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Eurusddaily

EUR/USD (READ DESCRIPTION)Pivot Point: 1.0845 The pivot at 1.0845 serves as a critical support level for the EUR/USD pair. If the price holds above this level, it signals the potential for further upside movement. The technical outlook suggests a bullish bias as long as this support remains intact. Our Preference: Long Positions Recommended Trade: Long positions are preferred as long as the price remains above the pivot at 1.0845. This suggests that the pair could rally to test higher resistance levels. Target Levels for Upside Movement: First Target: 1.0880 This level acts as an intermediate resistance, where traders may consider taking profit or assess the strength of the bullish momentum. Second Target: 1.0900 If the first resistance at 1.0880 is surpassed, the next target is 1.0900, representing a continuation of the bullish trend. Alternative Scenario: Downside Risks If the price drops below 1.0845: A break below this pivot would open the door to a downside move. Bearish Outlook: First Target: 1.0825 Second Target: 1.0810 These levels represent potential areas of support in a bearish scenario, indicating further downward movement. Technical Insights: RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is mixed but holding above its neutral area, signaling a cautious bullish sentiment. If the RSI continues to rise, it could confirm increasing buying interest. Support Zone Strength: The 1.0845 level has provided stability, allowing the price to form a base for potential upward movement, increasing the likelihood of a bullish continuation. Moving Averages: If EUR/USD rises above key moving averages, such as the 20-period or 50-period, it would provide further confirmation of the bullish scenario. A crossover in these averages may signal a stronger upward trend. Momentum Indicators: Indicators like the MACD remain positive, supporting a continuation of the upward momentum. If a bullish crossover occurs, it will likely further solidify the upward trajectory.
by CharivapaAlgo
EURUSD Multi Timeframe Analysis 21.10.202415m Swing, Internal,Fractal Bearish We now have mitigated the premium of the 15m swing structure What expected is, internal 15m bearish order flow to continue and internal unmitigated supply to hold. Or Asia high get swept and bearish momentum kick in. But we are now in Daily internal unmitigated demand zone and bullish reaction is very likely. On my analysis from Friday, I said Friday's Daily candle could close as inside bar and that happened. What I now expect is, price to mitigate upper 4H Supply and also 15m Supply nested in 4H Supply, give us another 4H fractal fake bullish break, sweep the low, use as fuel for bullish leg. But as we trade the fact and not the expectations, that is my long plans once HTF switched to Bullish, and I will look for quick shorts once 4H supply mitigated or follow the 15m bearish of once i am convinced.
by alplaila
EURUSD Multi Timeframe Analysis 18.10.202415m Swing, Internal and Fractal Bearish and we are now testing fractal supply. We might get a bearish momentum to kick in from here or price could target deeper levels to mitigate premium supply zone For shorts it makes sense to follow Bearish order flow. For longs ideal to wait 4H Internal ( or 15m Swing ) to shift bullish I have already mentioned couple of times that we could get fake breaks as we are in unmitigated daily demand range now and we already had fake bullish 4H ChoCHs. This could be to target unmitigated supply zones. Wait for strong bullish momentum to play longs.
Short
by alplaila
2
EURUSD sellPreviously i was totally buy baised but now as i have observed the pair from weekly to daily to 4H to 1H we are seeing a downward 👇 move in the pair also the confluence is 50 SMA which is above the price also we have a support level down there at 1.0884 price level if price breaks below 👇 we will see a heavy downside move in the pair also the confluence is from H4 to H1 we are experiencing a falling wedge pattern which indicates price will soon fall after break below
Short
by Wakeel_Saab
EUR/USD Buys from 1.09400 back upEU's market structure is currently very similar to other setups I'm watching. After a bearish run over the past week, I expect price to slow down as it approaches the key 7-hour demand zone I’ve marked out. Once price sweeps the liquidity at the equal highs (EQHs), I’ll be watching for accumulation on the lower time frames (LTF) before a potential mitigation of the 7-hour demand zone. If price doesn’t reach this demand and instead pushes up to mitigate a supply zone like the 15-hour or 5-hour above, I’ll shift my focus to selling in line with the bearish trend. For now, I’m waiting to see how the market behaves at the open to decide on the next move. Confluences for EU Buys: - The 7-hour demand zone has triggered a CHOCH to the upside. - There are major imbalances and liquidity above that need to be filled. - For price to retrace to the supply zone, it will need to move upward. - The US Dollar Index (DXY) is sitting in a strong supply zone, which could trigger a dollar drop and support bullish momentum for EU. Note: If price breaks through the demand zone, it will also break more significant structure to the downside, confirming a long-term bearish outlook for EU.
