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Eurusddaily

EUR/USD H1 03/12/2024 – Key Levels 1.04950 & 1.05250Consolidation Likely Before Breakout – Key Levels 1.04950 & 1.05250 Daily (D1) Chart Key Observations: Price is currently trading below the 200 SMA (long-term bearish trend). The Ichimoku Cloud suggests bearish sentiment, with price under the cloud and the Tenkan-sen below the Kijun-sen. RSI (39) indicates bearish momentum, but it's not yet oversold. The MACD shows a weak bearish crossover, confirming a lack of bullish strength. Price is consolidating between 1.04950 (support) and 1.05250 (resistance). Conclusion: The D1 timeframe reflects a bearish bias unless there is a strong breakout above 1.05250. 4-Hour (H4) Chart Key Observations: Price has been rejected multiple times at the 1.05250 resistance, with the 200 EMA above current levels acting as a strong resistance zone. Stochastic Oscillator (27) indicates oversold conditions, signaling potential short-term buying pressure. RSI (48) is neutral, leaning toward bearish. The MACD is flat, showing indecision. ATR is low, suggesting limited volatility. Conclusion: A break of 1.05250 would require strong bullish momentum, but failure to breach could push prices lower toward 1.04500. 1-Hour (H1) Chart Key Observations: Price is trading just under the Ichimoku Cloud, signaling short-term bearishness. Stochastic Oscillator (55) suggests mild bullish pressure, but it's losing strength. MACD is slightly positive but flattening, indicating indecision. The 1.05250 level remains a key intraday resistance, while 1.04950 is the immediate support. Conclusion: The H1 chart suggests consolidation with potential for a breakout. A move below 1.04950 could lead to a bearish continuation, while a break above 1.05250 might fuel short-term bullish momentum. 30-Minute (M30) Chart Key Observations: Price has bounced off the 1.04950 support, forming minor bullish candlesticks, but resistance at 1.05250 remains firm. Stochastic is overbought (81), signaling limited upside potential in the short term. MACD is flattening, confirming consolidation. ATR is still low, hinting at range-bound movement. Conclusion: The M30 chart aligns with a short-term consolidation outlook unless we see a decisive breakout. Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 1.05250 (Short-term resistance). 1.05750 (Next upside target). Support: 1.04950 (Immediate support). 1.04500 (Next downside target). Strategy for trade entries Buy Stop Setup (Bullish Scenario): Entry Price: 1.05300 (above resistance). Stop-Loss: 1.05100 (20 pips below entry). Take-Profit: 1.05750 (45 pips above entry). Sell Stop Setup (Bearish Scenario): Entry Price: 1.04850 (below support). Stop-Loss: 1.05050 (20 pips above entry). Take-Profit: 1.04450 (40 pips below entry).
by napoleon182
Euro plummets amid tariff threats and political turmoilEUR/USD has dropped over 0.6% to $1.04607, reflecting ongoing geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty in the Eurozone. In November, the euro experienced a 3% decline, its worst monthly performance in over a year, raising concerns about parity with the US dollar. Trump's recent threats to impose 100% tariffs on countries moving away from the US dollar have further pressured the euro. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank's dovish signals, including potential rate cuts of up to 50 basis points in December, add to the euro's challenges. On the other hand, the US dollar index has risen nearly 1% to 106.7, bolstered by strong economic indicators like the ISM Manufacturing PMI. As traders digest these developments, the EUR/USD may continue to face downward pressure. Share your insights on how these factors could shape the pair's trajectory in the coming weeks.
by tastyfx
EURUSD - Futher Downside ExpectedEURUSD is heading towards lower level to complete it's Wave 3. EMA 50 is currently holding as a resistance and unless the news comes against Dollar, we should expect the above move to complete. For entries, please wait for at least two candle reversals on 5/15M at the specified level and apply appropriate risk management. If you found this analysis helpful, please consider boosting and following for more updates. Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
Short
by MarketsPOV
1
EURUSD trade setup battle:-Today Euro made 3 months low with also break previous low and holding side . There we can setup a loss free trade setup ::- Euro have strong support levels @ 1.06000 . So we have to build buy and sell both position at this time :- First we have to buy and sell on same strike price with same quantity and hold for target 1.06000 $ than we exit from sell side we get our target and hold buy position for target 🎯 1.08000 level. Stay tuned with me for more updates and follow me.
