EURUSD Sell and Buy Trading PlanH4 - We had a strong bullish move with the price creating a series of higher highs, higher lows structure
This strong bullish move ended with a bearish Divergence
While measuring this strong bullish move using the Fibonacci retracement tool we have two key support zones that has formed (marked in green)
So based on this I expect potential short term bearish moves now towards the key support zones and then potential continuation higher.
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Eurusdforecast
EURUSD analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD,GBPUSD and EURUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURUSD -Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading Ideas💡 Daily Timeframe:
EURUSD has been in a Range Bound recently. It touched and reject from 1.0528 major resistance today.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 1.05285 on 02/26/2025, so more losses to support(s) 1.03570, 1.02920 and minimum to Major Support (1.01779) is expected.
💡 Four-hour Timeframe:
The uptrend is broken, and price is in an impulse wave.
The bearish wave is expected to continue as long as the price is below the strong resistance at 1.0528
A strong bearish divergence has also formed in the RSI.
💡 One-hour Timeframe:
1.0457 support is broken now. It will act as a Resistance now!
Forecast:
1- Correction wave toward the Sell Zone
2- Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs
SL: Above 1.0528
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XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURUSD, UP or DOWN ?Hello Traders, what do you think about FX:EURUSD ?
Yesterday we had a huge upward movement because of Tariff plans. but as long as price is below 1.0460, we better to find short position and if price stabilizes above this number at daily timeframe, we can think about buy.
remember that Eurozone performance is unstable and we can't expect a large upward movement in this pair at least for short term, unless the data that comes from US is very bad.
And finally tell me what do you think ? UP or DOWN ? leave your comment below this post.
If this post was helpful to you, please like it and share it with your friend.
THANKS.
EURUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURUSD and GBPUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURUSD and GBPUSD Top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURUSD Analysis TodayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Confirmation neededWe've been in a bearish trend until the price recently broke through a key daily liquidity level and reversed the weekly demand zone. Price pulled back to the 30-minute demand zone and bounced upwards. The 1.07970 fair value gap was invalidated, indicating a shift in market sentiment. Minor sweep and retracement to the 1.08060 swing high. Buy from the current demand zone due to imbalance and expected liquidity sweep. Targeting a 1:4 risk-reward ratio (20 pips risk for 80 pips gain). Initial stop loss below the current demand zone. Plan to move stop loss to 1.08100 for a risk-free trade once in profit…
EURUSD top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Slight Bearish Bias Driven by Key Fundamentals on EURUSDEURUSD Analysis for 04/10/2024: Slight Bearish Bias Driven by Key Fundamentals
On October 4, 2024, the EURUSD currency pair demonstrated a slightly bearish bias, driven by a mix of fundamental factors and market conditions that traders and investors should consider. Below is a breakdown of the key elements that contributed to the downward pressure on the pair:
1. Stronger US Dollar Supported by Economic Data
One of the primary drivers behind the bearish momentum in EURUSD was the strength of the US Dollar. On October 4, 2024, the U.S. released better-than-expected economic data, particularly in the areas of job growth and manufacturing output. These positive data points boosted investor confidence in the USD, further supported by hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve officials suggesting that interest rates may remain elevated for a prolonged period.
The robust performance of the U.S. economy reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve could maintain its aggressive stance on monetary tightening, leading to an increase in demand for the USD. The stronger dollar naturally weighed on the EURUSD pair, pushing it into a bearish zone as the market priced in the possibility of further rate hikes.
2. Weaker Eurozone Inflation Data
On the European side, the euro faced pressure due to weaker-than-expected inflation data from key Eurozone countries. The latest CPI readings revealed that inflation in the Eurozone is slowing down, raising concerns that the European Central Bank (ECB) might be hesitant to pursue further rate hikes in the near future.
The ECB’s more dovish outlook, in contrast to the Fed’s hawkish stance, created a divergence in monetary policies between the Eurozone and the United States, contributing to the bearish sentiment in EURUSD. Traders speculated that the ECB would likely adopt a more cautious approach in order to support the slowing Eurozone economy, which weighed on the euro.
3. Geopolitical Tensions in Europe
Another factor contributing to the bearish bias in EURUSD on 04/10/2024 was the ongoing geopolitical uncertainty in Europe. Continued tensions surrounding energy supply issues in the region, exacerbated by political disagreements between key European countries and external suppliers, have caused instability in the euro. The energy crisis in Europe is making investors cautious, further eroding confidence in the euro.
4. Risk-Off Sentiment
Global markets were in a broader risk-off mode on October 4, 2024, as concerns about the global economic slowdown and geopolitical instability grew. Investors sought safe-haven assets, including the USD, while riskier assets like the euro faced downward pressure. The general risk-off environment encouraged selling in EURUSD, especially as global investors moved towards the more stable US dollar amidst uncertain global conditions.
