EUR/USD Very Near Buying Area , Don`t Miss This Chance !Here we have a very good new up trend line on 4H Time Frame , and the price touch it 2 times , and now we are waiting For third touch and it will be the best one , so i`m waiting for the price to touch it and give me a good bullish price action and then we can enter a buy trade .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Eurusdbuy
EUR/USD chart Analysis Hello Dear Traders! share Your Thoughts In comments Section Thanks For Support
Date/13/Jan/2025
current price 1.02170
EUR/USD chart displays a technical setup with key levels and a potential trend forecast:
1. Demand Zone & Support Level: The demand zone and support level near 0.9500–0.9700 indicate significant buyer interest and price stabilization.
2. Order Block: A highlighted consolidation range suggests previous price accumulation, acting as a potential resistance or support zone for future movements.
3. Resistance Levels: Resistance zones around 1.1075 and 1.2275 represent areas where sellers are likely to enter.
4. Trend: The pair has broken a descending channel and is consolidating, with the possibility of bullish momentum from the support level.
Fundamentally, overview EUR/USD chart implies a recovery scenario after testing support, contingent on market sentiment and economic drivers like interest rates and macroeconomic data.
EUR/USD Longs from 1.02000 back upWhile the overall trend for EUR/USD (EU) remains bearish, the strong reaction from my marked demand zone last week has caused a Change of Character (CHOCH) to the upside. This indicates a temporary shift in momentum, and I plan to capitalize on this bullish move.
My strategy is to wait for a retracement back into the 8-hour demand zone below. Once the price taps into this zone while sweeping liquidity, I’ll look for lower time frame confirmations to enter buy positions.
However, if the price continues to move higher without retracing, I’ll consider potential sell opportunities from the key level at 1.04000.
Confluences for EU Buys:
- A CHOCH to the upside has temporarily shifted the trend.
- Significant liquidity to the upside in the form of equal highs and an imbalance that needs to be filled.
- A clean, unmitigated 8-hour demand zone remains below.
- The DXY aligns with this counter-trend idea.
- A pool of liquidity below is likely to be swept before price enters the point of interest (POI).
Note: If the price breaks structure further to the upside, I’ll identify a new demand zone. For now, my primary focus remains on the 8-hour demand zone below for buys and the 6-hour supply zone above for potential sells.
EURUSD - possible sells with the Data release?Here is our analysis on EURUSD . Possible shorts in play.
As we are anticipating the news release today, we can still assume the TVC:DXY will remain bullish. If the News and Data release is positive for the US Dollar , we could see more downside on the pair. With the new H4 just opening and the previous closing strongly bearish, we can assume that EURUSD will continue going down. Our Entry is sitting at 1.03272 with SL (Stop Loss) at 1.03587 . If we break above our SL we would most likely reverse and this trade idea would be invalidated. Our TP (Take Profit) is sitting at 1.02642 and if broken + the positive news and data release, we could see the price digging even deeper .
PARAMETERS
- Entry: 1.03272
- SL: 1.03587
- TP: 1.02642
KEY NOTES
- EURUSD is bearish.
- DXY (USD) still remains bullish and holds strength against other pairs.
- Positive news for the US could result in even lower prices on EURUSD.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
EURUSD Scenario 2.1.2025In this phase we are in, I think it is better to stay out of it at least on higher tf because when I look at this market, I rather expect some new bottom which could be considered as sfp below low from which the price could bounce into long but for now I am watching the reaction around the poc level.
Short term EU buySo, this is my strategy moving into 2025. I'm a break even trader starting my 5th year in the hot seat.
I'll be trading a 50k demo right here on tradingview. 1% risk per trade, minimum r:r = 1:1.
I'm only entering trades on EU at this stage, however DXY and GU are always on my screen.
Timeframes: Weekly, Daily and H4, primarily focused on the daily, hence it is now necessary for me to take part in an end of day analysis.
My plan remains the same as Day 1: Get profitable.
Blue = EUR/USD
Green = DXY
Red = GBP/USD
The dollar is inverted simply because it looks better based on how I'm analysing.
So, the weekly has made a significant close lower across the board and the range of this candle is highlighted in gold.
After Monday's trading, the Euro has closed above its recent daily parent candle, signally potential further movement towards the upside. This can be confirmed when looking at the DXY which is harbouring relative equal highs at the weekly gap, a considerable draw on liquidity.
At this moment in time I can only wait and see how the market interacts with these htf areas of interest I have labelled.
I need to see some kind of event occur at a high, low or 50%.
I would imagine there will be further buys throughout the daily sessions, drawing up to the 1.05 zone.
I'm open to feedback and chill conversation.
