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Eurusddaily

EUR/USD at a Crossroads: Will Trade Tensions Push It Lower? EUR/USD has been struggling to maintain momentum above the 1.0500 mark, facing renewed selling pressure as macroeconomic and geopolitical factors influence sentiment. With the US Dollar regaining strength and concerns about European economic stagnation growing, the pair remains vulnerable to further downside. Technical Analysis: Resistance Levels: 1.0532 (January 27 high), 1.0629 (December peak), 1.0744 (200-day SMA). Support Levels: 1.0405 (55-day SMA), 1.0282 (February 10 low), 1.0209 (February 3 low), and 1.0176 (January 13 YTD low). Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is near 55, indicating modest momentum, while the Average Directional Index (ADX) remains around 15, suggesting a weakening trend. Moving Averages: The 200-day SMA at 1.0744 serves as a key dynamic resistance, while the 55-day SMA at 1.0405 acts as interim support. Fundamental Analysis: Several key fundamental factors are exerting downward pressure on EUR/USD: Trade Policy Uncertainty: While US tariff tensions have temporarily eased, lingering trade disputes, including a 10% duty on Chinese imports and potential EU-targeted tariffs, keep investors cautious. Diverging Central Bank Policies: The Federal Reserve remains firm on keeping interest rates elevated, while the European Central Bank has begun rate cuts, signaling weaker economic confidence in the Eurozone. Economic Growth Divergence: The US economy continues to show resilience with robust labor markets and stable inflation, while the Eurozone faces stagnation and potential contraction, particularly in Germany. European Political Risks: Uncertainty in Germany and wider Eurozone economic struggles add to the Euro’s bearish outlook, making it less attractive compared to the US Dollar. The EUR/USD pair is at a critical juncture, with key support levels in focus. Trade policies, central bank divergence, and economic growth disparities continue to drive market sentiment. This week is pivotal for the Eurozone, with key economic data releases culminating in Friday’s PMI figures, which could determine the pair’s next major move. Traders should remain cautious and closely monitor both technical and fundamental developments. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Short
by AR33_
Latest analysis of EUR/USDAfter a period of consolidation, EUR/USD is still hovering around the key resistance level of 1.0500, which is crucial for the trend of the euro. From a technical perspective, the current exchange rate trend remains above the 50-day moving average, which is around 1.04, providing support for bulls. The 50-day moving average is usually regarded as a guide for the medium-term trend. The price can remain above it, indicating that the current market is still bullish. In addition, the 14-day relative strength index (RSI) is currently approaching 60.00. If the RSI further breaks through this level and remains above this area, it may provide stronger upward momentum for EUR/USD. The breakthrough of RSI usually means a change in market sentiment. Breaking through 60.00 means that the bullish force may further increase, pushing the exchange rate upward. In terms of support, the low of 1.0285 on February 10 will be a key support area for EUR/USD. If the price falls below this support level, it may trigger a further correction. It should be noted that the current upward momentum is still relatively limited. If the price continues to consolidate around 1.0500, a sideways pattern may form in the short term. On the other hand, the resistance level of 1.0630 is also very important. This price range is the high point of December 6 last year. If the price breaks through this resistance level, it may mean a larger upside, especially in the upward trend after breaking through the 50-day moving average. On the whole, the current technical side of EUR/USD shows some upside potential, but it still needs more upside momentum to break through the psychological level of 1.0500. If the RSI continues to rise and remains above 60, the possibility of breaking through the key resistance level will increase. On the contrary, if the price falls back below 1.0285, it may re-test the lower support level.
by niwmniwm
EUR/USD on high time frame "Regarding EUR/USD on high time frames, as per my recent analysis, the price has shifted towards a bullish momentum. I anticipate the price to surpass the mitigated order block on the 4-hour chart and reach the 1/1 price zone on the weekly and daily time frames. However, this analysis would be invalidated if the price closes below 1.02 on the daily time frame." If you have any specific questions or if you need further assistance with your text, please let me know!
Long
by somayehbasiri
EURUSD Buy📉 EURUSD Signal | 1H Timeframe Analysis 📆 Date: February 7, 2025 🔍 Strategy: Breakout and Risk Management ✅ Suggested Position: Buy after pullback confirmation 🎯 Targets: First Target: 1.04016 Second Target: 1.04429 Third Target: 1.04938 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.03083 🔄 Entry Level: Confirmed breakout at 1.03372 ⚠ Key Points: Enter if a pullback to 1.03372 is confirmed. Set stop loss at 1.03083. Apply proper risk management. 📊 Technical Analysis: The previous downtrend has been corrected, and we are in a demand zone. If the key level breaks, an upward move is expected. #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #EURUSD
Long
by ehsancrypto72
2
EUR/USD Trading AnalysisEuro: Market Focus on Europe The euro remains under pressure against the dollar as the announcement of steel tariffs over the weekend dealt an initial blow to the European Union. Europe is bracing for possible new tariffs on industries such as autos. As the EU's tariff levels are relatively low, the overall impact of "reciprocal" tariffs may be limited. But more worrying is that the U.S. Commerce Department plans to release a report on the causes of the U.S. trade deficit in April, which is expected to pave the way for broader tariff measures. Regardless of today's tariff news, the current interest rate differential still supports EUR/USD hovering around 1.03, while weakening the momentum of a rebound. As discussed by our interest rate strategy team, the eurozone's interest rate differential with the United States is likely to remain high, if not widen, in the coming months. In addition, rising natural gas prices may also continue to put pressure on the euro. Before the new tariffs are introduced, the euro may fall further to the 1.0250-1.0260 range, or even lower.