Conclusion: EURUSD Outlook
The combination of a strong US dollar, slowing Eurozone inflation, divergent central bank policies, and geopolitical tensions in Europe contributed to the slight bearish bias seen in EURUSD on 04/10/2024. While the U.S. economy continues to show resilience, the Eurozone faces challenges, particularly in terms of inflation and geopolitical risks, further increasing the likelihood that EURUSD will continue to experience bearish pressures in the near term.
As a trader or investor analyzing EURUSD, it’s essential to monitor both U.S. and Eurozone economic data closely, as well as central bank communications, as these will play a critical role in determining the future direction of the pair. For those with a bearish outlook, short positions could be explored, while those expecting a reversal should stay alert to any signs of dovish shifts from the Federal Reserve or improvements in Eurozone inflation data.
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EURUSD: Bearish Outlook Explained 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD broke and closed below a key daily horizontal support.
After a retest of a broken structure, the price started to consolidate
within a narrow horizontal range.
Bearish breakout of the support of the range is a strong bearish confirmation.
The pair may continue falling to 1.1015
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Potential Slightly Bearish Bias today 03/10/2024 on EURUSD.EURUSD Overview: Slight Bearish Bias in Focus
As of 03/10/2024, EURUSD is facing potential downward pressure, with various key factors suggesting a slightly bearish bias for the trading session today. This article dives into the current market conditions and fundamental factors driving this bias, offering valuable insights for traders and investors alike. The analysis focuses on economic data releases, central bank policies, and geopolitical influences that could impact the EURUSD movement. Let’s explore the main factors at play.
Key Fundamental Drivers Behind the EURUSD Bearish Bias
1. US Dollar Strength Supported by Economic Data
The US dollar continues to gain support, driven by robust economic data from the United States. Yesterday's stronger-than-expected ISM Manufacturing PMI for September reinforced the idea that the US economy is holding firm, even amidst rising interest rates. This economic strength is fueling expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain its hawkish stance, keeping interest rates elevated for a longer period, which bolsters the US dollar and applies downward pressure on the EURUSD pair.
2. European Economic Weakness
On the European side, the euro remains under pressure due to weaker-than-expected economic data across the Eurozone. The recent German unemployment figures showed an unexpected rise, highlighting the ongoing economic challenges in the region’s largest economy. Furthermore, inflation in the Eurozone has been cooling off, reducing the pressure on the European Central Bank (ECB) to raise rates aggressively. The divergence between the economic performance of the Eurozone and the United States continues to weigh on the euro.
3. Central Bank Divergence: Fed vs. ECB
The divergence in monetary policies between the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank is a key factor contributing to EURUSD's bearish outlook today. The Federal Reserve’s hawkish tone, indicating that interest rates will stay higher for longer, contrasts with the ECB’s recent softer stance, especially after comments suggesting a potential pause in future rate hikes due to slowing economic activity in the Eurozone. This policy divergence is likely to continue pushing EURUSD lower.
4. Geopolitical Concerns and Risk Sentiment
Geopolitical concerns in Europe, particularly ongoing uncertainty in Eastern Europe, also weigh on market sentiment, favoring safe-haven assets like the US dollar. Additionally, risk-off sentiment in global markets could exacerbate the downward movement in EURUSD today. Traders are closely watching any developments that could further impact risk appetite.
5. Technical Analysis Indicating Downward Momentum
From a technical perspective, EURUSD has been trading below key resistance levels in recent sessions. The 50-day moving average remains above the current price action, signaling continued downward momentum. Additionally, RSI (Relative Strength Index) is hovering around neutral levels but shows a slight inclination towards the bearish side. These technical factors support the slightly bearish bias for the day.
Conclusion
Based on the latest fundamental factors and current market conditions, EURUSD is expected to maintain a slightly bearish bias today. The strengthening US dollar, coupled with weak Eurozone economic performance and diverging central bank policies, creates a challenging environment for the euro. Traders should monitor key support levels, as a break below could signal further downside potential. As always, geopolitical risks and upcoming economic data releases could introduce volatility, so keeping an eye on market updates is essential for traders.
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By incorporating these key factors into your trading strategy, you can stay ahead of the market and make informed decisions on EURUSD.
Anticipating a Slightly Bearish Bias on EURUSD for 02/10/2024.EURUSD Analysis for October 2, 2024: Anticipating a Slightly Bearish Bias
As we head into October 2, 2024, the EURUSD currency pair is showing potential for a slightly bearish bias based on the latest fundamental factors and current market conditions. Traders and investors are keeping a close eye on several key drivers that could influence the pair today. In this article, we'll delve into the core reasons for this bearish outlook and highlight the critical elements that may impact the EURUSD price movement.
1. Diverging Economic Data Between the Eurozone and the U.S.
One of the primary factors contributing to the slightly bearish sentiment for EURUSD today is the divergence in economic performance between the Eurozone and the U.S. economy. Recent data from the Eurozone, particularly weaker-than-expected manufacturing PMI figures and concerns about stagnation in key economies like Germany, have cast doubt on the region’s growth prospects. This has added pressure on the Euro, potentially pushing it lower against the U.S. Dollar.
