EUR USD Trade Setup Daily Timeframe.EUR USD is currently sitting on a Daily Support level and the price is showing signs of bullish momentum by forming a bullish Engulfing candlestick, so we will be looking for buying opportunities.
To get our buy entry lets scale down to the lower timeframe to identify patterns and entry confirmation.
Eurusdbullish
EUR/USD Buys from 1.09400 back upEU's market structure is currently very similar to other setups I'm watching. After a bearish run over the past week, I expect price to slow down as it approaches the key 7-hour demand zone I’ve marked out. Once price sweeps the liquidity at the equal highs (EQHs), I’ll be watching for accumulation on the lower time frames (LTF) before a potential mitigation of the 7-hour demand zone.
If price doesn’t reach this demand and instead pushes up to mitigate a supply zone like the 15-hour or 5-hour above, I’ll shift my focus to selling in line with the bearish trend. For now, I’m waiting to see how the market behaves at the open to decide on the next move.
Confluences for EU Buys:
- The 7-hour demand zone has triggered a CHOCH to the upside.
- There are major imbalances and liquidity above that need to be filled.
- For price to retrace to the supply zone, it will need to move upward.
- The US Dollar Index (DXY) is sitting in a strong supply zone, which could trigger a dollar drop and support bullish momentum for EU.
Note: If price breaks through the demand zone, it will also break more significant structure to the downside, confirming a long-term bearish outlook for EU.
EUR/USD Buys from 6hr demand at 1.11200EUR/USD (EU) Analysis:
I’m expecting price to move down slightly to sweep the liquidity resting at the equal lows. Once those lows are taken, I anticipate price to slow down and begin accumulating in my 6-hour demand zone, where I’ll be looking for potential long opportunities. This aligns with the current bullish trend, making it a pro-trend setup.
If price moves up without sweeping the equal lows, I’ll shift my focus to selling from the 16-hour supply zone above. For now, EU is caught between areas of liquidity, so I’ll wait until midweek to assess where it stands before making a decision.
Confluences for EU Buys:
- There’s significant liquidity above the demand zone, which is a positive signal.
- The demand zone has led to a break of structure to the upside.
- The overall trend remains bullish, supporting this pro-trend idea.
- The (DXY) continues to show bearish momentum, which supports a bullish EU outlook.
There are still imbalances and liquidity above that need to be filled.
Note: Price has already reacted to the 4-hour supply zone I marked last week, which could be causing this minor pullback towards the 6-hour demand zone.
Have a great trading week, everyone!
EUR/USD Longs from daily level of demand 1.10000My analysis for this week aligns well with both DXY and GBP/USD, as the dollar is approaching a major supply level. When the price reaches that supply zone, I expect EUR/USD (EU) to mitigate its daily supply, potentially forming a Wyckoff accumulation pattern. Once this pattern is completed, I plan to look for buying opportunities, potentially holding positions at an intraday level.
If the price retraces upward before mitigating the demand, I will consider selling from the supply zones I've marked, which are near the current price. Specifically, I will watch the 7-hour and 10-hour supply zones for potential short-term sell setups.
Confluences for EU buy opportunities include:
- The higher time frame trend is bullish, with a recent break of structure to the upside.
- A daily demand zone has been established, which also caused a break of structure to the upside.
- There is significant liquidity to the upside, including untouched Asian session highs.
- This trade setup aligns with the higher time frame trend, making it a pro-trend trade idea.
P.S. As it is NFP week, be cautious of increased volatility due to economic news later in the week. Stay vigilant and TRADE SAFELY!
EUR/USD: AB=CD Harmonic Pattern Signals Potential Bullish TradeAB=CD Harmonic Pattern Pattern Formation:
The EUR/USD pair is currently forming an AB=CD Harmonic Pattern , which is a common and reliable formation in technical analysis. This pattern is typically seen as a strong indicator of potential price movement, making it a crucial point of interest for traders.
Fibonacci Retracement & Projection Analysis:
The BC leg has shown a 58% Fibonacci retracement, aligning with a 2.0 projection of the BC leg. This confluence strengthens the validity of the AB=CD pattern, suggesting a high probability of the price reaching the D point as per the pattern projection.