by niwmniwm
EURUSD Buying Trade Idea from 1.0230-1.02135EURUSD Buying Trade Idea from 1.0230-1.02135 EURUSD Buying Trade Idea from 1.0230-1.02135 at the price level and the idea more empower when the market strongly break the 1.02722 zone. In the recent days at Friday after the Gold create new High (All time) the other major pairs fall and now traded at the based price. Market will cover the opening gap this morning Monday Feb 3rd 2025. The buying setup; Buy range: 1.0230-1.02135 Stop Loss: 1.01639 Take Profit L1: 1.03456 Take Profit L2: 1.04320 Take Profit L3: 1.05046 Take Profit L4: 1.06155 Use 1% of your account balance at the risk on the setup.
Long
by Bloom_Forex_Official
GOLD XAUUSD BULISH CHANNELXAUUSD is currently trading within a well-defined bullish channel pattern, characterized by higher highs and higher lows, indicating a strong upward momentum in the market. The lower trendline of the channel acts as a support level, providing a cushion for price pullbacks, while the upper trendline serves as a resistance zone, marking potential targets for buyers. As long as the price remains within this channel, the overall sentiment remains bullish, suggesting continued growth. A breakout above the resistance level could signal accelerated bullish momentum, while a break below support may indicate a potential reversal or consolidation phase.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrGushyEXPERT458
EUR/USD Short from 1.03000 (Supply Zone 6hr)My analysis for EUR/USD (EU) this week aligns with my view on other pairs, as the Dollar continues to strengthen. The bearish trend remains strong, and I plan to stay aligned with this pro-trend movement. The price has broken structure to the downside and left a clean 6-hour supply zone that is yet to be mitigated. Once the price retraces to this supply zone, I’ll be looking for potential sell opportunities. I’ll wait for a redistribution pattern to confirm my entry before taking shorts. If the price continues to drop without retracing, I’ll monitor for a closer supply zone to form and adjust my setup accordingly. Confluences for EU Sells: - The price remains strongly bearish on higher time frames. - The DXY is bullish, supporting the bearish trend for EU. - A clean supply zone caused a Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside. - The market is consistently forming lower lows and lower highs. - A significant imbalance below still needs to be filled. Note: If the price reaches the 7-hour demand zone below or the imbalance, I anticipate a potential bullish reaction, possibly leading to a retracement.
Short
by Hassan_fx
Neutral on closeLeading on from yesterday where I'd used the weekly range, I now favour the accuracy of the daily levels since we have more data. We're presented with a bearish candle that closed inside the range of the highlighted parent candle. So, that FVG on DXY is still there, also the pound swept yesterday's high. It seems neutral, eh? I still think there will be short term buying. At this moment in time, it's still too soon for me to enter this trade. I will check the 9am open for any potential after the red flag news. Otherwise, see you after 5pm EST.
by PointOneFx
EUR/USD AnalysisOkay, here's the narrative. By the way Happy New Year in advance folks. We did a lot of algebra in school so this going to be a plot twist: If today's Tuesday and last week's Friday Candle wick high & low have been taken out in both directions, which means holding a trade last week would have meant a probability of being taken out. And the high of the week is looking Monday right now (We thinking it would be a Tuesday/Wednesday if it's going to be bearish), with a new year begining tomorrow and fresh equal lows looking like last year's bread that would likely be gleaned and taken. Maybe? maybe not? It's a trickle chart of on the 1D Chart. Bit good news, the FVG on the far left side of last week and the week before and this week's trading has been respected based on some criterias. Well, that's the narrative...
by ReedDTrader
EUR - LONG - Swing Trading*This is a risky trade since if it breaks support it can take us to very low levels, which is why an appropriate stop loss must be used. We are in a support between 1.042 and 1.045 that is holding up very well until now. Now that time has passed, it seems we are close to breaking 1.05 and will remain there in the following days. It is necessary to give the trade time of around 6 to 14 days to reach the targets. Targets: T1: 1.059 - 1.060 (protect or take partial) T2: 1.065 (close - 6 days) T3: 1.080 (close - 14 days)
Long
by leonardobarriosr69