On the other hand, the U.S. economy continues to show resilience, supported by stronger-than-expected GDP growth and robust labor market performance. This economic divergence favors the U.S. Dollar, strengthening it against the Euro.
2. Monetary Policy Divergence: ECB vs. Federal Reserve
The monetary policy stance of the European Central Bank (ECB) versus the Federal Reserve is another important factor driving the bearish outlook for EURUSD. The ECB has recently adopted a more cautious stance, signaling that further rate hikes may be limited due to concerns over economic growth. This dovish tone is weighing on the Euro as market participants anticipate a slower pace of tightening.
In contrast, the Federal Reserve has maintained a more hawkish approach, with hints of further rate hikes if inflationary pressures persist. This divergence in policy direction increases the appeal of the U.S. Dollar, adding to the downward pressure on EURUSD.
3. Geopolitical Risks in Europe
Geopolitical tensions in Europe, including ongoing uncertainty surrounding energy security and the war in Ukraine, continue to weigh on investor sentiment. These factors are likely to keep the Euro under pressure, as risk-averse investors may flock to safe-haven assets like the U.S. Dollar. Any escalation in these tensions could exacerbate the bearish trend for EURUSD.
4. Market Sentiment and Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, EURUSD appears to be trading below key resistance levels, reinforcing the bearish outlook. The pair has struggled to break above the 1.0600 level, and the downward trendline remains intact. Short-term momentum indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), suggest bearish momentum is building, supporting a case for a further decline.
Additionally, with risk sentiment favoring the U.S. Dollar amid global uncertainty, the Euro may struggle to find strong support unless positive economic data or ECB intervention changes the narrative.
Conclusion: EURUSD to Maintain a Slightly Bearish Bias Today
Given the combination of weaker Eurozone economic data, diverging monetary policies, geopolitical risks, and bearish technical indicators, EURUSD is likely to face a slightly bearish bias on October 2, 2024. Traders should closely monitor developments in Eurozone economic reports and any potential statements from ECB officials for further clues on the pair’s direction.
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By staying informed of these key drivers, traders can better position themselves in the market and make informed decisions regarding the EURUSD pair today.
EURUSD Daily Outlook: Slight Bearish Bias Expected on 30/09/2024EURUSD Daily Outlook: Slight Bearish Bias Expected on 30/09/2024
As of today, 30/09/2024, the EURUSD pair appears to be trending towards a slightly bearish bias, driven by a mix of fundamental and technical factors. Traders should be aware of the potential downside risks, particularly given the current market environment. Let’s dive into the key drivers behind this forecast.
1. Eurozone Economic Weakness
One of the primary reasons for the expected bearish bias on EURUSD is the ongoing economic challenges within the Eurozone. Recent economic data, including declining manufacturing output and weaker-than-expected consumer confidence figures, has contributed to a gloomy outlook for the Euro. The European Central Bank (ECB) has remained cautious, avoiding any strong hawkish stance, which continues to weigh on the Euro's performance. The lack of aggressive monetary tightening by the ECB, compared to the Federal Reserve, places further pressure on the currency.
2. Federal Reserve Hawkish Stance
On the other side of the equation, the US Dollar (USD) remains supported by the Federal Reserve's hawkish monetary policy. Jerome Powell’s recent statements highlight the possibility of further interest rate hikes in the near term to combat inflation. This is a strong bullish factor for the USD, making the EURUSD pair more vulnerable to downward pressure. The market anticipates that the Fed will continue to outpace the ECB in terms of tightening monetary conditions, widening the interest rate differential.
3. US Economic Strength
Recent US economic data has reinforced the Dollar’s strength. Strong retail sales, robust employment figures, and better-than-expected GDP growth have all contributed to a more resilient USD. In contrast, the Eurozone struggles with stagnation, providing further evidence that the EURUSD pair is likely to face headwinds today. The divergent economic outlooks between the US and the Eurozone will likely push EURUSD lower.
4. Technicals Support Bearish Sentiment
From a technical perspective, EURUSD is currently testing support levels around 1.0850. A break below this could signal further downside movement. The 50-day moving average has also started to slope downward, reinforcing the short-term bearish outlook. Momentum indicators such as the RSI (Relative Strength Index) are approaching oversold levels, but there’s still room for further declines before a potential rebound.
5. Geopolitical Uncertainty
Geopolitical uncertainty in Europe, particularly around energy security and trade tensions, adds to the Euro’s vulnerability. Investors are seeking safe-haven assets, including the USD, amid these risks, which is another reason for the slight bearish bias on EURUSD today.
Conclusion
Based on the latest fundamental factors and current market conditions, EURUSD is expected to experience a slight bearish bias on 30/09/2024. The combination of Eurozone economic weakness, the Fed's hawkish stance, strong US economic data, technical indicators, and geopolitical risks all contribute to this outlook. Traders should watch key support levels and any developments in economic data to confirm or adjust their positions.
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