EUR/USD (SMC) concept+fib expansion!⭐EUR/USD has been in a strong downtrend, surpassing one of the last strongly confirmed supports, which makes me think that it will tend to retest this area from 1.03550, defying the continuation of the trend
⭐Before this retest of the support, my opinion is that it will go back down to the POI (point of interest) also called the strong demand zone
⭐Without much explanation in case the price does not test that POI I will automatically enter buy after confirmation that he will no longer retest that area
Inputs if retest POI: Inputs if doesn't retest POI:
Entry Price : 1.02650 Entry Price : 1.03200
Stop Loss: 1.02400 Stop Loss : 1.0300
Take Profit 1: 1.03100 Take Profit 1: 1.03100
Take Profit 2: 1.03550 Take Profit 2: 1.03550
Take Profit 3: 1.04000 (risky) Take Profit 3: 1.04000 (risky)
EURUSD Buy IdeaWhy am I bullish on FX:EURUSD as we approach NFP release? Well, lets analyse the weekly candle expansion. As depicted, price swept the previous week's high during the accumulation phase and shifted the market structure bearish, creating a change of character. During Manipulation, we saw price react from the 50% of the accumulation range making the bearish bias valid. Distribution delivered to the downside as expected and now we almost tapping a significant POI (weekly imbalance). We are anticipating a reversal because bears are now exhausted, so a long projection. Buy!
NEW IDEA FOR EURUSD on declines NEW IDEA FOR EURUSD on declines
The EUR/USD currency pair is in a downtrend on the 4-hour timeframe and is currently oscillating between two key support and resistance levels.
Key levels:
1.0449 Resistance:
This level acts as a short-term ceiling to prevent further price gains. If this level is not broken, selling pressure could reinforce the downtrend.
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EURUSD Trade LogEURUSD TDV Trade Log – Swing Long Plan
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Trade Setup Overview:
- Instrument: EURUSD
- Entry Zone: 0.5 Monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG), which aligns with the Weekly FVG.
- Technical Confluences:
- Both the Monthly and Weekly FVG levels exhibit bullish signals.
- Weekly RSI is in oversold or "deep waters," indicating potential upward momentum.
- Risk Management:
- My personal risk: 4% (highly aggressive and not financial advice).
- Recommended risk: Adjust to your own risk tolerance—always prioritize capital preservation.
- Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:2
- Stop-Loss: Below the lower boundary of the FVG.
- Take-Profit: Double the distance of the stop-loss.
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Macro Analysis Supporting This Swing Long:
1. US Interest Rate Dynamics:
- Recent Federal Reserve projections have suggested higher-for-longer rates, leading to USD strength.
- However, the shock effect of these projections appears to be diminishing, signaling potential stabilization or reversal in USD strength.
- Market sentiment suggests that the economic impact of elevated rates may start weighing on the USD as growth prospects taper.
2. Eurozone Economic Factors:
- Despite economic struggles, the ECB has hinted at maintaining relatively tight policy, providing a degree of support for the EUR.
- Any positive surprise in Eurozone data could act as a catalyst for a EURUSD recovery.
3. Technical Alignment with Macro Themes:
- The confluence of the Monthly and Weekly FVGs signals robust technical support zones.
- Bullish signals from these levels align with the potential macroeconomic reversal in USD strength, creating a favorable environment for a swing long.
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Personal Notes:
This trade aligns with both the technical framework of my system and macroeconomic insights. The key is discipline—if the setup invalidates (e.g., price action breaks below critical levels), do not force the trade. Always stay within your risk parameters, and remember this is not financial advice.
Good luck and trade safely!
EURUSD 4H waiting for breakdown and confirmation for growthEURUSD 4H waiting for breakdown and confirmation for growth
Key Points of Analysis:
Expected upward movement: The price may continue to rise after the breakdown of the trend line. Confirmation will be the price holding above this line and the demand zones.
Key targets:
1.0436: First resistance zone expected to be reached if the upside continues.
1.0492 and 1.0553: Next target resistance zones.
Risks: If the price returns under the demand zone (1.0380-1.0404), the upside scenario could be canceled and the price could fall again.
Forecast
With current expectations and if the trend breakout is confirmed, a rise to 1.0436 levels and then to 1.0492 and 1.0553 is likely.
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🔹 Fixed stop loss and take profit for risk management.
🔹 100% automation: copy trades through CopyFX service.
🔹 Reliability and transparency: the results are confirmed by the market.
📈 Don't miss the chance to earn steadily!
👉 Connect to CopyFX with THS and start copying profitable trades right now!
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EUR - LONG - Swing Trading*This is a risky trade since if it breaks support it can take us to very low levels, which is why an appropriate stop loss must be used.