Entry Strategy:
We recommend taking a Buy entry near the 1.10500 level, at the retest of the Point B breakout. This level offers a strategic entry point, capitalizing on the potential Bullish Trend Continuation toward the projected D point of the harmonic pattern.
Profit-Taking Strategy:
To maximize profit while managing risk, we suggest the following take profit levels:
TP-1: 1.11300 - First resistance zone where partial profits should be taken.
TP-2: 1.12100 - The second resistance zone is critical for further profit-taking.
Stop Loss Placement:
To protect against adverse price movements, a stop loss should be placed near 1.09690. This level is strategically chosen to allow for natural market fluctuations while safeguarding against significant losses.
Conclusion:
The EUR/USD is currently presenting a strong technical setup with the formation of the AB=CD Harmonic Pattern. By entering at 1.10500, traders can position themselves advantageously for a potential move towards the resistance zones near 1.11300 and 1.12100. Proper risk management is advised with a stop loss set at 1.09690.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice. Forex trading involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
EUR/USD Longs from 1.09200 back upThis week, my analysis has diverged from GU due to the bullish reaction in EU triggered by the NFP, causing a CHOCH (Change of Character) to the upside. The higher time frame structure has broken, creating clean demand zones. I now expect price to retrace to one of these demand zones before continuing its upward movement.
If price continues to rise and fully fills the imbalance, I anticipate a bearish reaction from the 22-hour supply zone, leading to a slowdown and distribution.
Confluences for EU Buys:
- NFP Impact: NFP caused a CHOCH to the upside, indicating a shift from bearish to bullish.
- Demand Zones: Clean demand zones have been left behind, signaling areas where price may pull back.
- Daily Imbalance: Price is currently in a daily imbalance, which may trigger a pullback.
- Bullish Trend: The current trend is bullish, supporting the continuation of upward movement.
P.S. If price reacts to the imbalance with a bearish pullback, this could provide buying opportunities from the 5-hour demand zone or the 17-hour extreme demand.
EURUSD: Bullish Order Flow Continuation into a further Premium!Greetings Traders!
Current Market Analysis:
At the moment, EURUSD appears to be positioned for a continuation of bullish institutional order flow. Despite reaching deep premium prices, evidence suggests that the price may push into even higher premium levels.
Key Observations:
Predominant Bullish Trend: The market has exhibited a strong bullish trend since last week, indicating sustained upward momentum.
Deep Premium Prices: Although we are currently at deep premium prices, the price action suggests a potential push into even higher premium areas.
Engineered Liquidity: The price is currently engineering liquidity on the buy stops by forming a retail pattern (resistance zone). This pattern entices retail traders to enter short positions, placing their stop losses above the highs. Smart money will use these buy stops to sell against, providing further evidence of anticipated bullishness.
Trading Strategy:
Continuation of Bullish Order Flow: Given the evidence of engineered liquidity and the sustained bullish trend, we anticipate further upward movement in EURUSD.
Target Levels: Target the resistance zone and look for price action indicating a continuation into deeper premium prices as to reach into the daily premium order block.
Conclusion:
By understanding the current bullish institutional order flow and leveraging the key observations, we can effectively anticipate and execute trades on EURUSD. The evidence of engineered liquidity and the predominant bullish trend support a bullish outlook, guiding our strategy towards capitalizing on buying opportunities in the market.
Happy Trading,
The_Architect
EUR/USD imminent Longs up towards 1.07000
This week's bias closely resembles that of GU, where I'm seeking buying opportunities towards a subsequent selling position. With price melting down and breaking structure to the downside, it has created numerous imbalances that need filling, prompting this bullish outlook.
I'll be patient, waiting for the accumulation phase to complete along with a confirmation of change of character (CHOCH) to enter buy positions aiming for the newly established 10-hour supply zone. Subsequently, I'll look to initiate sells to continue the bearish trend downward.
Confluences for EU Buys are as follows:
- Price left so many imbalances above that need to be filled.
- In order for price to continue the bearish trend price must pull back up.
- Price is currently inside a 18-hour demand zone with a good initial reaction.
- DXY is also near a good supply zone so could expect the dollar to drop a bit this week.