Long
by alokakhil
EURUSD: Will It Retrace to POI?Our philosophy focuses on simplicity and precision, avoiding cognitive overload. On the daily chart, EURUSD is trading within Range Zone. If another daily candle closes bullish above $1.086 (the Daily Range Bottom), it could push the price up to the Range Top at $1.1, which is our Daily Point of Interest (Daily POI). The Mid Daily Range may act as minor resistance on this move. If EURUSD falls below the Daily Range Bottom, it enters a bearish zone, with the next target around Key Daily Level 1↓ at $1.066. Alternatively, a bullish breakout above the Daily Range Top could extend gains to the Minor Daily Level at $1.112. Though, this scenario is secondary as long as EURUSD remains within the Daily Range Zone.
by Trade-Lean
Strong EUR? - A EUR/USD AnalysisEUR/USD has displayed bullish characteristics over the last couple of weeks. - We have reach a high in the market @ 1.095. - This high was made after a bullish A,B,C,D pattern aka (Trend). - In bullish markets, prices tend to find support at the previous high, the previous high in this market (To me) is @ 1.085. - We currently have made a bullish pin bar rejection candle on 3/19/2024. - Currently we have untapped orders at 1.098, this is where I believe prices want to go in the next month. - Breaking the 1.098 level, could lead to a bigger move up toward 1.11. ** as always, trade smart, trade responsible, and manage the risk as much as the reward **
Long
by ThePipAssassin
2
EUR/USD Selloff CaseGood morning everyone. Going to try to keep this short and sweet. DXY, as of about 0830EST, broke through all hourly Camarilla resistance levels. The last being 104.560. The next targets would be at 104.795, 104.833, 104.871, and 104.987. EUR/USD has broken through first 1HR/4HR support level at 1.0782. Next two levels would be 1.0772, and 1.0762. After these levels are broken. I'll look to trade to 1.07. Going into this selloff, we were in a bearish symmetrical triangle. Though I do not rely heavily on indicators, MACD, RSI (both reg. and sto.) are aligning with this downward momentum. Stop loss around previous around 1.0830 which the hour 200-EMA is peaking under. The DXY upward pressure is also supported by the election anticipation of Donald J. Trump winning. Rising 10-year yield is also support the greenback. BOJ is not looking to hike rates this week. Listened to a few earnings calls. Everyone is beating earnings so far. VIX is up. Feels like risk-on but keep in mind that the market made a major move up prior to any reports. Folks getting greedy and anxious going into election and big data week. Let's see if JOLTS today, IJC on Thursaday, and NFP on Friday still show a strong labor market. If so, definitely can forget about a 50 bps cut. 94.8% priced in for a 25 bps cut and 5.2% with no cut. Of course, like Socrates, I'm objective and humble to accept that it's possible for none of this to happen. If we get a break back about 1.0805, a level got from my brother @ThePipAssassin I'm tracking resistance levels at 1.0825, 1.0851, 1.0877, and 1.0919. If we get anywhere near these, believe I'll be looking for 1.10 because I did identify a FVG to the downtrend in DXY. Of couse none of this is to be taken as trading or financial advice. I am simple giving you my own analysis. Trade at your own risk and I encourage everyone to do your own research and check my thoughts. Please give feedback. Going to start doing this a lot more. Follow, like, and share por favor. God is love!
TVC:DXY
by Arkad2021
EUR/USD FACING SELLING PRESSURE. $DXY MULTIPLE PIVOTS POINTSGood morning everyone. Going to try to keep this short and sweet. DXY, as of about 0830EST, broke through all hourly Camarilla resistance levels. The last being 104.560. The next targets would be at 104.795, 104.833, 104.871, and 104.987. EUR/USD has broken through first 1HR/4HR support level at 1.0782. Next two levels would be 1.0772, and 1.0762. After these levels are broken. I'll look to trade to 1.07. Going into this selloff, we were in a bearish symmetrical triangle. Though I do not rely heavily on indicators, MACD, RSI (both reg. and sto.) are aligning with this downward momentum. Stop loss around previous around 1.0830 which the hour 200-EMA is peaking under. The DXY upward pressure is also supported by the election anticipation of Donald J. Trump winning. Rising 10-year yield is also support the greenback. BOJ is not looking to hike rates this week. Listened to a few earnings calls. Everyone is beating earnings so far. VIX is up. Feels like risk-on but keep in mind that the market made a major move up prior to any reports. Folks getting greedy and anxious going into election and big data week. Let's see if JOLTS today, IJC on Thursaday, and NFP on Friday still show a strong labor market. If so, definitely can forget about a 50 bps cut. 94.8% priced in for a 25 bps cut and 5.2% with no cut. Of course, like Socrates, I'm objective and humble to accept that it's possible for none of this to happen. If we get a break back about 1.0805, a level got from my brother @ThePipAssassin I'm tracking resistance levels at 1.0825, 1.0851, 1.0877, and 1.0919. If we get anywhere near these, believe I'll be looking for 1.10 because I did identify a FVG to the downtrend in DXY. Of couse none of this is to be taken as trading or financial advice. I am simple giving you my own analysis. Trade at your own risk and I encourage everyone to do your own research and check my thoughts. Please give feedback. Going to start doing this a lot more. Follow, like, and share por favor. God is love!