We are in a support between 1.042 and 1.045 that is holding up very well until now. Now that time has passed, it seems we are close to breaking 1.05 and will remain there in the following days. It is necessary to give the trade time of around 6 to 14 days to reach the targets.
Targets:
T1: 1.059 - 1.060 (protect or take partial)
T2: 1.065 (close - 6 days)
T3: 1.080 (close - 14 days)
Bullish Catalysts for EUR/USDTechnical Analysis
Monthly Chart:
The weakening of the U.S. Dollar (DXY) creates a favorable environment for bullish movements in EUR/USD. On the monthly chart, the euro is positioned near a significant support zone that aligns with a strong buying area. With the dollar's liquidity grab above 107.348 signaling further downside potential, EUR/USD is well-positioned for upward momentum.
Daily Chart:
The daily chart confirms a strong bullish structure, with higher highs and higher lows indicating sustained upward pressure. The recent weakness in the DXY aligns with this bullish trend, reinforcing the potential for continued euro strength. This week's price action suggests buyers remain firmly in control, and the technical setup supports a move toward higher targets.
Fundamental Analysis
Impact of the U.S. Dollar Weakness:
The euro stands to benefit significantly from the current bearish outlook on the DXY. With the Federal Reserve showing hesitancy toward further rate cuts due to inflation concerns and strong labor market conditions, short-term volatility is likely. However, any signs of labor market weakening or inflation stability could lead to aggressive rate cuts, further weakening the dollar and supporting EUR/USD upside.
Key Catalysts:
This upcoming week, Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) and unemployment rate data are expected to provide critical directional cues:
Expected Increase in Unemployment: If the unemployment rate increases as forecasted, this would add downward pressure on the DXY, fueling strong upside potential for EUR/USD.
Nonfarm Payroll Volatility: Regardless of the outcome, NFP data typically injects significant volatility into the market. Even in scenarios where unemployment data does not meet expectations, the euro could still reach key targets due to the strong technical bullish structure and high demand at monthly zones.
Summary and Outlook
Technical and Fundamental Alignment:
EUR/USD is in a prime position for further upside given:
The bearish outlook on the DXY, signaling continued weakness in the U.S. Dollar.
The bullish structure on the EUR/USD daily chart, which supports continued buying pressure.
Key catalysts this week, including unemployment and NFP data, which are likely to favor euro strength under expected scenarios.
Key Factors to Monitor:
The actual results of unemployment and payroll data.
Fed commentary and market sentiment on potential rate adjustments.
Any unexpected geopolitical or macroeconomic developments affecting the eurozone or the U.S.
Price Expectations:
Short-Term Target: The bullish structure supports a move toward a significant monthly resistance zone where strong buy-side liquidity resides.
Medium-to-Long-Term Target: If dollar weakness persists and unemployment increases, EUR/USD could see a strong bullish move extending beyond this resistance, possibly forming new highs.
With the DXY weakening and structural alignment in favor of the euro, buying EUR/USD remains a favorable strategy this week, supported by both technical and fundamental factors.
eurusd next move. fvgEUR/USD has taken out the monthly low liquidity. Now, we wait for the FVG to be hit. As you can see, there has already been a break of structure. The expectation is that EUR/USD will rise again toward 1.800. If you take this trade, it offers an easy 7.5 risk-to-reward (RR) ratio.
EURUSD Bullish ? Monthly FVG Reversal Setup to the UpsideBreaking down the EUR/USD setup:
Sell-Side Liquidity Raided:
Price has effectively taken out the sell-side liquidity (SSL) levels at 1.060 and 1.04482, creating the conditions for a reversal.
Monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG):
Price has tapped into the monthly FVG and, more importantly, closed above it, signaling a possible bullish reversal.
Higher Timeframe Bias:
The monthly FVG holds strong as a bullish PD array. With price rejecting this range, there’s potential for a move toward the weekly buy-side liquidity (BSL) at 1.09387.
Obstacles to Watch:
Price is approaching two high-probability bearish FVGs on the weekly timeframe. These zones could cause re tracements back into the higher timeframe monthly FVG range.
Monitor these areas closely for signs of price respecting or disregarding these bearish zones.
Projection:
If price continues to disrespect the bearish FVGs and maintains bullish displacement, a continuation toward 1.09387 is likely.
Keep in mind retracements into the FVG range as healthy pullbacks during the move higher.
Conclusion:
This setup highlights a high-probability reversal scenario based on ICT concepts. However, as always, patience and confirmation are key—watch how price reacts to the bearish FVGs along the way.
Disclaimer: Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and trade responsibly.