P.S. Given the Asian low within my zone, I wouldn't be surprised if price dips further to test a deeper demand area below. Nonetheless, these long positions are merely a temporary move to realign with the prevailing bearish trend.
Have a great trading week guys!
Eurusd up trend Personal suggestion for you
EURUSD price trend to continue up during session
It is expected that price will continue in the up trend
and can approach the price range of 1.08492
Note:
Always wish you to manage your capital safe
Take small lots which suits your capital
The winner is the one who sticks with the market
Give us like and support us
EUR/USD Longs from 1.08200 or 1.07800 back upMy idea for EU at the moment is for it to push higher in order to take out the trendline liquidity that sits above. I expect price to do a similar move to GU in which I expect a bit more upside left to validate this newly marked out 4 hourly demand. Then I anticipate a pullback within this demand to take out liquidity above and tap into the 12hr supply zone that I have marked out above.
From there I will be expecting bullish pressure to die down and form a wyckoff distribution. Once I see my edge appear on the lower time frame I will execute sells back down to continue the overall trend.
Confluences for Buys are as follows:
- Price has left lots of liquidity to the upside that needs to be taken I.e. like trend lines.
- Supply zone above that needs to be mitigated so still more upside left.
- A 4-hour demand zone has emerged, from which we could witness a bullish response.
- price has changed character and broke structure to the upside before as well.
P.S. This is only a temporary trend notion until a new supply zone materialises for me to consider selling price back down. However, selling opportunities don't appear optimal due to the significant liquidity around the current price.
Have a great trading week! NFP on Friday I advise to preserve capital and stay away that day.
EURUSD LONG TRADE SETUP in the starting of this week we should eyes on the majors pairs movement
in this chart you can see good bullish formation for medium term long trade
from the level 1.0800 you can take long for target 1.1050
the most important support range is looking as 1.0800 level and we can hold this trade for 150-200 pips
EURUSD → Descending Wedge Support! Back up to 1.11!?EURUSD fell from the Resistance Zone into a two-legged pullback around the Daily 30EMA. There isn't much for bear strength, so are we in a position to long?
How do we trade this? 🤔
A long could definitely be justified if we get a strong bull close above the Daily 30EMA. We have a two-legged pullback from the Resistance Zone, several doji and weak bear bars showing weak bears, and RSI, while below the Moving Average, is at 47.00 and has room to move up. I suspect that if we get that strong bull bar, the RSI will rise above the Moving Average, which would support the long position suggested.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: 1.09500
🟥 Stop Loss: 1.08100
✅ Take Profit: 1.10900
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Two-legged pullback from the Resistance Zone
2. Multiple doji and weak bear bars as the price falls, showing weak bears
3. Support near the Daily 30EMA
4. RSI below Moving Average, but with a clear strong bull bar closing above the 30EMA, that could change
5. Once a strong bull bar closes above the Daily 30EMA, it's reasonable to long a 1:1 scalp
💰 Trading Tip 💰
It's reasonable to take half profits at the first resistance target in a long trade, or the first support target in a short trade. Using a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio for your first target, you can move your stop loss up to your entry price, locking in profits. This allows you to watch the rest of the trade execute without worry of losing money. This helps improve trading psychology and the equity in your account.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
EURUSD Longs from 1.08300 or 1.08000 back upThis week's bias for this pair aligns with GU, and I'll be aiming to initiate long positions from the demand levels positioned just beneath the current price. Whether it's from the nearby 2-hour demand zone or the 10-hour demand zone situated below, my objective is to buy back up to a supply level or potentially target the equal highs positioned above.
Ideally, I'm hoping for price to form a Wyckoff accumulation within my designated demand zones and provide a strong confirmation signal. If this doesn't happen, I'll wait for that zone to be breached, anticipating the spring to occur within the more favorable 10-hour demand zone.
Confluences for EURUSD are as follows:
- Price has been temporarily bullish to the upside and the 10hr demand zone caused BOS.
- I will be anticipating a Wyckoff accumulation to start formulating within my demand region.
- A pullback has been initiated from the reaction of the 6-hour supply zone.
- Lots of liquidity to the upside in the form of Asian highs and equal highs.
- Dollar (DXY) is looking to be bearish so I'm expecting this to be bullish.