Short
by Arkad2021
EUR/USD (READ DESCRIPTION)Pivot Point: 1.0845 The pivot at 1.0845 serves as a critical support level for the EUR/USD pair. If the price holds above this level, it signals the potential for further upside movement. The technical outlook suggests a bullish bias as long as this support remains intact. Our Preference: Long Positions Recommended Trade: Long positions are preferred as long as the price remains above the pivot at 1.0845. This suggests that the pair could rally to test higher resistance levels. Target Levels for Upside Movement: First Target: 1.0880 This level acts as an intermediate resistance, where traders may consider taking profit or assess the strength of the bullish momentum. Second Target: 1.0900 If the first resistance at 1.0880 is surpassed, the next target is 1.0900, representing a continuation of the bullish trend. Alternative Scenario: Downside Risks If the price drops below 1.0845: A break below this pivot would open the door to a downside move. Bearish Outlook: First Target: 1.0825 Second Target: 1.0810 These levels represent potential areas of support in a bearish scenario, indicating further downward movement. Technical Insights: RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is mixed but holding above its neutral area, signaling a cautious bullish sentiment. If the RSI continues to rise, it could confirm increasing buying interest. Support Zone Strength: The 1.0845 level has provided stability, allowing the price to form a base for potential upward movement, increasing the likelihood of a bullish continuation. Moving Averages: If EUR/USD rises above key moving averages, such as the 20-period or 50-period, it would provide further confirmation of the bullish scenario. A crossover in these averages may signal a stronger upward trend. Momentum Indicators: Indicators like the MACD remain positive, supporting a continuation of the upward momentum. If a bullish crossover occurs, it will likely further solidify the upward trajectory.
by CharivapaAlgo
EURUSD Multi Timeframe Analysis 21.10.202415m Swing, Internal,Fractal Bearish We now have mitigated the premium of the 15m swing structure What expected is, internal 15m bearish order flow to continue and internal unmitigated supply to hold. Or Asia high get swept and bearish momentum kick in. But we are now in Daily internal unmitigated demand zone and bullish reaction is very likely. On my analysis from Friday, I said Friday's Daily candle could close as inside bar and that happened. What I now expect is, price to mitigate upper 4H Supply and also 15m Supply nested in 4H Supply, give us another 4H fractal fake bullish break, sweep the low, use as fuel for bullish leg. But as we trade the fact and not the expectations, that is my long plans once HTF switched to Bullish, and I will look for quick shorts once 4H supply mitigated or follow the 15m bearish of once i am convinced.
by alplaila
EURUSD Multi Timeframe Analysis 18.10.202415m Swing, Internal and Fractal Bearish and we are now testing fractal supply. We might get a bearish momentum to kick in from here or price could target deeper levels to mitigate premium supply zone For shorts it makes sense to follow Bearish order flow. For longs ideal to wait 4H Internal ( or 15m Swing ) to shift bullish I have already mentioned couple of times that we could get fake breaks as we are in unmitigated daily demand range now and we already had fake bullish 4H ChoCHs. This could be to target unmitigated supply zones. Wait for strong bullish momentum to play longs.
Short
by alplaila
2
EURUSD sellPreviously i was totally buy baised but now as i have observed the pair from weekly to daily to 4H to 1H we are seeing a downward 👇 move in the pair also the confluence is 50 SMA which is above the price also we have a support level down there at 1.0884 price level if price breaks below 👇 we will see a heavy downside move in the pair also the confluence is from H4 to H1 we are experiencing a falling wedge pattern which indicates price will soon fall after break below
Short
by Wakeel_Saab
EUR/USD Buys from 1.09400 back upEU's market structure is currently very similar to other setups I'm watching. After a bearish run over the past week, I expect price to slow down as it approaches the key 7-hour demand zone I’ve marked out. Once price sweeps the liquidity at the equal highs (EQHs), I’ll be watching for accumulation on the lower time frames (LTF) before a potential mitigation of the 7-hour demand zone. If price doesn’t reach this demand and instead pushes up to mitigate a supply zone like the 15-hour or 5-hour above, I’ll shift my focus to selling in line with the bearish trend. For now, I’m waiting to see how the market behaves at the open to decide on the next move. Confluences for EU Buys: - The 7-hour demand zone has triggered a CHOCH to the upside. - There are major imbalances and liquidity above that need to be filled. - For price to retrace to the supply zone, it will need to move upward. - The US Dollar Index (DXY) is sitting in a strong supply zone, which could trigger a dollar drop and support bullish momentum for EU. Note: If price breaks through the demand zone, it will also break more significant structure to the downside, confirming a long-term bearish outlook for EU.
Long
by Hassan_fx