Long
by Hassan_fx
EURUSD Multi TImeframe Analysis 03.10.2024M15 Swing and Internal Structures are both Bearish aligned with 4H Structure. If you are looking for Longs, beter be cautious. The price is now in Daily Demand zone and approaching to old 4H Demand but this low is likely to be taken so I don't think it is going to hold long but we might see fake 15m bullish breaks in this 4H demand before it fails. Ideally wait price to mitigate 15m Supply to take shorts which would be more probable than long positions. Check 4H and Daily Analysis below
Short
by alplaila
EUR/USD Longs to short idea from 1.10500 My analysis for EU is similar to GU. Currently, the price is very close to a 3-hour demand zone where I will be looking for buying opportunities. Once the price enters this zone, I will wait for distribution before targeting the nearest supply zone for a potential sell. When the price reaches that supply zone, I will consider entering sells, as there's a similar setup in GU from last week's NFP. However, my ultimate target is the extreme supply zone at the 10-hour level. Confluences for EU Buys: - The price has created a clean demand zone that caused a change of character (CHOCH). - In the short-term trend, there's substantial liquidity to the upside for price to take. - This setup aligns with the DXY (Dollar Index). - Price has filled in an imbalance as well. Note: I am more inclined to take these buys since the demand has caused a CHOCH on the higher time frame. Have a great trading week, and don't forget about the upcoming CPI data!
by Hassan_fx
7 Dimension Buy Trade Setup for EURUSD Core Analysis Method: Smart Money Concepts 😇7 Dimension Analysis Time Frame: H1/M5 1: Swing Structure: Bullish with inducement done. Corrective swing move reaches the extreme POIs, also gives a pullback at the demand level, forming a bullish internal structure. Mitigated all POIs including extreme OB, FVG, and liquidity sweep area inside the structure in the discounted zone. Swing support demand zone plays a significant role at this point and this zone also acts as a change in polarity zone. 2: Pattern 🟢 CHART PATTERNS: Reversal: Double bottom chart patterns also indicate a reversal. 🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS: Momentum: Many bullish and bearish big candles show huge activity in this area, indicating execution momentum is on the sell side and building momentum on the buy side, but buyers look strong. Narrow range 4 pattern possibly formed and a tower bottom is also fully formed, indicating a buy-side reversal. 3: Volume 🟢 Fixed Range: According to this, many bulls are active in this area and have very good buy pressure. 4: Momentum RSI 🟢 With 2 bullish divergences in the bearish range indicating a momentum shift from bearish to sideways range shift. 5: Volatility Bollinger Bands 🟢 After corrective volatility expansion, now volatility is going to cool down and might be for one day, price can consolidate in this range and then start another impulsive move on the bull side with a possible upper band squeeze breakout walking on the band because right at this level we also see a W Bollinger band pattern and lower band puncher. 6: Strength: EUR is strong. 7: Sentiment: All indicators point to buy sentiments. ✔️ Entry Time Frame: M5 ✅ Entry TF Structure: CHOCH in M5 and also mitigated all the POIs in entry time frames ☑️ M5 Trend Line Broke 💡 Decision: Buy 🚀 Entry: 1.08845 ✋ Stop Loss: 1.08753 🎯 Take Profit: 1.09232 😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 4.24 RR 🕛 Expected Duration: 2 Days Short SUMMARY: Analysis supports a strong buy position based on the Smart Money Concepts methodology.
Long
by Optimum369
EUR/USD Price Surge: Analysis and Future Outlook The EUR/USD price has surged significantly over the past 10 days. Let's explore the reasons behind this movement and the potential trends we might face in the coming days. Fundamental Analysis: The EUR/USD exchange rate has seen a significant increase over the past 10 days. This upward trend is primarily supported by a weakening U.S. dollar, driven by several economic factors. Recent inflation data shows that U.S. inflation is slowing down, with the annual inflation rate for June 2024 at 3.0%, a decrease from previous months. This has strengthened expectations of a less restrictive monetary policy from the Federal Reserve, with investors anticipating rate cuts in September and possibly in November or December. On the other hand, the euro has been bolstered by the European Central Bank's (ECB) aggressive stance on raising interest rates, improving energy prospects in Europe, and relative weakness in the dollar. Technical Analysis: The EUR/USD chart indicates a potential structural change. Recently, as the price dropped to the lower part of the channel, it found support around the 1.07 level, hitting an upward trendline without making a lower low from the previous wave at 1.06. From that level, the price rose, testing the upper part of the channel and closing the daily and weekly candles at the previous high around 1.09. This is a crucial level; if it breaks with a daily candle, it would confirm the structural change, leading to a potential further rise. Conversely, a rejection at this level could result in a decline. Volume Analysis: In recent sessions, the Point of Control (POC) has consistently been at the beginning of the session, indicating significant volume gaps in the daily candles. The overall POC for the channel is at the 1.08 level, which could act as a support if the price declines. If the price continues to rise, there are many upper areas left to fill from the highs of the previous year. Sentiment Analysis: Current retail sentiment shows a 91% short position against 9% long, with short volumes at a four-year high. However, institutional positions as of the 2024-07-09 COT report indicate 393,029 long contracts against 160,108 short. Dealers, on the other hand, are 275,000 short against 9,478 long. This discrepancy suggests that institutional players are aligned with the market, discouraging short positions. Personal Analysis: In my opinion, the euro's recent rise seems exaggerated given the negative IPC, a rate cut by the ECB, a favorable PPI for the dollar, and Powell's statements indicating it is not yet time to cut rates. I expect a retracement from this level or slightly higher to fill some of the gaps left during the rise, after which the market will decide on the next direction. Powell's speech on Monday will be crucial. However, I wouldn't be surprised by a continued rise, as summer markets can be very unpredictable. If you don't have any open positions, it's wise to wait for the market to establish a clear direction before entering. I hope this analysis has been helpful. If you found it useful, please leave a boost to show your appreciation for the work done.
by jamesbond70