P.S. While I maintain a bullish stance on this pair, I wouldn't be caught off guard if the reaction from the 6-hour supply zone triggers further downward movement, potentially breaking the structure to the downside. In such a scenario, I'll be more inclined to explore selling opportunities.
LAST WEEK OF JANUARY LETS HAVE A GREAT TRADING WEEK!
EURUSD → Nearing Support! Is it Time to Long!? Let's Answer.EURUSD rejected nicely off of the Resistance Zone at 1.10 and fell to 1.07300! If you shorted at the Resistance Zone per my last analysis, hold that short! It's reasonable to take profits here around 1:1 Risk/Reward and swing the latter half, but will we make it to the bottom?
How do we trade this? 🤔
If you're not currently in a trade, I would wait until the price falls closer to the Support Zone and bounces or wait for it to break Resistance and long above it. Look to enter a long in the 1.06 area if a strong bull signal and confirmation plays out and trade a 1:2 Risk/Reward taking profit just shy of the Resistance Zone. Your protective stop should be below the Support Zone giving you a clear 1:2 Risk/Reward!
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: 1.05800
🟥 Stop Loss: 104.100
✅ Take Profit: 1.09200
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Trading Range after Bull Run, Bias to Long.
2. Rejection at the Resistance Zone, Run Short to 1.06.
3. Look for Support at Support Zone 1.054.
4. Look for Reversal Pattern, Bull Signal and Confirmation.
5. RSI at 45.00 far below Moving Average, Bias to Short.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
The recent depreciation of the euro/dollar is expected to continThe majority of foreign exchange strategists expect the recent decline in the US dollar to continue throughout the year. The main driver for major currencies for the rest of 2023 is likely to be economic indicators. A stronger-than-expected U.S. economy and rising Treasury yields caused the dollar, which had been rising against other currencies, to fall. This comes on expectations that the US Federal Reserve will end its rate hikes, sending the dollar down nearly 2% from last month's highs.
Analysts expect the current dollar trend to continue. Almost two-thirds, or 28 out of 45 analysts, believe the dollar is likely to remain below current levels against major currencies by the end of the year. We also expect it to weaken against the euro and other G10 currencies over the next 12 months.
Analyst and Senior Currency Analyst Lee Hardman said: ``The dollar and US yields have been on a strong upward trend over the past two to three months... but we seem to have reached a point where yields and the US dollar peak.'' ” he said. At MUFG, he said: He added that the market is increasingly confident the Fed will complete its rate hikes, making it difficult for yields to reach new highs this year. Recent labor market data shows the U.S. economy is still outperforming other economies, but it's starting to show signs of stress from interest rate hikes over the past year and a half. Still, currency speculators remain mostly net buyers of the dollar, indicating continued support for the dollar.
Simon Harvey, head of currency analysis at Monex Europe, explained that the dollar remained tactically long, especially compared to currencies with weaker fundamentals. The eurozone economy shrank by 0.1% last quarter, but the euro is expected to grow by about 4.0% over the next 12 months.
Euro Market Analysis and Bearish Outlook for OctoberIn September, I had a bearish outlook for the Euro and successfully traded it, yielding over 250 pips in a month. The trade also provided numerous short-scalping opportunities as the Euro approached my higher timeframe target.
October Euro outlook
I still lean towards a bearish outlook for the Euro in October. I anticipate that the Euro may continue its downward movement and potentially reach the 2023 yearly low at 1.05140, with a monthly liquidity draw level at 1.03930 in mind.
Dollar Index (DXY) and Euro correlation
I have noticed that the Dollar Index (DXY) is currently trading in a sellside imbalance buyside inefficiency (SIBI) pattern from November 2022, and the Euro seems to be trailing behind. This suggests that if the Dollar continues its upward trend, the Euro may also continue its downward trend.
Potential consolidation
I also believe that after such a rapid descent in the Euro, the market may experience some consolidation. This means that the price of the Euro may move sideways or within a narrow range for a period of time before continuing its downward trend.
My trading plan
In light of my analysis, I am staying on the sidelines when it comes to the Euro for now. I will wait to see how the market unfolds in October and how the probabilities play out before making any trading decisions.