekly timeframe you can see that EurUsd just recently perfectly retested and already rejected the quite nice bullish trendline of the weekly parallel rising channel.
You can also see that the next weekly resistance is at the $1.12 level where we previous had strong weekly structure and also a resistance trendline so I simply do expect another push to retest the resistance before I then do expect a short term drop.
On the daily timeframe you can see that after EurUsd perfectly broke above the resistance at the $1.078 level, we had a quite nicely rally towards the upside and EurUsd is now retesting resistance so I am just waiting for a bullish breakout and then I do expect another push higher to retest the next weekly resistance.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
EURUSD SELLS INCOMINGSticking to the basics of trading:
The market stalled making a resistance zone for the buyers. Thus showing early selling pressure.
The next area the market can possibly bounce from is at the 0.08500 mark. This mark would be a good area for buys continue the higher timeframe trend.
For anyone going into the london session can use the 4H timeframe to see that price has potential to retest this level and carry more volume to the downside.
However, BIG Reminder!
The market can do what it wants, so beware that buys are still in play as the overall defining trend is FX:EURUSD bullish for the buyers.
EurUsd -> Reversal CompletedHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis.
On the weekly timeframe you can see that EurUsd just recently perfectly retested and is now rejecting a quite strong bullish trendline exactly at the $1.07 level.
You can also see that weekly market structure and moving averages are bullish, EurUsd also just once again retested support at the $1.065 level so from a weekly perspective I simply do expect more continuation towards the upside from here.
On the daily timeframe you can see that last week's analysis which is linked below perfectly played out and I am now just waiting for a retest of the neckline of the double bottom at the $1.077 level before I then do expect another impulse towards the upside.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
EURUSD is at the support of this trendline on Daily TFThe EURUSD currency pair is currently testing a support level formed by a trendline on the Daily Time Frame (TF). As a result, I am adopting a neutral stance on this trade until a clear direction emerges in the market. There are two potential scenarios to consider:
Firstly, there is a possibility that the market will break below the trendline, indicating a continuation of the downward move towards the next significant keyzone.
Alternatively, the price may reverse from the current support level and resume its upward movement.
Given these possibilities, it is crucial to monitor the market closely to determine the actual path it will take.
What do you think?
EUR/USD: 11/05. BREAK THE TREND TO BUY DOWN BEFORE PPI NEWSEUR/USD seems to be seeing more clear signs of rejection of the resistance that formed the top of the shallow uptrend channel from early January, with strong daily and weekly downside momentum.
The support below at 1.0945 has established a near-term top and we look for a test of the 55-DMA at 1.0835, ideally holding on a close. Even so, below will warn of a more significant potential downturn and test support at 1.0545/1.0488.
However, above 1.1098 would suggest we could see a final leg above our 1.1187/1.1273 core target – 61.9% retracement and March high. 2022. Our bias remains to look for an important top here.
EURUSD BUYHello, the euro against the dollar, there is a high potential for upside. After the bullish flag is formed. We are waiting to see the level of 1.08500 .Note: If you like this analysis, please give your opinion on it. in the comments. I will be happy to share ideas. Like and click to get free content. Thank you
EurUsd -> Expecting The BreakHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis .
On the weekly timeframe you can see that as we are speaking EurUsd is actually approaching a quite obvious previous weekly structure area exactly at the $1.115 level which is now turned resistance.
However you can also see that weekly market structure and moving averages are still massively bullish, we just broke above a previous weekly swing high which is now turned support, so I am now just waiting for a deeper retest of the next $1.115 resistance before I then do expect a short term rejection towards the downside.
On the daily timeframe you can see that EurUsd is once again retesting daily resistance - the more often we retest the zone the higher the likelihood that we will eventually break it - so I am now just waiting for a clean break and retest of the current resistance before I then do expect more continuation towards the upside to then retest the $1.115 resistance.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset: