Eurusddaily
Eurusd sell zoneThis is a EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar) 1-hour timeframe technical analysis from FXCM, showing a sell trade setup with the following key details:
1. Entry Point: Around 1.05112, marked in yellow.
2. Stop Loss: Placed at 1.05690 (red zone), indicating the level where the trade will be exited if the price moves against the setup.
3. Target Level: 1.03978, shown in blue, representing the expected price drop and profit target.
4. Market Outlook: The analysis suggests a potential bearish move, with price expected to decline from the entry point, retrace slightly, and then drop further to hit the target.
5. Risk-Reward Ratio: The trade setup has a favorable risk-reward structure, with the potential reward being larger than the risk.
This setup is based on the expectation that EUR/USD will reverse from resistance and move downward, making it a short (sell) trade opportunity.
MY analysis on Gold in 1H chart its again downwords gold xauusd is in downword we can take sell positions for some time as it almost touches the EMA200 and again going downwords .
Key Observations:
Downtrend Channel Breakout:
The price was previously in a descending channel (marked in blue).
A breakout to the upside occurred, signaling a potential reversal or retracement.
200 EMA Resistance (Blue Line at ~2897):
The price approached the 200 EMA, which is a strong dynamic resistance.
The rejection at this level (highlighted by the red arrow) suggests selling pressure.
Bearish Rejection (Yellow Circle & Red Arrow):
A wick at the 200 EMA shows that buyers attempted to push higher but faced resistance.
This could be a sign of a potential trend continuation to the downside.
Potential Downside Target (Blue & Red Zones):
A short-term support zone is marked in blue, where price might retest.
A larger support block (red zone) indicates a deeper pullback if bearish momentum continues.
Volume Increasing:
Volume is rising, which could indicate stronger price action, whether continuation or reversal.
Possible Trading Scenarios:
Bearish Case (Most Likely):
If price continues to reject the 200 EMA, it could drop toward the red support zone (~2,860-2,870).
A break below this level could lead to further downside.
Bullish Case (Less Likely):
If price reclaims the 200 EMA and holds above it, it could target the next resistance zone (~2,920).
Conclusion:
Bias: Bearish below 200 EMA unless price breaks above.
Potential Trade: Watch for a retest of the blue zone for a possible short entry targeting the red support block.
Would you like an entry/exit plan based on this setup?
EUR/USD at a Crossroads: Will Trade Tensions Push It Lower? EUR/USD has been struggling to maintain momentum above the 1.0500 mark, facing renewed selling pressure as macroeconomic and geopolitical factors influence sentiment. With the US Dollar regaining strength and concerns about European economic stagnation growing, the pair remains vulnerable to further downside.
Technical Analysis:
Resistance Levels: 1.0532 (January 27 high), 1.0629 (December peak), 1.0744 (200-day SMA).
Support Levels: 1.0405 (55-day SMA), 1.0282 (February 10 low), 1.0209 (February 3 low), and 1.0176 (January 13 YTD low).
Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is near 55, indicating modest momentum, while the Average Directional Index (ADX) remains around 15, suggesting a weakening trend.
Moving Averages: The 200-day SMA at 1.0744 serves as a key dynamic resistance, while the 55-day SMA at 1.0405 acts as interim support.
Fundamental Analysis:
Several key fundamental factors are exerting downward pressure on EUR/USD:
Trade Policy Uncertainty: While US tariff tensions have temporarily eased, lingering trade disputes, including a 10% duty on Chinese imports and potential EU-targeted tariffs, keep investors cautious.
Diverging Central Bank Policies: The Federal Reserve remains firm on keeping interest rates elevated, while the European Central Bank has begun rate cuts, signaling weaker economic confidence in the Eurozone.
Economic Growth Divergence: The US economy continues to show resilience with robust labor markets and stable inflation, while the Eurozone faces stagnation and potential contraction, particularly in Germany.
European Political Risks: Uncertainty in Germany and wider Eurozone economic struggles add to the Euro’s bearish outlook, making it less attractive compared to the US Dollar.
The EUR/USD pair is at a critical juncture, with key support levels in focus. Trade policies, central bank divergence, and economic growth disparities continue to drive market sentiment. This week is pivotal for the Eurozone, with key economic data releases culminating in Friday’s PMI figures, which could determine the pair’s next major move. Traders should remain cautious and closely monitor both technical and fundamental developments.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Sell Signal📉 EURUSD Sell Signal 📉
🔹 Wait for the best candle formation before entering the sell trade! Risk management is crucial.
🔹 The 1.04980 resistance zone is considered as the entry point.
🔹 Stop-loss is set at 1.05355 to minimize potential risks.
🔹 Target levels:
✅ First target: 1.04658
✅ Second target: 1.04133
⚠️ Always manage your risk! Make sure to get additional confirmations before entering the trade.
EUR/USD on high time frame
"Regarding EUR/USD on high time frames, as per my recent analysis, the price has shifted towards a bullish momentum. I anticipate the price to surpass the mitigated order block on the 4-hour chart and reach the 1/1 price zone on the weekly and daily time frames. However, this analysis would be invalidated if the price closes below 1.02 on the daily time frame."
If you have any specific questions or if you need further assistance with your text, please let me know!
EURUSD Buy📉 EURUSD Signal | 1H Timeframe Analysis
📆 Date: February 7, 2025
🔍 Strategy: Breakout and Risk Management
✅ Suggested Position: Buy after pullback confirmation
🎯 Targets:
First Target: 1.04016
Second Target: 1.04429
Third Target: 1.04938
🛑 Stop Loss: 1.03083
🔄 Entry Level: Confirmed breakout at 1.03372
⚠ Key Points:
Enter if a pullback to 1.03372 is confirmed.
Set stop loss at 1.03083.
Apply proper risk management.
📊 Technical Analysis: The previous downtrend has been corrected, and we are in a demand zone. If the key level breaks, an upward move is expected.
#Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #EURUSD
EURUSD Buying Trade Idea from 1.0230-1.02135EURUSD Buying Trade Idea from 1.0230-1.02135
EURUSD Buying Trade Idea from 1.0230-1.02135 at the price level and the idea more empower when the market strongly break the 1.02722 zone.
In the recent days at Friday after the Gold create new High (All time) the other major pairs fall and now traded at the based price.
Market will cover the opening gap this morning Monday Feb 3rd 2025.
The buying setup;
Buy range: 1.0230-1.02135
Stop Loss: 1.01639
Take Profit L1: 1.03456
Take Profit L2: 1.04320
Take Profit L3: 1.05046
Take Profit L4: 1.06155
Use 1% of your account balance at the risk on the setup.
EUR/USD Short from 1.03000 (Supply Zone 6hr)My analysis for EUR/USD (EU) this week aligns with my view on other pairs, as the Dollar continues to strengthen. The bearish trend remains strong, and I plan to stay aligned with this pro-trend movement.
The price has broken structure to the downside and left a clean 6-hour supply zone that is yet to be mitigated. Once the price retraces to this supply zone, I’ll be looking for potential sell opportunities. I’ll wait for a redistribution pattern to confirm my entry before taking shorts. If the price continues to drop without retracing, I’ll monitor for a closer supply zone to form and adjust my setup accordingly.
Confluences for EU Sells:
- The price remains strongly bearish on higher time frames.
- The DXY is bullish, supporting the bearish trend for EU.
- A clean supply zone caused a Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside.
- The market is consistently forming lower lows and lower highs.
- A significant imbalance below still needs to be filled.
Note: If the price reaches the 7-hour demand zone below or the imbalance, I anticipate a potential bullish reaction, possibly leading to a retracement.
Neutral on closeLeading on from yesterday where I'd used the weekly range, I now favour the accuracy of the daily levels since we have more data.
We're presented with a bearish candle that closed inside the range of the highlighted parent candle.
So, that FVG on DXY is still there, also the pound swept yesterday's high.
It seems neutral, eh?
I still think there will be short term buying.
At this moment in time, it's still too soon for me to enter this trade. I will check the 9am open for any potential after the red flag news. Otherwise, see you after 5pm EST.
EUR/USD AnalysisOkay, here's the narrative. By the way Happy New Year in advance folks.
We did a lot of algebra in school so this going to be a plot twist: If today's Tuesday and last week's Friday Candle wick high & low have been taken out in both directions, which means holding a trade last week would have meant a probability of being taken out.
And the high of the week is looking Monday right now (We thinking it would be a Tuesday/Wednesday if it's going to be bearish), with a new year begining tomorrow and fresh equal lows looking like last year's bread that would likely be gleaned and taken.
Maybe? maybe not? It's a trickle chart of on the 1D Chart. Bit good news, the FVG on the far left side of last week and the week before and this week's trading has been respected based on some criterias.
Well, that's the narrative...
EUR - LONG - Swing Trading*This is a risky trade since if it breaks support it can take us to very low levels, which is why an appropriate stop loss must be used.
We are in a support between 1.042 and 1.045 that is holding up very well until now. Now that time has passed, it seems we are close to breaking 1.05 and will remain there in the following days. It is necessary to give the trade time of around 6 to 14 days to reach the targets.
Targets:
T1: 1.059 - 1.060 (protect or take partial)
T2: 1.065 (close - 6 days)
T3: 1.080 (close - 14 days)